Big Bets And Black Swans 2014


Big Bets And Black Swans 2014
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Big Bets And Black Swans 2014


Big Bets And Black Swans 2014
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Author : Ted Piccone
language : en
Publisher: Brookings Institution Press
Release Date : 2014-01-25

Big Bets And Black Swans 2014 written by Ted Piccone and has been published by Brookings Institution Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2014-01-25 with Political Science categories.


President Obama has just three years left in office to define his legacy in world affairs. He's facing a number of critical challenges—the ongoing war in Syria, the Iran nuclear negotiations, an enigmatic North Korea and other significant crises in world affairs. The president's advisors are busy devising policy recommendations aimed at grappling with these thorny issues. From these, the president must decide which priorities to pursue and how to best exercise U.S. power and influence to manage and shape the global order. This book presents a set of policy analysis and recommendations from The Foreign Policy scholars at the Brookings Institution. Designed to provide the White House with innovative and actionable policy initiatives, the book is constructed as a series of memos to President Obama. This year, the memos are divided into five categories: • Big Bets are issues where the president should consider investing his power, time and prestige in major efforts that can have a transformational impact on America and the world. • Double Downs are derived from the Big Bets from last year's recommendations that the president should redouble his efforts on. • Black Swans are those low-probability but high-impact events that can divert the president and his administration's higher purposes, such as dramatic negative events that he will want to take steps in advance to avoid or to mitigate their consequences. • Nightmares are events that look more likely than a Black Swan and could prove particularly troublesome for U.S. interests and the global order, and for which the administration should prepare. • Holds are updated policy recommendations to stay the course on approaches suggested last year.



Big Bets Black Swans


Big Bets Black Swans
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Author : Ted Piccone
language : en
Publisher: Brookings Institution Press
Release Date : 2014

Big Bets Black Swans written by Ted Piccone and has been published by Brookings Institution Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2014 with Political Science categories.


"[A] series of memos designed to present President Obama with a suggested "to do" list, addressing the most significant foreign policy challenges in the year to come. It builds on our widely read Brookings Foreign Policy briefing book released in January 2013. This year, the memos are divided into five categories: Big Bets, Double Downs, Black Swans, Nightmares and Holds...." (Introduction, p. iii)



Stretching And Exploiting Thresholds For High Order War


Stretching And Exploiting Thresholds For High Order War
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Author : Ben Connable
language : en
Publisher: Rand Corporation
Release Date : 2016-05-05

Stretching And Exploiting Thresholds For High Order War written by Ben Connable and has been published by Rand Corporation this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2016-05-05 with History categories.


Since 9/11, Russia, China, and Iran have successfully exploited or stretched U.S. thresholds for high-order war in order to further their strategic ends and, in the process, undermine U.S. interests. Each of these countries has made expert use of some combination of measures short of war to enact its strategies. This report describes those measures and how these nation-states use them and explains why U.S. notions of thresholds might be outdated.



Drones And The Ethics Of Targeted Killing


Drones And The Ethics Of Targeted Killing
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Author : Kenneth R. Himes
language : en
Publisher: Rowman & Littlefield
Release Date : 2015-09-03

Drones And The Ethics Of Targeted Killing written by Kenneth R. Himes and has been published by Rowman & Littlefield this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2015-09-03 with Religion categories.


Drones have become an essential part of U.S. national security strategy, but most Americans know little about how they are used, and we receive conflicting reports about their outcomes. In Drones and the Ethics of Targeted Killing, ethicist Kenneth R. Himes provides not only an overview of the role of drones in national security but also an important exploration of the ethical implications of drone warfare—from the impact on terrorist organizations and civilians to how piloting drones shapes soldiers. Targeted killings have played a role in politics from ancient times through today, so the ethical challenges around how to protect against threats are not new. Himes leads readers through the ethics of targeted killings in history from ancient times to the contemporary Israeli-Palestinian conflict, then looks specifically at the new issues raised through the use of drones. This book is a powerful look at a pressing topic today.



The Crisis Of Religious Liberty


The Crisis Of Religious Liberty
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Author : Stephen M. Krason
language : en
Publisher: Rowman & Littlefield
Release Date : 2014-12-23

The Crisis Of Religious Liberty written by Stephen M. Krason and has been published by Rowman & Littlefield this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2014-12-23 with Religion categories.


In The Crisis of Religious Liberty:Reflections from Law, History, and Catholic Social Thought, contributors consider a series of significant challenges to the freedom of religious conscience and expression in the United States today. Such challenges include the mandate from the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services concerning contraceptive, sterilization, and abortifacient coverage in health insurance plans; the question of health-care institutions requiring medical personnel to participate in morally objectionable procedures contrary to their religious beliefs; legal liability for individuals and businesses refusing on religious grounds to provide services for same-sex marriages; the prohibition on students from engaging in religious expression in public schools; the use of zoning laws to block Bible studies in private homes; and a variety of other issues that have surfaced in recent years with respect to religious freedom. While some argues that religious liberty extends no further than the freedom to worship, contributors suggest otherwise, noting that the exercise of religious liberty is greater than a highly restrictive definition of the notion of worship. The Crisis of Religious Liberty comprises eight chapters and an afterword that explore the nature and basis of religious freedom in terms of Catholic social thought. They cover such topics as the Catholic Church's teachings from the Vatican II's Dignatis Humanae (Declaration on Religious Liberty), the decline of a historic rapprochement among different religious perspectives in the United States in the face of an increasingly aggressive secularism, perspectives on religious liberty from the founding of America, and how the religious liberty situation in the U.S. compares with the rest of the world. The Crisis of Religious Liberty:Reflections from Law, History, and Catholic Social Thought should appeal to a variety of professionals as well as a scholars: lawyers and clergy, health care professionals and Catholic business owners, and researchers in the fields of religion, law, American politics, and sociology.



Publications Combined Russia S Regular And Special Forces In The Regional And Global War On Terror


Publications Combined Russia S Regular And Special Forces In The Regional And Global War On Terror
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Author :
language : en
Publisher: Jeffrey Frank Jones
Release Date :

Publications Combined Russia S Regular And Special Forces In The Regional And Global War On Terror written by and has been published by Jeffrey Frank Jones this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on with categories.


Over 2,400 total pages ... Russian outrage following the September 2004 hostage disaster at North Ossetia’s Beslan Middle School No.1 was reflected in many ways throughout the country. The 52-hour debacle resulted in the death of some 344 civilians, including more than 170 children, in addition to unprecedented losses of elite Russian security forces and the dispatch of most Chechen/allied hostage-takers themselves. It quickly became clear, as well, that Russian authorities had been less than candid about the number of hostages held and the extent to which they were prepared to deal with the situation. Amid grief, calls for retaliation, and demands for reform, one of the more telling reactions in terms of hardening public perspectives appeared in a national poll taken several days after the event. Some 54% of citizens polled specifically judged the Russian security forces and the police to be corrupt and thus complicit in the failure to deal adequately with terrorism, while 44% thought that no lessons for the future would be learned from the tragedy. This pessimism was the consequence not just of the Beslan terrorism, but the accumulation of years of often spectacular failures by Russian special operations forces (SOF, in the apt US military acronym). A series of Russian SOF counterterrorism mishaps, misjudgments, and failures in the 1990s and continuing to the present have made the Kremlin’s special operations establishment in 2005 appear much like Russia’s old Mir space station—wired together, unpredictable, and subject to sudden, startling failures. But Russia continued to maintain and expand a large, variegated special operations establishment which had borne the brunt of combat actions in Afghanistan, Chechnya, and other trouble spots, and was expected to serve as the nation’s principal shield against terrorism in all its forms. Known since Soviet days for tough personnel, personal bravery, demanding training, and a certain rough or brutal competence that not infrequently violated international human rights norms, it was supposed that Russian special operations forces—steeped in their world of “threats to the state” and associated with once-dreaded military and national intelligence services—could make valuable contributions to countering terrorism. The now widely perceived link between “corrupt” special forces on the one hand, and counterterrorism failures on the other, reflected the further erosion of Russia’s national security infrastructure in the eyes of both Russian citizens and international observers. There have been other, more ambiguous, but equally unsettling dimensions of Russian SOF activity as well, that have strong internal and external political aspects. These constitute the continuing assertions from Russian media, the judicial system, and other Federal agencies and officials that past and current members of the SOF establishment have organized to pursue interests other than those publicly declared by the state or allowed under law. This includes especially the alleged intent to punish by assassination those individuals and groups that they believe have betrayed Russia. The murky nature of these alleged activities has formed a backdrop to other problems in the special units.



The Arab Spring And The Geopolitics Of The Middle East Emerging Security Threats And Revolutionary Change


The Arab Spring And The Geopolitics Of The Middle East Emerging Security Threats And Revolutionary Change
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Author : Amr Yossef
language : en
Publisher: Springer
Release Date : 2015-10-01

The Arab Spring And The Geopolitics Of The Middle East Emerging Security Threats And Revolutionary Change written by Amr Yossef and has been published by Springer this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2015-10-01 with Political Science categories.


In this study, which highlights a renewed emphasis in international affairs on regional studies, the co-authors provide an assessment of the revolutionary changes in the politics and security of the Middle East and North Africa (MENA).



Negotiations On Iran S Nuclear Program


Negotiations On Iran S Nuclear Program
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Author : United States. Congress. Senate. Committee on Foreign Relations
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2015

Negotiations On Iran S Nuclear Program written by United States. Congress. Senate. Committee on Foreign Relations and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2015 with Diplomatic negotiations in international disputes categories.




Crude Strategy


Crude Strategy
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Author : Charles Louis Glaser
language : en
Publisher: Georgetown University Press
Release Date : 2016

Crude Strategy written by Charles Louis Glaser and has been published by Georgetown University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2016 with Political Science categories.


Should the United States ask its military to guarantee the flow of oil from the Persian Gulf? If the US security commitment is in fact strategically sound, what posture should the military adopt to protect Persian Gulf oil? Charles L. Glaser and Rosemary A. Kelanic present a collection of new essays from a multidisciplinary team of political scientists, historians, and economists that provide answers to these questions. Contributors delve into a range of vital economic and security issues: the economic costs of a petroleum supply disruption, whether or not an American withdrawal increases the chances of oil-related turmoil, the internal stability of Saudi Arabia, budgetary costs of the forward deployment of US forces, and the possibility of blunting the effects of disruptions with investment in alternative energy resources. The result is a series of bold arguments toward a much-needed revision of US policy toward the Persian Gulf during an era of profound change in oil markets and the balance of power in the Middle East.



The Energy Policy And Conservation Act Of 1975


The Energy Policy And Conservation Act Of 1975
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Author : United States. Congress. House. Committee on Energy and Commerce. Subcommittee on Energy and Power
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2015

The Energy Policy And Conservation Act Of 1975 written by United States. Congress. House. Committee on Energy and Commerce. Subcommittee on Energy and Power and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2015 with Export controls categories.