Scenario
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Scenario Thinking
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Author : George Cairns
language : en
Publisher: Springer
Release Date : 2017-10-13
Scenario Thinking written by George Cairns and has been published by Springer this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2017-10-13 with Business & Economics categories.
Develops scenario planning methods in ways that link scenario analysis to improved decision making, engage time-poor senior decision makers, attenuate decision makers’ tendency to deflect responsibility for bleak, negative scenario outcomes, and enhance causal analysis within scenario-storyline development. What if? Two of the most powerful – and frightening – words in business. Almost as bad as “I didn’t see that coming.” Some things that transform the marketplace overnight come from nowhere. Some things that create potentially critical under-performance are genuinely unforeseeable. Sometimes it is impossible to predict how a change in an organizational strategy will play out. Some things and sometimes – but not many and not often. Decision makers in organizations face more-and-more complex and ambiguous problems that need to be addressed under time pressure - and the need for practical decision support has become essential. The range of methods in this book will enable you to be prepared, proactive and resilient no matter what the future brings. Based on up-to-date academic research and years of application and iteration in the real world, this book, illustrated with examples of the value delivered in Europe, Australia and the Middle East, will transfer practical skills in scenario thinking using step-by-step instructions. This thoroughly revised and expanded second edition introduces these new approaches in detail, with clear guidelines and examples to enable the reader to select and implement the most appropriate scenario method to suit the issue at hand – considering the timeframe for its investigation, the resources available and the outcomes expected.
Scenario Planning
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Author : Woody Wade
language : en
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Release Date : 2012-03-27
Scenario Planning written by Woody Wade and has been published by John Wiley & Sons this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2012-03-27 with Business & Economics categories.
Is your business ready for the future? Scenario planning is a fascinating, yet still underutilized, business tool that can be of immense value to a company's strategic planning process. It allows companies to visualize the impact that a portfolio of possible futures could have on their competitiveness. It helps decision-makers see opportunities and threats that could emerge beyond their normal planning horizon. Scenario Planning serves as a guide to taking a long-term look at your business, your industry, and the world, posing thoughtful questions about the possible consequences of some current (and possible future) trends. This book will help you: Outline (and help you prepare for) any trends that could play out in the future that could change the political, social, and economic landscapes and significantly impact your business Explore the impact of technological advances and the emergence of new competitors to your business Examine challenges that are only dimly recognizable as potential problems today This visual book will help you answer this question: Is my organization ready for every possibility?
Scenario Writing Today
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Author : Grace Lytton
language : en
Publisher: CreateSpace
Release Date : 2015-05-03
Scenario Writing Today written by Grace Lytton and has been published by CreateSpace this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2015-05-03 with categories.
Nine-tenths of the amateur scenario writers of today have studied books on the subject. Technically, a great many of the scenarios received show careful study. But most of them lack inspiration and originality. The writers have failed to make living, breathing human beings of their characters. In "Scenario Writing Today", the latest and one of the best books on the subject, Grace Lytton says: "If you can't take your characters to your heart and make living creatures of them, they will not strike the note of sympathy when they come to stand before your public." Miss Lytton's book contains real inspiration for the amateur writers. It is more than a practical guide, and all writers both amateur and professional may profit by a reading of it. -The Bookman, Volume 53 The book has an introduction by Florence Hull Winterburn, who says of it that it sets forth the principles of scenario writing not from a theoretical but from a practical standpoint, omitting nothing vital to the topic and dwelling with particular emphasis upon those parts o it that are most obscure to beginners. By way of illustration the author concludes her expositions by giving several brief synopses of well-known scenario stories and the continuity and scene plot of a model photoplay, "Telemachus, Friend." Contents: ow scenario writing is different; How and where to get scenario ideas; The thought back of your story; The plot; The characters; The character cast; Locale and atmosphere; The commercial side: Titles and screen terms; The art of picturizing; What is and what is not possible on the screen; Continuity and scene plot. -Book Review Digest, Volume 13 [1921]
Introduction To The Scenario Approach
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Author : Marco C. Campi
language : en
Publisher: SIAM
Release Date : 2018-11-15
Introduction To The Scenario Approach written by Marco C. Campi and has been published by SIAM this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2018-11-15 with Mathematics categories.
This book is about making decisions driven by experience. In this context, a scenario is an observation that comes from the environment, and scenario optimization refers to optimizing decisions over a set of available scenarios. Scenario optimization can be applied across a variety of fields, including machine learning, quantitative finance, control, and identification. This concise, practical book provides readers with an easy access point to make the scenario approach understandable to nonexperts, and offers an overview of various decision frameworks in which the method can be used. It contains numerous examples and diverse applications from a broad range of domains, including systems theory, control, biomedical engineering, economics, and finance. Practitioners can find "easy-to-use recipes," while theoreticians will benefit from a rigorous treatment of the theoretical foundations of the method, making it an excellent starting point for scientists interested in doing research in this field. Introduction to the Scenario Approach will appeal to scientists working in optimization, practitioners working in myriad fields involving decision-making, and anyone interested in data-driven decision-making.
Scenario Planning In Organizations
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Author : Thomas J. Chermack
language : en
Publisher: Berrett-Koehler Publishers
Release Date : 2011-02-14
Scenario Planning In Organizations written by Thomas J. Chermack and has been published by Berrett-Koehler Publishers this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2011-02-14 with Business & Economics categories.
Scenario planning helps organization leaders, executives and decision-makers envision and develop strategies for multiple possible futures instead of just one. It enables organizations to become resilient and agile, carefully calibrating their responses and adapting quickly to new circumstances in a fast-changing environment. This book is the most comprehensive treatment to date of the scenario planning process. Unlike existing books it offers a thorough discussion of the evolution and theoretical foundations of scenario planning, examining its connections to learning theory, decision-making theory, mental model theory and more. Chermack emphasizes that scenario planning is far more than a simple set of steps to follow, as so many other practice-focused books do—he addresses the subtleties and complexities of planning. And, unique among scenario planning books, he deals not just with developing different scenarios but also with applying scenarios once they have been constructed, and assessing the impact of the scenario project. Using a case study based on a real scenario project Chermack lays out a comprehensive five phase scenario planning system—project preparation, scenario exploration, scenario development, scenario implementation and project assessment. Each chapter describes specific techniques for gathering and analyzing relevant data with a particular emphasis on the use of workshops to encourage dialogue. He offers a scenario project worksheet to help readers structure and manage scenario projects as well as avoid common pitfalls, and a discussion, based in recent neurological findings, of how scenario planning helps people to overcome barriers to creative thinking. “This book is about action and performance. Compelling and thoroughly researched, it offers every business executive a playbook for including uncertainty in the organizational change process and driving competitive advantage”. -- Tim Reynolds, Vice President, Talent and Organization Effectiveness, Whirlpool Corporation
Strategic Reframing
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Author : Rafael Ramirez
language : en
Publisher: Oxford University Press
Release Date : 2016
Strategic Reframing written by Rafael Ramirez and has been published by Oxford University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2016 with Business & Economics categories.
Traditional strategy assumes stability and predictability. Today's world is better characterised by turbulence, uncertainty, novelty and ambiguity - conditions that contribute disruptive changes and trigger the search for new ways of coping. This book aims to become the premier guide on how to do scenario planning to support strategy and public policy. Co-authored by three experts in the field, the book presents The Oxford Scenario Planning Approach (OSPA). The approach is both intellectually rigorous and practical. Methodological choices and theoretical aspects in practice are detailed in reference to the relevant literatures and grounded in 6 case studies the authors have been involved with. The book makes several contributions to the field, centred on how learning with scenario planning is supported by re-framing and re-perception; how this iterative process can be embedded in corporate or government settings, and how it helps those that it supports to do well in today's world. The book is written in an accessible style and will be a useful introductory text as well as a useful guide for the more experienced scenario planning practitioner and scholar.
Foundations Of Scenario Planning
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Author : Thomas J Chermack
language : en
Publisher: Taylor & Francis
Release Date : 2017-02-03
Foundations Of Scenario Planning written by Thomas J Chermack and has been published by Taylor & Francis this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2017-02-03 with Business & Economics categories.
Pierre Wack was head of scenario planning at Royal Dutch / Shell Oil in London for just over ten years. He died in 1997. He was a pioneer of what we know today as scenario planning – an alternative and complement to strategic planning. Scenarios explore a variety of possible futures for examining decisions in organizational planning. Pierre was a unique man with interests in Indian and Japanese cultures and traditions. He travelled extensively and led a unique life that involved long periods of visiting gurus in India and extended sabbaticals in Japan. His experiences with Eastern thought no doubt shaped his ability to evolve the scenario method at Shell, and as a result he was able to lead a team that foresaw the oil crises of the 1970’s and 80’s. This new volume will cover the basic context of his life timeline and attach it to the development of his thinking about scenario planning over the course of his career. After his death, Wack’s materials, papers and documents were collected by Napier Collyns and have recently been made available at the University of Oxford where the Pierre Wack Memorial Library has been established. These documents contain a variety of clues and stories that reveal more about who Pierre Wack was, how he thought and will provide details about scenario planning that have never been seen or published. They also reveal a curious man and include a timeline written by his wife, Eve, which details their relationship over the course of 40 years. Written for management and business historians and researchers, this book will uncover unseen contributions by a scenario planning pioneer shaped by significant events in his personal life that helped him to see the world differently.
Scenario Based Strategic Planning
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Author : Burkhard Schwenker
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2013-12-05
Scenario Based Strategic Planning written by Burkhard Schwenker and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2013-12-05 with Business & Economics categories.
In a world characterized by increasing complexity and volatility, managers must be able to flexibly adapt their strategies to changing environmental conditions. Traditional strategic management frameworks often fail in this context. Therefore, we present "scenario-based strategic planning" as a framework for strategic management in an uncertain world. Previous approaches to scenario planning were complex and focused on the long term, but the approach developed by Roland Berger and the Center for Strategy and Scenario Planning at HHL Leipzig Graduate School of Management is different. By designing appropriate tools and integrating scenario planning into strategic planning, we have made our approach less complex and easier for firms to apply. We illustrate the approach with examples from different industries.
Scenario Based Learning
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Author : Ray Jimenez
language : en
Publisher: Lulu.com
Release Date : 2009
Scenario Based Learning written by Ray Jimenez and has been published by Lulu.com this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2009 with Computer-assisted instruction categories.
Scenario Thinking
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Author : G. Wright
language : en
Publisher: Springer
Release Date : 2011-05-03
Scenario Thinking written by G. Wright and has been published by Springer this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2011-05-03 with Business & Economics categories.
Presents new methods in scenario thinking, based on a mix of high-level research and top-level consultancy experience. The authors describe the logical bases of a range of scenario methods and provide detailed 'road maps' on how to implement them - together with practical examples of their application.