Summary The Black Swan The Impact Of The Highly Improbable By Nassim Nicholas Taleb
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An Analysis Of Nassim Nicholas Taleb S The Black Swan
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Author : Eric Lybeck
language : en
Publisher: CRC Press
Release Date : 2017-07-05
An Analysis Of Nassim Nicholas Taleb S The Black Swan written by Eric Lybeck and has been published by CRC Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2017-07-05 with Business & Economics categories.
One of the primary qualities of good creative thinking is an intellectual freedom to think outside of the box. Good creative thinkers resist orthodox ideas, take new lines of enquiry, and generally come at problems from the kinds of angles almost no one else could. And, what is more, when the ideas of creative thinkers are convincing, they can reshape an entire topic, and change the orthodoxy for good. Nassim Nicholas Taleb’s 2007 bestseller The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable is precisely such a book: an entertaining, polemical, creative attack on how people in general, and economic experts in particular view the possibility of catastrophic events. Taleb writes with rare creative verve for someone who is also an expert in mathematics, finance, and epistemology (the philosophy of knowledge), and he martials all his skills to turn standard reasoning inside out. His central point is that far from being unimportant, extremely rare events are frequently the most important ones of all: it is highly improbable, but highly consequential occurrences – what he calls Black Swans – that have shaped history most. As a result, Taleb concludes, improbability is not a reason to act as if a possible event does not matter. Rather, it should inspire the opposite reaction.
The Black Swan Second Edition
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Author : Nassim Nicholas Taleb
language : en
Publisher: Random House
Release Date : 2010-05-11
The Black Swan Second Edition written by Nassim Nicholas Taleb and has been published by Random House this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2010-05-11 with Business & Economics categories.
The most influential book of the past seventy-five years: a groundbreaking exploration of everything we know about what we don’t know, now with a new section called “On Robustness and Fragility.” A black swan is a highly improbable event with three principal characteristics: It is unpredictable; it carries a massive impact; and, after the fact, we concoct an explanation that makes it appear less random, and more predictable, than it was. The astonishing success of Google was a black swan; so was 9/11. For Nassim Nicholas Taleb, black swans underlie almost everything about our world, from the rise of religions to events in our own personal lives. Why do we not acknowledge the phenomenon of black swans until after they occur? Part of the answer, according to Taleb, is that humans are hardwired to learn specifics when they should be focused on generalities. We concentrate on things we already know and time and time again fail to take into consideration what we don’t know. We are, therefore, unable to truly estimate opportunities, too vulnerable to the impulse to simplify, narrate, and categorize, and not open enough to rewarding those who can imagine the “impossible.” For years, Taleb has studied how we fool ourselves into thinking we know more than we actually do. We restrict our thinking to the irrelevant and inconsequential, while large events continue to surprise us and shape our world. In this revelatory book, Taleb will change the way you look at the world, and this second edition features a new philosophical and empirical essay, “On Robustness and Fragility,” which offers tools to navigate and exploit a Black Swan world. Taleb is a vastly entertaining writer, with wit, irreverence, and unusual stories to tell. He has a polymathic command of subjects ranging from cognitive science to business to probability theory. Elegant, startling, and universal in its applications, The Black Swan is a landmark book—itself a black swan.
The Black Swan
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Author : Nassim Nicholas Taleb
language : en
Publisher: Allen Lane
Release Date : 2007
The Black Swan written by Nassim Nicholas Taleb and has been published by Allen Lane this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2007 with Forecasting categories.
Elegant, startling, and universal in its applications, The Black Swan is a concept that will change the way you look at the world. Black Swans underlie almost everything, from the rise of religions, to events in our own personal lives. A Black Swan is a highly improbable event with three principle characteristics: it is unpredictable; it carries a massive impact; and, after the fact, we concoct an explanation that makes it appear less random and more predictable than it was. The astonishing success of Google was a black swan; so was 9/11. And why do we always ignore the phenomenon of Black Swans until after they occur? As Nassim Nicholas Taleb reveals, we are hard-wired not to truly estimate risk, too vulnerable to the impulse to simplify, narrate, and categorize and not open enough to rewarding those who can imagine the 'impossible'. In this revelatory book, Taleb explains everything we know about what we don't know, and shows us how to face the world.
Summary The Black Swan The Impact Of The Highly Improbable By Nassim Nicholas Taleb
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Author : Shortcut Edition
language : en
Publisher: Shortcut Edition
Release Date : 2021-06-17
Summary The Black Swan The Impact Of The Highly Improbable By Nassim Nicholas Taleb written by Shortcut Edition and has been published by Shortcut Edition this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2021-06-17 with Business & Economics categories.
* Our summary is short, simple and pragmatic. It allows you to have the essential ideas of a big book in less than 30 minutes. By reading this summary, you will discover a new way of understanding uncertainty through the concept of the Black Swan. You will also discover : that the Black Swan is a surprising, unpredictable event with far-reaching consequences; why you fail to make predictions; that you are wrong to trust those you consider to be experts in their field; that you can take advantage of uncertainty. The world is made of uncertainties, but man continues to seek to understand and predict it. The more informed society is, the more expert it thinks it is and the more capable it is of understanding the world. However, when it discovers that not all swans are white, its very notion of knowledge is turned upside down. This event, which was very unlikely and with strong consequences, is called by Nassim Nicholas Taleb the "Black Swan". It can lead to success or failure and can make history. How can you approach this phenomenon and take advantage of it in your personal life? *Buy now the summary of this book for the modest price of a cup of coffee!
Summary Of The Black Swan The Impact Of The Highly Improbable By Nassim Nicholas Taleb
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Author : Thorough Thorough Summaries
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2021-05-18
Summary Of The Black Swan The Impact Of The Highly Improbable By Nassim Nicholas Taleb written by Thorough Thorough Summaries and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2021-05-18 with categories.
Thе Black Swаn (2010) оffеrѕ іnѕіghtѕ іntо perceived rаndоmnеѕѕ and thе limitations we fасе іn making рrеdісtіоnѕ. Our оvеr-rеlіаnсе on mеthоdѕ thаt арреаl to our іntuіtіоn at thе expense of ассurасу, our bаѕіс іnаbіlіtу tо undеrѕtаnd аnd define randomness, аnd еvеn оur bіоlоgу іtѕеlf аll contribute tо рооr dесіѕіоn making, and ѕоmеtіmеѕ to "Blасk Swаnѕ" - еvеntѕ thought tо bе impossible thаt rеdеfіnе оur undеrѕtаndіng оf thе wоrld.
The Black Swan
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Author : Nassim Nicholas Taleb
language : en
Publisher: Random House Digital, Inc.
Release Date : 2009-10-13
The Black Swan written by Nassim Nicholas Taleb and has been published by Random House Digital, Inc. this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2009-10-13 with Forecasting categories.
In the author's point of view, a black swan is an improbable event with three principal characteristics - It is unpredictable; it carries a massive impact; and, after the fact, we concoct an explanation that makes it appear less random, and more predictable, than it was. Why do we not acknowledge the phenomenon of black swans until after they occur? Part of the answer, according to Taleb, is that humans are hardwired to learn specifics when they should be focused on generalities. We concentrate on things we already know and time and time again fail to take into consideration what we don't know. We are, therefore, unable to truly estimate opportunities, too vulnerable to the impulse to simplify, narrate, and categorize, and not open enough to rewarding those who can imagine the 'impossible'.
Incerto 4 Book Bundle
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Author : Nassim Nicholas Taleb
language : en
Publisher: Random House
Release Date : 2016-01-26
Incerto 4 Book Bundle written by Nassim Nicholas Taleb and has been published by Random House this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2016-01-26 with Business & Economics categories.
Nassim Nicholas Taleb’s landmark Incerto series is an investigation of luck, uncertainty, probability, opacity, human error, risk, disorder, and decision-making in a world we don’t understand, in nonoverlapping and standalone books. All four volumes—Antifragile, The Black Swan, Fooled by Randomness, and the expanded edition of The Bed of Procrustes, updated with more than 50 percent new material—are now together in one ebook bundle. ANTIFRAGILE “Startling . . . richly crammed with insights, stories, fine phrases and intriguing asides.”—The Wall Street Journal Just as human bones get stronger when subjected to stress and tension, many things in life benefit from disorder, volatility, and turmoil. What Taleb has identified and calls “antifragile” is that category of things that not only gain from chaos but need it in order to survive and flourish. The resilient resists shocks and stays the same; the antifragile gets better and better. What is crucial is that the antifragile loves errors, as it incurs small harm and large benefits from them. Spanning politics, urban planning, war, personal finance, economic systems, and medicine in an interdisciplinary and erudite style, Antifragile is a blueprint for living in a Black Swan world. THE BLACK SWAN “[A book] that altered modern thinking.”—The Times (London) A black swan is a highly improbable event with three principal characteristics: It is unpredictable; it carries a massive impact; and, after the fact, we concoct an explanation that makes it appear less random and more predictable. The astonishing success of Google was a black swan; so was 9/11. In this groundbreaking and prophetic book, Taleb shows that black swan events underlie almost everything about our world, from the rise of religions to events in our own personal lives, and yet we—especially the experts—are blind to them. FOOLED BY RANDOMNESS “[Fooled by Randomness] is to conventional Wall Street wisdom approximately what Martin Luther’s ninety-five theses were to the Catholic Church.”—Malcolm Gladwell, The New Yorker Are we capable of distinguishing the fortunate charlatan from the genuine visionary? Must we always try to uncover nonexistent messages in random events? Fooled by Randomness is about luck: more precisely, about how we perceive luck in our personal and professional experiences. Set against the backdrop of the most conspicuous forum in which luck is mistaken for skill—the markets—Fooled by Randomness is an irreverent, eye-opening, and endlessly entertaining exploration of one of the least understood forces in our lives. THE BED OF PROCRUSTES “Taleb’s crystalline nuggets of thought stand alone like esoteric poems.”—Financial Times This collection of aphorisms and meditations expresses Taleb’s major ideas in ways you least expect. The Bed of Procrustes takes its title from Greek mythology: the story of a man who made his visitors fit his bed to perfection by either stretching them or cutting their limbs. With a rare combination of pointed wit and potent wisdom, Taleb plows through human illusions, contrasting the classical views of courage, elegance, and erudition against the modern diseases of nerdiness, philistinism, and phoniness.
Summary Of The Black Swan By Nassim Nicholas Taleb The Impact Of The Highly Improbable
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Author : Ctprint
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2020-03-03
Summary Of The Black Swan By Nassim Nicholas Taleb The Impact Of The Highly Improbable written by Ctprint and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2020-03-03 with categories.
Summary of The Black Swan By Nassim Nicholas Taleb - The Impact of the Highly Improbable SYNOPSIS: Thе Black Swаn (2010) оffеrѕ insights into реrсеіvеd rаndоmnеѕѕ аnd thе limitations we face іn mаkіng predictions. Our оvеr-rеlіаnсе оn mеthоdѕ thаt арреаl to оur intuition аt thе expense оf ассurасу, our basic іnаbіlіtу tо undеrѕtаnd аnd define rаndоmnеѕѕ, аnd еvеn our bіоlоgу іtѕеlf аll соntrіbutе tо poor decision making, and ѕоmеtіmеѕ tо "Blасk Swans" - events thоught tо bе impossible that redefine оur undеrѕtаndіng оf the world. ABOUT THЕ AUTHОR: Nassim Nісhоlаѕ Taleb іѕ among thе more prolific contemporary есоnоmіѕtѕ and thіnkеrѕ, hаvіng written a number оf сrіtісаllу ассlаіmеd wоrkѕ such аѕ Fooled bу Rаndоmnеѕѕ, аnd his numеrоuѕ еѕѕауѕ hаvе bееn рublіѕhеd in a number оf mаgаzіnеѕ аnd jоurnаlѕ. Tаlеb іѕ a Distinguished Prоfеѕѕоr оf Risk Engineering аt Nеw Yоrk Unіvеrѕіtу'ѕ Pоlуtесhnіс Inѕtіtutе.DISCLAIMER: This bооk іѕ nоt mеаnt tо rерlасе thе оrіgіnаl bооk but tо ѕеrvе аѕ a companion tо іt.
The Bed Of Procrustes
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Author : Nassim Nicholas Taleb
language : en
Publisher: Penguin UK
Release Date : 2010-12-02
The Bed Of Procrustes written by Nassim Nicholas Taleb and has been published by Penguin UK this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2010-12-02 with Philosophy categories.
In this profound and playful book, Nassim Nicholas Taleb presents his ideas about life in the form of aphorisms, the world's earliest - and most memorable - literary form. Procrustes was a character from Greek mythology who abducted travellers and invited them to spend the night in a special bed, which they had to fit to perfection. They never did. Those who were too tall had their legs chopped off; those who were too short were stretched. Every aphorism here is about a Procrustean bed of sorts - we humans, facing the limits of our knowledge, the unseen and the unknown, resolve the tension by squeezing life and the world into crisp commoditized ideas, reductive categories, specific vocabularies and pre-packaged narratives. Only by embracing the unexpected - and accepting what we don't know - can we see the world as it really is.
Fooled By Randomness
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Author : Nassim Nicholas Taleb
language : en
Publisher: Random House
Release Date : 2008-10-14
Fooled By Randomness written by Nassim Nicholas Taleb and has been published by Random House this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2008-10-14 with Business & Economics categories.
Fooled by Randomness is a standalone book in Nassim Nicholas Taleb’s landmark Incerto series, an investigation of opacity, luck, uncertainty, probability, human error, risk, and decision-making in a world we don’t understand. The other books in the series are The Black Swan, Antifragile, Skin in the Game, and The Bed of Procrustes. Fooled by Randomness is the word-of-mouth sensation that will change the way you think about business and the world. Nassim Nicholas Taleb–veteran trader, renowned risk expert, polymathic scholar, erudite raconteur, and New York Times bestselling author of The Black Swan–has written a modern classic that turns on its head what we believe about luck and skill. This book is about luck–or more precisely, about how we perceive and deal with luck in life and business. Set against the backdrop of the most conspicuous forum in which luck is mistaken for skill–the world of trading–Fooled by Randomness provides captivating insight into one of the least understood factors in all our lives. Writing in an entertaining narrative style, the author tackles major intellectual issues related to the underestimation of the influence of happenstance on our lives. The book is populated with an array of characters, some of whom have grasped, in their own way, the significance of chance: the baseball legend Yogi Berra; the philosopher of knowledge Karl Popper; the ancient world’s wisest man, Solon; the modern financier George Soros; and the Greek voyager Odysseus. We also meet the fictional Nero, who seems to understand the role of randomness in his professional life but falls victim to his own superstitious foolishness. However, the most recognizable character of all remains unnamed–the lucky fool who happens to be in the right place at the right time–he embodies the “survival of the least fit.” Such individuals attract devoted followers who believe in their guru’s insights and methods. But no one can replicate what is obtained by chance. Are we capable of distinguishing the fortunate charlatan from the genuine visionary? Must we always try to uncover nonexistent messages in random events? It may be impossible to guard ourselves against the vagaries of the goddess Fortuna, but after reading Fooled by Randomness we can be a little better prepared. Named by Fortune One of the Smartest Books of All Time A Financial Times Best Business Book of the Year