Finding The Tipping Point
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Finding The Tipping Point When Sovereign Debt Turns Bad
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Author : Mehmet Caner
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2012
Finding The Tipping Point When Sovereign Debt Turns Bad written by Mehmet Caner and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2012 with categories.
Public debt has surged during the current global economic crisis and is expected to increase further. This development has raised concerns whether public debt is starting to hit levels where it might negatively affect economic growth. Does such a tipping point in public debt exist? How severe would the impact of public debt be on growth beyond this threshold? What happens if debt stays above this threshold for an extended period of time? The present study addresses these questions with the help of threshold estimations based on a yearly dataset of 101 developing and developed economies spanning a time period from 1980 to 2008. The estimations establish a threshold of 77 percent public debt-to-GDP ratio. If debt is above this threshold, each additional percentage point of debt costs 0.017 percentage points of annual real growth. The effect is even more pronounced in emerging markets where the threshold is 64 percent debt-to-GDP ratio. In these countries, the loss in annual real growth with each additional percentage point in public debt amounts to 0.02 percentage points. The cumulative effect on real GDP could be substantial. Importantly, the estimations control for other variables that might impact growth, such as the initial level of per-capita-GDP.
Finding The Tipping Point When Sovereign Debt Turns Bad
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Author : Mehmet Caner
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2017
Finding The Tipping Point When Sovereign Debt Turns Bad written by Mehmet Caner and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2017 with categories.
Public debt has surged during the current global economic crisis and is expected to increase further. This development has raised concerns whether public debt is starting to hit levels where it might negatively affect economic growth. Does such a tipping point in public debt exist? How severe would the impact of public debt be on growth beyond this threshold? What happens if debt stays above this threshold for an extended period of time? The present study addresses these questions with the help of threshold estimations based on a yearly dataset of 101 developing and developed economies spanning a time period from 1980 to 2008. The estimations establish a threshold of 77 percent public debt-to-GDP ratio. If debt is above this threshold, each additional percentage point of debt costs 0.017 percentage points of annual real growth. The effect is even more pronounced in emerging markets where the threshold is 64 percent debt-to-GDP ratio. In these countries, the loss in annual real growth with each additional percentage point in public debt amounts to 0.02 percentage points. The cumulative effect on real GDP could be substantial. Importantly, the estimations control for other variables that might impact growth, such as the initial level of per-capita-GDP.
Cirque Du Freak A Living Nightmare
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Author : Darren Shan
language : en
Publisher: Little, Brown Books for Young Readers
Release Date : 2008-08-01
Cirque Du Freak A Living Nightmare written by Darren Shan and has been published by Little, Brown Books for Young Readers this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2008-08-01 with Young Adult Fiction categories.
From the Master of Horror comes the first gripping book in the twelve book New York Times bestselling Saga of Darren Shan. Start the tale from the beginning in the book that inspired the feature film The Vampire's Assistant and petrified devoted fans worldwide. A young boy named Darren Shan and his best friend, Steve, get tickets to the Cirque Du Freak, a wonderfully gothic freak show featuring weird, frightening half human/half animals who interact terrifyingly with the audience. In the midst of the excitement, true terror raises its head when Steve recognizes that one of the performers-- Mr. Crepsley-- is a vampire! Stever remains after the show finishes to confront the vampire-- but his motives are surprising! In the shadows of a crumbling theater, a horrified Darren eavesdrops on his friend and the vampire, and is witness to a monstrous, disturbing plea. As if by destiny, Darren is pulled to Mr. Crepsley and what follows is his horrifying descent into the dark and bloody world of vampires. This is the beginning of Darren's story.
The Tipping Point By Malcolm Gladwell Summary Analysis
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Author : Elite Summaries
language : en
Publisher: Elite Summaries
Release Date :
The Tipping Point By Malcolm Gladwell Summary Analysis written by Elite Summaries and has been published by Elite Summaries this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on with Business & Economics categories.
Author Malcolm Gladwell explores the idea of ideas and how they catch fire in his novel, The Tipping Point. He contests that thoughts and ideas spread in much the same way illness spreads, usually to much better effect: a little exposure goes a long way. He presents the spread of ideas as a sort of epidemic, and perhaps his novel is proof of that. Since its release in 2002, The Tipping Point has become a national bestseller. This edition includes a new afterword by the author. p.p1 {margin: 0.0px 0.0px 10.0px 0.0px; text-align: justify; font: 11.0px 'Trebuchet MS'; color: #000000; -webkit-text-stroke: #000000} span.s1 {font-kerning: none} How do ideas go from horribly unpopular to the latest trend so quickly? Malcolm Gladwell dives into the subjects of fashion, children's shows and even cigarettes in a search for the answer. It's a book that will stop and make you think about how these ideas apply within the context of daily life, marketing, and a whole host of other subjects. Gladwell leads us on a sociological expedition into the mentality and behavior that drives societal trends. Sociology students and readers just looking for a good book-and basically anyone in between- will find The Tipping Point highly enjoyable. It is peppered with anecdotes that carry along the scientific ideas quite nicely, making for a quick and interesting read. Gladwell's insight in The Tipping Point has been used in marketing and advertising strategies by many companies, but it's written in just such a way that keeps the content from even approaching dryness. If you enjoy science but hate the feeling of chewing through a research paper, The Tipping Point is absolutely the book for you.
The Tipping Point
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Author : Malcolm Gladwell
language : en
Publisher: Hachette UK
Release Date : 2022-08-23
The Tipping Point written by Malcolm Gladwell and has been published by Hachette UK this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2022-08-23 with Business & Economics categories.
'A wonderful page-turner about a fascinating idea that should affect the way every thinking person thinks about the world around him' Michael Lewis In this brilliant and original book, Malcolm Gladwell explains and analyses the 'tipping point', that magic moment when ideas, trends and social behaviour cross a threshold, tip and spread like wildfire. Taking a look behind the surface of many familiar occurrences in our everyday world, Gladwell explains the fascinating social dynamics that cause rapid change. 'Hip and hopeful, THE TIPPING POINT is like the idea it describes: concise, elegant but packed with social power. A book for anyone who cares about how society works and how we can make it better' George Stephanopoulos
Global Events Tipping Points
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Author : Dr. Philip Gordon, PhD
language : en
Publisher: Lulu.com
Release Date : 2013-02-21
Global Events Tipping Points written by Dr. Philip Gordon, PhD and has been published by Lulu.com this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2013-02-21 with Science categories.
Tipping Points as evidenced in global events are, in many ways, influenced by media. This just released, ground-breaking book GLOBAL EVENTS: TIPPING POINTS by Dr Philip Gordon, Ph.D, details three case studies which were selected on the basis of common Tipping Point Attributes. Each involved media contagiousness and stickiness during their development and each arrived at a "dramatic moment in time," which could be characterized by the phenomenon of Tipping Points. Recent GLOBAL EVENTS: TIPPING POINTS Case Studies: The 2008 Presidential Campaign of Barack Obama was chosen to examine a narrower scope and timeframe for the application of the analysis. The International Financial Crisis of 2007-2010, involves a broader data study period to identify trends and more complex issues. And the Climate Change study is included for consideration as the research and analysis revealed critical relationships between media impact and global events. As the issue of Climate Change is still evolving, Dr Gordon provides a Global Events: Tipping Point Theory methodology for analyzing and predicting our planets' most pressing global issue. Dr Philip Gordon, Ph.D was awarded his doctorate (with high honors) from the Centre d'Etudes Diplomatiques et Strategiques (CEDS) Paris, France and graduated with his masters while on a full fellowship from Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, Maryland. He currently lives in Burgundy, France with his wife and two sons. Review Comments: "The genius of the formulation of GLOBAL EVENTS: TIPPING POINTS is that it takes explicit account of the role of social media and the internet at facilitating bifurcations and promoting dynamical instability. In effect, we have trimmed a few feet of tail off the kite. As a reader, I was informed and educated as to the factors which conspire to influence stability / instability in complex social systems. ...the book does a good job of making sense of past bifurcations and dynamical instabilities, namely political instability, our perception of global climate change, and international economic crises ... my compliments on a truly insightful Global Events: Tipping Points." - Prof. Dr. (med.) Peter S. Geissler, A.B., B.S., M.S., M.Phil., Ph.D. (Yale) M.A., M.Eng., M.S., Ph.D., M.S., M.D., M.Phil.(Cantab) "The application of the tipping point theory to media and global events, particularly, Global Events: Tipping Points...the financial crisis and climate change), is a fascinating one." - Dr. Serge Besanger, PhD Expert, International Monetary Fund ..".very interesting application (of the Tipping Point Theory)...potential opportunity for predicting other global events, i.e.: Egyptian crisis and perhaps, even terrorism activities." - Dr. Adam AJLANI, PhD Professor, Sciences Politic and Political Consultant, France TV1 ..".a mass undertaking (very motivated) of how (we) as a society can become aware of future global events, particularly Climate Change. Excellent!" - Dr. Derek EL ZEIN, PhD Professor, Avocat, Expert: Communications "A truly fascinating book that (teaches) a whole new way of thinking about major events and how the media can influence them. Being a political junkie I was heavily into the media coverage of the 2008 Obama election and the global financial meltdown both via TV and the blogosphere. I now find myself looking for the tipping points and stickiness factors as other key events unfold. Usually, I have trouble reading theoretical books but this one was an easy read and if you want supporting data then the references are there. This could become a solid reference for those in the media who truly want to understand what they are reporting. Highly recommended and I look forward to Dr. Gordon's ongoing analysis of (future) events." - Dr. Ralph Moorhouse, PhD Political junkie, Expert: natural polymers for industries
Data Mining Predicting Tipping Points
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Author : Dr. Philip Gordon, PhD
language : en
Publisher: Lulu.com
Release Date : 2013-01-31
Data Mining Predicting Tipping Points written by Dr. Philip Gordon, PhD and has been published by Lulu.com this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2013-01-31 with Political Science categories.
Tipping Points as evidenced in global events are, in many ways, influenced by media. DATA MINING for predicting and analyzing world events. This just released, ground-breaking book: DATA MINING: PREDICTING TIPPING POINTS by Dr Philip Gordon, Ph.D, details three case studies which were selected on the basis of common Tipping Point Attributes: Each involved media contagiousness and stickiness during their development and, each arrived at a "dramatic moment in time," which could only be characterized by the phenomenon of Tipping Points. Three recent case studies explore the leading edge technologies of DATA MINING and the theory of TIPPING POINTS: The first case study, the 2008 Presidential Campaign of Barack Obama was chosen to examine a narrower scope and timeframe for the application of the analysis. In contrast to the second case study, the International Financial Crisis of 2007-2010, which involves a broader data study period to identify trends and more complex issues. The third study, Climate Change was included as consideration because the data mining research and analysis revealed critical relationships between Media Impact and Global Events. As the issue of Climate Change is still evolving, Dr Gordon provides a Data Mining and Tipping Point Theory methodology for analyzing and predicting our planets' most pressing Global Tipping Points. Review Comments: "The genius of the formulation of DATA MINING: PREDICTING TIPPING POINTS is that it takes explicit account of the role of social media and the internet at facilitating bifurcations and promoting dynamical instability. In effect, we have trimmed a few feet of tail off the kite. As a reader, I was informed and educated as to the factors which conspire to influence stability / instability in complex social systems. ...the book does a good job of making sense of past bifurcations and dynamical instabilities, namely political instability, our perception of global climate change, and international economic crises...my compliments on a truly insightful Media Tipping Points." -Prof. Dr. (med.) Peter S. Geissler, A.B., B.S., M.S., M.Phil., Ph.D. (Yale) M.A., M.Eng., M.S., Ph.D., M.S., M.D., M.Phil.(Cantab) "A truly fascinating book that (teaches) a whole new way of thinking about major events and how the media can influence them. - Being a political junkie I was heavily into the media coverage of the 2008 Obama election and the global financial meltdown both via TV and the blogosphere. I now find myself looking for the tipping points and stickiness factors as other key events unfold. Usually, I have trouble reading theoretical books but this one was an easy read and if you want supporting data then the references are there. This could become a solid reference for those in the media who truly want to understand what they are reporting. Highly recommended and I look forward to Dr. Gordon's ongoing analysis of (future) events." -Dr. Ralph Moorhouse, Ph.D. Political junkie, Expert: natural polymers for industries "The application of Data Mining and Tipping Point Theory to media and global events, particularly the financial crisis and climate change, is a fascinating one." -Dr. Serge Besanger, PhD Expert, International Monetary Fund ..".very interesting application (of the Tipping Point Theory)...potential opportunity for predicting other global events, i.e.: Egyptian crisis and perhaps, even terrorism activities." -Dr. Adam AJLANI, PhD Professor, Sciences Politic and Political Consultant, France TV1
The Tipping Point
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Author : Malcolm Gladwell
language : en
Publisher: Findaway World
Release Date : 2014-07-01
The Tipping Point written by Malcolm Gladwell and has been published by Findaway World this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2014-07-01 with categories.
In this brilliant and original book, Malcolm Gladwell explains and analyses the 'tipping point', that magic moment when ideas, trends and social behaviour cross a threshold, tip and spread like wildfire. Taking a look behind the surface of many familiar occurrences in our everyday world, Gladwell explains the fascinating social dynamics that cause rapid change.
The Tipping Point By Malcolm Gladwell
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Author : Leslie Watts
language : en
Publisher: Story Grid Publishing LLC
Release Date : 2020-03-11
The Tipping Point By Malcolm Gladwell written by Leslie Watts and has been published by Story Grid Publishing LLC this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2020-03-11 with Reference categories.
Is it possible to write a nonfiction book that changes minds or even changes the world? The Tipping Point by Malcolm Gladwell sold 1.7 million copies in its first year of release, and today remains a perennial bestseller. What made it go viral? What made it stick? On the 20th anniversary of The Tipping Point’s publication, two Story Grid editors dissect Gladwell’s masterwork to find out what makes it a cultural touchstone. Leslie Watts and Shelley Sperry analyze the structure of the book to understand how Gladwell uses scientific evidence, memorable anecdotes, and compelling characters to bring ideas to life. Breakdowns of each scene reveal the essential questions Gladwell asks, the challenges he faces, and how he resolves them. This Story Grid Masterwork Guide is a deep dive into the mind of a brilliant storyteller, designed to give you the tools and confidence to set off on an intellectual adventure of your own. With Gladwell as your mentor you can write a book that will transform your readers and stay on bookstore shelves for years to come.
Social Sustainability Past And Future
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Author : Sander van der Leeuw
language : en
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Release Date : 2020-02-13
Social Sustainability Past And Future written by Sander van der Leeuw and has been published by Cambridge University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2020-02-13 with History categories.
A novel, integrated approach to understanding long-term human history, viewing it as the long-term evolution of human information-processing. This title is also available as Open Access.