Uncertain
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Uncertain Science Uncertain World
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Author : H. N. Pollack
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2014-05-14
Uncertain Science Uncertain World written by H. N. Pollack and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2014-05-14 with Electronic books categories.
Using science headlines and everyday examples, this engaging book describes why science is uncertain for the general reader.
Acting In An Uncertain World
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Author : Michel Callon
language : en
Publisher: MIT Press
Release Date : 2011-01-21
Acting In An Uncertain World written by Michel Callon and has been published by MIT Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2011-01-21 with Technology & Engineering categories.
A call for a new form of democracy in which “hybrid forums” composed of experts and laypeople address such sociotechnical controversies as hazardous waste, genetically modified organisms, and nanotechnology. Controversies over such issues as nuclear waste, genetically modified organisms, asbestos, tobacco, gene therapy, avian flu, and cell phone towers arise almost daily as rapid scientific and technological advances create uncertainty and bring about unforeseen concerns. The authors of Acting in an Uncertain World argue that political institutions must be expanded and improved to manage these controversies, to transform them into productive conversations, and to bring about “technical democracy.” They show how “hybrid forums”—in which experts, non-experts, ordinary citizens, and politicians come together—reveal the limits of traditional delegative democracies, in which decisions are made by quasi-professional politicians and techno-scientific information is the domain of specialists in laboratories. The division between professionals and laypeople, the authors claim, is simply outmoded. The authors argue that laboratory research should be complemented by everyday experimentation pursued in the real world, and they describe various modes of cooperation between the two. They explore a range of concrete examples of hybrid forums that have dealt with sociotechnical controversies including nuclear waste disposal in France, industrial waste and birth defects in Japan, a childhood leukemia cluster in Woburn, Massachusetts, and mad cow disease in the United Kingdom. The authors discuss the implications for political decision making in general and describe a “dialogic” democracy that enriches traditional representative democracy. To invent new procedures for consultation and representation, they suggest, is to contribute to an endless process that is necessary for the ongoing democratization of democracy.
Uncertain Citizenship
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Author : Anne-Marie Fortier
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2022-04-12
Uncertain Citizenship written by Anne-Marie Fortier and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2022-04-12 with Political Science categories.
This book investigates uncertainty as a governing practice from the unique vantage point of 'citizenisation' - twenty-first-century integration and naturalisation measures that make and unmake citizens and migrants, while indefinitely holding many applicants for citizenship in the waiting room of citizenship. Uncertain Citizenship investigates uncertainty as a governing practice from the vantage point of 'citizenisation' - 21st-century integration and naturalisation measures that make and unmake citizens and migrants, while indefinitely holding many applicants for citizenship in the waiting room of citizenship. Fortier's distinctive theory of citizenisation foregrounds how the full achievement of citizenship is always deferred. If migrants and citizens are continuously citizenised, so too are they migratised. Drawing on multi-sited fieldwork with migrants and with intermediaries of the state tasked with implementing citizenisation measures, Fortier scrutinises life in the waiting room and shows how citizenship takes place, takes time and takes hold in ways that conform, exceed, and confound frames of reference laid out in both citizenisation policies and taken-for-granted understandings of 'citizen', 'migrant', and their relationships to citizenship.
Theory And Practice Of Uncertain Programming
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Author : Baoding Liu
language : en
Publisher: Springer
Release Date : 2008-12-28
Theory And Practice Of Uncertain Programming written by Baoding Liu and has been published by Springer this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2008-12-28 with Technology & Engineering categories.
Real-life decisions are usually made in the state of uncertainty such as randomness and fuzziness. How do we model optimization problems in uncertain environments? How do we solve these models? In order to answer these questions, this book provides a self-contained, comprehensive and up-to-date presentation of uncertain programming theory, including numerous modeling ideas, hybrid intelligent algorithms, and applications in system reliability design, project scheduling problem, vehicle routing problem, facility location problem, and machine scheduling problem. Researchers, practitioners and students in operations research, management science, information science, system science, and engineering will find this work a stimulating and useful reference.
Uncertain Judgements
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Author : Anthony O'Hagan
language : en
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Release Date : 2006-08-30
Uncertain Judgements written by Anthony O'Hagan and has been published by John Wiley & Sons this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2006-08-30 with Mathematics categories.
Elicitation is the process of extracting expert knowledge about some unknown quantity or quantities, and formulating that information as a probability distribution. Elicitation is important in situations, such as modelling the safety of nuclear installations or assessing the risk of terrorist attacks, where expert knowledge is essentially the only source of good information. It also plays a major role in other contexts by augmenting scarce observational data, through the use of Bayesian statistical methods. However, elicitation is not a simple task, and practitioners need to be aware of a wide range of research findings in order to elicit expert judgements accurately and reliably. Uncertain Judgements introduces the area, before guiding the reader through the study of appropriate elicitation methods, illustrated by a variety of multi-disciplinary examples. This is achieved by: Presenting a methodological framework for the elicitation of expert knowledge incorporating findings from both statistical and psychological research. Detailing techniques for the elicitation of a wide range of standard distributions, appropriate to the most common types of quantities. Providing a comprehensive review of the available literature and pointing to the best practice methods and future research needs. Using examples from many disciplines, including statistics, psychology, engineering and health sciences. Including an extensive glossary of statistical and psychological terms. An ideal source and guide for statisticians and psychologists with interests in expert judgement or practical applications of Bayesian analysis, Uncertain Judgements will also benefit decision-makers, risk analysts, engineers and researchers in the medical and social sciences.
Picturing The Uncertain World
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Author : Howard Wainer
language : en
Publisher: Princeton University Press
Release Date : 2021-06-08
Picturing The Uncertain World written by Howard Wainer and has been published by Princeton University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2021-06-08 with Science categories.
In his entertaining and informative book Graphic Discovery, Howard Wainer unlocked the power of graphical display to make complex problems clear. Now he's back with Picturing the Uncertain World, a book that explores how graphs can serve as maps to guide us when the information we have is ambiguous or incomplete. Using a visually diverse sampling of graphical display, from heartrending autobiographical displays of genocide in the Kovno ghetto to the "Pie Chart of Mystery" in a New Yorker cartoon, Wainer illustrates the many ways graphs can be used--and misused--as we try to make sense of an uncertain world. Picturing the Uncertain World takes readers on an extraordinary graphical adventure, revealing how the visual communication of data offers answers to vexing questions yet also highlights the measure of uncertainty in almost everything we do. Are cancer rates higher or lower in rural communities? How can you know how much money to sock away for retirement when you don't know when you'll die? And where exactly did nineteenth-century novelists get their ideas? These are some of the fascinating questions Wainer invites readers to consider. Along the way he traces the origins and development of graphical display, from William Playfair, who pioneered the use of graphs in the eighteenth century, to instances today where the public has been misled through poorly designed graphs. We live in a world full of uncertainty, yet it is within our grasp to take its measure. Read Picturing the Uncertain World and learn how.
The Uncertain Image
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Author : Ulrik Ekman
language : en
Publisher: Routledge
Release Date : 2020-04-28
The Uncertain Image written by Ulrik Ekman and has been published by Routledge this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2020-04-28 with Religion categories.
Citizens of networked societies are almost incessantly accompanied by ecologies of images. These ecologies of still and moving images present a paradox of uncertainties emerging along with certainties. Images appear more certain as the technical capacities that render them visible increase. At the same time, images are touched by more uncertainty as their numbers, manipulabilities, and contingencies multiply. With the emergence of big data, the image is becoming a dominant vehicle for the construction and presentation of the truth of data. Images present themselves as so many promises of the certainty, predictability, and intelligibility offered by data. The focus of this book is twofold. It analyses the kinds of images appearing today, showing how they are marked by a return to modern photographic emphases on high resolution, clarity, and realistic representation. Secondly, it discusses the ways in which the uncertainty of images is increasingly underscored within such reiterated emphases on allegedly certain visual truths. This often involves renewed encounters with noise, grain, glitch, blur, vagueness, and indistinctness. This book provides the reader with an intriguing transdisciplinary investigation of the uncertainly certain relation between the cultural imagination and the techno-aesthetic regime of big data and ubiquitous computing. This book was originally published as a special issue of Digital Creativity.
Rational Choice In An Uncertain World
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Author : Reid Hastie
language : en
Publisher: SAGE
Release Date : 2010
Rational Choice In An Uncertain World written by Reid Hastie and has been published by SAGE this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2010 with Psychology categories.
In the Second Edition of Rational Choice in an Uncertain World the authors compare the basic principles of rationality with actual behaviour in making decisions. They describe theories and research findings from the field of judgment and decision making in a non-technical manner, using anecdotes as a teaching device. Intended as an introductory textbook for advanced undergraduate and graduate students, the material not only is of scholarly interest but is practical as well. The Second Edition includes: - more coverage on the role of emotions, happiness, and general well-being in decisions - a summary of the new research on the neuroscience of decision processes - more discussion of the adaptive value of (non-rational heuristics) - expansion of the graphics for decision trees, probability trees, and Venn diagrams.
Uncertain Archives
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Author : Nanna Bonde Thylstrup
language : en
Publisher: MIT Press
Release Date : 2021-02-02
Uncertain Archives written by Nanna Bonde Thylstrup and has been published by MIT Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2021-02-02 with Computers categories.
Scholars from a range of disciplines interrogate terms relevant to critical studies of big data, from abuse and aggregate to visualization and vulnerability. This pathbreaking work offers an interdisciplinary perspective on big data, interrogating key terms. Scholars from a range of disciplines interrogate concepts relevant to critical studies of big data--arranged glossary style, from from abuse and aggregate to visualization and vulnerability--both challenging conventional usage of such often-used terms as prediction and objectivity and introducing such unfamiliar ones as overfitting and copynorm. The contributors include both leading researchers, including N. Katherine Hayles, Johanna Drucker and Lisa Gitelman, and such emerging agenda-setting scholars as Safiya Noble, Sarah T. Roberts and Nicole Starosielski.
Uncertain Science Uncertain World
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Author : Henry N. Pollack
language : en
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Release Date : 2005-06-23
Uncertain Science Uncertain World written by Henry N. Pollack and has been published by Cambridge University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2005-06-23 with Science categories.
Is the world warming due to the Greenhouse Effect? Can nuclear weapon arsenals be relied upon without periodic testing? Is the world running out of oil? What action should be taken against an outbreak of foot-and-mouth or BSE? Why can't scientists provide certain answers to these and many other questions? The uncertainty of science is puzzling. It arises when scientists have more than one answer to a problem or disagree amongst themselves. In this engaging book, Henry Pollack guides the reader through the maze of contradiction and uncertainty, acquainting them with the ways that uncertainty arises in science, how scientists accommodate and make use of uncertainty, and how in the face of uncertainty they reach their conclusions. Taking examples from recent science headlines and every day life, Uncertain Science ... Uncertain World enables the reader to evaluate uncertainty from their own perspectives, and find out more about how science actually works.