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Advances In Dependence Modeling


Advances In Dependence Modeling
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Advances In Dependence Modeling


Advances In Dependence Modeling
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Author :
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2018

Advances In Dependence Modeling written by and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2018 with categories.




Dependence Modeling With Copulas


Dependence Modeling With Copulas
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Author : Harry Joe
language : en
Publisher: CRC Press
Release Date : 2014-06-26

Dependence Modeling With Copulas written by Harry Joe and has been published by CRC Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2014-06-26 with Mathematics categories.


Dependence Modeling with Copulas covers the substantial advances that have taken place in the field during the last 15 years, including vine copula modeling of high-dimensional data. Vine copula models are constructed from a sequence of bivariate copulas. The book develops generalizations of vine copula models, including common and structured factor models that extend from the Gaussian assumption to copulas. It also discusses other multivariate constructions and parametric copula families that have different tail properties and presents extensive material on dependence and tail properties to assist in copula model selection. The author shows how numerical methods and algorithms for inference and simulation are important in high-dimensional copula applications. He presents the algorithms as pseudocode, illustrating their implementation for high-dimensional copula models. He also incorporates results to determine dependence and tail properties of multivariate distributions for future constructions of copula models.



Advances In Spatial Dependence Modeling Of Consumer Attitudes With Bayesian Factor Models


Advances In Spatial Dependence Modeling Of Consumer Attitudes With Bayesian Factor Models
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Author : Stanislav Stakhovych
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2010

Advances In Spatial Dependence Modeling Of Consumer Attitudes With Bayesian Factor Models written by Stanislav Stakhovych and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2010 with categories.




The Art Of Dependence Modelling


The Art Of Dependence Modelling
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Author : Peter Blum
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2014

The Art Of Dependence Modelling written by Peter Blum and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2014 with categories.


Both at the design stage as well as at the pricing stage of Alternative Risk Transfer (ART) products, the notion of low (zero) beta plays an important role. By now it is well known that for these non--standard products, the interpretation of dependence through linear correlation (and hence the portfolio--beta language) becomes dubious. We review some of the new tools (like copulas) to handle the measurement of dependence in ART products. An example will be discussed.



Dependence Modeling


Dependence Modeling
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Author : Harry Joe
language : en
Publisher: World Scientific
Release Date : 2011

Dependence Modeling written by Harry Joe and has been published by World Scientific this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2011 with Business & Economics categories.


1. Introduction : Dependence modeling / D. Kurowicka -- 2. Multivariate copulae / M. Fischer -- 3. Vines arise / R.M. Cooke, H. Joe and K. Aas -- 4. Sampling count variables with specified Pearson correlation : A comparison between a naive and a C-vine sampling approach / V. Erhardt and C. Czado -- 5. Micro correlations and tail dependence / R.M. Cooke, C. Kousky and H. Joe -- 6. The Copula information criterion and Its implications for the maximum pseudo-likelihood estimator / S. Gronneberg -- 7. Dependence comparisons of vine copulae with four or more variables / H. Joe -- 8. Tail dependence in vine copulae / H. Joe -- 9. Counting vines / O. Morales-Napoles -- 10. Regular vines : Generation algorithm and number of equivalence classes / H. Joe, R.M. Cooke and D. Kurowicka -- 11. Optimal truncation of vines / D. Kurowicka -- 12. Bayesian inference for D-vines : Estimation and model selection / C. Czado and A. Min -- 13. Analysis of Australian electricity loads using joint Bayesian inference of D-vines with autoregressive margins / C. Czado, F. Gartner and A. Min -- 14. Non-parametric Bayesian belief nets versus vines / A. Hanea -- 15. Modeling dependence between financial returns using pair-copula constructions / K. Aas and D. Berg -- 16. Dynamic D-vine model / A. Heinen and A. Valdesogo -- 17. Summary and future directions / D. Kurowicka



Modeling Dependence In Econometrics


Modeling Dependence In Econometrics
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Author : Van-Nam Huynh
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2013-11-18

Modeling Dependence In Econometrics written by Van-Nam Huynh and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2013-11-18 with Technology & Engineering categories.


In economics, many quantities are related to each other. Such economic relations are often much more complex than relations in science and engineering, where some quantities are independence and the relation between others can be well approximated by linear functions. As a result of this complexity, when we apply traditional statistical techniques - developed for science and engineering - to process economic data, the inadequate treatment of dependence leads to misleading models and erroneous predictions. Some economists even blamed such inadequate treatment of dependence for the 2008 financial crisis. To make economic models more adequate, we need more accurate techniques for describing dependence. Such techniques are currently being developed. This book contains description of state-of-the-art techniques for modeling dependence and economic applications of these techniques. Most of these research developments are centered around the notion of a copula - a general way of describing dependence in probability theory and statistics. To be even more adequate, many papers go beyond traditional copula techniques and take into account, e.g., the dynamical (changing) character of the dependence in economics.



Structured Expert Judgement For Dependence In Probabilistic Modelling Of Uncertainty


Structured Expert Judgement For Dependence In Probabilistic Modelling Of Uncertainty
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Author : Christoph Werner
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2018

Structured Expert Judgement For Dependence In Probabilistic Modelling Of Uncertainty written by Christoph Werner and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2018 with categories.


The original research presented in this thesis is applied in case-studies with experts in real risk modelling contexts for the UK Higher Education sector, terrorism risk and future risk of antibacterial multi-drug resistance.



Direction Dependence In Statistical Modeling


Direction Dependence In Statistical Modeling
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Author : Wolfgang Wiedermann
language : en
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Release Date : 2020-11-09

Direction Dependence In Statistical Modeling written by Wolfgang Wiedermann and has been published by John Wiley & Sons this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2020-11-09 with Mathematics categories.


Covers the latest developments in direction dependence research Direction Dependence in Statistical Modeling: Methods of Analysis incorporates the latest research for the statistical analysis of hypotheses that are compatible with the causal direction of dependence of variable relations. Having particular application in the fields of neuroscience, clinical psychology, developmental psychology, educational psychology, and epidemiology, direction dependence methods have attracted growing attention due to their potential to help decide which of two competing statistical models is more likely to reflect the correct causal flow. The book covers several topics in-depth, including: A demonstration of the importance of methods for the analysis of direction dependence hypotheses A presentation of the development of methods for direction dependence analysis together with recent novel, unpublished software implementations A review of methods of direction dependence following the copula-based tradition of Sungur and Kim A presentation of extensions of direction dependence methods to the domain of categorical data An overview of algorithms for causal structure learning The book's fourteen chapters include a discussion of the use of custom dialogs and macros in SPSS to make direction dependence analysis accessible to empirical researchers.



Advances In Credit Risk Modeling And Management


Advances In Credit Risk Modeling And Management
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Author : Frédéric Vrins
language : en
Publisher: MDPI
Release Date : 2020-07-01

Advances In Credit Risk Modeling And Management written by Frédéric Vrins and has been published by MDPI this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2020-07-01 with Business & Economics categories.


Credit risk remains one of the major risks faced by most financial and credit institutions. It is deeply connected to the real economy due to the systemic nature of some banks, but also because well-managed lending facilities are key for wealth creation and technological innovation. This book is a collection of innovative papers in the field of credit risk management. Besides the probability of default (PD), the major driver of credit risk is the loss given default (LGD). In spite of its central importance, LGD modeling remains largely unexplored in the academic literature. This book proposes three contributions in the field. Ye & Bellotti exploit a large private dataset featuring non-performing loans to design a beta mixture model. Their model can be used to improve recovery rate forecasts and, therefore, to enhance capital requirement mechanisms. François uses instead the price of defaultable instruments to infer the determinants of market-implied recovery rates and finds that macroeconomic and long-term issuer specific factors are the main determinants of market-implied LGDs. Cheng & Cirillo address the problem of modeling the dependency between PD and LGD using an original, urn-based statistical model. Fadina & Schmidt propose an improvement of intensity-based default models by accounting for ambiguity around both the intensity process and the recovery rate. Another topic deserving more attention is trade credit, which consists of the supplier providing credit facilities to his customers. Whereas this is likely to stimulate exchanges in general, it also magnifies credit risk. This is a difficult problem that remains largely unexplored. Kanapickiene & Spicas propose a simple but yet practical model to assess trade credit risk associated with SMEs and microenterprises operating in Lithuania. Another topical area in credit risk is counterparty risk and all other adjustments (such as liquidity and capital adjustments), known as XVA. Chataignier & Crépey propose a genetic algorithm to compress CVA and to obtain affordable incremental figures. Anagnostou & Kandhai introduce a hidden Markov model to simulate exchange rate scenarios for counterparty risk. Eventually, Boursicot et al. analyzes CoCo bonds, and find that they reduce the total cost of debt, which is positive for shareholders. In a nutshell, all the featured papers contribute to shedding light on various aspects of credit risk management that have, so far, largely remained unexplored.



Advances In Mathematical Modeling For Reliability


Advances In Mathematical Modeling For Reliability
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Author : T. Bedford
language : en
Publisher: IOS Press
Release Date : 2008-05-21

Advances In Mathematical Modeling For Reliability written by T. Bedford and has been published by IOS Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2008-05-21 with Mathematics categories.


Advances in Mathematical Modeling for Reliability discusses fundamental issues on mathematical modeling in reliability theory and its applications. Beginning with an extensive discussion of graphical modeling and Bayesian networks, the focus shifts towards repairable systems: a discussion about how sensitive availability calculations parameter choices, and emulators provide the potential to perform such calculations on complicated systems to a fair degree of accuracy and in a computationally efficient manner. Another issue that is addressed is how competing risks arise in reliability and maintenance analysis through the ways in which data is censored. Mixture failure rate modeling is also a point of discussion, as well as the signature of systems, where the properties of the system through the signature from the probability distributions on the lifetime of the components are distinguished. The last three topics of discussion are relations among aging and stochastic dependence, theoretical advances in modeling, inference and computation, and recent advances in recurrent event modeling and inference.