An Integrated Framework For Energy Economy Emissions Modeling
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An Integrated Framework For Energy Economy Emissions Modeling
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Author : Tejal Kanitkar
language : en
Publisher: Springer
Release Date : 2019-05-27
An Integrated Framework For Energy Economy Emissions Modeling written by Tejal Kanitkar and has been published by Springer this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2019-05-27 with Technology & Engineering categories.
This book combines three different energy-economy-emissions modeling methodologies into one Integrated Modeling Framework (IMF) in an attempt to fill gaps in current modeling research as it applies to developing countries. Through the analysis of existing mathematical models, including large macro-economic models and technology-explicit energy models, the work proposes planning methodologies for developing countries that face challenges on their economy and infrastructure due to climate change. The three modeling methodologies discussed in the chapters are a decomposition analysis of trends in emissions intensity of GDP, linear programming techniques to determine optimum energy supply pathways given various resource and emissions constraints, and an input-output analysis to evaluate the impact of energy policies on income and equity. After a brief introduction to the history of the development of energy studies and the linkages between energy, economic, and environmental systems, the book delves into the component methodologies of the IMF and their intended outcomes. The decomposition analysis is intended to gauge the energy intensity of GDP and the structural composition of the economy to provide a basis on which scenarios are constructed in the following two methodologies. The linear programs are meant to develop a methodology to determine energy options under a variety of scenarios that capture the technical and economic characteristics of the power sector of developing countries. Lastly, the input-output analysis aims to build a methodology through which energy policy decisions can be understood and quantified to ensure the best possible impacts on developing economies and societies. Those who will be interested in this book include policy makers, academics, and students and professionals working on energy studies and energy-economy modeling.
Integrated Assessment Models Of Climate Change Economics
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Author : Zheng Wang
language : en
Publisher: Springer
Release Date : 2017-03-10
Integrated Assessment Models Of Climate Change Economics written by Zheng Wang and has been published by Springer this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2017-03-10 with Business & Economics categories.
This book describes the principles of integrated assessment models (IAM) for climate change economics and introduces various computable models for different development mechanisms under climate change governance. The authors present several new models they have constructed based on the RICE framework, specifically the MRICES((multi-factor RICE)) and EMRICES models, which incorporate global economic interactions into the RICE framework, and the CINCIA model, which describes technological advances and industrial structure evolution, introducing the mechanism of evolutionary economics. The models discussed in the book help governments and policy-makers tackle climate change and take positive measures on climate governance as well as promote economic and social development to narrow the gaps between countries.
Economy Energy Environment Simulation
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Author : K. Uno
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2005-12-08
Economy Energy Environment Simulation written by K. Uno and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2005-12-08 with Technology & Engineering categories.
In the policy arena, as well as in the academic world, a new challenge is having to deal with the global community. We are increasingly aware that the world is linked through economy–energy–environment interactions. We are increasingly aware, at the same time, that the emergence of the global community does not imply an integrated harmonious world; rather, it is a community where co- tries/regions of different interests and values face each other directly. Global governance has to be achieved through actions of national governments under different motives and constraints. We need to have an analytical tool that is capable of producing a global picture, yet with detailed country resolution. If the world is a better place now compared to 100 years ago in terms of p- capita income, this is due to the industrialization that continued throughout the 20th century. We entered the 21st century knowing that the human aspiration that translates into ever-increasing production may not be tenable in the long run. Sustainability of the global community is at stake. In contrast to inc- mental decision making through the market mechanism that should lead to some optimal state under some assumptions such as perfect knowledge, smooth movement of resources, no externalities, and so forth, we need to have an a- lytical tool to provide us with details of the future state of the world.
Informing Energy And Climate Policies Using Energy Systems Models
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Author : George Giannakidis
language : en
Publisher: Springer
Release Date : 2015-04-06
Informing Energy And Climate Policies Using Energy Systems Models written by George Giannakidis and has been published by Springer this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2015-04-06 with Business & Economics categories.
This book highlights how energy-system models are used to underpin and support energy and climate mitigation policy decisions at national, multi-country and global levels. It brings together, for the first time in one volume, a range of methodological approaches and case studies of good modeling practice on a national and international scale from the IEA-ETSAP energy technology initiative. It provides insights for the reader into the rich and varied applications of energy-system models and the underlying methodologies and policy questions they can address. The book demonstrates how these models are used to answer complex policy questions, including those relating to energy security, climate change mitigation and the optimal allocation of energy resources. It will appeal to energy engineers and technology specialists looking for a rationale for innovation in the field of energy technologies and insights into their evolving costs and benefits. Energy economists will gain an understanding of the key future role of energy technologies and policy makers will learn how energy-system modeling teams can provide unique perspectives on national energy and environment challenges. The book is carefully structured into three parts which focus on i) policy decisions that have been underpinned by energy-system models, ii) specific aspects of supply and end-use sector modeling, including technology learning and behavior and iii) how additional insights can be gained from linking energy-system models with other models. The chapters elucidate key methodological features backed up with concrete applications. The book demonstrates the high degree of flexibility of the modeling tools used to represent extremely different energy systems, from national to global levels.
An Integrated Energy Economic Interaction Model With Application To Egypt
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Author : Yassin Yehia Rady
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2019
An Integrated Energy Economic Interaction Model With Application To Egypt written by Yassin Yehia Rady and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2019 with Energy policy categories.
Abstract: Traditional bottom-up energy models have been widely applied to date to assess the impact of the future energy technologies over a specific time horizon, quantifying the direct economic and environmental implications caused by the evolution of the energy sector. However, such approaches ignore the interactions that the energy sector has with other sectors in the economy, hence failing in quantifying the global impact associated with their technologies: this may produce an unfortunate bias in the definition of future energy and environmental policies. The present study assesses, on a nationwide economy scale, the economic and environmental impacts due to the optimal future power generation mix in Egypt, by soft-linking a bottom-up, technology-rich model (OSeMOSYS) with a top-down Input-Output Analysis model (IOA, based on the EORA 26 dataset). Based on the OSeMOSYS energy modeling framework, the OSeMOSYS-Egypt model is developed. The least cost power generation mix is determined for two different electricity demand forecasts, based on both the New Policies demand forecast scenario developed by International Energy Agency and the market research performed by Business Monitor International. The robustness of the obtained results is assessed through a sensitivity analysis on the main exogenous parameters, including costs, efficiency and production targets of energy technologies, capital discount rate, water and natural gas resources availability. The evolution of the Egyptian power sector in years 2018 to 2040 is analyzed: results of the bottom-up energy model are adopted as exogenous parameters to the top-down multi-sector model, as a way of coupling the two aforementioned models. It is revealed that Combined Cycles, Wind, and Photovoltaic rooftop systems are viable technologies that should be considered in the future Egypt's power generation mix. In particular, among Egypt's abundant renewable energy resources, it is shown that wind power technology comes first in achieving the proposed target on renewables penetration in the country's generation mix, and it might be a feasible alternative to replace part of the natural gas share. To increase the accuracy of the analysis, the original OSeMOSYS framework has been enhanced by imposing the discount rate on capital investments for the energy technologies, as a time dependent exogenous variable; in developing countries in general and in Egypt in particular, discount rates have been known to fluctuate widely. The derived power generation mix, predicted by the bottom-up model, has been applied to the IOA model in the form of a change in energy technology mix and a change in final demand of electricity. To account for the growth in the national GDP during the temporal planning horizon, an econometric function that relates the growth in GDP to increase in the production of electricity is formulated. Besides the results of the energy model, this approach enables the decision maker to assess the expected primary energy requirements, GHG emissions and water use induced by the evolution of the energy mix in a broader perspective. It is worth to note that, the results of the bottom-up energy optimization model indicates that the anticipated increase in the penetration of renewables in the power generation mix, would decrease the primary non-renewable energy consumption and GHG emissions directly caused by the power generation sector over the considered temporal planning horizon (2018-2040). However, the application of the IOA model reveals that decarbonizing the power sector alone is not sufficient in achieving neither, the decoupling of the GDP growth and the total primary energy consumption, nor the GHG emissions within the Egyptian economy.
Understanding Risks And Uncertainties In Energy And Climate Policy
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Author : Haris Doukas
language : en
Publisher: Springer
Release Date : 2018-12-10
Understanding Risks And Uncertainties In Energy And Climate Policy written by Haris Doukas and has been published by Springer this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2018-12-10 with Business & Economics categories.
This open access book analyzes and seeks to consolidate the use of robust quantitative tools and qualitative methods for the design and assessment of energy and climate policies. In particular, it examines energy and climate policy performance and associated risks, as well as public acceptance and portfolio analysis in climate policy, and presents methods for evaluating the costs and benefits of flexible policy implementation as well as new framings for business and market actors. In turn, it discusses the development of alternative policy pathways and the identification of optimal switching points, drawing on concrete examples to do so. Lastly, it discusses climate change mitigation policies’ implications for the agricultural, food, building, transportation, service and manufacturing sectors.
Energy Policy Modeling In The 21st Century
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Author : Hassan Qudrat-Ullah
language : en
Publisher: Springer
Release Date : 2013-10-04
Energy Policy Modeling In The 21st Century written by Hassan Qudrat-Ullah and has been published by Springer this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2013-10-04 with Business & Economics categories.
The roles and applications of various modeling approaches, aimed at improving the usefulness of energy policy models in public decision making, are covered by this book. The development, validation, and applications of system dynamics and agent-based models in service of energy policy design and assessment in the 21st century is a key focus. A number of modeling approaches and models for energy policy, with a particular focus on low-carbon economic development of regions and states are covered. Chapters on system dynamics methodology, model-based theory, fuzzy system dynamics frame-work, and optimization modeling approach are presented, along with several chapters on future research opportunities for the energy policy modeling community. The use of model-based analysis and scenarios in energy policy design and assessment has seen phenomenal growth during the past several decades. In recent years, renewed concerns about climate change and energy security have posed unique modeling challenges. By utilizing the validation techniques and procedures which are effectively demonstrated in these contributions, researchers and practitioners in energy systems domain can increase the appeal and acceptance of their policy models.
Energy And Environmental Policy Modeling
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Author : John Weyant
language : en
Publisher: American Mathematical Soc.
Release Date : 1998-12-31
Energy And Environmental Policy Modeling written by John Weyant and has been published by American Mathematical Soc. this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1998-12-31 with Business & Economics categories.
The primary objective of Energy and Environmental Policy Modeling is to introduce a variety of recent energy-environmental modeling concepts, and to provide an overview of these modeling concepts. Another major objective of the book is the application of management science techniques to energy and environment policy issues which have expanded dramatically over the last twenty-five years: the results from these applications have become increasingly relied upon by those making energy and environmental decisions. Thus, an overview of some of the most interesting work in this field on some of the biggest contemporary policy issues is a worthy objective. In this respect, policy issues are discussed in the following conceptual modeling frameworks: end-use modeling, integrating supply and demand, aggregate energy-economy interactions, and multi-sector energy-economy interactions. Hence the book begins with policy studies. First there is a chapter on oil resource depletion and technological change by John Rowse. Two articles on electric sector restructuring follow, by William Hogan and Hung-po Chao/Stephen Peck. The first section is followed by four chapters motivated by the debate over appropriate climate change policies: one by Richard Richels, Jae Edmonds, Howard Gruenspecht, and Tom Wigley on the implications of different carbon emission trajectories; one by Stephen Peck and Thomas Telsberg on appropriate emissions trajectories under uncertainty; one by Susan Swinehart on the potential of tree planting as a climate policy response; and one by Gunter Stephan on inter-generational discounting. Finally, the book ends with a chapter by Tom Rutherford on the sequence of linear complimentarity problem technique for solving general equilibrium problems, and one on the International Energy Network by Leo Schrattenholzer, an institution managed jointly by Schrattenholzer and Alan Manne. The work of Professor Alan Manne is heavily referenced in every chapter of this book.
Regional Dynamic Simulation Modeling And Analysis Of Integrated Energy Futures
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Author :
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2002
Regional Dynamic Simulation Modeling And Analysis Of Integrated Energy Futures written by and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2002 with categories.
The Global Energy Futures Model (GEFM) is a demand-based, gross domestic product (GDP)-driven, dynamic simulation tool that provides an integrated framework to model key aspects of energy, nuclear-materials storage and disposition, environmental effluents from fossil and non fossil energy and global nuclear-materials management. Based entirely on public source data, it links oil, natural gas, coal, nuclear and renewable energy dynamically to greenhouse-gas emissions and 12 other measures of environmental impact. It includes historical data from 1990 to 2000, is benchmarked to the DOE/EIA/IEO 2001 [5] Reference Case for 2000 to 2020, and extrapolates energy demand through the year 2050. The GEFM is globally integrated, and breaks out five regions of the world: United States of America (USA), the Peoples Republic of China (China), the former Soviet Union (FSU), the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) nations excluding the USA (other industrialized countries), and the rest of the world (ROW) (essentially the developing world). The GEFM allows the user to examine a very wide range of ''what if'' scenarios through 2050 and to view the potential effects across widely dispersed, but interrelated areas. The authors believe that this high-level learning tool will help to stimulate public policy debate on energy, environment, economic and national security issues.
Energy And Environment
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Author : Richard Loulou
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2005-12-05
Energy And Environment written by Richard Loulou and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2005-12-05 with Science categories.
This new work on energy and environmental modeling describes a broad variety of modeling methodologies, embodied in models of varying scopes and philosophies. Examples range from top-down integrated assessment models to bottom-up partial equilibrium models, to hybrid models.