Are Credit Default Swaps Spreads High In Emerging Markets
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Are Credit Default Swaps Spreads High In Emerging Markets
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Author : Mr.Manmohan Singh
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2003-12-01
Are Credit Default Swaps Spreads High In Emerging Markets written by Mr.Manmohan Singh and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2003-12-01 with Business & Economics categories.
In times of distress when a country loses access to markets, there is evidence that credit default swap (CDS) spreads are a leading indicator for sovereign risk than the EMBI+ sub-index for the country. However, it is not easy to discern the variables that determine the level of CDS spreads in Emerging Markets (EM); traders only quote the CDS spreads and not the inputs that are required to calculate such spreads. This note provides some evidence from Argentina and Brazil that reveals inconsistency between theory and practice in pricing CDS spreads in EM. This note suggests an alternate methodology that links CTD (cheapest-to-deliver) bonds to recovery values assumed in CDS contracts. Furthermore, special features that pertain to CDS contracts (repo specialness, short squeezes by central banks) may also magnify the financial distress of a sovereign.
Are Credit Default Swap Spreads High In Emerging Markets An Alternative Methodology For Proxying Recovery Value
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Author : Manmohan Singh
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2006
Are Credit Default Swap Spreads High In Emerging Markets An Alternative Methodology For Proxying Recovery Value written by Manmohan Singh and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2006 with categories.
In times of distress when a country loses access to markets, there is evidence that credit default swap (CDS) spreads are a leading indicator for sovereign risk than the EMBI+ sub-index for the country. However, it is not easy to discern the variables that determine the level of CDS spreads in Emerging Markets (EM); traders only quote the CDS spreads and not the inputs that are required to calculate such spreads. This note provides some evidence from Argentina and Brazil that reveals inconsistency between theory and practice in pricing CDS spreads in EM. This note suggests an alternate methodology that links CTD (cheapest-to-deliver) bonds to recovery values assumed in CDS contracts. Furthermore, special features that pertain to CDS contracts (repo specialness, short squeezes by central banks) may also magnify the financial distress of a sovereign.
Overpricing In Emerging Market Credit Default Swap Contracts
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Author : Manmohan Singh
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2005
Overpricing In Emerging Market Credit Default Swap Contracts written by Manmohan Singh and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2005 with Credit derivatives categories.
Since recent debt restructurings that constitute credit events have been more frequent than outright defaults, sovereign bond prices may not collapse during distress. In this case, the likely high recovery values after restructuring suggest that the cost of credit-default-swap (CDS) contracts to the buyer (as measured by CDS spreads) may be higher than warranted. We estimate the extent of such overpricing by using the cheapest-to-deliver (CTD) bond as a proxy for the recovery-value assumption.
Equity Prices Credit Default Swaps And Bond Spreads In Emerging Markets
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Author : Jorge A. Chan-Lau
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2004
Equity Prices Credit Default Swaps And Bond Spreads In Emerging Markets written by Jorge A. Chan-Lau and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2004 with Bonds categories.
Inside The Emerging Markets Risky Spreads And Credit Default Swap Sovereign Bonds Basis
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Author : Vilimir Yordanov
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2018
Inside The Emerging Markets Risky Spreads And Credit Default Swap Sovereign Bonds Basis written by Vilimir Yordanov and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2018 with categories.
The paper considers a no-arbitrage setting for pricing and relative value analysis of risky sovereign bonds. The typical case of an emerging market country (EM) that has bonds outstanding both in foreign hard currency (Eurobonds) and local soft currency (treasuries) is inspected. The resulting two yield curves give rise to a credit and currency spread that need further elaboration. We discuss their proper measurement, derive and analyze the necessary no-arbitrage conditions that must hold, and extract and quantify the inherent risk premia. Then we turn attention to the CDS-Bond basis in this multi-curve environment. For EM countries the concept shows certain specifics both in theoretical background and empirical performance. The paper further focuses on analyzing these peculiarities. If the proper measurement of the basis in the standard case of only hard currency debt being issued is still problematic, the situation is much more complicated in a multi-curve setting when a further contingent claim on the sovereign risk in the face of local currency debt curve appears. We investigate the issue and provide relevant theoretical and empirical input.
Credit Default Swap Trading Strategies
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Author : Wolfgang Schöpf
language : en
Publisher: diplom.de
Release Date : 2010-07-23
Credit Default Swap Trading Strategies written by Wolfgang Schöpf and has been published by diplom.de this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2010-07-23 with Business & Economics categories.
Inhaltsangabe:Introduction: Credit default swaps are by far the most often traded credit derivatives and the credit default swap markets have seen tremendous growth over the past two decades. Put simply, a credit default swap is a tradeable contract that provides insurance against the default of a certain debtor. Initially, when the first form of a credit default swap (CDS) was traded in 1991, they were mainly used by commercial banks in order to lay off credit risk to insurance companies. However, focus shifted in the subsequent years as new players entered the market. Hedge funds became big players, money managers and reinsurers entered, and banks started to not only buy protection on their assets but also sell protection in order to diversify their portfolios. All this led to today s CDS market being dominated by investors rather than banks and, as a consequence, CDSs are now structured to meet investors needs instead of those of the banks. Over the same time as this shift to an investor orientated market took place, CDS markets grew at an astonishing rate with notional amount outstanding pretty much doubling every year until peaking in the second half of 2007 at USD 62,173.20 billions. The need to effciently transfer credit risk as well as the increasing standardization of CDS contracts by the International Swaps and Derivatives Association propelled this development. Only in 2008 did the notional amount outstanding in CDSs retract for the first time and come down to USD 31,223.10 billion in the first half of 2009. A partial reason was the full blown financial crisis in which CDSs also played a prominent role. The demise of Lehman Brothers, for example, triggered roughly USD 400 billion in protection payments and American International Group needed to be bailed out in 2008 because it had sold too much CDS protection. Amongst other concerns, these incidents highlight the systemic importance of CDSs. Combined with the phenomenal growth of CDS markets, this makes CDSs a highly relevant component of the current ?nancial environment and a fruitful subject for academic research. Today, just like most other financial instruments, CDSs serve a multitude of purposes spanning hedging, speculation, and arbitrage. The aim of this thesis is to explore these uses further and answer the following research questions: What CDS trading strategies are commonly used and how does a selection of these strategies CDS curve trades including forward CDSs, [...]
Credit Default Swaps
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Author : Marti Subrahmanyam
language : en
Publisher: Now Publishers
Release Date : 2014-12-19
Credit Default Swaps written by Marti Subrahmanyam and has been published by Now Publishers this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2014-12-19 with Business & Economics categories.
Credit Default Swaps: A Survey is the most comprehensive review of all major research domains involving credit default swaps (CDS). CDS have been growing in importance in the global financial markets. However, their role has been hotly debated, in industry and academia, particularly since the credit crisis of 2007-2009. The authors review the extant literature on CDS that has accumulated over the past two decades and divide the survey into seven topics after providing a broad overview in the introduction. The second section traces the historical development of CDS markets and provides an introduction to CDS contract definitions and conventions. The third section discusses the pricing of CDS, from the perspective of no-arbitrage principles, structural, and reduced-form credit risk models. It also summarizes the literature on the determinants of CDS spreads, with a focus on the role of fundamental credit risk factors, liquidity and counterparty risk. The fourth section discusses how the development of the CDS market has affected the characteristics of the bond and equity markets, with an emphasis on market efficiency, price discovery, information flow, and liquidity. Attention is also paid to the CDS-bond basis, the wedge between the pricing of the CDS and its reference bond, and the mispricing between the CDS and the equity market. The fifth section examines the effect of CDS trading on firms' credit and bankruptcy risk, and how it affects corporate financial policy, including bond issuance, capital structure, liquidity management, and corporate governance. The sixth section analyzes how CDS impact the economic incentives of financial intermediaries. The seventh section reviews the growing literature on sovereign CDS and highlights the major differences between the sovereign and corporate CDS markets. The eighth section discusses CDS indices, especially the role of synthetic CDS index products backed by residential mortgage-backed securities during the financial crisis. The authors close with our suggestions for promising future research directions on CDS contracts and markets.
Credit Default Swap
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Author : Gracia S. Ugut
language : en
Publisher: Penerbit NEM
Release Date : 2024-04-15
Credit Default Swap written by Gracia S. Ugut and has been published by Penerbit NEM this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2024-04-15 with Business & Economics categories.
Credit default swaps and credit derivatives in general are one of the many specialized derivatives that are used for the purpose of hedging, speculation and arbitrage. The primary purpose of a credit derivative or the need behind the creation of such a product is to serve as a credit risk transfer mechanism. Credit risk is one of the four broadly classified types of risks (others being operational risk, market risk and liquidity risk) is the possibility of a loss resulting from a borrower’s failure to repay a loan or meet contractual obligations. Credit Default Swaps and Credit Derivatives gained popularity in the pre and during Global Financial Crisis in 2008. It has earned a bad reputation since then as it is perceived as one of the most dangerous financial derivatives. The decline in trading volume of emerging market sovereign CDS in the years since the 2008 global financial crisis, along with the steady rise in volume of emerging-market-bond ETFs, might have contributed to this increase in the relative efficiency of bond-price discovery. Credit-Default Swaps (CDS) were generally a better source of price discovery than spreads computed from bond prices. Credit-Default Swaps (CDS) tended to be a better measure of value compared to spreads computed from bonds, which may have been traded infrequently. However, since the COVID-19 crisis, the cash bond market appears to have made strong inroads as the better source for investors to compare relative value and risk.
Pricing Sovereign Credit Risk Of An Emerging Market
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Author : Gonzalo Camba-Méndez
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2014
Pricing Sovereign Credit Risk Of An Emerging Market written by Gonzalo Camba-Méndez and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2014 with categories.
Pricing Sovereign Credit Risk Of An Emerging Market
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Author :
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2016
Pricing Sovereign Credit Risk Of An Emerging Market written by and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2016 with categories.
We analyze the market assessment of sovereign credit risk in an emerging market using a reduced-form model to price the credit default swap (CDS) spreads thus enabling us to derive values for the probability of default (PD) and loss given default (LGD) from the quotes of sovereign CDS contracts. We compare different specifications of the models allowing for both fixed and time varying LGD, and we use these values to analyze the sovereign credit risk of Polish debt throughout the recent global financial crisis. Our results suggest the presence of a low LGD and a relatively high PD for Poland during the crisis. The highest PD is in the months following the collapse of Lehman Brothers. The derived measures of sovereign risk are strongly linked with the level of public debt and with another measure of PD from a structural model. Correlations between our PD values and the CDS spreads heavily depend on the maturity of the sovereign CDS.