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Booms And Busts In Asset Prices Risk Modeling Bubble Detection And The Role Of Monetary Policy


Booms And Busts In Asset Prices Risk Modeling Bubble Detection And The Role Of Monetary Policy
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Booms And Busts In Asset Prices Risk Modeling Bubble Detection And The Role Of Monetary Policy


Booms And Busts In Asset Prices Risk Modeling Bubble Detection And The Role Of Monetary Policy
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Author : Benjamin Beckers
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2017

Booms And Busts In Asset Prices Risk Modeling Bubble Detection And The Role Of Monetary Policy written by Benjamin Beckers and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2017 with categories.




Monetary Policy And Asset Price Bubbles


Monetary Policy And Asset Price Bubbles
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Author : Andrew Joseph Filardo
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2004

Monetary Policy And Asset Price Bubbles written by Andrew Joseph Filardo and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2004 with Capital assets pricing model categories.




Monetary Policy And Asset Price Bubbles


Monetary Policy And Asset Price Bubbles
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Author : Andrew J. Filardo
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2013

Monetary Policy And Asset Price Bubbles written by Andrew J. Filardo and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2013 with categories.


The issue of monetary policy and asset prices has been receiving much attention not only because it is an interesting topic for macroeconomists but also because central banks have faced daunting challenges from large swings in various types of asset prices. To some extent, the achievement of a low, stable inflation environment has not simultaneously brought about a more stable asset price environment. The record over the past decade, in fact, has raised the prospect of asset price booms and busts as a permanent feature of the monetary policy landscape. This paper lays out a general framework to explore some of the key monetary policy trade-offs presented by asset prices, with particular emphasis on the role of asset price bubbles. The paper first discusses what economists mean by asset price bubbles before putting forward a stylised macroeconomic model in which a monetary authority can influence the behaviour, in only an indirect way, of the path of asset prices. The baseline model suggests that central banks should systematically respond to asset price developments generally and asset price bubbles specifically. Indeed, there are good reasons for the central bank to focus only on asset price bubbles, rather than the fundamental component of asset prices, when calibrating its monetary policy response. This general result does not depend on the volatility of asset prices per se or necessarily on the ability to distinguish fundamental movements in asset prices from asset price bubbles. The paper then introduces a form of uncertainty - intrinsic paradigm uncertainty about the existence of bubbles - to show how policymakers might want to weigh the options of responding or not responding in such an environment. The paper then goes beyond the confines of the model to offer insights about issues such as moral hazard, non-linearities, multivariate bubbles and communication strategies.



Bubbles Booms And Busts


Bubbles Booms And Busts
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Author : Donald Rapp
language : en
Publisher: Springer
Release Date : 2014-11-14

Bubbles Booms And Busts written by Donald Rapp and has been published by Springer this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2014-11-14 with Business & Economics categories.


This book deals at some length with the question: Since there are many more poor than rich, why don’t the poor just tax the rich heavily and reduce the inequality? In the 19th century and the first half of the 20th century, the topic of inequality was discussed widely. Ending or reducing inequality was a prime motivating factor in the emergence of communism and socialism. The book discusses why later in the 20th century, inequality has faded out as an issue. Extensive tables and graphs of data are presented showing the extent of inequality in America, as well as globally. It is shown that a combination of low taxes on capital gains contributed to a series of real estate and stock bubbles that provided great wealth to the top tiers, while real income for average workers stagnated. Improved commercial efficiency due to computers, electronics, the Internet and fast transport allowed production and distribution with fewer workers, just as the advent of electrification, mechanization, production lines, vehicles and trains in the 1920s and 1930s produced the same stagnating effect.



Boom And Bust


Boom And Bust
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Author : William Quinn
language : en
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Release Date : 2020-08-06

Boom And Bust written by William Quinn and has been published by Cambridge University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2020-08-06 with Business & Economics categories.


Why do stock and housing markets sometimes experience amazing booms followed by massive busts and why is this happening more and more frequently? Boom and Bust reveals why bubbles happen, and why some bubbles have catastrophic economic, social and political consequences, whilst others have actually benefited society.



Asset Price Bubbles


Asset Price Bubbles
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Author : William Curt Hunter
language : en
Publisher: MIT Press
Release Date : 2005

Asset Price Bubbles written by William Curt Hunter and has been published by MIT Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2005 with Business & Economics categories.


A study of asset price bubbles and the implications for preventing financial instability.



Financial Crises Explanations Types And Implications


Financial Crises Explanations Types And Implications
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Author : Mr.Stijn Claessens
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2013-01-30

Financial Crises Explanations Types And Implications written by Mr.Stijn Claessens and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2013-01-30 with Business & Economics categories.


This paper reviews the literature on financial crises focusing on three specific aspects. First, what are the main factors explaining financial crises? Since many theories on the sources of financial crises highlight the importance of sharp fluctuations in asset and credit markets, the paper briefly reviews theoretical and empirical studies on developments in these markets around financial crises. Second, what are the major types of financial crises? The paper focuses on the main theoretical and empirical explanations of four types of financial crises—currency crises, sudden stops, debt crises, and banking crises—and presents a survey of the literature that attempts to identify these episodes. Third, what are the real and financial sector implications of crises? The paper briefly reviews the short- and medium-run implications of crises for the real economy and financial sector. It concludes with a summary of the main lessons from the literature and future research directions.



Asset Prices And Monetary Policy


Asset Prices And Monetary Policy
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Author : John Y. Campbell
language : en
Publisher: University of Chicago Press
Release Date : 2008-11-15

Asset Prices And Monetary Policy written by John Y. Campbell and has been published by University of Chicago Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2008-11-15 with Business & Economics categories.


Economic growth, low inflation, and financial stability are among the most important goals of policy makers, and central banks such as the Federal Reserve are key institutions for achieving these goals. In Asset Prices and Monetary Policy, leading scholars and practitioners probe the interaction of central banks, asset markets, and the general economy to forge a new understanding of the challenges facing policy makers as they manage an increasingly complex economic system. The contributors examine how central bankers determine their policy prescriptions with reference to the fluctuating housing market, the balance of debt and credit, changing beliefs of investors, the level of commodity prices, and other factors. At a time when the public has never been more involved in stocks, retirement funds, and real estate investment, this insightful book will be useful to all those concerned with the current state of the economy.



The Housing Boom And Bust


The Housing Boom And Bust
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Author : Thomas Sowell
language : en
Publisher: Hachette UK
Release Date : 2010-02-23

The Housing Boom And Bust written by Thomas Sowell and has been published by Hachette UK this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2010-02-23 with Business & Economics categories.


This is a plain-English explanation of how we got into the current economic disaster that developed out of the economics and politics of the housing boom and bust. The "creative" financing of home mortgages and the even more "creative" marketing of financial securities based on American mortgages to countries around the world, are part of the story of how a financial house of cards was built up -- and then suddenly collapsed. The politics behind all this is another story full of strange twists. No punches are pulled when discussing politicians of either party, the financial dangers they created, or the distractions they created later to escape their own responsibility for what happened when the financial house of cards in the financial markets collapsed. What to do, now that we are in the midst of an economic disaster, is yet another story -- one whose ending we do not yet know, but one whose outlines and implications are explored to reveal some surprising and sobering lessons.



Capital Flows At Risk Taming The Ebbs And Flows


Capital Flows At Risk Taming The Ebbs And Flows
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Author : Mr.R. G Gelos
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2019-12-20

Capital Flows At Risk Taming The Ebbs And Flows written by Mr.R. G Gelos and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2019-12-20 with Business & Economics categories.


The volatility of capital flows to emerging markets continues to pose challenges to policymakers. In this paper, we propose a new framework to answer critical policy questions: What policies and policy frameworks are most effective in dampening sharp capital flow movements in response to global shocks? What are the near- versus medium-term trade-offs of different policies? We tackle these questions using a quantile regression framework to predict the entire future probability distribution of capital flows to emerging markets, based on current domestic structural characteristics, policies, and global financial conditions. This new approach allows policymakers to quantify capital flows risks and evaluate policy tools to mitigate them, thus building the foundation of a risk management framework for capital flows.