Challenges For The Volatility Forecasts Of The Us Fossil Energy Spot Markets Under The Covid 19 Crisis
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Challenges For The Volatility Forecasts Of The Us Fossil Energy Spot Markets Under The Covid 19 Crisis
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Author : Zepei Li
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2023
Challenges For The Volatility Forecasts Of The Us Fossil Energy Spot Markets Under The Covid 19 Crisis written by Zepei Li and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2023 with categories.
The outbreak of the Covid-19 pandemic has led to a slowdown in the world's energy trade and changes in the use of energy resources. Meanwhile, global conditions are confused and can affect fossil energy spot markets, including crude oil, gasoline, heating oil, and natural gas. In this paper, for the purpose of exploring the impact of global conditions on fossil energy spot markets during the Covid-19 crisis, we conduct comparative research from a forecasting perspective. We employ a sample of the 2010-2022 range and cut off the sample to investigate the differences before and after Covid-19. Based on the GARCH-MDIAS framework, in-sample estimation shows that all global indicators are significant for forecasting the volatilities of these fossil energy spot prices. Out-sample forecasts reveal that the predictive powers of these global indicators are different. In particular, we can conclude that these global indicators may provide different forecasting information during the pre- and post-Covid-19 periods. Hence, this paper seems to be helpful for decision-makers to formulate and adjust pertinent policies and investments in the case of extreme emergencies in the future.
Managing Climate Risk In The U S Financial System
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Author : Leonardo Martinez-Diaz
language : en
Publisher: U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission
Release Date : 2020-09-09
Managing Climate Risk In The U S Financial System written by Leonardo Martinez-Diaz and has been published by U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2020-09-09 with Science categories.
This publication serves as a roadmap for exploring and managing climate risk in the U.S. financial system. It is the first major climate publication by a U.S. financial regulator. The central message is that U.S. financial regulators must recognize that climate change poses serious emerging risks to the U.S. financial system, and they should move urgently and decisively to measure, understand, and address these risks. Achieving this goal calls for strengthening regulators’ capabilities, expertise, and data and tools to better monitor, analyze, and quantify climate risks. It calls for working closely with the private sector to ensure that financial institutions and market participants do the same. And it calls for policy and regulatory choices that are flexible, open-ended, and adaptable to new information about climate change and its risks, based on close and iterative dialogue with the private sector. At the same time, the financial community should not simply be reactive—it should provide solutions. Regulators should recognize that the financial system can itself be a catalyst for investments that accelerate economic resilience and the transition to a net-zero emissions economy. Financial innovations, in the form of new financial products, services, and technologies, can help the U.S. economy better manage climate risk and help channel more capital into technologies essential for the transition. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.5247742
Global Trends 2040
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Author : National Intelligence Council
language : en
Publisher: Cosimo Reports
Release Date : 2021-03
Global Trends 2040 written by National Intelligence Council and has been published by Cosimo Reports this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2021-03 with categories.
"The ongoing COVID-19 pandemic marks the most significant, singular global disruption since World War II, with health, economic, political, and security implications that will ripple for years to come." -Global Trends 2040 (2021) Global Trends 2040-A More Contested World (2021), released by the US National Intelligence Council, is the latest report in its series of reports starting in 1997 about megatrends and the world's future. This report, strongly influenced by the COVID-19 pandemic, paints a bleak picture of the future and describes a contested, fragmented and turbulent world. It specifically discusses the four main trends that will shape tomorrow's world: - Demographics-by 2040, 1.4 billion people will be added mostly in Africa and South Asia. - Economics-increased government debt and concentrated economic power will escalate problems for the poor and middleclass. - Climate-a hotter world will increase water, food, and health insecurity. - Technology-the emergence of new technologies could both solve and cause problems for human life. Students of trends, policymakers, entrepreneurs, academics, journalists and anyone eager for a glimpse into the next decades, will find this report, with colored graphs, essential reading.
Integrating Renewables In Electricity Markets
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Author : Juan M. Morales
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2013-12-03
Integrating Renewables In Electricity Markets written by Juan M. Morales and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2013-12-03 with Business & Economics categories.
This addition to the ISOR series addresses the analytics of the operations of electric energy systems with increasing penetration of stochastic renewable production facilities, such as wind- and solar-based generation units. As stochastic renewable production units become ubiquitous throughout electric energy systems, an increasing level of flexible backup provided by non-stochastic units and other system agents is needed if supply security and quality are to be maintained. Within the context above, this book provides up-to-date analytical tools to address challenging operational problems such as: • The modeling and forecasting of stochastic renewable power production. • The characterization of the impact of renewable production on market outcomes. • The clearing of electricity markets with high penetration of stochastic renewable units. • The development of mechanisms to counteract the variability and unpredictability of stochastic renewable units so that supply security is not at risk. • The trading of the electric energy produced by stochastic renewable producers. • The association of a number of electricity production facilities, stochastic and others, to increase their competitive edge in the electricity market. • The development of procedures to enable demand response and to facilitate the integration of stochastic renewable units. This book is written in a modular and tutorial manner and includes many illustrative examples to facilitate its comprehension. It is intended for advanced undergraduate and graduate students in the fields of electric energy systems, applied mathematics and economics. Practitioners in the electric energy sector will benefit as well from the concepts and techniques explained in this book.
Multivariate T Distributions And Their Applications
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Author : Samuel Kotz
language : en
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Release Date : 2004-02-16
Multivariate T Distributions And Their Applications written by Samuel Kotz and has been published by Cambridge University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2004-02-16 with Mathematics categories.
Almost all the results available in the literature on multivariate t-distributions published in the last 50 years are now collected together in this comprehensive reference. Because these distributions are becoming more prominent in many applications, this book is a must for any serious researcher or consultant working in multivariate analysis and statistical distributions. Much of this material has never before appeared in book form. The first part of the book emphasizes theoretical results of a probabilistic nature. In the second part of the book, these are supplemented by a variety of statistical aspects. Various generalizations and applications are dealt with in the final chapters. The material on estimation and regression models is of special value for practitioners in statistics and economics. A comprehensive bibliography of over 350 references is included.
Key World Energy Statistics
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Author : Agencia Internacional de la Energía
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2004
Key World Energy Statistics written by Agencia Internacional de la Energía and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2004 with Energy consumption categories.
Global Energy Agenda
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Author : Randolph Bell
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2021-01-19
Global Energy Agenda written by Randolph Bell and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2021-01-19 with categories.
Petroleum Supply Monthly
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Author :
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1982-03
Petroleum Supply Monthly written by and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1982-03 with Gasoline supply categories.
China S Energy Revolution In The Context Of The Global Energy Transition
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Author : Shell International B.V.
language : en
Publisher: Springer Nature
Release Date : 2020-05-29
China S Energy Revolution In The Context Of The Global Energy Transition written by Shell International B.V. and has been published by Springer Nature this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2020-05-29 with Science categories.
This open access book is an encyclopaedic analysis of the current and future energy system of the world’s most populous country and second biggest economy. What happens in China impacts the planet. In the past 40 years China has achieved one of the most remarkable economic growth rates in history. Its GDP has risen by a factor of 65, enabling 850,000 people to rise out of poverty. Growth on this scale comes with consequences. China is the world’s biggest consumer of primary energy and the world’s biggest emitter of CO2 emissions. Creating a prosperous and harmonious society that delivers economic growth and a high quality of life for all will require radical change in the energy sector, and a rewiring of the economy more widely. In China’s Energy Revolution in the Context of the Global Energy Transition, a team of researchers from the Development Research Center of the State Council of China and Shell International examine how China can revolutionise its supply and use of energy. They examine the entire energy system: coal, oil, gas, nuclear, renewables and new energies in production, conversion, distribution and consumption. They compare China with case studies and lessons learned in other countries. They ask which technology, policy and market mechanisms are required to support the change and they explore how international cooperation can smooth the way to an energy revolution in China and across the world. And, they create and compare scenarios on possible pathways to a future energy system that is low-carbon, affordable, secure and reliable.
Policy Advice To Asia In The Covid 19 Era
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Author : Changyong Rhee
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2021-03-05
Policy Advice To Asia In The Covid 19 Era written by Changyong Rhee and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2021-03-05 with Health & Fitness categories.
The Asia-Pacific region was the first to be hit by the COVID-19 pandemic; it put a strain on its people and economies, and policymaking became exceptionally difficult. This departmental paper contains the assessment of the key challenges facing Asia at this critical juncture and policy advice to the region both to address the current challenges and to build the foundations for a more sustainable and inclusive future. The paper focuses on (1) adjusting to the COVID-19 shock, (2) using unconventional policies when policy space is limited, (3) dealing with debt, and (4) helping the vulnerable and greening the recovery. The paper first presents the different ways countries are adjusting to the COVID-19 shock.
