Combining Time Series Analysis And Multi Criteria Decision Making Techniques For Forecasting Financial Performance Of Banks In Turkey
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Combining Time Series Analysis And Multi Criteria Decision Making Techniques For Forecasting Financial Performance Of Banks In Turkey
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Author : Emrah Önder
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2018
Combining Time Series Analysis And Multi Criteria Decision Making Techniques For Forecasting Financial Performance Of Banks In Turkey written by Emrah Önder and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2018 with categories.
Forecasting plays a major role in financial planning and it is an essential analytical tool in banks' strategies. In recent years, researchers are developing new techniques for estimation. Financial performance evaluation of banks is a kind of multi-criteria decision making (MCDM) problem which has developed rapidly. It is very important for a firm to monitor a wide range of performance indicators in order to ensure that appropriate and timely decisions and plans can be made. Suitable performance measures can ensure that managers adopt a long-term perspective and allocate the company's resources to the most effective activities. The aim of this study is to evaluate the financial performance model of Turkish Banks during 2012-2015 using forecasting (based on 2002-2011 data) methods and multi criteria decision techniques. As forecasting analysis tools, classical time series methods such as moving averages, exponential smoothing, Brown's single parameter linear exponential smoothing, Brown's second-order exponential smoothing, Holt's two parameter linear exponential smoothing and decomposition methods applied to financial ratios data. After forecasting techniques Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP) and Technique for Order Preference by Similarity to Ideal Solution (TOPSIS) methodologies are used for the outranking of banks. This model is applied to a case study for the financial performance evaluation of 3 state banks (Ziraat Bank, Halk Bank and Vakıflar Bank); 9 private banks (Akbank; Anadolubank; Sekerbank; Tekstil Bank; Turkish Bank; Turk Ekonomi Bank; Garanti Bank; Is Bank and Yapı Kredi Bank) and 5 foreign banks (Denizbank; Eurobank Tekfen; Finans Bank; HSBC Bank and ING Bank) in Turkey. Financial performances of a bank is divided into ten groups including Capital Ratios, Balance Sheet Ratios, Assets Quality, Liquidity, Profitability, Income-Expenditure Structure, Share in Sector, Share in Group, Branch Ratios and Activity Ratios as described by the Banks Association of Turkey.
Shifting Economic Financial And Banking Paradigm
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Author : Samsul Ariffin Abdul Karim
language : en
Publisher: Springer Nature
Release Date : 2021-08-13
Shifting Economic Financial And Banking Paradigm written by Samsul Ariffin Abdul Karim and has been published by Springer Nature this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2021-08-13 with Computers categories.
This book presents the main ideas on shifting the economy, finance, and banking sectors among ASEAN countries into a new paradigm. Since the economy and finance, as well as the banking sector in the ASEAN region, have been growing years by years, there is the need for the policymakers and relevant agencies to study the ideas on shifting the ASEAN economy, finance, and banking towards globalization through a new paradigm. Furthermore, the recent COVID-19 pandemic has affected not just human lives but also the economic and financial sectors. Because of COVID-19, most countries around the world have imposed lockdown and moving control order (MCO) as well as conditionally moving control order (CMCO). In this book, we tackle the main ideas on shifting the economy, finance, and banking sectors among ASEAN countries into a new paradigm. The researchers used econometric, mathematics, statistics, and quantitative sciences to study many economic, finance, and banking issues such as cryptocurrency, consumer preferences, and good governance. This book presents various new and novel results, methods, and algorithms. The findings of this book shall benefit the ASEAN policymakers, investors, and other relevant agencies. This book is also suitable for postgraduate students, researchers, and other scientists who work in econometric, finance, banking, and numerical simulation.
Performance Evaluation Of Turkish Banks Using Analytical Hierarchy Process And Topsis Methods
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Author : Emrah Önder
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2014
Performance Evaluation Of Turkish Banks Using Analytical Hierarchy Process And Topsis Methods written by Emrah Önder and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2014 with categories.
Financial performance evaluation of banks is a kind of multi-criteria decision making (MCDM) problem which has developed rapidly. It is very important for a firm to monitor a wide range of performance indicators in order to ensure that appropriate and timely decisions and plans can be made. Suitable performance measures can ensure that managers adopt a long-term perspective and allocate the company's resources to the most effective activities. The aim of this study is to evaluate the financial performance model of Turkish Banks during 2002-2011 periods. Both Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP) and Technique for Order Preference by Similarity to Ideal Solution (TOPSIS) methodologies are used for the outranking of banks. In this study, subjective and objective opinions of financial actors turn into quantitative form with AHP.
Uncertainty And Challenges In Contemporary Economic Behaviour
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Author : Ercan Özen
language : en
Publisher: Emerald Group Publishing
Release Date : 2020-09-25
Uncertainty And Challenges In Contemporary Economic Behaviour written by Ercan Özen and has been published by Emerald Group Publishing this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2020-09-25 with Business & Economics categories.
Every day presents new challenges as the face of global economics changes. In this first book in the Emerald Studies in Finance, Insurance, and Risk Management, expert editors and contributors come together to discuss global response to new uncertainty and challenges.
Springer Handbook Of Engineering Statistics
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Author : Hoang Pham
language : en
Publisher: Springer Nature
Release Date : 2023-04-20
Springer Handbook Of Engineering Statistics written by Hoang Pham and has been published by Springer Nature this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2023-04-20 with Technology & Engineering categories.
In today’s global and highly competitive environment, continuous improvement in the processes and products of any field of engineering is essential for survival. This book gathers together the full range of statistical techniques required by engineers from all fields. It will assist them to gain sensible statistical feedback on how their processes or products are functioning and to give them realistic predictions of how these could be improved. The handbook will be essential reading for all engineers and engineering-connected managers who are serious about keeping their methods and products at the cutting edge of quality and competitiveness.
Analysis Of Financial Time Series 2nd Ed
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Author : Ruey S. Tsay
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2009-01-01
Analysis Of Financial Time Series 2nd Ed written by Ruey S. Tsay and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2009-01-01 with categories.
Market_Desc: Ideal as a fundamental introduction to time series for MBA students or as a reference for researchers and practitioners in business and finance Special Features: · Timely topics and recent results include: Value at Risk (VaR); high-frequency financial data analysis; MCMC methods; derivative pricing using jump diffusion with closed-form formulas; VaR calculation using extreme value theory based on nonhomogeneous two-dimensional Poisson process; and multivariate volatility models with time-varying correlations.· New topics to this edition include: Finmetrics in S-plus; estimation of stochastic diffusion equations for derivative pricing; use of realized volatilities; state=space model; and Kalman filter.· The second edition also includes new developments in financial econometrics and more examples of applications in finance.· Emphasis is placed on empirical financial data.· Chapter exercises have been increased in an effort to further reinforce the methods and applications in the text. About The Book: This book provides a comprehensive and systematic introduction to current financial econometric models and their applications to modeling and prediction of financial time series data. It utilizes real-world examples and real financial data throughout the book to apply the models and methods described. The author begins with basic characteristics of financial time series data before covering three main topics: analysis and application of univariate financial time series; the return series of multiple assets; and Bayesian inference in finance methods. The overall objective of the book is to provide some knowledge of financial time series, introduce some statistical tools useful for analyzing these series, and gain experience in financial applications of various econometric methods.
Introduction To Financial Forecasting In Investment Analysis
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Author : John B. Guerard, Jr.
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2013-01-04
Introduction To Financial Forecasting In Investment Analysis written by John B. Guerard, Jr. and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2013-01-04 with Business & Economics categories.
Forecasting—the art and science of predicting future outcomes—has become a crucial skill in business and economic analysis. This volume introduces the reader to the tools, methods, and techniques of forecasting, specifically as they apply to financial and investing decisions. With an emphasis on "earnings per share" (eps), the author presents a data-oriented text on financial forecasting, understanding financial data, assessing firm financial strategies (such as share buybacks and R&D spending), creating efficient portfolios, and hedging stock portfolios with financial futures. The opening chapters explain how to understand economic fluctuations and how the stock market leads the general economic trend; introduce the concept of portfolio construction and how movements in the economy influence stock price movements; and introduce the reader to the forecasting process, including exponential smoothing and time series model estimations. Subsequent chapters examine the composite index of leading economic indicators (LEI); review financial statement analysis and mean-variance efficient portfolios; and assess the effectiveness of analysts’ earnings forecasts. Using data from such firms as Intel, General Electric, and Hitachi, Guerard demonstrates how forecasting tools can be applied to understand the business cycle, evaluate market risk, and demonstrate the impact of global stock selection modeling and portfolio construction.
Financial Statement Analysis
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Author : Martin S. Fridson
language : en
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Release Date : 2002-10-01
Financial Statement Analysis written by Martin S. Fridson and has been published by John Wiley & Sons this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2002-10-01 with Business & Economics categories.
Praise for Financial Statement Analysis A Practitioner's Guide Third Edition "This is an illuminating and insightful tour of financial statements, how they can be used to inform, how they can be used to mislead, and how they can be used to analyze the financial health of a company." -Professor Jay O. Light Harvard Business School "Financial Statement Analysis should be required reading for anyone who puts a dime to work in the securities markets or recommends that others do the same." -Jack L. Rivkin Executive Vice President (retired) Citigroup Investments "Fridson and Alvarez provide a valuable practical guide for understanding, interpreting, and critically assessing financial reports put out by firms. Their discussion of profits-'quality of earnings'-is particularly insightful given the recent spate of reporting problems encountered by firms. I highly recommend their book to anyone interested in getting behind the numbers as a means of predicting future profits and stock prices." -Paul Brown Chair-Department of Accounting Leonard N. Stern School of Business, NYU "Let this book assist in financial awareness and transparency and higher standards of reporting, and accountability to all stakeholders." -Patricia A. Small Treasurer Emeritus, University of California Partner, KCM Investment Advisors "This book is a polished gem covering the analysis of financial statements. It is thorough, skeptical and extremely practical in its review." -Daniel J. Fuss Vice Chairman Loomis, Sayles & Company, LP
Understanding Financial Statements
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Author : Lyn M. Fraser
language : en
Publisher: Pearson
Release Date : 2015-01-05
Understanding Financial Statements written by Lyn M. Fraser and has been published by Pearson this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2015-01-05 with Business & Economics categories.
This is the eBook of the printed book and may not include any media, website access codes, or print supplements that may come packaged with the bound book. A supplementary text for a variety of Business courses, including Financial Statement Analysis, Investments, Personal ¿Finance, and Financial Planning and Analysis ¿ An Analytical Approach to Understanding and Interpreting Business Financial Statements ¿ Understanding Financial Statements improves the student’s ability to translate a financial statement into a meaningful map for business decisions. The material covered in each chapter helps students approach financial statements with enhanced confidence and understanding of a firm’s historical, current, and prospective financial condition and performance. The Eleventh Edition includes new case studies based on existing companies and enhanced learning tools to help students quickly grasp and apply the materials. Fraser and Ormiston presents material in an engaging fashion that helps readers make sense of complex financial information, leading to intelligent (and profitable!) decision-making.
Advances In Multicriteria Analysis
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Author : Panos M. Pardalos
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2013-03-14
Advances In Multicriteria Analysis written by Panos M. Pardalos and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2013-03-14 with Business & Economics categories.
As its title implies, Advances in Multicriteria Analysis presents the most recent developments in multicriteria analysis and in some of its principal areas of application, including marketing, research and development evaluation, financial planning, and medicine. Special attention is paid to the interaction between multicriteria analysis, decision support systems and preference modeling. The five sections of the book cover: methodology; problem structuring; utility assessment; multi-objective optimisation; real world applications. Audience: Researchers and professionals who are operations researchers, management scientists, computer scientists, statisticians, decision analysts, marketing managers and financial analysts.