Crisis Deterrence In The Taiwan Strait
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Crisis Deterrence In The Taiwan Strait
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Author : Douglas McCready
language : en
Publisher: Strategic Studies Institute U. S. Army War College
Release Date : 2003
Crisis Deterrence In The Taiwan Strait written by Douglas McCready and has been published by Strategic Studies Institute U. S. Army War College this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2003 with History categories.
For more than 50 years, Taiwan's unresolved international status has been the cause of repeated crises in East Asia. While the parties involved could be willing to live with the status quo, the domestic political transformation of Taiwan has called the status quo into question. China, Taiwan, the United States, and Japan have national interests in how the conflict is resolved, and these interests will be difficult to reconcile. By conventional measures, China cannot gain Taiwan by force before the end of this decade. Chinese leaders believe that, b y using asymmetrical means, they will be able to overcome the military advantage of the United States and Taiwan. While the United States will be able to delay Chinese action against Taiwan, it is unlikely to be successful at long-term deterrence. Deterrence, as used against the Soviet Union during the Cold War, will not be effective with China without significant modification. The cultural divide affects not only deterrence theory, but also how China and the United States understand and communicate with each other. Crisis deterrence in the Taiwan Strait is unlikely to succeed due to conflicting national interests and several crucial mutual misperceptions.
Crisis Deterrence In The Taiwan Strait
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Author :
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2003
Crisis Deterrence In The Taiwan Strait written by and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2003 with categories.
If China Crosses The Taiwan Strait
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Author : Parris H. Chang
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1993
If China Crosses The Taiwan Strait written by Parris H. Chang and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1993 with China categories.
This work is an in-depth study of the threat posed by the Peoples' Republic of China to Taiwan's security and the probable international response in case of a conflict in the Taiwan Strait. Contents: Beijing's Relations with Taiwan, Parris H. Chang; The Use of Military Force Against Taiwan: Potential PRC Scenarios, Paul H.B. Godwin; U.S. Reactions to the PRC Use of Force Against Taiwan, Mark S. Pratt; International Legal Implications of a PRC Use of Military Force Against Taiwan, David J. Scheffer; The International Response, Harvey J. Feldman; Asian Responses to Chinese Pressures on Taiwan, Paul H. Kreisberg; The U.S. and the Changing East Asian Order: Implications for Taiwan's Ability to Deter Possible Threats from the Mainland, Robert G. Sutter; International Reactions and Responses to PRC Uses of Force Against Taiwan, Vernon V. Aspaturian; Principles of Deterrence in the Taiwan Strait, Martin L. Lasater. Co-published with the Center for East Asian Studies.
Deterrence Diplomacy And The Risk Of Conflict Over Taiwan
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Author : Bill Emmott
language : en
Publisher: Taylor & Francis
Release Date : 2024-07-15
Deterrence Diplomacy And The Risk Of Conflict Over Taiwan written by Bill Emmott and has been published by Taylor & Francis this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2024-07-15 with Political Science categories.
Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine confirmed that revived great-power competition has heightened the prospect of global conflict, while restoring the concept of deterrence to centre stage. The stakes in a conflict in East Asia, however, would be even higher than those in Ukraine. A war over Taiwan could bring the United States and China, the world’s two greatest powers, into a direct military conflict which would represent a contest for regional or global leadership and would be likely to draw other powers into the fight. Such a war – in which the nuclear question would be ever-present – can currently be described as ‘possible, avoidable, but potentially catastrophic’. In this Adelphi book, Bill Emmott evaluates the diplomatic and deterrence strategies that countries in and outside the Indo-Pacific region are using to try to reduce the risk of that conflict occurring. This book examines these strategies in the light of the lessons of the Ukraine war and identifies yardsticks with which to gauge their potential effectiveness and sustainability. Our goal, Emmott argues, must be for all sides to regard such a US–China conflict as ‘inevitably catastrophic and therefore inconceivable’.
Pivotal Deterrence And U S Security Policy In The Taiwan Strait
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Author : Charles D. Pasquale
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2007
Pivotal Deterrence And U S Security Policy In The Taiwan Strait written by Charles D. Pasquale and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2007 with Balance of power categories.
Deterrence Theory And Chinese Behavior
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Author : Abram N. Shulsky
language : en
Publisher: Rand Corporation
Release Date : 2000
Deterrence Theory And Chinese Behavior written by Abram N. Shulsky and has been published by Rand Corporation this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2000 with Political Science categories.
China's recent reforms have led to unprecedented economic growth; if this continues, China will be able to turn its great potential power into actual power. The result could be, in the very long term, the rise of China as a rival to the United States as the world's predominant power; in the nearer term, China could become a significant rival in the East Asian region. In this context, the issue for U.S. policy is how to handle a rising power, a problem that predominant powers have faced many times throughout history. It is the contention of this report that the future Sino-U.S. context will illustrate many of the problems of deterrence theory that have been discussed in recent decades; deterrence theory will be, in general, more difficult to apply than it was in the U.S.-Soviet Cold War context. The key may be to seek nonmilitary means of deterrence, i.e., diplomatic ways to manipulate the tension to China's disadvantage.
Taiwan Straits
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Author : Bruce A. Elleman
language : en
Publisher: Rowman & Littlefield
Release Date : 2014-12-16
Taiwan Straits written by Bruce A. Elleman and has been published by Rowman & Littlefield this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2014-12-16 with History categories.
In Taiwan Straits: Crisis in Asia and the Role of the U.S. Navy, historian Bruce Elleman surveys the situation that has led to the current tensions between China and Taiwan. Starting in 1949, the final phase of the civil war in China, which ended with Communist rule of the mainland and nationalist control of Taiwan, this work explores how the 100-mile wide passage of water, known as the Taiwan Strait has served as the geographic flashpoint between the two nations. Even though U.S. Navy destroyers have patrolled this body of water from 1950 to 1979, it has seen four crises—1954-55, 1958, 1962, and, after the withdrawal of the U.S. Navy, 1995-96—that threatened to push Taiwan and China to the brink of war. Notwithstanding the role of the United States in defusing cross-strait tensions for some three decades and the cold peace that has settled in since then, the Taiwan Strait continues to be a major source of anxiety for the region and the world. Taiwan Straits: Crisis in Asia and the Role of the U.S. Navy traces the evolution of this tension between the two nations, details the history of the crises between them, and brings this story forward into the present by considering continuing sources of conflict, present diplomatic efforts by the aggrieved nations, and other key interests—from the United States and Europe to other regional powers—and future possible outcomes in the ongoing struggle between China and Taiwan relations. Simply written and cogently argued, it is the ideal source for military personnel, diplomats, and scholars and student of the modern Far East.
Peaceful Rise Using Chinese Strategic Culture To Shape Flexible Deterrent Options For A Taiwan Strait Conflict
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Author :
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2007
Peaceful Rise Using Chinese Strategic Culture To Shape Flexible Deterrent Options For A Taiwan Strait Conflict written by and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2007 with categories.
An understanding of China's strategic culture can significantly assist the Joint Force Commander (JFC) in planning for and responding to potential conflict in the Taiwan Strait. Flexible Deterrent Options (FDOs) are the JFC's tools to control escalation, with two basic purposes: (1) to resolve a crisis before armed conflict and, if that fails, (2) to position U.S. forces to decisively prevail in the ensuing military action. Strategic culture is best understood as the impact of a unique historical, cultural, and national perspective in shaping a nation's strategic preferences on the use of force. In the case of China, this strategic culture is based on an active defense that includes preemptive action to maintain territorial integrity and defend China's sovereignty. This paper examines the elements of deterrence -- interests, capabilities and resolve -- in terms of how Chinese strategic culture influences potential conflict across the Taiwan Strait. While this paper does not recommend specific FDOs for responding to a potential conflict with the PRC, it does offer conclusions about how the JFC's planning for a Taiwan Strait crisis is strengthened through an understanding of Chinese strategic culture.
A Question Of Time
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Author : Michael Allen Hunzeker
language : en
Publisher: Center for Security Policy Studies
Release Date : 2018-11
A Question Of Time written by Michael Allen Hunzeker and has been published by Center for Security Policy Studies this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2018-11 with Political Science categories.
Taiwan is a flourishing liberal democracy and a key player in the global economy. Yet it is far from secure. China considers it a renegade province and has not renounced its right to use force to resolve the dispute. Taiwan must therefore deter China’s aggression by convincing Chinese leaders that the costs using force against Taiwan will outweigh any possible benefits. In this monograph, a team of researchers from George Mason University and the University of Waterloo suggest a holistic strategy that Taiwan can use to enhance its conventional deterrence posture. Their conclusions are simple but radical: instead of organizing its defenses around a small inventory of conventional jets, ships and tanks, Taiwan should acquire large numbers of cheap, asymmetric weapons. It should also transform its massive reserve command into a territorial defense force trained to wage guerrilla warfare. By threatening to wage a never-ending war of denial against an invader, Taiwan can more credibly impact China’s cost-benefit calculus.
Assessing The Threat
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Author : Michael D. Swaine
language : en
Publisher: Carnegie Endowment for Interna
Release Date : 2007
Assessing The Threat written by Michael D. Swaine and has been published by Carnegie Endowment for Interna this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2007 with Technology & Engineering categories.
Since at least the early 1950s, the entire Asia-Pacific region has struggled with the complicated and complex relationship between China and Taiwan--today the Taiwan question is considered a potential flashpoint for a much larger international conflict. Bringing together experts from the United States and Taiwan, Assessing the Threat provides a comprehensive look at the dangers of military escalation in the Taiwan Strait, the latest advances in capabilities of the People's Liberation Army, and China's security relationship with the United States and the Asia-Pacific. There is increasing concern that Beijing is steadily shifting the balance of power across the Taiwan Strait in its favor. Recent advances in Chinese air and naval power, along with changes in PLA doctrine, have the potential to weaken deterrence and destabilize the cross-strait military balance. At this critical juncture, there is not question that this issue requires sustained, detailed analysis and that many measures can and should be taken to reduce the threat of conflict between China, Taiwan, and the United States. Assessing the threat offers such analysis as well as concrete suggestions and crisis management practices for government and military leaders in Washington, D.C., Beijing, and Taipei.