Dealing In Uncertainty
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Dealing With Uncertainties In Policing Serious Crime
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Author : Gabriele Bammer
language : en
Publisher: ANU E Press
Release Date : 2010-05-01
Dealing With Uncertainties In Policing Serious Crime written by Gabriele Bammer and has been published by ANU E Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2010-05-01 with Social Science categories.
Grappling with uncertainties is at the heart of investigating serious crime. At a time when such crime is becoming more complex and resources are increasingly stretched, this book draws together research and practice perspectives to review fruitful approaches to uncertainties and to chart the way forward. Scene setting chapters describe the consequences of globalisation and the spread of sophisticated information technologies (Sue Wilkinson), as well as advances in understanding and managing uncertainty (Michael Smithson). Ways of enhancing responses from statistics (Robyn Attewell), risk analysis (Richard Jarrett and Mark Westcott) and the psychology of decision making (Mark Kebbell, Damon Muller and Kirsty Martin) follow. These are complemented by insights from law (the Hon. Tim Carmody SC), politics (the Hon. Carmen Lawrence) and business (Neil Fargher), which all have significant intersections with policing. Synthesis is provided by the four final chapters which present the outlooks of the investigating officer and investigation manager (Peter Martin), the provider of policing higher education (Tracey Green and Greg Linsdell), the capacity-building consultant (Steve Longford), and the leader of a law enforcement agency (Alastair Milroy).
Dealing With Uncertainties
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Author : Manfred Drosg
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2007-03-06
Dealing With Uncertainties written by Manfred Drosg and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2007-03-06 with Technology & Engineering categories.
Dealing with Uncertainties proposes and explains a new approach for the analysis of uncertainties. Firstly, it is shown that uncertainties are the consequence of modern science rather than of measurements. Secondly, it stresses the importance of the deductive approach to uncertainties. This perspective has the potential of dealing with the uncertainty of a single data point and of data of a set having differing weights. Both cases cannot be dealt with the inductive approach, which is usually taken. This innovative monograph also fully covers both uncorrelated and correlated uncertainties. The weakness of using statistical weights in regression analysis is discussed. Abundant examples are given for correlation in and between data sets and for the feedback of uncertainties on experiment design.
Managing Uncertainty
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Author : H. Katzan
language : en
Publisher: CRC Press
Release Date : 1992-08-01
Managing Uncertainty written by H. Katzan and has been published by CRC Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1992-08-01 with Business & Economics categories.
A guide to using the computer to come to terms with the risk, insecurity, and ambivalence that are encountered in businesses in a wide range of fields. Matching management techniques with computational equivalents, shows how to use both conflicting and confirming evidence from independent sources to induce, infer, and predict, in ways that will improve decision making. Includes several programs. Annotation copyright by Book News, Inc., Portland, OR
Managing Uncertainties In Networks
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Author : Joop Koppenjan
language : en
Publisher: Routledge
Release Date : 2004-08-02
Managing Uncertainties In Networks written by Joop Koppenjan and has been published by Routledge this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2004-08-02 with Business & Economics categories.
As public and private sector organizations work more frequently in partnership, managing uncertainties, problems and controversies becomes increasingly difficult. Despite sophisticated technology and knowledge, the strategic networks and games required to solve uncertainties becomes more complex and more important than ever before. This unique text examines such developments in the area of network strategy. Differentiating itself from other policy network approaches which mainly have a research focus, this text has a managerial orientation, presenting strategies and management recommendations for public and private sector organizations as well as the analytical tools required by practitioners seeking to support their own internal decision-making and strategy formulation. Tapping into the important and ever-growing area of risk and uncertainty management, this is a vital and long awaited staple for the arena, written by two leading authors in the field, and is key reading for students, scholars and policy makers seeking to understand the complexities of the network society.
How Should We Rationally Deal With Ignorance
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Author : Nadja El Kassar
language : en
Publisher: Taylor & Francis
Release Date : 2024-09-27
How Should We Rationally Deal With Ignorance written by Nadja El Kassar and has been published by Taylor & Francis this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2024-09-27 with Philosophy categories.
This book addresses two questions that are highly relevant for epistemology and for society: What is ignorance and how should we rationally deal with it? It proposes a new way of thinking about ignorance based on contemporary and historical philosophical theories. In the first part of the book, the author shows that epistemological definitions of ignorance are quite heterogeneous and often address different phenomena under the label "ignorance." She then develops an integrated conception of ignorance that recognizes doxastic, attitudinal, and structural constituents of ignorance. Based on this new conception, she carves out suggestions for dealing with ignorance from the history of philosophy that have largely been overlooked: virtue-theoretic approaches based on Aristotle and Socrates, consequentialist approaches derived from James, and deontological approaches based on Locke, Clifford, and Kant. None of these approaches individually provide a satisfying approach to the task of rationally dealing with ignorance, and so the author develops an alternative maxim-based answer that extends Kant’s maxims of the sensus communis to the issue of ignorance. The last part of the book applies this maxim-based answer to different contexts in medicine and democracies. How Should We Rationally Deal with Ignorance? will appeal to scholars and advanced students working in epistemology, political philosophy, feminist philosophy, and the social sciences.
Probabilistic Methods In Geotechnical Engineering
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Author : D. V. Griffiths
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2007-12-14
Probabilistic Methods In Geotechnical Engineering written by D. V. Griffiths and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2007-12-14 with Science categories.
Learn to use probabilistic techniques to solve problems in geotechnical engineering. The book reviews the statistical theories needed to develop the methodologies and interpret the results. Next, the authors explore probabilistic methods of analysis, such as the first order second moment method, the point estimate method, and random set theory. Examples and case histories guide you step by step in applying the techniques to particular problems.
Adapting To An Uncertain Climate
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Author : Tiago Capela Lourenço
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2014-04-14
Adapting To An Uncertain Climate written by Tiago Capela Lourenço and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2014-04-14 with Science categories.
Climate change highlights the challenges for long-term policy making in the face of persistent and irreducible levels of uncertainties. It calls for the development of flexible approaches, innovative governance and other elements that contribute to effective and adaptive decision-making. Exploring these new approaches is also a challenge for those involved in climate research and development of adaptation policy. The book provides a dozen real-life examples of adaptation decision making in the form of case studies: · Water supply management in Portugal, England and Wales and Hungary · Flooding, including flood risk in Ireland, coastal flooding and erosion in Southwest France, and flood management in Australia’s Hutt River region · Transport and utilities, including the Austrian Federal railway system, public transit in Dresden, and Québec hydro-electric power · Report examining communication of large numbers of climate scenarios in Dutch climate adaptation workshops.
Foresight In Action
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Author : Marjolein van Asselt
language : en
Publisher: Routledge
Release Date : 2012-06-25
Foresight In Action written by Marjolein van Asselt and has been published by Routledge this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2012-06-25 with Business & Economics categories.
Assessing the future is vital in informing public policy decisions. One of the most widespread approaches is the development of scenarios, which are alternative hypothetical futures. Research has indicated, however, that the reality of how professionals go about employing scenarios is often starkly at odds with the theory - a finding that has important ramifications for how the resulting images of the future should be interpreted. It also shows the need for rewriting and updating theory. This book, based on an intensive five year study of how experts actually go about assessing the future, provides a groundbreaking examination of foresighting in action. Obtained via ethnographic techniques, the results lay bare for the first time the real processes by which scenarios are made. It is also the first book to examine foresighting for public policy, which is so often overlooked in favour of business practice. From handling of discontinuity to historical determinism, the analysis reveals and explains why foresight is difficult and what the major pitfalls are. Each chapter ends with a toolkit of recommendations for practice. The book aims to help readers to reflect on their own practices of public-oriented foresight and thus to foster a deeper understanding of the key principles and challenges. Ultimately, this will lead to better informed decision making.
Information Liberation Knowledge Discovery In Uncertain Datasets
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Author : Pasquale De Marco
language : en
Publisher: Pasquale De Marco
Release Date : 2025-07-11
Information Liberation Knowledge Discovery In Uncertain Datasets written by Pasquale De Marco and has been published by Pasquale De Marco this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2025-07-11 with Science categories.
In the realm of data mining and knowledge discovery, uncertainty is an ever-present challenge, affecting the accuracy and reliability of extracted insights. Information Liberation: Knowledge Discovery in Uncertain Datasets stands as a comprehensive guide to navigating this complex terrain, empowering readers with the tools and techniques to uncover hidden knowledge from uncertain data. Delving into the depths of data mining techniques, this book unravels the intricacies of supervised and unsupervised learning, reinforcement learning, and ensemble learning algorithms, all tailored to tackle the unique challenges of uncertain data. Moving beyond algorithms, it explores the frontiers of knowledge discovery in uncertain environments, revealing the potential of rough set theory, fuzzy set theory, Bayesian networks, and Dempster-Shafer theory for extracting meaningful insights from data marred by uncertainty. Real-world applications come to life as the book examines the intersection of uncertainty management and data warehousing, shedding light on data warehouse design, query processing and optimization, business intelligence, and data quality management in the presence of uncertainty. Venturing into the realm of complex systems, it unveils the intricacies of uncertainty modeling and propagation, providing a roadmap for understanding and quantifying uncertainty in complex data-driven systems. Statistical methods take center stage, as the book delves into probability theory, statistical inference, hypothesis testing, confidence intervals, regression analysis, forecasting, and time series analysis, adapted to handle the nuances of uncertain data. Soft computing techniques also come into focus, with detailed exploration of neural networks, fuzzy logic, evolutionary computation, and swarm intelligence for uncertain data processing. With a keen eye on the future, the book concludes by examining the emerging trends, challenges, and opportunities in uncertainty management and knowledge discovery, setting the stage for continued advancements in this dynamic field. Information Liberation: Knowledge Discovery in Uncertain Datasets is an invaluable resource for data scientists, researchers, and practitioners seeking to unlock the full potential of uncertain data, transforming it into actionable insights that drive informed decision-making. If you like this book, write a review!
Optimization Techniques For Problem Solving In Uncertainty
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Author : Tilahun, Surafel Luleseged
language : en
Publisher: IGI Global
Release Date : 2018-06-22
Optimization Techniques For Problem Solving In Uncertainty written by Tilahun, Surafel Luleseged and has been published by IGI Global this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2018-06-22 with Computers categories.
When it comes to optimization techniques, in some cases, the available information from real models may not be enough to construct either a probability distribution or a membership function for problem solving. In such cases, there are various theories that can be used to quantify the uncertain aspects. Optimization Techniques for Problem Solving in Uncertainty is a scholarly reference resource that looks at uncertain aspects involved in different disciplines and applications. Featuring coverage on a wide range of topics including uncertain preference, fuzzy multilevel programming, and metaheuristic applications, this book is geared towards engineers, managers, researchers, and post-graduate students seeking emerging research in the field of optimization.