Decision Making In Complex Systems

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Decision Making In Complex Environments

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Author : Dr Jan Noyes
language : en
Publisher: Ashgate Publishing, Ltd.
Release Date : 2012-10-01

Decision Making In Complex Environments written by Dr Jan Noyes and has been published by Ashgate Publishing, Ltd. this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2012-10-01 with Political Science categories.

Many complex systems in civil and military operations are highly automated with the intention of supporting human performance in difficult cognitive tasks. The complex systems can involve teams or individuals working on real-time supervisory control, command or information management tasks where a number of constraints must be satisfied. Decision Making in Complex Environments addresses the role of the human, the technology and the processes in complex socio-technical and technological systems. The aim of the book is to apply a multi-disciplinary perspective to the examination of the human factors in complex decision making. It contains more than 30 contributions on key subjects such as military human factors, team decision making issues, situation awareness, and technology support. In addition to the major application area of military human factors there are chapters on business, medical, governmental and aeronautical decision making. The book provides a unique blend of expertise from psychology, human factors, industry, commercial environments, the military, computer science, organizational psychology and training that should be valuable to academics and practitioners alike.

Management And Intelligent Decision Making In Complex Systems

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Author : Ameer Hamza Khan
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2021

Management And Intelligent Decision Making In Complex Systems written by Ameer Hamza Khan and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2021 with Decision making categories.

In this book, the authors focus on three aspects related to the development of articulated agents: presenting an overview of high-level control algorithms for intelligent decision-making of articulated agents, experimental study of the properties of soft agents as the end-effector of articulated agents, and accurate management of low-level torque-control loop to accurately control the articulated agents. This book summarizes recent advances related to articulated agents. The motive behind the book is to trigger theoretical and practical research studies related to articulated agents.

Successful Decision Making

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Author : Rudolf Grünig
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2005

Successful Decision Making written by Rudolf Grünig and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2005 with Business & Economics categories.

Making decisions is certainly the most important task of a manager and it is often a very difficult one. This book offers a decision making procedurenbsp;for solving complex problems step by step. Unlike other texts, the book focuses on problem analysis, on developing solution options and onnbsp;establishing thenbsp;decision making matrix. The book is intended for decision makers in companies, in non-profit organisations and in public administration. It is an approach to helping them tonbsp;solve complex problems successfully. The book is also addressed to students and to participants in executive courses.

An Introduction To Complex Systems

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Author : Joe Tranquillo
language : en
Publisher: Springer
Release Date : 2019-02-13

An Introduction To Complex Systems written by Joe Tranquillo and has been published by Springer this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2019-02-13 with Science categories.

This book explores the interdisciplinary field of complex systems theory. By the end of the book, readers will be able to understand terminology that is used in complex systems and how they are related to one another; see the patterns of complex systems in practical examples; map current topics, in a variety of fields, to complexity theory; and be able to read more advanced literature in the field. The book begins with basic systems concepts and moves on to how these simple rules can lead to complex behavior. The author then introduces non-linear systems, followed by pattern formation, and networks and information flow in systems. Later chapters cover the thermodynamics of complex systems, dynamical patterns that arise in networks, and how game theory can serve as a framework for decision making. The text is interspersed with both philosophical and quantitative arguments, and each chapter ends with questions and prompts that help readers make more connections. “The text provides a useful overview of complex systems, with enough detail to allow a reader unfamiliar with the topic to understand the basics. The book stands out for its comprehensiveness and approachability. It will be particularly useful as a text for introductory physics courses. Tranquillo’s strength is in delivering a vast amount of information in a succinct manner.... A reader can find information quickly and efficiently—that is, in my opinion, the book’s greatest value.” (Stefani Crabtree, Physics Today)

Think Twice

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Author : Michael J. Mauboussin
language : en
Publisher: Harvard Business Review Press
Release Date : 2012-11-06

Think Twice written by Michael J. Mauboussin and has been published by Harvard Business Review Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2012-11-06 with Business & Economics categories.

No matter your field, industry, or specialty, as a leader you make a series of crucial decisions every single day. And the harsh truth is that the majority of decisions—no matter how good the intentions behind them—are mismanaged, resulting in a huge toll on organizations, the people they employ, and even the people they serve. So why is it so hard to make sound decisions? In Think Twice, now in paperback, Michael Mauboussin argues that we often fall victim to simplified mental routines that prevent us from coping with the complex realities inherent in important judgment calls. Yet these cognitive errors are preventable. In this engaging book, Mauboussin shows us how to recognize and avoid common mental missteps. These include misunderstanding cause-and-effect linkages, not considering enough alternative possibilities in making a decision, and relying too much on experts. Through vivid stories, the author presents memorable rules for avoiding each error and explains how to recognize when you should “think twice”—questioning your reasoning and adopting decision-making strategies that are far more effective, even if they seem counterintuitive. Armed with this awareness, you'll soon begin making sounder judgment calls that benefit (rather than hurt) your organization.

Systemic Decision Making

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Author : Patrick T. Hester
language : en
Publisher: Springer
Release Date : 2017-04-22

Systemic Decision Making written by Patrick T. Hester and has been published by Springer this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2017-04-22 with Technology & Engineering categories.

This expanded second edition of the 2014 textbook features dedicated sections on action and observation, so that the reader can combine the use of the developed theoretical basis with practical guidelines for deployment. It also includes a focus on selection and use of a dedicated modeling paradigm – fuzzy cognitive mapping – to facilitate use of the proposed multi-methodology. The end goal of the text is a holistic, interdisciplinary approach to structuring and assessing complex problems, including a dedicated discussion of thinking, acting, and observing complex problems. The multi-methodology developed is scientifically grounded in systems theory and its accompanying principles, while the process emphasizes the nonlinear nature of all complex problem-solving endeavors. The authors’ clear and consistent chapter structure facilitates the book’s use in the classroom.

Decision Making In Systems Engineering And Management

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Author : Gregory S. Parnell
language : en
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Release Date : 2011-03-16

Decision Making In Systems Engineering And Management written by Gregory S. Parnell and has been published by John Wiley & Sons this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2011-03-16 with Technology & Engineering categories.

Decision Making in Systems Engineering and Management is a comprehensive textbook that provides a logical process and analytical techniques for fact-based decision making for the most challenging systems problems. Grounded in systems thinking and based on sound systems engineering principles, the systems decisions process (SDP) leverages multiple objective decision analysis, multiple attribute value theory, and value-focused thinking to define the problem, measure stakeholder value, design creative solutions, explore the decision trade off space in the presence of uncertainty, and structure successful solution implementation. In addition to classical systems engineering problems, this approach has been successfully applied to a wide range of challenges including personnel recruiting, retention, and management; strategic policy analysis; facilities design and management; resource allocation; information assurance; security systems design; and other settings whose structure can be conceptualized as a system.

Experts In Uncertainty

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Author : Roger M. Cooke
language : en
Publisher: Oxford University Press
Release Date : 1991-10-24

Experts In Uncertainty written by Roger M. Cooke and has been published by Oxford University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1991-10-24 with Science categories.

This book is an extensive survey and critical examination of the literature on the use of expert opinion in scientific inquiry and policy making. The elicitation, representation, and use of expert opinion is increasingly important for two reasons: advancing technology leads to more and more complex decision problems, and technologists are turning in greater numbers to "expert systems" and other similar artifacts of artificial intelligence. Cooke here considers how expert opinion is being used today, how an expert's uncertainty is or should be represented, how people do or should reason with uncertainty, how the quality and usefulness of expert opinion can be assessed, and how the views of several experts might be combined. He argues for the importance of developing practical models with a transparent mathematic foundation for the use of expert opinion in science, and presents three tested models, termed "classical," "Bayesian," and "psychological scaling." Detailed case studies illustrate how they can be applied to a diversity of real problems in engineering and planning.

Solving Complex Decision Problems

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Author : Rudolf Grünig
language : en
Publisher: Springer
Release Date : 2017-06-13

Solving Complex Decision Problems written by Rudolf Grünig and has been published by Springer this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2017-06-13 with Business & Economics categories.

Making decisions is certainly the most important task managers are faced with, and it is often a very difficult one. This book offers a procedure for solving complex decision problems step by step. Unlike other texts, the book focuses on problem analysis, on developing potential solutions, and on establishing a decision-making matrix. In this fourth edition of the book, published under a new title, the authors present simplified, actionable guidelines that can be easily applied to the individual steps in the heuristic process. The book is intended for decision-makers at companies, non-profit organizations and in public administration whose work involves complex problems. It will also benefit students and participants in executive courses.

Lecture Notes In Computational Intelligence And Decision Making

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Author : Sergii Babichev
language : en
Publisher: Springer
Release Date : 2021-07-23

Lecture Notes In Computational Intelligence And Decision Making written by Sergii Babichev and has been published by Springer this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2021-07-23 with Technology & Engineering categories.

This book is devoted to current problems of artificial and computational intelligence including decision-making systems. Collecting, analysis, and processing information are the current directions of modern computer science. Development of new modern information and computer technologies for data analysis and processing in various fields of data mining and machine learning creates the conditions for increasing effectiveness of the information processing by both the decrease of time and the increase of accuracy of the data processing. The book contains of 54 science papers which include the results of research concerning the current directions in the fields of data mining, machine learning, and decision making. The papers are divided in terms of their topic into three sections. The first section "Analysis and Modeling of Complex Systems and Processes" contains of 26 papers, and the second section "Theoretical and Applied Aspects of Decision-Making Systems" contains of 13 papers. There are 15 papers in the third section "Computational Intelligence and Inductive Modeling". The book is focused to scientists and developers in the fields of data mining, machine learning and decision-making systems.