Empirical Evidence On The Importance Of Aggregation Asymmetry And Jumps For Volatility Prediction
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Empirical Evidence On The Importance Of Aggregation Asymmetry And Jumps For Volatility Prediction
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Author : Diep Duong
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2013
Empirical Evidence On The Importance Of Aggregation Asymmetry And Jumps For Volatility Prediction written by Diep Duong and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2013 with categories.
Many recent modelling advances in finance topics ranging from the pricing of volatility-based derivative products to asset management are predicated on the importance of jumps, or discontinuous movements in asset returns. In light of this, a number of recent papers have addressed volatility predictability, some from the perspective of the usefulness of jumps in forecasting volatility. Key papers in this area include Andersen, Bollerslev, Diebold and Labys (2003), Corsi (2004), Andersen, Bollerslev and Diebold (2007), Corsi, Pirino and Reno (2008), Barndorff, Kinnebrock, and Shephard (2010), Patton and Shephard (2011), and the references cited therein. In this paper, we review the extant literature and then present new empirical evidence on the predictive content of realized measures of jump power variations (including upside and downside risk, jump asymmetry, and truncated jump variables), constructed using instantaneous returns, i.e., |r_{t}|^{q}, 0≤q≤6, in the spirit of Ding, Granger and Engle (1993) and Ding and Granger (1996). Our prediction experiments use high frequency price returns constructed using S&P500 futures data as well as stocks in the Dow 30; and our empirical implementation involves estimating linear and nonlinear heterogeneous autoregressive realized volatility (HAR-RV) type models. We find that past "large" jump power variations help less in the prediction of future realized volatility, than past "small" jump power variations. Additionally, we find evidence that past realized signed jump power variations, which have not previously been examined in this literature, are strongly correlated with future volatility, and that past downside jump variations matter in prediction. Finally, incorporation of downside and upside jump power variations does improve predictability, albeit to a limited extent.
Recent Advances In Theory And Methods For The Analysis Of High Dimensional And High Frequency Financial Data
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Author : Norman R. Swanson
language : en
Publisher: MDPI
Release Date : 2021-08-31
Recent Advances In Theory And Methods For The Analysis Of High Dimensional And High Frequency Financial Data written by Norman R. Swanson and has been published by MDPI this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2021-08-31 with Business & Economics categories.
Recently, considerable attention has been placed on the development and application of tools useful for the analysis of the high-dimensional and/or high-frequency datasets that now dominate the landscape. The purpose of this Special Issue is to collect both methodological and empirical papers that develop and utilize state-of-the-art econometric techniques for the analysis of such data.
Forecasting The Volatility Of Stock Market And Oil Futures Market
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Author : Dexiang Mei
language : en
Publisher: Scientific Research Publishing, Inc. USA
Release Date : 2020-12-17
Forecasting The Volatility Of Stock Market And Oil Futures Market written by Dexiang Mei and has been published by Scientific Research Publishing, Inc. USA this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2020-12-17 with Business & Economics categories.
The volatility has been one of the cores of the financial theory research, in addition to the stock markets and the futures market are an important part of modern financial markets. Forecast volatility of the stock market and oil futures market is an important part of the theory of financial markets research.
Research On The Volatility Of Oil Futures And European Stock Markets
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Author : Dexiang Mei
language : en
Publisher: Scientific Research Publishing, Inc.
Release Date : 2020-08-13
Research On The Volatility Of Oil Futures And European Stock Markets written by Dexiang Mei and has been published by Scientific Research Publishing, Inc. this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2020-08-13 with Juvenile Nonfiction categories.
The volatility has been one of the cores of the financial theory research, in addition to the futures market is an important part of modern financial markets, the futures market volatility is an important part of the theory of financial markets research.
Regional Cooperation For The Sustainable Development And Management In Northeast Asia
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Author : Yongrok Choi
language : en
Publisher: MDPI
Release Date : 2018-08-15
Regional Cooperation For The Sustainable Development And Management In Northeast Asia written by Yongrok Choi and has been published by MDPI this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2018-08-15 with Electronic books categories.
This book is a printed edition of the Special Issue "Regional Cooperation for the Sustainable Development and Management in Northeast Asia" that was published in Sustainability
Volatility And Correlation
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Author : Riccardo Rebonato
language : en
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Release Date : 2005-07-08
Volatility And Correlation written by Riccardo Rebonato and has been published by John Wiley & Sons this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2005-07-08 with Business & Economics categories.
In Volatility and Correlation 2nd edition: The Perfect Hedger and the Fox, Rebonato looks at derivatives pricing from the angle of volatility and correlation. With both practical and theoretical applications, this is a thorough update of the highly successful Volatility & Correlation – with over 80% new or fully reworked material and is a must have both for practitioners and for students. The new and updated material includes a critical examination of the ‘perfect-replication’ approach to derivatives pricing, with special attention given to exotic options; a thorough analysis of the role of quadratic variation in derivatives pricing and hedging; a discussion of the informational efficiency of markets in commonly-used calibration and hedging practices. Treatment of new models including Variance Gamma, displaced diffusion, stochastic volatility for interest-rate smiles and equity/FX options. The book is split into four parts. Part I deals with a Black world without smiles, sets out the author’s ‘philosophical’ approach and covers deterministic volatility. Part II looks at smiles in equity and FX worlds. It begins with a review of relevant empirical information about smiles, and provides coverage of local-stochastic-volatility, general-stochastic-volatility, jump-diffusion and Variance-Gamma processes. Part II concludes with an important chapter that discusses if and to what extent one can dispense with an explicit specification of a model, and can directly prescribe the dynamics of the smile surface. Part III focusses on interest rates when the volatility is deterministic. Part IV extends this setting in order to account for smiles in a financially motivated and computationally tractable manner. In this final part the author deals with CEV processes, with diffusive stochastic volatility and with Markov-chain processes. Praise for the First Edition: “In this book, Dr Rebonato brings his penetrating eye to bear on option pricing and hedging.... The book is a must-read for those who already know the basics of options and are looking for an edge in applying the more sophisticated approaches that have recently been developed.” —Professor Ian Cooper, London Business School “Volatility and correlation are at the very core of all option pricing and hedging. In this book, Riccardo Rebonato presents the subject in his characteristically elegant and simple fashion...A rare combination of intellectual insight and practical common sense.” —Anthony Neuberger, London Business School
Handbook Of Volatility Models And Their Applications
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Author : Luc Bauwens
language : en
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Release Date : 2012-03-22
Handbook Of Volatility Models And Their Applications written by Luc Bauwens and has been published by John Wiley & Sons this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2012-03-22 with Business & Economics categories.
A complete guide to the theory and practice of volatility models in financial engineering Volatility has become a hot topic in this era of instant communications, spawning a great deal of research in empirical finance and time series econometrics. Providing an overview of the most recent advances, Handbook of Volatility Models and Their Applications explores key concepts and topics essential for modeling the volatility of financial time series, both univariate and multivariate, parametric and non-parametric, high-frequency and low-frequency. Featuring contributions from international experts in the field, the book features numerous examples and applications from real-world projects and cutting-edge research, showing step by step how to use various methods accurately and efficiently when assessing volatility rates. Following a comprehensive introduction to the topic, readers are provided with three distinct sections that unify the statistical and practical aspects of volatility: Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity and Stochastic Volatility presents ARCH and stochastic volatility models, with a focus on recent research topics including mean, volatility, and skewness spillovers in equity markets Other Models and Methods presents alternative approaches, such as multiplicative error models, nonparametric and semi-parametric models, and copula-based models of (co)volatilities Realized Volatility explores issues of the measurement of volatility by realized variances and covariances, guiding readers on how to successfully model and forecast these measures Handbook of Volatility Models and Their Applications is an essential reference for academics and practitioners in finance, business, and econometrics who work with volatility models in their everyday work. The book also serves as a supplement for courses on risk management and volatility at the upper-undergraduate and graduate levels.
Handbook Of Financial Econometrics Mathematics Statistics And Machine Learning In 4 Volumes
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Author : Cheng Few Lee
language : en
Publisher: World Scientific
Release Date : 2020-07-30
Handbook Of Financial Econometrics Mathematics Statistics And Machine Learning In 4 Volumes written by Cheng Few Lee and has been published by World Scientific this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2020-07-30 with Business & Economics categories.
This four-volume handbook covers important concepts and tools used in the fields of financial econometrics, mathematics, statistics, and machine learning. Econometric methods have been applied in asset pricing, corporate finance, international finance, options and futures, risk management, and in stress testing for financial institutions. This handbook discusses a variety of econometric methods, including single equation multiple regression, simultaneous equation regression, and panel data analysis, among others. It also covers statistical distributions, such as the binomial and log normal distributions, in light of their applications to portfolio theory and asset management in addition to their use in research regarding options and futures contracts.In both theory and methodology, we need to rely upon mathematics, which includes linear algebra, geometry, differential equations, Stochastic differential equation (Ito calculus), optimization, constrained optimization, and others. These forms of mathematics have been used to derive capital market line, security market line (capital asset pricing model), option pricing model, portfolio analysis, and others.In recent times, an increased importance has been given to computer technology in financial research. Different computer languages and programming techniques are important tools for empirical research in finance. Hence, simulation, machine learning, big data, and financial payments are explored in this handbook.Led by Distinguished Professor Cheng Few Lee from Rutgers University, this multi-volume work integrates theoretical, methodological, and practical issues based on his years of academic and industry experience.
Volatility
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Author : Torben Gustav Andersen
language : en
Publisher: Edward Elgar Publishing
Release Date : 2018
Volatility written by Torben Gustav Andersen and has been published by Edward Elgar Publishing this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2018 with Econometrics categories.
Volatility ranks among the most active and successful areas of research in econometrics and empirical asset pricing finance over the past three decades. This two-volume collection of papers comprises some of the most influential published works from this burgeoning literature, both classic and contemporary. Topics covered include GARCH, stochastic and multivariate volatility models as well as forecasting, evaluation and high-frequency data. Together with an original introduction by the editors, this definitive compilation presents the most important milestones and contributions that helped pave the way to today's understanding of volatility.
Trades Quotes And Prices
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Author : Jean-Philippe Bouchaud
language : en
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Release Date : 2018-03-22
Trades Quotes And Prices written by Jean-Philippe Bouchaud and has been published by Cambridge University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2018-03-22 with Business & Economics categories.
A deep-dive into the heart of modern financial markets, the authors explore why and how people trade - and the consequences.