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Essays On Financial Volatility And Correlation


Essays On Financial Volatility And Correlation
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Essays On Financial Volatility And Correlation


Essays On Financial Volatility And Correlation
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Author : George Christodoulakis
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2001

Essays On Financial Volatility And Correlation written by George Christodoulakis and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2001 with categories.




Essays On Volatility And Risk In Financial Markets


Essays On Volatility And Risk In Financial Markets
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Author : Kwanho Kim
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1993

Essays On Volatility And Risk In Financial Markets written by Kwanho Kim and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1993 with Euro-dollar market categories.




Volatility And Correlation


Volatility And Correlation
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Author : Riccardo Rebonato
language : en
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Release Date : 2005-07-08

Volatility And Correlation written by Riccardo Rebonato and has been published by John Wiley & Sons this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2005-07-08 with Business & Economics categories.


In Volatility and Correlation 2nd edition: The Perfect Hedger and the Fox, Rebonato looks at derivatives pricing from the angle of volatility and correlation. With both practical and theoretical applications, this is a thorough update of the highly successful Volatility & Correlation – with over 80% new or fully reworked material and is a must have both for practitioners and for students. The new and updated material includes a critical examination of the ‘perfect-replication’ approach to derivatives pricing, with special attention given to exotic options; a thorough analysis of the role of quadratic variation in derivatives pricing and hedging; a discussion of the informational efficiency of markets in commonly-used calibration and hedging practices. Treatment of new models including Variance Gamma, displaced diffusion, stochastic volatility for interest-rate smiles and equity/FX options. The book is split into four parts. Part I deals with a Black world without smiles, sets out the author’s ‘philosophical’ approach and covers deterministic volatility. Part II looks at smiles in equity and FX worlds. It begins with a review of relevant empirical information about smiles, and provides coverage of local-stochastic-volatility, general-stochastic-volatility, jump-diffusion and Variance-Gamma processes. Part II concludes with an important chapter that discusses if and to what extent one can dispense with an explicit specification of a model, and can directly prescribe the dynamics of the smile surface. Part III focusses on interest rates when the volatility is deterministic. Part IV extends this setting in order to account for smiles in a financially motivated and computationally tractable manner. In this final part the author deals with CEV processes, with diffusive stochastic volatility and with Markov-chain processes. Praise for the First Edition: “In this book, Dr Rebonato brings his penetrating eye to bear on option pricing and hedging.... The book is a must-read for those who already know the basics of options and are looking for an edge in applying the more sophisticated approaches that have recently been developed.” —Professor Ian Cooper, London Business School “Volatility and correlation are at the very core of all option pricing and hedging. In this book, Riccardo Rebonato presents the subject in his characteristically elegant and simple fashion...A rare combination of intellectual insight and practical common sense.” —Anthony Neuberger, London Business School



Three Essays In Financial Econometrics


Three Essays In Financial Econometrics
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Author : Gang Xu
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2010

Three Essays In Financial Econometrics written by Gang Xu and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2010 with categories.


This thesis documents the research and findings in the following three related areas of financial econometrics: The first essay examines whether volatility contains information to predict the likelihood of a price jump during the next trading day. It is motivated by the theoretical model of Bansal & Shaliastovich (2008) who develop a long-run learning model, arguing that market volatility should be able to predict the likelihood of jumps. I use S&P 500 futures prices and extensions of the GARCH jump model of Maheu & McCurdy (2004) to relate jump probabilities to conditional volatility. Since volatility is a latent variable, which can be measured using different variables, I consider predictions based upon squared daily return, at-the-money implied volatility, model-free im- plied volatility and high-frequency realized volatility. I find evidence that volatility can predict jump likelihood and the best predictive variable is the model-free implied volatility: which is constructed using cross-section of option prices. Therefore, this thesis contributes to the current literature by documenting the information efficiency of option prices when predicting the future likelihood of jumps. In addition. I also develop a new approach based on Poisson regression which compares the jump intensity obtained from the GARCH jump model with the intraday jump numbers counted using the method of Andersen et al. (2007b). I find the two measures of jumps match fairly well with each other in the period from 1990 to 1997. However, any such relationship seems to disappear in the later period from 1998 to 2004. The second essay is motivated by the affine jump-diffusion model of Duffie et al. (2000), which allows jump intensity to be an affine function of state variables. I examine whether volatility can predict the intensity of price jumps in stochastic volatility jump models, estimated using Markov Chain Monte Carlo simulation. Comparing implied volatility with high-frequency realized volatility, I find allowing the jump intensity to be an affine function of model-free implied volatility yields the best model, based on either the Deviance Information Criterion or on diagnostic tests. Further comparison are made for candidate AR(l) process which specify the stochastic volatility. I find a jump model with the log variance an AR( 1) process performs better than a jump model with Ornstein-Uhlenbeck stochastic volatility. In a Monte Carlo simulation, I find the Deviance Information Criterion is a reliable criterion to differentiate between competing equity price dynamics when there are price jumps and volatility is stochastic. In addition to examining univariate equity return models, in the third essay I also develop a bivariate equity return model which simultaneously captures time-varying correlation and volatility spillovers in the international equity markets. This model is calibrated using the weekly equity index returns from the US. UK, Germany, India and Brazil stock markets and it is compared with simplier model specifications. I find evidence that supports time varying correlation between equity markets in both developed and developing economics. How- ever, the volatility spillovers mainly exist from US equity returns to equity returns in other economies. This thesis concludes with a short discussion of its limitations and future research directions.



Volatility And Time Series Econometrics


Volatility And Time Series Econometrics
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Author : Tim Bollerslev
language : en
Publisher: OUP Oxford
Release Date : 2010-02-11

Volatility And Time Series Econometrics written by Tim Bollerslev and has been published by OUP Oxford this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2010-02-11 with Business & Economics categories.


Robert Engle received the Nobel Prize for Economics in 2003 for his work in time series econometrics. This book contains 16 original research contributions by some the leading academic researchers in the fields of time series econometrics, forecasting, volatility modelling, financial econometrics and urban economics, along with historical perspectives related to field of time series econometrics more generally. Engle's Nobel Prize citation focuses on his path-breaking work on autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (ARCH) and the profound effect that this work has had on the field of financial econometrics. Several of the chapters focus on conditional heteroskedasticity, and develop the ideas of Engle's Nobel Prize winning work. Engle's work has had its most profound effect on the modelling of financial variables and several of the chapters use newly developed time series methods to study the behavior of financial variables. Each of the 16 chapters may be read in isolation, but they all importantly build on and relate to the seminal work by Nobel Laureate Robert F. Engle.



Essays On Economic Volatility And Financial Frictions


Essays On Economic Volatility And Financial Frictions
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Author : Hongyan Zhao
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2012

Essays On Economic Volatility And Financial Frictions written by Hongyan Zhao and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2012 with categories.


This dissertation consists of three essays in macroeconomics. The first one essay discusses the reasons of Chinese huge foreign reserves holdings. It contributes to the literature of sudden stops, precautionary saving and foreign assets holdings. In the second essay, I study the price volatility of commodities and manufactured goods. I measure the price volatility of each individual goods but not on the aggregated level and therefore the results complete the related study. The third essay explores the correlation between the relative volatility of output to money stock and financial development. It extends the application of financial accelerator model. In the first essay, I address the question of China's extraordinary economic growth during the last decade and huge magnitude of foreign reserves holdings. The coexistence of fast economic growth and net capital outflow presents a puzzle to the conventional wisdom that developing countries should borrow from abroad. This paper develops a two-sector DSGE model to quantify the contribution of precautionary saving motivation against economic sudden stops. The risk of sudden stops comes from the lagged financial reforms in China, in which banks continue to support inefficient state-owned enterprises, while the more productive private firms are subject to strong discrimination in credit market, and face the endogenous collateral constraints. When the private sector is small, the impact on aggregate output of binding credit constraints is limited. However, as the output share of private sector increases, the negative effect of financial frictions on private firms grows, and it is more likely to trigger a nation-wide economic sudden stop. Thus, the precautionary savings rise and the demand for foreign assets also increases. Our calibration exercise based on Chinese macro data shows that 25 percent of foreign reserves can be accounted for by the rising probability of sudden stops. The second essay studies the relative volatility of commodity prices with a large dataset of monthly prices observed in international trade data from the United States over the period 2002 to 2011. The conventional wisdom in academia and policy circles is that primary commodity prices are more volatile than those of manufactured products, although most existing studies do not measure the relative volatility of prices of individual goods or commodities. The literature tends to focus on trends in the evolution and volatility of ratios of price indexes composed of multiple commodities and products. This approach can be misleading. The evidence presented here suggests that, on average, prices of individual primary commodities are less volatile than those of individual manufactured goods. Furthermore, robustness tests suggest that these results are not likely to be due to alternative product classification choices, differences in product exit rates, measurement errors in the trade data, or the level of aggregation of the trade data. Hence the explanation must be found in the realm of economics, rather than measurement. However, the challenges of managing terms of trade volatility in developing countries with concentrated export baskets remain. The third essay tries to understand why the relative volatility of nominal output to money stock is negatively related to countries' financial development level from cross-country evidence. In the paper I modify Bernanke et al. (1999)'s financial accelerator model by introducing the classic money demand function. The calibration to US data shows that the model is able to replicate this empirical pattern quite well. Given the same monetary shocks, countries with poorer financial system have larger output volatility due to the stronger effect of financial accelerator mechanism.



Volatility And Correlation


Volatility And Correlation
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Author : Riccardo Rebonato
language : en
Publisher: Wiley
Release Date : 1999-12-21

Volatility And Correlation written by Riccardo Rebonato and has been published by Wiley this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1999-12-21 with Business & Economics categories.


In his new book, Riccardo Rebonato introduces financial professionals to the practical and subtle use of the concepts of volatility (the degree of randomness in a price movement) and correlation (the relationship between the changes in value of two financial assets) in the pricing of complex options. By explaining this approach in clear and accessible terms, the author provides traders, risk managers, financial professionals and students with the tools to undertake an effective investigation of option pricing models both at the qualitative and quantitative level. Dr Riccardo Rebonato is Head of Group Market Risk for the NatWest Group, London, UK. He holds Doctorates in Nuclear Engineering and Science of Materials/Solid State Physics. He has recently been appointed Lecturer in Mathematical Finance at Oxford University. Prior to joining NatWest, he was, at the same time, Head of the Complex Derivatives Trading desk and of the Complex Derivatives Research Group at Barclays Capital, where he worked for nine years. Before that he was a Research Fellow in Physics at Corpus Christi College, Oxford He is the author of the highly successful book Interest-Rate Option Models (Wiley, second edition 1998) and has published several papers on finance in academic journals. He is a regular speaker at conferences world-wide.



Volatility And Time Series Econometrics Essays In Honor Of Robert Engle


Volatility And Time Series Econometrics Essays In Honor Of Robert Engle
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Author : Tim Bollerslev
language : en
Publisher: OUP Oxford
Release Date : 2010-02-11

Volatility And Time Series Econometrics Essays In Honor Of Robert Engle written by Tim Bollerslev and has been published by OUP Oxford this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2010-02-11 with Business & Economics categories.


Robert Engle received the Nobel Prize for Economics in 2003 for his work in time series econometrics. This book contains 16 original research contributions by some the leading academic researchers in the fields of time series econometrics, forecasting, volatility modelling, financial econometrics and urban economics, along with historical perspectives related to field of time series econometrics more generally.Engle's Nobel Prize citation focuses on his path-breaking work on autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (ARCH) and the profound effect that this work has had on the field of financial econometrics. Several of the chapters focus on conditional heteroskedasticity, and develop the ideas of Engle's Nobel Prize winning work. Engle's work has had its most profound effect on the modelling of financial variables and several of the chapters use newly developed time series methods to study thebehavior of financial variables. Each of the 16 chapters may be read in isolation, but they all importantly build on and relate to the seminal work by Nobel Laureate Robert F. Engle.



Essays On Information And Linkages In Financial Markets


Essays On Information And Linkages In Financial Markets
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Author : Rajesh Chakrabarti
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1999

Essays On Information And Linkages In Financial Markets written by Rajesh Chakrabarti and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1999 with Stock exchanges categories.




Essays In Empirical Finance


Essays In Empirical Finance
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Author : Anders C. Johansson
language : en
Publisher: Goteborg University
Release Date : 2007

Essays In Empirical Finance written by Anders C. Johansson and has been published by Goteborg University this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2007 with Capital market categories.