Essays On Oil Price Volatility And Irreversible Investment
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Essays On Oil Price Volatility And Irreversible Investment
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Author : Daniel Joseph Pastor
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2016
Essays On Oil Price Volatility And Irreversible Investment written by Daniel Joseph Pastor and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2016 with Economics categories.
In chapter 1, we provide an extensive and systematic evaluation of the relative forecasting performance of several models for the volatility of daily spot crude oil prices. Empirical research over the past decades has uncovered significant gains in forecasting performance of Markov Switching GARCH models over GARCH models for the volatility of financial assets and crude oil futures. We find that, for spot oil price returns, non-switching models perform better in the short run, whereas switching models tend to do better at longer horizons. In chapter 2, I investigate the impact of volatility on firms' irreversible investment decisions using real options theory. Cost incurred in oil drilling is considered sunk cost, thus irreversible. I collect detailed data on onshore, development oil well drilling on the North Slope of Alaska from 2003 to 2014. Volatility is modeled by constructing GARCH, EGARCH, and GJR-GARCH forecasts based on monthly real oil prices, and realized volatility from 5-minute intraday returns of oil futures prices. Using a duration model, I show that oil price volatility generally has a negative relationship with the hazard rate of drilling an oil well both when aggregating all the fields, and in individual fields.
Irreversibility Uncertainty And Investment
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Author : Robert S. Pindyck
language : en
Publisher: World Bank Publications
Release Date : 1989
Irreversibility Uncertainty And Investment written by Robert S. Pindyck and has been published by World Bank Publications this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1989 with Capital investments categories.
Irreversible investment is especially sensitive to such risk factors as volatile exchange rates and uncertainty about tariff structures and future cash flows. If the goal of macroeconomic policy is to stimulate investment, stability and credibility may be more important than tax incentives or interest rates.
Oil Price Uncertainty
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Author : Apostolos Serletis
language : en
Publisher: World Scientific Publishing Company Incorporated
Release Date : 2012
Oil Price Uncertainty written by Apostolos Serletis and has been published by World Scientific Publishing Company Incorporated this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2012 with Business & Economics categories.
The relationship between the price of oil and the level of economic activity is a fundamental issue in macroeconomics. There is an ongoing debate in the literature about whether positive oil price shocks cause recessions in the United States (and other oil-importing countries), and although there exists a vast empirical literature that investigates the effects of oil price shocks, there are relatively few studies that investigate the direct effects of uncertainty about oil prices on the real economy. The book uses recent advances in macroeconomics and financial economics to investigate the effects of oil price shocks and uncertainty about the price of oil on the level of economic activity.
Uncertainty Expectations And Asset Price Dynamics
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Author : Fredj Jawadi
language : en
Publisher: Springer
Release Date : 2018-11-30
Uncertainty Expectations And Asset Price Dynamics written by Fredj Jawadi and has been published by Springer this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2018-11-30 with Business & Economics categories.
Written in honor of Emeritus Professor Georges Prat (University of Paris Nanterre, France), this book includes contributions from eminent authors on a range of topics that are of interest to researchers and graduates, as well as investors and portfolio managers. The topics discussed include the effects of information and transaction costs on informational and allocative market efficiency, bubbles and stock price dynamics, paradox of rational expectations and the principle of limited information, uncertainty and expectation hypotheses, oil price dynamics, and nonlinearity in asset price dynamics.
Strategic Investment
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Author : Han T. J. Smit
language : en
Publisher: Princeton University Press
Release Date : 2012-01-12
Strategic Investment written by Han T. J. Smit and has been published by Princeton University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2012-01-12 with Business & Economics categories.
Corporate finance and corporate strategy have long been seen as different sides of the same coin. Though both focus on the same broad problem, investment decision-making, the gap between the two sides--and between theory and practice--remains embarrassingly large. This book synthesizes cutting-edge developments in corporate finance and related fields--in particular, real options and game theory--to help bridge this gap. In clear, straightforward exposition and through numerous examples and applications from various industries, Han Smit and Lenos Trigeorgis set forth an extended valuation framework for competitive strategies. The book follows a problem-solving approach that synthesizes ideas from game theory, real options, and strategy. Thinking in terms of options-games can help managers address questions such as: When is it best to invest early to preempt competitive entry, and when to wait? Should a firm compete in R&D or adopt an accommodating stance? How does one value growth options or infrastructure investments? The authors provide a wide range of valuation examples, such as acquisition strategies, R&D investment in high-tech sectors, joint research ventures, product introductions in consumer electronics, infrastructure, and oil exploration investment. Representing a major step beyond standard real options or strategy analysis, and extending the power of real options and strategic thinking in a rigorous fashion, Strategic Investment will be an indispensable guide and resource for corporate managers, MBA students, and academics alike.
Food Price Volatility And Its Implications For Food Security And Policy
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Author : Matthias Kalkuhl
language : en
Publisher: Springer
Release Date : 2016-04-12
Food Price Volatility And Its Implications For Food Security And Policy written by Matthias Kalkuhl and has been published by Springer this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2016-04-12 with Business & Economics categories.
This book provides fresh insights into concepts, methods and new research findings on the causes of excessive food price volatility. It also discusses the implications for food security and policy responses to mitigate excessive volatility. The approaches applied by the contributors range from on-the-ground surveys, to panel econometrics and innovative high-frequency time series analysis as well as computational economics methods. It offers policy analysts and decision-makers guidance on dealing with extreme volatility.
Caribbean Energy
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Author : Arnold McIntyre
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2016-03-08
Caribbean Energy written by Arnold McIntyre and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2016-03-08 with Business & Economics categories.
High energy costs contribute to dampening Caribbean competitiveness and potential growth. This paper overviews power sector challenges and takes stock of national and regional strategies to address them. It presents recommendations to move the energy agenda forward based on analyses of macro-aspects of energy reform. These include: i) quantitative assessment of the impact of energy costs on growth and competitiveness; ii) evaluation of gains from implementing announced renewable energy and energy efficiency targets; and iii) analysis of the impact of energy investments on debt sustainability. The paper argues for a bigger role for the private sector in energy reform and discusses prerequisites for good public-private partnerships.
The Enclave Economy
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Author : Kevin P. Gallagher
language : en
Publisher: MIT Press
Release Date : 2007-07-20
The Enclave Economy written by Kevin P. Gallagher and has been published by MIT Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2007-07-20 with Science categories.
Analyzes the extent to which foreign investment in Mexico's information technology sector brought economic, social, and environmental benefits to Guadalajara. Foreign investment has been widely perceived as a panacea for developing countries—as a way to reduce poverty and kick-start sustainable modern industries. The Enclave Economy calls this prescription into question, showing that Mexico's post-NAFTA experience of foreign direct investment in its information technology sector, particularly in the Guadalajara region, did not result in the expected benefits. Charting the rise and fall of Mexico's “Silicon Valley,” the authors explore issues that resonate through much of Latin America and the developing world: the social, economic, and environmental effects of market-driven globalization. In the 1990s, Mexico was a poster child for globalization, throwing open its borders to trade and foreign investment, embracing NAFTA, and ending the government's role in strengthening domestic industry. But The Enclave Economy shows that although Mexico was initially successful in attracting multinational corporations, foreign investments waned in the absence of active government support and as China became increasingly competitive. Moreover, the authors find that foreign investment created an “enclave economy” the benefits of which were confined to an international sector not connected to the wider Mexican economy. In fact, foreign investment put many local IT firms out of business and transferred only limited amounts of environmentally sound technology. The authors suggest policies and strategies that will enable Mexico and other developing countries to foster foreign investment for sustainable development in the future.
Nber Macroeconomics Annual 1998
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Author : Ben Bernanke
language : en
Publisher: MIT Press
Release Date : 1999
Nber Macroeconomics Annual 1998 written by Ben Bernanke and has been published by MIT Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1999 with Business & Economics categories.
The goals of the annual NBER Macroeconomics Conference are to present, extend, and apply frontier work in macroeconomics and to stimulate work by macroeconomists in policy issues. Each paper in the Annual is followed by comments and discussion.
Drivers Of Oil Prices The Usefulness And Limitations Of Non Structural Model The Demand Supply Framework And Informal Approaches
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Author : Bassam Fattouh
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2022
Drivers Of Oil Prices The Usefulness And Limitations Of Non Structural Model The Demand Supply Framework And Informal Approaches written by Bassam Fattouh and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2022 with categories.