Essays On The Investment Effect
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Essays On The Investment Effect
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Author : Yao Yao
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2017-01-26
Essays On The Investment Effect written by Yao Yao and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2017-01-26 with categories.
This dissertation, "Essays on the Investment Effect" by Yao, Yao, 姚瑶, was obtained from The University of Hong Kong (Pokfulam, Hong Kong) and is being sold pursuant to Creative Commons: Attribution 3.0 Hong Kong License. The content of this dissertation has not been altered in any way. We have altered the formatting in order to facilitate the ease of printing and reading of the dissertation. All rights not granted by the above license are retained by the author. Abstract: The thesis consists of two essays on the investment effect. The first essay is an international examination of the investment effect, and the second essay explores the rationale behind the investment effect based on U.S. data. A growing body of finance literature has documented an investment effect that firms making larger investments earn lower future stock returns. While the negative relation between corporate investments and future stock returns is well accepted, it is in a great debate for why an investment effect exists. Two major hypotheses are proposed to account for the investment effect, mispricing and rational pricing. The mispricing hypothesis focuses on market participants' irrational behavior, including managerial overinvestment and investors' extrapolation of past firm performance. The rational pricing hypothesis, however, centers on examinations of the q theory. Under the q theory, the net present value of potential projects can be high if either the future marginal productivity is high or the future discount rate is low. As a result, for a given level of future profitability, firms making large (small) investments are likely to be those with low (high) discount rates. This predicts low (high) stock returns following large (small) capital investments. The first essay tests the q theory explanation for the investment effect using international data. I show that the investment effect exists across international markets and differs substantially across countries. I find a stronger investment effect in countries with better corporate governance, lower limits to arbitrage, and more developed equity markets. I construct a composite Q index, based on corporate governance, limits to arbitrage and market development, to separate countries with a strong investment effect from the rest. The empirical results are consistent with the q theory explanation for the investment effect. The second essay investigates the relation between the investment effect and intangible returns, as well as external financing, in the U.S. market. Extending the model in Daniel and Titman (2006), I operationalize an empirical design of log-linear decomposition of the book-to-market ratio. Using a three-period empirical model, I examine the relations among intangible returns in period one, real investments and external financing in period two, and stock returns in period three. The empirical evidence suggests no additional explaining power of investments for future stock returns, when contemporaneous external financing and prior intangible returns are controlled for. The abnormal return patterns associated with real investments documented in prior studies are consistent with, and part of, the broader return pattern that characterizes the value/growth anomaly. I show that these findings are consistent with the q theory, but inconsistent with the mispricing story. DOI: 10.5353/th_b5043432 Subjects: Investments
Essays On The Investment Effect
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Author : Yao Yao (Ph. D. (2013))
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2013
Essays On The Investment Effect written by Yao Yao (Ph. D. (2013)) and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2013 with Investments categories.
Essays On The Investment Effect
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Author : Yao Yao (Ph. D. (2013))
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2013
Essays On The Investment Effect written by Yao Yao (Ph. D. (2013)) and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2013 with Investments categories.
Essays On International Investment Its Determinants And Impact On Recipient Economics
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Author : Agha Ali Rizvi
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1992
Essays On International Investment Its Determinants And Impact On Recipient Economics written by Agha Ali Rizvi and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1992 with Dissertations, Academic categories.
Three Essays On Investment Specific Technical Change And Economic Growth
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Author : Tang-Chih Lee
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2005
Three Essays On Investment Specific Technical Change And Economic Growth written by Tang-Chih Lee and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2005 with Capital productivity categories.
Abstract: This dissertation investigates the relation between investment-specific technical change and long-run economic growth. The first essay points out the discrepancy between the steady state growth theorem and recent economic growth driven by information technology. Previous study finds that investment-specific technological progress accounts for 58% of economic growth in the U.S. However, their result hinges on the assumption of the Cobb-Douglas production function. This paper employs the CES production function to investigate the effect of investment-specific technological progress on long-run economic growth. In the steady state, quality improvement in each vintage is directed to expand more functions in one machine, resulting in contraction in the types of capital. The offsetting effect between quality and variety implies that the relative capital income share is constant in the steady state. Empirical tests for the U.S. data show that investment-specific technological progress does not generate long-run economic growth. The elasticity of substitution is significantly less than one, and that there is an offsetting effect to investment-specific technological progress. The second essay investigates the quality changes in capital and labor inputs across 46 industries from 1968 to 2001. We incorporate a time-varying quality measure to the efficiency units of capital. The result indicates that the average quality of capital assets over time has improved 46 percent in the cross industry average. The quality improvement effect accounts for 30 percent in the total growth of the efficiency units of capital. Although the net quantity effect is still the largest component in the growth of the efficiency units of capital, there is significant substitution among different vintages and asset types as well. The average quality growth in the efficiency units of labor is 17 percent. The third essay investigates unbalanced growth facts and their implications for existing growth theory. We find that the balanced growth implication is consistent with data for the United States at the national aggregate level, but not at a more disaggregate level and internationally. Among the various unbalanced growth facts, the increases in the depreciation rates of equipment and of aggregate capital have the most significant impact on the growth theory. Under the Cobb-Douglas framework, an increasing depreciation rate of equipment can result in rising, constant, or declining rate of return of equipment, depending on the magnitude of the decreasing net marginal product effect and the capital loss effect.
Three Empirical Essays On The Effects Of Foreign Direct Investment
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Author : Toan Thang Tran
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2013
Three Empirical Essays On The Effects Of Foreign Direct Investment written by Toan Thang Tran and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2013 with categories.
The Economic Impact On Under Developed Societies
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Author : Sally Herbert Frankel
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1959
The Economic Impact On Under Developed Societies written by Sally Herbert Frankel and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1959 with Africa categories.
Essays On Investment Fluctuation And Market Volatility
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Author : Chaoqun Lai
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2008
Essays On Investment Fluctuation And Market Volatility written by Chaoqun Lai and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2008 with Electronic dissertations categories.
This dissertation includes two different groups of objects in macroeconomics and financial economics. In macroeconomics, the aggregate investment fluctuation and its relation to an individual firm's behavior have been extensively studied for the past three decades. Most studies on the interdependence behavior of firms' investment focus on the key issue of separating a firm's reaction to others' behavior from reaction to common shocks. However, few researchers have addressed the issue of isolating this endogenous effect from a statistical and econometrical approach. The first essay starts with a comprehensive review of the investment fluctuation and firms' interdependence behavior, followed by an econometric model of lumpy investments and an analysis of the binary choice behavior of firms' investments. The last part of the first essay investigates the unique characteristics of the Italian economy and discusses the economic policy implications of our research findings. We ask a similar question in the field of financial economics: Where does stock market volatility come from? The literature on the sources of such volatility is abundant. As a result of the availability of high-frequency financial data, attention has been increasingly directed at the modeling of intraday volatility of asset prices and returns. However, no empirical research of intraday volatility analysis has been applied at both a single stock level and industry level in the food industry. The second essay is aimed at filling this gap by modeling and testing intraday volatility of asset prices and returns. It starts with a modified High Frequency Multiplicative Components GARCH (Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity) model, which breaks daily volatility into three parts: daily volatility, deterministic intraday volatility, and stochastic intraday volatility. Then we apply this econometric model to a single firm as well as the whole food industry using the Trade and Quote Data and Center for Research in Security Prices data. This study finds that there is little connection between the intraday return and overnight return. There exists, however, strong evidence that the food recall announcements have negative impacts on asset returns of the associated publicly traded firms.
Essays On The Impact Of Sentiment On Real Estate Investments
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Author : Anna Mathieu
language : en
Publisher: Springer
Release Date : 2015-11-05
Essays On The Impact Of Sentiment On Real Estate Investments written by Anna Mathieu and has been published by Springer this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2015-11-05 with Business & Economics categories.
Anna Mathieu clarifies if real estate decisions are affected by investor and consumer sentiment and how severely the sentiment should be considered. With regard to international capital markets Mathieu conducts an analysis of the impact of investor sentiment on the return of the real estate-specific investment vehicle “Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT)” by applying a GARCH-Model. She investigates the effects of investor sentiment on the return and the underlying volatilities of REITs and Non-REITs during the financial crisis. The hypotheses are tested for validity in a GARCH-Model. Parallel to capital markets and thereby in changing from an indirect Real Estate investment perspective to a direct perspective the author conducts an analysis if consumer sentiment impacts the household decision to buy a new home in the US. Therefore a dataset with 385 monthly observations from 1978 to 2010 is tested by a component model.
Three Essays On The Relationship Between Policy Uncertainty And Foreign Direct Investment
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Author : Chikezie Kenneth Okoli
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2021
Three Essays On The Relationship Between Policy Uncertainty And Foreign Direct Investment written by Chikezie Kenneth Okoli and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2021 with International economic relations categories.
Foreign direct investment (FDI) occurs when an entity in one country establishes a significant degree of ownership in an enterprise in another country. FDI is a critical component in ensuring the development of any economy. It often aids with the development of an industry or sector within an economy by bringing in capital, new technologies, manufacturing methodologies, and managing expertise to the receiving country. This dissertation examines the relationship between policy uncertainty and foreign direct investment (FDI) in developed economies. The first essay focuses on U.S. policy uncertainty and its effects on U.S. FDI inflows, while the second essay focuses on the cross-border effect of U.S. policy uncertainty on its neighbours FDI inflows. The third essay focuses on how policy uncertainty affects the investment entry mode choices of multinational enterprises. In the first essay, I add to the discussion surrounding Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) and its relationship with policy uncertainty by employing novel measures of policy uncertainty in the United States. Drawing some conclusions from the Real Options investment theory, I examine the relationship between policy uncertainty and FDI inflows using different measures of policy uncertainty. Overall, I find that an increase in the Partisan Conflict (PC) index increases the flow of FDI into the United States. This finding appears at odds with what has previously been found in the literature regarding political uncertainty and FDI. Using other measures of policy uncertainty such as the Economic Policy Uncertainty index (EPU) and the categorical EPU (CPU) index the estimated results show policy uncertainty as measured by the EPU index, decreases FDI into manufacturing sectors and decreases FDI into non-manufacturing sectors. This effect varies depending on the sample period being examined. However, when policy uncertainty is measured by the CPU index, policy uncertainty has no impact on FDI inflows to the United States regardless of the type of industry or capital intensity. The second essay examines how U.S. policy uncertainty spillovers affect its neighbours within the context of FDI inflows. Adopting a common framework employed in the literature, I utilize a Vector Autoregressive (VAR) model to examine the contemporaneous relationships between the endogenous and exogenous variables. The two spillover transmission methods examined in this paper are Direct Transmission and Indirect Transmission. The empirical analysis conducted showed that the significance of U.S. policy uncertainty spillovers varied by country and the method of transmission. Canadian FDI inflows from the United States and from the rest of the world were shown to be more susceptible to the negative effects of U.S. policy uncertainty spillovers via the direct channel. But the results remained mixed when considering the indirect channel. For Mexico, the results showed that only U.S. FDI inflows to Mexico were susceptible to the negative effects of U.S. policy uncertainty via the indirect channel. Furthermore, when policy uncertainty spillovers were defined between Partisan Conflict (PC) index and the Economic Policy Uncertainty (EPU) index, the results showed that only EPU spillovers were significant in affecting FDI across Canada and Mexico. The third essay examines the mode of entry that Japanese multinational enterprises (MNEs) adopt in the presence of host market policy uncertainty. Employing a two-stage framework, I examine how Japanese MNEs establish foreign affiliates in 25 countries. In the first stage, the firms decide whether to adopt a direct or an indirect mode of entry in the presence of host market policy uncertainty. A direct entry mode is when the MNE has an ownership share in the affiliate that is greater than 10% while an indirect entry mode is when the MNE has no ownership shares in the affiliate but sets the operational and business goals of the affiliate. The results show that Japanese MNEs preferred an indirect mode of entry when faced with medium levels of policy uncertainty. In the second stage the estimated results show that relatively high levels of policy uncertainty caused Japanese MNEs to prefer minority Joint Ventures over establishing Wholly Owned Subsidiaries. Since 58% of observed investments occur in two countries (China, the United States) it is possible that the results of the analysis are being driven by the concentration of investments in both countries. Therefore, I re-examine the model to focus exclusively on investment activities in China and the United States. These results show that the previously described results were due to the investment activity in these two countries.