Forecasting Natural Gas Demand In China
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Forecasting Natural Gas Demand In China
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Author : Faheemullah Shaikh
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2016
Forecasting Natural Gas Demand In China written by Faheemullah Shaikh and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2016 with categories.
Natural gas has increasingly appeared as an important policy choice for China's government to modify high carbon energy consumption structure and deal with environmental problems. This study is aimed to develop the logistic and logistic-population model based approach to forecast the medium- (2020) to long- (2035) term natural gas demand in China. The adopted modelling approach is relatively simple, compared with other forecasting approaches. In order to further improve the forecasting precision, the Levenberg-Marquardt Algorithm (LMA) has been implemented to estimate the parameters of the logistic model. The forecasting results show that China's natural gas demand will reach 330-370 billion m3 in the medium-term and 500-590 billion m3 in the long-term. Moreover, the forecasting results of this study were found close in studies conducted by the national and international institutions and scholars. The growing natural gas demand will cause significant increase in import requirements and will increase China's natural gas import dependency. The outcomes of this study are expected to assist the energy planners and policy makers to chalk out relevant natural gas supply and demand side management policies.
Liquefied Natural Gas In China
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Author : Dean Girdis
language : en
Publisher: World Bank Publications
Release Date : 2000-01-01
Liquefied Natural Gas In China written by Dean Girdis and has been published by World Bank Publications this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2000-01-01 with Nature categories.
A report on key issues and options relating to the development of a liquefied natural gas (LNG) project in China. The objectives of the study were to examine the projected market for gas and to review the mechanisms and structures necessary to support the introduction of gas.
Energy Economy In China
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Author : Kang Wu
language : en
Publisher: World Scientific
Release Date : 2013
Energy Economy In China written by Kang Wu and has been published by World Scientific this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2013 with Business & Economics categories.
The key subjects of the book are policy imperatives, market dynamics and regional developments concerning oil and gas, as well as energy as a whole in China. In addition to national policies and issues, the objective of this book is to study China's regional and provincial oil and gas demand, supply and trade, energy balances, and economic development, with projections up till 2020. Particular emphasis will be given to challenges facing the Chinese government in ensuring future oil and gas supplies, energy security, the use of natural gas in coastal provinces for power generation, oil and gas related environmental issues, and the need for foreign investment in the oil and gas sector development. The impact of China's oil market development and imports on the Asia-Pacific region will also be examined. Energy Economy in China also reviews all current and future domestic and international oil and gas pipelines, import plans and emerging new gas markets in China over the next fifteen years.
China S Gas Development Strategies
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Author : Shell International B.V.
language : en
Publisher: Springer
Release Date : 2017-11-23
China S Gas Development Strategies written by Shell International B.V. and has been published by Springer this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2017-11-23 with Science categories.
This book is open access under a CC BY 4.0 license. This book examines how China can increase the share of natural gas in its energy system. China’s energy strategy has global ramifications and impact, and central to this strategy is the country’s transition from coal to gas. The book presents the culmination of a two-year collaboration between the Development Research Center of the State Council (DRC) and Shell. With the Chinese government’s strategic aim to increase the share of gas in the energy mix from 5.8% in 2014 to 10% and 15% in 2020 and 2030 respectively, the book outlines how China can achieve its gas targets. Providing both quantifiable metrics and policy measures for the transition, it is a much needed addition to the literature on Chinese energy policy. The research and the resulting recommendations of this study have fed directly into the Chinese government’s 13th Five-Year Plan, and provide unique insights into the Chinese government and policy-making. Due to its global impact, the book is a valuable resource for policy makers in both China and the rest of the world.
Developing China S Natural Gas Market
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Author : International Energy Agency
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2002
Developing China S Natural Gas Market written by International Energy Agency and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2002 with Business & Economics categories.
Driven by an increasing recognition of the many advantages of natural gas and by the need to diversify its coal-dominated energy supply, China's natural gas industry is poised for rapid expansion. Some major gas infrastructure projects have been launched to support ambitious gas growth targets in the country for the next five years and beyond. Other countries within the IEA and outside, have faced similar challenges in developing their gas markets, but the challenges faced by China are far greater. Chinese gas reserves are relatively limited and are located far from the main centres of demand; cheap alternatives are available; there is a lack of related technology and skill; and knowledge of how best to develop markets is not widespread. This report attempts to address these challenges.
Oil And Gas Resources In China A Roadmap To 2050
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Author : Guangding Liu
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2012-01-21
Oil And Gas Resources In China A Roadmap To 2050 written by Guangding Liu and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2012-01-21 with Science categories.
As one of the eighteen field-specific reports comprising the comprehensive scope of the strategic general report of the Chinese Academy of Sciences, this sub-report addresses long-range planning for developing science and technology in the field of oil and gas resources. They each craft a roadmap for their sphere of development to 2050. In their entirety, the general and sub-group reports analyze the evolution and laws governing the development of science and technology, describe the decisive impact of science and technology on the modernization process, predict that the world is on the eve of an impending S&T revolution, and call for China to be fully prepared for this new round of S&T advancement. Based on the detailed study of the demands on S&T innovation in China’s modernization, the reports draw a framework for eight basic and strategic systems of socio-economic development with the support of science and technology, work out China’s S&T roadmaps for the relevant eight basic and strategic systems in line with China’s reality, further detail S&T initiatives of strategic importance to China’s modernization, and provide S&T decision-makers with comprehensive consultations for the development of S&T innovation consistent with China’s reality. Supported by illustrations and tables of data, the reports provide researchers, government officials and entrepreneurs with guidance concerning research directions, the planning process, and investment. Founded in 1949, the Chinese Academy of Sciences is the nation’s highest academic institution in natural sciences. Its major responsibilities are to conduct research in basic and technological sciences, to undertake nationwide integrated surveys on natural resources and ecological environment, to provide the country with scientific data and consultations for government’s decision-making, to undertake government-assigned projects with regard to key S&T problems in the process of socio-economic development, to initiate personnel training, and to promote China’s high-tech enterprises through its active engagement in these areas.
Energy Demand Forecast And Environmental Impact In China
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Author :
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1994
Energy Demand Forecast And Environmental Impact In China written by and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1994 with Energy consumption categories.
Natural Gas In Asia
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Author : Michael Bradshaw
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2008-06-05
Natural Gas In Asia written by Michael Bradshaw and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2008-06-05 with Business & Economics categories.
The next decade will be crucial for Asian gas markets and determine whether natural gas will become a major fuel in the energy markets of Asia or remain a peripheral energy source. This new edition, which looks at the future of natural gas in the major energy markets of Asia, has been substantially rewritten and completely updated.
China And The Global Energy Crisis
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Author : T. Kambara
language : en
Publisher: Edward Elgar Publishing
Release Date : 2007-01-01
China And The Global Energy Crisis written by T. Kambara and has been published by Edward Elgar Publishing this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2007-01-01 with Business & Economics categories.
. . . a very detailed and fascinating description of the development of China s oil and natural gas industry and an assessment of its prospects. . . certainly a recommended read. Anthony D. Owen, Asia Pacific Journal of Economics and Business . . . this book should be a part of the library of anyone interested in the Chinese energy system. New Zealand Journal of Asian Studies This is a timely and important book to help enhance understanding of China s petroleum industry and to assess China s energy policy in a more sensible way. Janet Xuanli Liao, The China Journal This is a timely volume. Understanding the oil and gas industry that China has at home is an essential prerequisite to understanding Chinese foreign policy and the future role of China in world oil and gas markets. It is certain to be a major one. From the preface by Ron Oxburgh, Lord Oxburgh of Liverpool, (Climate Change Capital) China s rapid economic development is having profound implications for energy resources. China has always been exceptionally reliant on its abundant coal, but consumption of oil and gas have grown rapidly since reform began in the 1980s. In spite of vigorous domestic development most recently in the Tarim Basin China is now consuming approximately 8 per cent of the world s oil output but producing only 4 per cent. China s emergence as an energy importer has given rise to concerns that it is a major contributor to recent turmoil in energy markets. This book examines China s record of oil and gas development, its refining capacity, and energy prospects. The authors conclude that there are no fundamental reasons for anxiety about China s demands on the world energy economy, but they emphasize that its energy future will depend critically on a continuation of reform and internationalization. China and the Global Energy Crisis is a concise but detailed study of these issues. This book will appeal not only to readers concerned with China and energy issues, but also to a wider readership seeking to understand China s development and its global meaning.
Economic Cycles And The Responsiveness Of Natural Gas Demand In China S Residential Sector
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Author : Noha H. A. Razek
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2019
Economic Cycles And The Responsiveness Of Natural Gas Demand In China S Residential Sector written by Noha H. A. Razek and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2019 with categories.
The current 13th Five-Year Plan endorses the use of natural gas to achieve a cleaner energy mix. The objective of this research is to examine household natural gas demand and provide insights to natural gas exporters. Research on natural gas demand and cycles in China is valuable, because small changes in China's demand (and hence import requirements) can have significant impacts on the global market. Five-Year cycles can trigger longer cyclical swings. In 1996, the 8th National People's Congress passed a long-term plan to bolster heavy industry, resulting in an increase in urbanization and infrastructure development, and contributing to increased natural gas consumption. I apply an unobserved components model (UCM) to deal with data limitations and non-stationary relationship between variables, account for technological progress and periodically-changing administered prices, and allow for stochastic cycles to capture the effects of Five-Year Plans and economic cycle fluctuations. The estimated economic cycle captures the surge in economic growth in the early 2000s and the slowdown in economic growth and aggregate consumption due to decreased investment since 2013. Price changes, income growth, and increased infrastructure development (as manifested in the cyclical effect) contributed to the rise in demand. Natural gas is a normal good that is price-sensitive and approximately unit income-elastic. It is the preferred choice when accessible, and demand is still evolving and less likely to increase solely due to increased affordability. These results are robust to different variations that include allowing the stochastic level to capture the cycles and using a longer simulated price variable. Hence, in addition to income growth and natural gas price reform, environmental regulations to suppress coal consumption and government policies to foster natural gas accessibility by expanding infrastructure investment and development are vital to achieving a cleaner energy mix.
