Forecasting The Performance Of Hedge Fund Styles
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Forecasting The Performance Of Hedge Fund Styles
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Author : Jose Olmo
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2012
Forecasting The Performance Of Hedge Fund Styles written by Jose Olmo and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2012 with categories.
This article predicts the relative performance of hedge fund investment styles one period ahead using time-varying conditional stochastic dominance tests. These tests allow the construction of dynamic trading strategies based on nonparametric density forecasts of hedge fund returns. During the recent financial turmoil, our tests predict a superior performance of the Global Macro investment style compared to the other `Directional Traders' strategies. The Dedicated Short Bias investment style is, on the other hand, stochastically dominated by the other directional styles. These results are confirmed by simple nonparametric tests constructed from the realized excess returns. Further, by exploiting the cross-validation method for optimal bandwidth parameter selection, we find out which factors have predictive power for the density of hedge fund returns. We observe that different factors have forecasting power for different regions of the returns distribution and, more importantly, Fung and Hsieh factors have power not only for describing the risk premium but also for density forecasting if appropriately exploited.
Hedge Fund Returns
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Author : Christian Alexander Wegener
language : en
Publisher: Logos Verlag Berlin GmbH
Release Date : 2011
Hedge Fund Returns written by Christian Alexander Wegener and has been published by Logos Verlag Berlin GmbH this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2011 with Business & Economics categories.
The present work advances the research on hedge fund returns in three main areas. Firstly, their statistical properties are assessed in order to understand by what degree the returns of this alternative asset class are subject to non-normality, autocorrelation and heteroscedasticity. Secondly, state-of-the-art econometric approaches are used for the purpose of analyzing whether and to what extent monthly hedge fund returns are forecastable. Thirdly, an effort is made to identify and explain which economic risks affect the performance of the different hedge fund strategy styles in which way. The empirical results suggest that monthly hedge fund returns are forecastable by means of multivariate regression models which rely on economic predictors such as changes in interest rates or changes in business outlooks. Accounting for the fact that hedge fund returns are non-normally distributed, heteroscedastic and time-varying in their exposure to pervasive risk factors, the devised econometric models are found to deliver significant out-of-sample predictive power. The thesis at hand also documents that the interdependencies between the monthly changes of envisaged risk factors and the subsequent hedge fund returns remain remarkably stable throughout time. In essence, the performance of hedge funds appears to be sensitive to common business cycle movements. Altogether, the results are relevant to researchers in search of a description and application of contemporary return prediction methods as well as to investors in need of a better understanding of the drivers of hedge fund returns.
Market Risk Management For Hedge Funds
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Author : Francois Duc
language : en
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Release Date : 2010-04-01
Market Risk Management For Hedge Funds written by Francois Duc and has been published by John Wiley & Sons this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2010-04-01 with Business & Economics categories.
This book provides a cutting edge introduction to market risk management for Hedge Funds, Hedge Funds of Funds, and the numerous new indices and clones launching coming to market on a near daily basis. It will present the fundamentals of quantitative risk measures by analysing the range of Value-at-Risk (VaR) models used today, addressing the robustness of each model, and looking at new risk measures available to more effectively manage risk in a hedge fund portfolio. The book begins by analysing the current state of the hedge fund industry - at the ongoing institutionalisation of the market, and at its latest developments. It then moves on to examine the range of risks, risk controls, and risk management strategies currently employed by practitioners, and focuses on particular risks embedded in the more classic investment strategies such as Long/Short, Convertible Arbitrage, Fixed Income Arbitrage, Short selling and risk arbitrage. Addressed along side these are other risks common to hedge funds, including liquidity risk, leverage risk and counterparty risk. The book then moves on to examine more closely two models which provide the underpinning for market risk management in investment today - Style Value-at-Risk and Implicit Value-at-Risk. As well as full quantitative analysis and backtesting of each methodology, the authors go on to propose a new style model for style and implicit Var, complete with analysis, real life examples and backtesting. The authors then go on to discuss annualisation issues and risk return before moving on to propose a new model based on the authors own Best Choice Implicit VaR approach, incorporating quantitative analysis, market results and backtesting and also its potential for new hedge fund clone products. This book is the only guide to VaR for Hedge Funds and will prove to be an invaluable resource as we embark into an era of increasing volatility and uncertainty.
The World Of Hedge Funds
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Author : H. Gifford Fong
language : en
Publisher: World Scientific
Release Date : 2005
The World Of Hedge Funds written by H. Gifford Fong and has been published by World Scientific this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2005 with Business & Economics categories.
The World of Hedge Funds is a compendium of distinguished papers focusing on the cutting-edge analysis of hedge funds. This area is arguably the fastest growing source of funds in the investment management arena. It represents an exciting opportunity for the investor and manager in terms of the range of return and risk available. A source of rigorous analysis is therefore both sought after as well as needed. This book aims to fill this gap by presenting an eclectic collection of papers contributed by influential academics and practitioners covering the characteristics and problems of hedge funds.
Hedge Funds
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Author : Harold Kent Baker
language : en
Publisher: Oxford University Press
Release Date : 2017
Hedge Funds written by Harold Kent Baker and has been published by Oxford University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2017 with Business & Economics categories.
Hedge Funds: Structure, Strategies, and Performance spans the gamut from theoretical to practical coverage of an intriguing but often complex subject and provides insights into the field from leading experts around the world.
Performance Evaluation Of Hedge Funds
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Author : Greg N. Gregoriou
language : en
Publisher: Beard Books
Release Date : 2003
Performance Evaluation Of Hedge Funds written by Greg N. Gregoriou and has been published by Beard Books this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2003 with Business & Economics categories.
Contains incisive articles dealing with quantitative and qualitative analyses of hedge funds.
Hedge Funds
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Author : Greg N. Gregoriou
language : en
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Release Date : 2011-08-04
Hedge Funds written by Greg N. Gregoriou and has been published by John Wiley & Sons this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2011-08-04 with Business & Economics categories.
Whether already experienced with hedge funds or just thinking about investing in them, readers need a firm understanding of this unique investment vehicle in order to achieve maximum success. Hedge Funds unites over thirty of the top practitioners and academics in the hedge fund industry to provide readers with the latest findings in this field. Their analysis deals with a variety of topics, from new methods of performance evaluation to portfolio allocation and risk/return matters. Although some of the information is technical in nature, an understanding and applicability of the results as well as theoretical developments are stressed. Filled with in-depth insight and expert advice, Hedge Funds helps readers make the most of this flexible investment vehicle.
Forecasting Hedge Funds Volatility
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Author : Paulo Rui P. Vitor Monteiro
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2004
Forecasting Hedge Funds Volatility written by Paulo Rui P. Vitor Monteiro and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2004 with categories.
We evaluate the performance of volatility and Value-at-Risk models for hedge fund indexes over the period from January 1994 to December 2003. The exponentially weighted sample variance (EWMA) and E-GARCH models have the best volatility forecast performance for hedge funds in terms of statistical loss functions. In contrast for traditional assets, the best volatility model is the simple sample variance. There is evidence that hedge fund volatility is less persistent that stocks and bonds volatility. We find that the critical decision in selecting a Value-at-Risk model for hedge funds is the distributional assumption. However, in contrast with traditional assets for which the normal distribution presents the best performance, the t-student and, especially the Cornish-Fisher expansion, distributional assumptions present the best performance.
Hedge Fund Modelling And Analysis Using Excel And Vba
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Author : Paul Darbyshire
language : en
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Release Date : 2012-02-23
Hedge Fund Modelling And Analysis Using Excel And Vba written by Paul Darbyshire and has been published by John Wiley & Sons this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2012-02-23 with Business & Economics categories.
Co-authored by two respected authorities on hedge funds and asset management, this implementation-oriented guide shows you how to employ a range of the most commonly used analysis tools and techniques both in industry and academia, for understanding, identifying and managing risk as well as for quantifying return factors across several key investment strategies. The book is also suitable for use as a core textbook for specialised graduate level courses in hedge funds and alternative investments. The book provides hands-on coverage of the visual and theoretical methods for measuring and modelling hedge fund performance with an emphasis on risk-adjusted performance metrics and techniques. A range of sophisticated risk analysis models and risk management strategies are also described in detail. Throughout, coverage is supplemented with helpful skill building exercises and worked examples in Excel and VBA. The book's dedicated website, www.darbyshirehampton.com provides Excel spreadsheets and VBA source code which can be freely downloaded and also features links to other relevant and useful resources. A comprehensive course in hedge fund modelling and analysis, this book arms you with the knowledge and tools required to effectively manage your risks and to optimise the return profile of your investment style.
Hedge Funds
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Author : IMCA
language : en
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Release Date : 2003-03-10
Hedge Funds written by IMCA and has been published by John Wiley & Sons this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2003-03-10 with Business & Economics categories.
A well-rounded hedge fund guide for the serious financial professional Alternative investment strategies-hedge funds in particular-have experienced a significant resurgence recently, largely in response to the dramatic downturn of the global equity markets. In response to this explosion in popularity, this book focuses on many of the best moneymaking strategies related to these alternative investment vehicles. IMCA (The Investment Management Consultants Association) is a professional association established in 1985, representing the investment consulting profession in the U.S. and Canada. Kenneth S. Phillips is a member of the IMCA Advisory Council and Managing Principal of Capital Partners, LLC. Ron Surz, CIMA, is a member of the IMCA Board of Directors and the President of PPCA Inc.