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Forecasting Tourism Demand


Forecasting Tourism Demand
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Forecasting Tourism Demand


Forecasting Tourism Demand
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Author : Douglas Frechtling
language : en
Publisher: Routledge
Release Date : 2012-05-23

Forecasting Tourism Demand written by Douglas Frechtling and has been published by Routledge this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2012-05-23 with Business & Economics categories.


'Forecasting tourism demand' is a text that no tourism professional can afford to be without. The tourism industry has experienced an overwhelming boom over recent years, and being able to predict future trends as accurately as possible is vital in the struggle to stay one step ahead of the competition. Building on the success of 'Practical Tourism Forecasting' this text looks at 13 methods of forecasting and with a user friendly style, 'Forecasting Tourism Demand' guides the reader through each method, highlighting its strengths and weaknesses and explaining how it can be applied to the tourism industry. 'Forecasting Tourism Demand' employs charts and tables to explain how to: * plan a forecasting project * analyse time series and other information * select the appropriate forecasting model * use the model for forecasting and evaluate its results Ideal for marketing managers and strategic planners in business, transportation planners and economic policy makers in government who must project demand for their products among tourists. Executives who rely on forecasts prepared by others will find it invaluable in assisting them to evaluate the validity and reliability of predictions and forecasts. Those engaged in analysing business trends will find it useful in surveying the future of what has been called the largest industry in the world.



Forecasting Tourism Demand


Forecasting Tourism Demand
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Author :
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2001

Forecasting Tourism Demand written by and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2001 with categories.




Econometric Modelling And Forecasting Of Tourism Demand


Econometric Modelling And Forecasting Of Tourism Demand
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Author : Doris Chenguang Wu
language : en
Publisher: Taylor & Francis
Release Date : 2022-10-27

Econometric Modelling And Forecasting Of Tourism Demand written by Doris Chenguang Wu and has been published by Taylor & Francis this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2022-10-27 with Business & Economics categories.


This insightful and timely volume provides a succinct, expert-led introduction to the latest developments in advanced econometric methodologies in the context of tourism demand modelling and forecasting. Written by a plethora of worldwide experts on this topic, this book offers a comprehensive approach to tourism econometrics. Accurate demand forecasts are crucial to decision-making in the tourism industry and this book provides real-life tourism applications and the corresponding R code alongside theoretical foundations, in order to enhance understanding and practice amongst its readers. The methodologies introduced include general to specific modelling, cointegration, vector autoregression, time-varying parameter modelling, spatiotemporal econometric models, mixed-frequency forecasting, hybrid forecasting models, forecasting combination techniques, density forecasting, judgemental forecasting, scenario forecasting under crisis, and web-based tourism forecasting. Embellished with insightful figures and tables throughout, this book is an invaluable resource for those using advanced econometric methodologies in their studies and research, including both undergraduate and postgraduate students, researchers, and practitioners.



Tourism Forecasting And Marketing


Tourism Forecasting And Marketing
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Author : Kevin Wong
language : en
Publisher: Routledge
Release Date : 2012-10-12

Tourism Forecasting And Marketing written by Kevin Wong and has been published by Routledge this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2012-10-12 with Business & Economics categories.


Stay up to date with the most effective practices in tourism demand forecasting! Tourism Forecasting and Marketing presents vital, up-to-date research on the latest practice and applications of tourism demand modeling and forecasting. The book addresses both econometric and time series approaches to forecasting, focusing on the concepts, model specification, data analysis, and methodologies used in day-to-day tourism planning. An international panel of practitioners and academics call on a diverse range of empirical research findings to discuss commonly used theoretical frameworks for forecasting and future directions tourism demand is likely to take. Tourism Forecasting and Marketing presents research findings from the United States, the United Kingdom, Asia, and Australia that are invaluable for guiding government and private sector tourism investment and development decisions. The book addresses traditional versus modern forecasting techniques; evaluations of current and past forecasting methods; modeling and forecasting destination choice; and the impact of forecasting and marketing on tourism demand. Topics include: using time series models to forecast inbound tourism demand for China and Greece determining the economic factors that influence tourism demand in Hong Kong, Indonesia, and Malaysia examining domestic travel expenditures in South Korea developing a model to forecast ski tourism using the Palmore cohort analysis for tourism forecasting and much more! Tourism Forecasting and Marketing is an important textbook for educators and students working in tourism policy planning and management, and tourism marketing. The book is equally effective as a reference for travel and tourism researchers, and for professionals dealing with tourism demand analysis and forecasting.



Modeling And Forecasting Demand In Tourism


Modeling And Forecasting Demand In Tourism
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Author : Stephen F. Witt
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1992

Modeling And Forecasting Demand In Tourism written by Stephen F. Witt and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1992 with Business & Economics categories.


Based on data on outbound tourism from France and Germany collected through personal interviews of residents or micro censuses covering the period 1965 to 1983; and from the UK for the period 1965 to 1985 and the USA for the period 1965 to 1984 through surveys carried out at airports and seaports. Additional surveys record USA land border crossing tourist data.



Tourism Demand Modelling And Forecasting


Tourism Demand Modelling And Forecasting
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Author : Haiyan Song
language : en
Publisher: Routledge
Release Date : 2012-08-21

Tourism Demand Modelling And Forecasting written by Haiyan Song and has been published by Routledge this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2012-08-21 with Business & Economics categories.


The phenomenal growth of both the world-wide tourism industry and academic interest in tourism over the last thirty years has generated great interest in tourism demand modelling and forecasting from both sectors. However, the tendency for researchers and practitioners engaged in quantitative causal tourism modelling and forecasting to run many regression equations and try to choose the 'best' model based on various parametric and non-parametric criteria has been widely criticised as failing to provide credible results. The aim of this book is to present the recent advances in econometric modelling methodology within the context of tourism demand analysis at a level that is accessible to non-specialists, and to illustrate these new developments with actual tourism applications. The book begins with an introduction to the fundamentals of tourism demand analysis, before addressing the problems of traditional tourism demand modelling and forecasting, i.e. data mining and spurious regression due to common trends in the time series. Three chapters explore the general-to-specific approach to tourism demand modelling and forecasting, including the use of autoregressive distributed lag processes, cointegration analysis and error correction models. The time varying parameter model together with the use of the Kalman filter as an estimation method is a useful tool for examining the effects of regime shifts on tourism demand elasticities: this is explored next. The panel data approach is introduced as a way of overcoming the problem of estimation and forecasting biases caused by insufficient time series data. The book concludes by evaluating the empirical forecasting performance of the various models and putting forward some general conclusions.



Forecasting Tourism Demand With Models Of Individual Choice


Forecasting Tourism Demand With Models Of Individual Choice
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Author :
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1981

Forecasting Tourism Demand With Models Of Individual Choice written by and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1981 with Tourism categories.




The Advanced Econometrics Of Tourism Demand


The Advanced Econometrics Of Tourism Demand
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Author : Haiyan Song
language : en
Publisher: Routledge
Release Date : 2008-12-09

The Advanced Econometrics Of Tourism Demand written by Haiyan Song and has been published by Routledge this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2008-12-09 with Business & Economics categories.


Tourism demand is the foundation on which all tourism-related business decisions ultimately rest. This book introduces students, researchers and practitioners to the modern developments in advanced econometric methodology within the context of tourism demand analysis and illustrates these developments with actual tourism applications.



Forecasting Tourism Demand By Modelling Individual Choices


Forecasting Tourism Demand By Modelling Individual Choices
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Author : Lionel Silman
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1981

Forecasting Tourism Demand By Modelling Individual Choices written by Lionel Silman and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1981 with categories.




Forecasting Tourism Demand Using Extrapolative Time Series Methods


Forecasting Tourism Demand Using Extrapolative Time Series Methods
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Author : Clive L. Morley
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1991

Forecasting Tourism Demand Using Extrapolative Time Series Methods written by Clive L. Morley and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1991 with Tourism categories.