Futurology Forecasts And Initiatives
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Futurology Forecasts And Initiatives
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Author : P. Bala Bhaskaran
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2007-02-07
Futurology Forecasts And Initiatives written by P. Bala Bhaskaran and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2007-02-07 with Business forecasting categories.
The Age of Permanence, according to Alvin Toffler, is dead. The current era is characterised by complexity, uncertainty and fast changes triggered by technology and competition. In such a situation, it would make a lot of sense if we can forecast the shap
Futurology
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Author : Michael Philip Merrill
language : en
Publisher: Amer Classical Coll Press
Release Date : 1979
Futurology written by Michael Philip Merrill and has been published by Amer Classical Coll Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1979 with History categories.
The Study Of The Future
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Author :
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1977
The Study Of The Future written by and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1977 with Forecasting categories.
Futurology
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Author : Victor C. Ferkiss
language : en
Publisher: Sage Publications (CA)
Release Date : 1977
Futurology written by Victor C. Ferkiss and has been published by Sage Publications (CA) this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1977 with History categories.
Futurology
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Author : Victor C. Ferkiss
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1977-01-01
Futurology written by Victor C. Ferkiss and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1977-01-01 with categories.
Predictions 10 Years Later
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Author : Theodore Modis
language : en
Publisher: CreateSpace
Release Date : 2002-10-31
Predictions 10 Years Later written by Theodore Modis and has been published by CreateSpace this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2002-10-31 with categories.
This book is about seeing the world dynamically, as if everything in it behaved like a living organism, growing, competing, maturing, becoming weak by old age, and dying. Birth implies death, and whatever you may be preoccupied with -- business, success, misfortune, emotional relation-ships, personal development, or artistic achievement -- is characterized by a life cycle displaying well-defined phases of beginning, growth, decline, and end. The growth potential and the duration of the process may vary from case to case. Some phenomena last for a lifetime whereas others come and go like fads. But independently of the timeframe things come into and out of existence according to the same pattern, which is revelatory and sometimes even reassuring. The book is also about being able to see more clearly further into the future and make predictions, as well as to obtain a better understanding of the past. You will be surprised to find out that it is possible to see around corners! Fundamental natural laws such as competition and survival of the fittest can reveal unique insights into what the future has in store for us. But also into what the past may hide. After all, the past is not immune to the passage of time. Russia's past (Lenin, Stalin, communism, etc.) changed from heroic to shameful in a matter of a few years. And then, there are questions about the past we never asked before because we assumed there could be no answers. In Chapter 2 we answer the question how many explorers attempted to discover America before Columbus. Futurology embraces a large cross-section of individuals ranging from scientists to psychic mediums. They all claim to have ways and means for making predictions. However, proof for correct predictions is rarely demonstrated. Scientifically minded forecasters try to make their approach credible via an exercise, which consists of ignoring some of the recent data while making their prediction and then using these data to verify the prediction. But this practice fails to convince astute minds. Skeptics doubt the effectiveness of forgetting having seen the final out-come. The only really valid test for a prediction is the test of time. You make your prediction and then you wait the time necessary for the truth to come out. Track record cannot be disputed. The predictions made in this book enjoy the test of time. An older version of the book was published in 1992 by Simon & Schuster under the title Predictions - Society's Telltale Signature Reveals the Past and Forecasts the Future. In today's edition those predictions are confronted with recent data. In every chapter new sections have been introduced under the heading "Ten Years Later" reviewing what happened during the last ten years and comparing it to the original predictions. There are many success stories, where prediction and reality have gone hand in hand. But there are also some intricate disagreements. The success stories reinforce our confidence in the original forecasts and the method used. The disagreements are useful in a different way. Predictions that came out wrong are not necessarily failures. It is the reader's prerogative to interpret them simply as unsuccessful forecasts and appropriately distrust further projections of the trends in question. But the author found it rewarding to dig deeper into the reasons that may cause deviations from directions dictated by fundamental natural laws. In many cases the insights obtained this way teach us more than accurate forecasts would have. Among the new material that has been added in this edition are discussions on some issues that have become topical only recently, such as the coming of hydrogen and the war on terrorism.
Futurology Techniques And Applications
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Author : S. A. Abbasi
language : en
Publisher: Discovery Publishing House
Release Date : 1994-01-01
Futurology Techniques And Applications written by S. A. Abbasi and has been published by Discovery Publishing House this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1994-01-01 with categories.
A concern for future has always dominated human existence, and continues to do so. Similarly, a fear of the unknown has always been a part of the human psyche. Therefore, future has always inspired curiosity as well as fear. Futurology is a logical outcome of man s obsession with future, and has emerged as a multidisciplinary and transdisciplinary science to help us in studying future. To this end it freely utilises the techniques and tools of basic sciences, applied sciences, and humanities. Contents: Future-Scan, Perspective Planning and Technology Forecasting, Defining Futurology, Forecasting Techniques, Environmental Projects for the Next Century: Implications for Long-term Policy and Research Strategies, The Theory of White Elephants: A Rational Choice Explanation of Policy Failures, Diffusion Models for Technology Forecasting, What We have Learnt About Forecasting and Planning, Perspectives for Ecology Education A Forecasting Study, Growth Forecasting and Environmental Management of a Thermal Power Plant, Energy Forecasting Diagnosing Failures and Examining Criteria for the Future.
Communicating With The Future
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Author : Thomas J. Frey
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2011-10-01
Communicating With The Future written by Thomas J. Frey and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2011-10-01 with Forecasting categories.
Problems Of Contemporary World Futurology
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Author : Vladimir I. Yakunin
language : en
Publisher: Cambridge Scholars Publishing
Release Date : 2011-09-22
Problems Of Contemporary World Futurology written by Vladimir I. Yakunin and has been published by Cambridge Scholars Publishing this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2011-09-22 with Social Science categories.
Humankind has always striven to catch a glimpse of the future. Egyptian priests, Babylonian astrologers, Greek oracles and medieval magicians stared at the sky and tried to foresee the coming catastrophes, relying on certain distributions of the stars. Contemporary fantasists construct models of the future through the pages of their novels and astonish readers with unbelievable pictures of a technocratic society where the very human personality has transformed under the influence of technological advance. However, most of all the previous attempts to foresee the future has remained in the framework of banal superstition or ordinary creative writing. At the same time, the principal question does not cease to be of current interest. Is scientific forecasting of the near and distant future possible? The authors of this book are convinced that it is. On the basis of rigorous methodology, mathematicians, physicians, philosophers and historians demonstrate how the world will look in coming decades and centuries and try to find out if the future can be determined. Along with general philosophical analysis, mathematical modeling is used in order to give the reader a clear and objective vision of the future. The book will be useful for everyone who takes care of his own destiny and the destiny of the next generations.
The Futurist
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Author :
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2003
The Futurist written by and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2003 with Business forecasting categories.