Hysteresis Effects In A Model Of The Phillips Curve

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Hysteresis Effects In A Model Of The Phillips Curve

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Author : Terry O'Shaughnessy
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1993

Hysteresis Effects In A Model Of The Phillips Curve written by Terry O'Shaughnessy and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1993 with Desempleo categories.

Hysteresis Effects In Economic Models

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Author : Wolfgang Franz
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2012-12-06

Hysteresis Effects In Economic Models written by Wolfgang Franz and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2012-12-06 with Business & Economics categories.

This volume is devoted to the hysteresis phenomenon in economic relationships. This topic has received renewed attention in economics especially in the late eigh ties. Since the issue is not settled there is still a growing literature on it. The aim of this volume is to summarize the findings, present new results, and to draw attention to further research. All papers are written for this volume and are not published elsewhere. I am very grateful to all authors and referees without whose prompt and generous help this volume would not appear in the present form. A short summary of each paper is given in section 5 of the overview paper. Konstanz, January 1990 Wolfgang Franz University of Konstanz Contents Hysteresis in Economic Relationships: An Overview W. Franz . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1 Hysteresis in Trade R. Baldwin . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19 Some Evidence on the Membership Hysteresis Hypothesis in Europe M. C. Burda . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 35 Insider-Outsider Influences on Industry Wages D. T. Coe . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 55 Testing for Hysteresis in Unemployment An Unobserved Components Approach A. Jaeger and M. Parkinson. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 77 Unemployment and Deterioration of Human Capital J. Moller . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 91 Hysteresis, Nairn and Long Term Unemployment in Austria P. Neudorfer, K. Pichelmann and M. Wagner . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 109 Hysteresis in Economic Relationships: An Overview l By W. Franz Can the socialist man be created so as not to show any hysteresis trace of his bourgois or peasant past? N. Georgescu-Roegen (l971. p. 126) 1 Introduction The hysteresis phenomenon has received renewed attention in economic science.

Hysteresis In An Open Economy Model

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Author : Terry O'Shaughnessy
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2000

Hysteresis In An Open Economy Model written by Terry O'Shaughnessy and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2000 with categories.

This paper explores the properties of an open economy model in which real exchange rate overshooting has a permanent impact on the rate of unemployment via a hysteresis mechanism. The magnitude of this effect depends on the slope of the short-run Phillips curve, the speed with which expectations adjust in the labour market, and on the speed with which capacity adjusts to changes in capacity utilisation. However, it does not depend on how open the economy is, although the dynamics of the adjustment process including the extent of the initial jump in the exchange rate following a change in monetary policy do depend on this factor.

Hysteresis And Business Cycles

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Author : Ms.Valerie Cerra
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2020-05-29

Hysteresis And Business Cycles written by Ms.Valerie Cerra and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2020-05-29 with Business & Economics categories.

Traditionally, economic growth and business cycles have been treated independently. However, the dependence of GDP levels on its history of shocks, what economists refer to as “hysteresis,” argues for unifying the analysis of growth and cycles. In this paper, we review the recent empirical and theoretical literature that motivate this paradigm shift. The renewed interest in hysteresis has been sparked by the persistence of the Global Financial Crisis and fears of a slow recovery from the Covid-19 crisis. The findings of the recent literature have far-reaching conceptual and policy implications. In recessions, monetary and fiscal policies need to be more active to avoid the permanent scars of a downturn. And in good times, running a high-pressure economy could have permanent positive effects.

Unemployment Hysteresis And The Natural Rate Hypothesis

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Author : Rod Cross
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1988

Unemployment Hysteresis And The Natural Rate Hypothesis written by Rod Cross and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1988 with Employment (Economic theory) categories.

Aimed at economists and students of macroeconomics and labour economics, this collection of essays covers topics ranging from hysteresis and the natural rate to characteristics of the unemployed.

Endogenous Growth Downward Wage Rigidities And Optimal Inflation

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Author : Mirko Abbritti
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2021-08-06

Endogenous Growth Downward Wage Rigidities And Optimal Inflation written by Mirko Abbritti and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2021-08-06 with Business & Economics categories.

Standard New Keynesian (NK) models feature an optimal inflation target well below two percent, limited welfare losses from business cycle fluctuations and long-term monetary neutrality. We develop a NK framework with labour market frictions, endogenous productivity and downward wage rigidity (DWR) which challenges these results. The model features a non-vertical long-run Phillips curve between inflation and unemployment and a trade-off between price distortions and output hysteresis that change the welfare-maximizing inflation level. For a plausible set of parameters, the optimal inflation target is in excess of two percent, a target value commonly used across central banks. Deviations from the optimal target carry welfare costs multiple times higher than in traditional NK models. The main reason is that endogenous growth and DWR generate asymmetric and hysteresis effects on unemployment and output. Price level targeting or a Taylor-rule responding to the unemployment rate can handle better the asymmetric and hysteresis effects in our model and deliver significant welfare gains. Our results are robust to the inclusion of the effective lower bound on the monetary policy interest rate.

Understanding Inflation And The Implications For Monetary Policy

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Author : Jeff Fuhrer
language : en
Publisher: MIT Press
Release Date : 2009-09-11

Understanding Inflation And The Implications For Monetary Policy written by Jeff Fuhrer and has been published by MIT Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2009-09-11 with Business & Economics categories.

Current perspectives on the Phillips curve, a core macroeconomic concept that treats the relationship between inflation and unemployment. In 1958, economist A. W. Phillips published an article describing what he observed to be the inverse relationship between inflation and unemployment; subsequently, the “Phillips curve” became a central concept in macroeconomic analysis and policymaking. But today's Phillips curve is not the same as the original one from fifty years ago; the economy, our understanding of price setting behavior, the determinants of inflation, and the role of monetary policy have evolved significantly since then. In this book, some of the top economists working today reexamine the theoretical and empirical validity of the Phillips curve in its more recent specifications. The contributors consider such questions as what economists have learned about price and wage setting and inflation expectations that would improve the way we use and formulate the Phillips curve, what the Phillips curve approach can teach us about inflation dynamics, and how these lessons can be applied to improving the conduct of monetary policy. Contributors Lawrence Ball, Ben Bernanke, Oliver Blanchard, V. V. Chari, William T. Dickens, Stanley Fischer, Jeff Fuhrer, Jordi Gali, Michael T. Kiley, Robert G. King, Donald L. Kohn, Yolanda K. Kodrzycki, Jane Sneddon Little, Bartisz Mackowiak, N. Gregory Mankiw, Virgiliu Midrigan, Giovanni P. Olivei, Athanasios Orphanides, Adrian R. Pagan, Christopher A. Pissarides, Lucrezia Reichlin, Paul A. Samuelson, Christopher A. Sims, Frank R. Smets, Robert M. Solow, Jürgen Stark, James H. Stock, Lars E. O. Svensson, John B. Taylor, Mark W. Watson

Is Hysteresis Important For U S Unemployment

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Author : John M. Roberts
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1999

Is Hysteresis Important For U S Unemployment written by John M. Roberts and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1999 with Hysteresis (Economics) categories.

Can Hysteresis Explain Different Labour Market Operations Between Europe And The United States

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Author : J. J. Graafland
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1988

Can Hysteresis Explain Different Labour Market Operations Between Europe And The United States written by J. J. Graafland and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1988 with categories.

Inflation And Activity Two Explorations And Their Monetary Policy Implications

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Author : Mr.Olivier J. Blanchard
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2015-11-06

Inflation And Activity Two Explorations And Their Monetary Policy Implications written by Mr.Olivier J. Blanchard and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2015-11-06 with Business & Economics categories.

We explore two issues triggered by the crisis. First, in most advanced countries, output remains far below the pre-recession trend, suggesting hysteresis. Second, while inflation has decreased, it has decreased less than anticipated, suggesting a breakdown of the relation between inflation and activity. To examine the first, we look at 122 recessions over the past 50 years in 23 countries. We find that a high proportion of them have been followed by lower output or even lower growth. To examine the second, we estimate a Phillips curve relation over the past 50 years for 20 countries. We find that the effect of unemployment on inflation, for given expected inflation, decreased until the early 1990s, but has remained roughly stable since then. We draw implications of our findings for monetary policy.