Indonesia Economic Prospects June 2021
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Indonesia Economic Prospects June 2021
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Author : Weltbankgruppe
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2021
Indonesia Economic Prospects June 2021 written by Weltbankgruppe and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2021 with categories.
COVID-19 (coronavirus) has taken a heavy economic and human toll globally and in Indonesia. According to official statistics, over 3.8 million people have died from COVID as of May 2021. The global economy experienced one of the most severe recessions, shrinking by 3.5 percent in 2020 compared to 1.7 percent in 2009 during the global financial crisis. The recession in Indonesia (-2.1 percent) was milder than among Emerging Markets and Developing Economies, EMDEs (-4.3 percent excluding China). Small and medium-sized firms and businesses in contact-intensive services sectors were severely affected. About 1.8 million Indonesians became unemployed between February 2020 and 2021 and another 3.2 million people exited the labour force. Three hundred thousand fewer youth entered the labour market. About 2.8 million people have fallen into poverty as of September 2020 with the government's social assistance program mitigating a potentially worse outcome. Indonesia's recovery has been relatively gradual until the first quarter of 2021 but has accelerated more recently. Indonesia's recovery gap - the difference between real GDP and its pre-crisis trend - narrowed from -7.5 to -7.1 percent between Q2 and Q4 2020. By comparison, the average 'recovery gap' among regional and G20 peers shrank from -13.6 to -5.1 percent. The recovery gap remained elevated at -7.9 percent during the first quarter this year. Consumption and investment growth have been subdued due to the still weak labor market and high uncertainty while trade has recovered more strongly. The recovery gap in contact-intensive services sectors, such as transport and accommodation, has also been elevated compared to manufacturing industries due to social distancing and stronger external demand in manufacturing. But retail sales increased by 11 percent between March and April while the manufacturing continued to expand suggesting a stronger rebound during the second quarter.
Indonesia Economic Prospects June 2022
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Author : World Bank Group
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2022
Indonesia Economic Prospects June 2022 written by World Bank Group and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2022 with categories.
Indonesia's economic recovery from the Corornavirus (COVID-19) pandemic comes amidst an increasingly challenging global environment. Indonesia's growth accelerated at the end of 2021 as the country stepped off from a devastating Delta wave in July-August, ending the year with 3.7 percent growth. The momentum carried into the first quarter of 2022 with the economy growing at 5 percent (yoy) and absorbing a short and sharp increase in Omicron-related COVID cases. Growth drivers since end 2021 have rebalanced gradually from exports and public consumption towards private consumption and investment. Since February, the war in Ukraine has disrupted the global economic environment with rising commodity prices and de-risking in global financial markets. The positive terms-of-trade effect has benefited Indonesia in the near-term through higher export and fiscal earnings. But the country is starting to feel the pressures of rising prices and tightening external finance.
Indonesia Economic Prospects December 2021
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Author : World Bank Group
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2021
Indonesia Economic Prospects December 2021 written by World Bank Group and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2021 with categories.
The Indonesia Economic Prospects (IEP) is a bi-annual World Bank report that assesses recent macroeconomic developments, outlook and risks, as well as specific development challenges for the Indonesian economy. In doing so, the IEP aims to inform the public policy debate and is geared towards a wide audience, including the general public, the government, the private sector, civil society organizations, and other domestic and international stakeholders.
Global Economic Prospects June 2021
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Author : World Bank
language : en
Publisher: World Bank Publications
Release Date : 2021-08-03
Global Economic Prospects June 2021 written by World Bank and has been published by World Bank Publications this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2021-08-03 with Business & Economics categories.
The world economy is experiencing a very strong but uneven recovery, with many emerging market and developing economies facing obstacles to vaccination. The global outlook remains uncertain, with major risks around the path of the pandemic and the possibility of financial stress amid large debt loads. Policy makers face a difficult balancing act as they seek to nurture the recovery while safeguarding price stability and fiscal sustainability. A comprehensive set of policies will be required to promote a strong recovery that mitigates inequality and enhances environmental sustainability, ultimately putting economies on a path of green, resilient, and inclusive development. Prominent among the necessary policies are efforts to lower trade costs so that trade can once again become a robust engine of growth. This year marks the 30th anniversary of the Global Economic Prospects. The Global Economic Prospects is a World Bank Group Flagship Report that examines global economic developments and prospects, with a special focus on emerging market and developing economies, on a semiannual basis (in January and June). Each edition includes analytical pieces on topical policy challenges faced by these economies.
Indonesia Economic Prospects July 2020
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Author : Weltbank
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2020
Indonesia Economic Prospects July 2020 written by Weltbank and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2020 with categories.
The COVID-19 (coronavirus) pandemic and associated containment measures triggered the deepest global recession in eight decades. As many countries implemented lockdowns and travel restrictions, global demand for goods and services plummeted along with tourism flows and commodity prices; supply chains were disrupted; and financial market volatility spiked. The Government of Indonesia also implemented mobility restrictions from mid-March and then a partial lockdown from April to June, preventing many firms and shops from operating, and discouraging many consumers from shopping. Hit by severe external and domestic shocks, economic activity tumbled. Real GDP growth slumped from 5.0 percent yoy in Q4 2019 to 3.0 percent in Q1 2020, the lowest quarterly growth since 2001. Private consumption slowed as mobility restrictions and personal avoidance behavior curbed household consumption. Investment growth also declined with heightened uncertainty and lower commodity prices. There was broad-based slowdown across sectors. Manufacturing, construction and low value-added service sectors including transport, storage, hotels and restaurants, sectors that employ a larger number of workers, all saw a near halving in their sectoral growth rates from Q4 2019. In contrast, growth of modern, knowledge-intensive services sectors, including digital, financial, education and health services accelerated. The slowdown in domestic demand and the unexpected growth in some manufactured exports helped narrow the current account deficit (CAD) to 2.5 percent of GDP in Q1 2020 from 2.7 percent of GDP in Q4 2019. The goods trade surplus soared, as some diversion of manufacturing production from China and higher palm oil prices earlier in the year propped up export values, while imports contracted due to lower consumption and, investment and falling oil prices. With the sudden stop in global travel and transport, both services exports and imports plunged.
Indonesia Economic Prospects December 2020
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Author : Weltbankgruppe
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2020
Indonesia Economic Prospects December 2020 written by Weltbankgruppe and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2020 with categories.
The Indonesian economy is slowly recovering following the partial reopening of the domestic and global economies. But the pace of recovery is uneven across sectors. Several labor market indicators are significantly weaker than before the crisis. The monetary response to the crisis has been strong but involves macro-financial risks that need to be managed. The fiscal response to save lives and livelihoods and stimulate the recovery has been decisive. Albeit relatively low compared to peer countries, public debt is rising, and the fiscal space risks tightening in the absence of reforms. Notwithstanding the policy response, the current pace of recovery indicates that Indonesia will finish this year in recession, the first time in two decades.
Oecd Economic Outlook Volume 2021 Issue 1
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Author : OECD
language : en
Publisher: OECD Publishing
Release Date : 2021-05-31
Oecd Economic Outlook Volume 2021 Issue 1 written by OECD and has been published by OECD Publishing this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2021-05-31 with categories.
The OECD Economic Outlook, Volume 2021 Issue 1, highlights the improved prospects for the global economy due to vaccinations and stronger policy support, but also points to uneven progress across countries and key risks and challenges in maintaining and strengthening the recovery.
Global Economic Prospects June 2019
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Author : World Bank Group
language : en
Publisher: World Bank Publications
Release Date : 2019-07-11
Global Economic Prospects June 2019 written by World Bank Group and has been published by World Bank Publications this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2019-07-11 with Business & Economics categories.
Global growth appears to be stabilizing after a period of marked weakness, but it remains fragile. A modest recovery in emerging market and developing economies continues to be constrained by subdued investment, which is dampening prospects and impeding progress toward achieving critical development goals. Downside risks to the outlook remain elevated, and policymakers continue to face major challenges to boost resilience and foster long-term growth. this issue includes essays on the benefits and risks of government borrowing, recent investment weakness in emerging market and developing economies, the pass-through of currency depreciations to inflation, and the evolution of growth in low-income countries.
Global Economic Prospects January 2020
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Author : World Bank
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2020-01-27
Global Economic Prospects January 2020 written by World Bank and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2020-01-27 with Business & Economics categories.
The global economy is in a broad-based cyclical recovery. Investment, manufacturing and trade are on the rebound. Financing conditions are benign, monetary policies are generally accommodative, and the worst impacts of the recent commodity price collapse have begun to dissipate. However, the global economic outlook remains clouded by a number of risks. These include the possibility of financial market disruptions, rising protectionist sentiment, and heightened geopolitical tensions. Of particular concern is evidence of subdued productivity and slowing potential growth. In addition to discussing global and regional economic developments and prospects, this edition of Global Economic Prospects includes a chapter on the causes of the broad-based slowing of potential growth and suggests remedies. The report also contains Special Focus sections on the impact of the 2014-2016 oil price collapse and the relationship between education demographics and global inequality. Global Economic Prospects is a World Bank Group Flagship Report that examines global economic developments and prospects, with a special focus on emerging market and developing countries, on a semiannual basis (in January and June). The January edition includes in-depth analyses of topical policy challenges faced by these economies, while the June edition contains shorter analytical pieces.
Global Economic Prospects January 2019
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Author : World Bank Group
language : en
Publisher: World Bank Publications
Release Date : 2019-02-12
Global Economic Prospects January 2019 written by World Bank Group and has been published by World Bank Publications this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2019-02-12 with Business & Economics categories.
The outlook for the global economy has darkened. Global financing conditions have tightened, industrial production has moderated, trade tensions have intensified, and some large emerging market and developing economies have experienced significant financial market stress. Faced with these headwinds, the recovery in emerging market and developing economies has lost momentum. Downside risks have become more acute and include the possibility of disorderly financial market movements and an escalation of trade disputes. Debt vulnerabilities in emerging market and developing economies, particularly low-income countries, have increased. More frequent severe weather events would raise the possibility of large swings in international food prices, which could deepen poverty. In this difficult environment, it is of paramount importance for emerging market and developing economies to rebuild policy buffers while laying a stronger foundation for future growth by boosting human capital, promoting trade integration, and addressing the challenges associated with informality,