Inflation Targeting And Exchange Rate Rules In An Open Economy

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Inflation Targeting And Exchange Rate Rules In An Open Economy

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Author : Mr.Eric Parrado
language : en
Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND
Release Date : 2004-02-01

Inflation Targeting And Exchange Rate Rules In An Open Economy written by Mr.Eric Parrado and has been published by INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2004-02-01 with Business & Economics categories.

This paper provides a simple dynamic neo-Keynesian model that can be used to analyze the impact of monetary policy that considers inflation targeting in a small open economy. This economy is characterized by imperfect competition and short-run price rigidity. The main findings of the paper are that, depending on what shocks affect the economy, the effects of inflation targeting on output and inflation volatility depend crucially on the exchange rate regime and the inflation index being targeted. First, in the presence of real shocks, flexible exchange rates dominate managed exchange rates, while for nominal shocks the reverse is true. Second, domestically generated inflation targeting is preferable to CPI inflation targeting, because the former is more stabilizing not only in relation to both measures of inflation, but also to the output gap and the real exchange rate. Finally, flexible inflation targeting outperforms strict inflation targeting in terms of welfare.

Inflation Targeting And Exchange Rate Management In Less Developed Countries

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Author : Mr.Marco Airaudo
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2016-03-08

Inflation Targeting And Exchange Rate Management In Less Developed Countries written by Mr.Marco Airaudo and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2016-03-08 with Business & Economics categories.

We analyze coordination of monetary and exchange rate policy in a two-sector model of a small open economy featuring imperfect substitution between domestic and foreign financial assets. Our central finding is that management of the exchange rate greatly enhances the efficacy of inflation targeting. In a flexible exchange rate system, inflation targeting incurs a high risk of indeterminacy where macroeconomic fluctuations can be driven by self-fulfilling expectations. Moreover, small inflation shocks may escalate into much larger increases in inflation ex post. Both problems disappear when the central bank leans heavily against the wind in a managed float.

Foreign Exchange Intervention As A Monetary Policy Instrument

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Author : Felix Hüfner
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2012-12-06

Foreign Exchange Intervention As A Monetary Policy Instrument written by Felix Hüfner and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2012-12-06 with Business & Economics categories.

Foreign exchange intervention is frequently being used by central banks in countries which have a floating exchange rate. Most theoretical monetary policy models, however, do not take this phenomenon into account. This book contributes to close this gap between theory and practice by interpreting foreign exchange intervention as an additional monetary policy instrument for inflation targeting central banks. In-depth empirical analyses of the foreign exchange operations and interest rate policy of five inflation targeting countries (Australia, Canada, New Zealand, Sweden and the United Kingdom) demonstrate how foreign exchange intervention is used in practice.

Hybrid Inflation Targeting Regimes

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Author : Jorge Restrepo
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2009-10-01

Hybrid Inflation Targeting Regimes written by Jorge Restrepo and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2009-10-01 with Business & Economics categories.

This paper uses a DSGE model to examine whether including the exchange rate explicitly in the central bank's policy reaction function can improve macroeconomic performance. It is found that including an element of exchange rate smoothing in the policy reaction function is helpful both for financially robust advanced economies and for financially vulnerable emerging economies in handling risk premium shocks. As long as the weight placed on exchange rate smoothing is relatively small, the effects on inflation and output volatility in the event of demand and cost-push shocks are minimal. Financially vulnerable emerging economies are especially likely to benefit from some exhange rate smoothing because of the perverse impact of exchange rate movements on activity.

Policy Rules For Open Economies

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Author : Laurence Ball
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1998

Policy Rules For Open Economies written by Laurence Ball and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1998 with Foreign exchange rates categories.

This paper examines the choice of a monetary-policy rule in a simple macroeconomic model. In a closed economy, the optimal policy is a output and inflation. In an open economy, the optimal rule changes in two ways. First, the policy instrument is a Conditions Index the exchange rate. Second, on the right side of the rule, inflation is replaced by filters out the transitory effects of exchange-rate movements. The model also implies that pure inflation targeting is dangerous in an open economy, because it creates large fluctuations in exchange rates and output. Targeting long-run inflation avoids this problem and produces a close approximation to the optimal instrument rule.

Monetary Policy And Exchange Rate Volatility In A Small Open Economy

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Author : Jonas Böhmer
language : en
Publisher: GRIN Verlag
Release Date : 2009-10-02

Monetary Policy And Exchange Rate Volatility In A Small Open Economy written by Jonas Böhmer and has been published by GRIN Verlag this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2009-10-02 with Political Science categories.

Seminar paper from the year 2008 in the subject Business economics - Economic Policy, grade: 1,3, University of Bonn (Wirtschaftspolitische Abteilung der Rechts- und Staatswissenschaftlichen Fakultät), course: Geldtheorie- und politik, language: English, abstract: Does inflation reduce welfare? What is worse, a volatile exchange rate or a high inflation rate? And is the central bank able to drive these variables? These questions are the topic of a paper by Jordi Gali and Tommaso Monacelli, published in 2005 and titled “Monetary Policy and Exchange Rate Volatility in a Small Open Economy”. As apparent by the title Gali and Monacelli (G+M) analyze the influence of monetary policy on the volatility of the exchange rate, more precisely the nominal exchange rate and the terms of trade. For this purpose they create a small open economy with sticky prices of Calvo-type. Due to its minor size this economy does not influence the world economy. However, depending on the degree of openness this economy is affected by the rest of the world. Having specified this framework, G+M introduce three different monetary regimes and evaluate the resulting exchange rate volatilities . Using a central bank loss function G+M rank these three rules according to the implied welfare which shows a positive correlation between welfare and exchange rate volatility. Thence G+M prefer Taylor rules over an exchange rate pegging. To get a general idea of Gali and Monacelli`s argumentation this expose will start in chapter 2 with an abbreviated overlook over G+M’s model of a small open economy. In the following chapter there will be the introduction of the three central bank rules, necessary to close the model, as well as an analysis of the underlying welfare levels. Since the welfare evaluation is based on some special assumptions, chapter 4 will give an overview of recent literature which discusses possible extensions as well as their implications for G+M’s ranking of implied welfare. Concluding chapter 5 will summarize G+M’s most important results as well as evaluate if the possible extensions render G+M’s analysis, respectively their results, worthless.

Exchange Rate Effects And Inflation Targeting In A Small Open Economy

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Author : Reserve Bank of New Zealand
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1999

Exchange Rate Effects And Inflation Targeting In A Small Open Economy written by Reserve Bank of New Zealand and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1999 with Foreign exchange rates categories.

The Role Of The Exchange Rate In Inflation Targeting Emerging Economies

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Author : Anna Nordstrom
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2009-11-24

The Role Of The Exchange Rate In Inflation Targeting Emerging Economies written by Anna Nordstrom and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2009-11-24 with Business & Economics categories.

This paper explores the role of exchange rates in emerging economies with inflation-targeting regimes, an issue that has become especially germane during the current episode of financial turmoil and volatile capital flows. Under inflation targeting, the interest rate is the main monetary policy tool for influencing activity and inflation, and there is little agreement about the appropriate role of the exchange rate.The exchange rate is a more important monetary policy tool for emerging economies that have adopted inflation targeting than it is for inflation-targeting advanced economies. Inflation-targeting emerging economies generally have less flexible exchange rate arrangements and intervene more frequently in the foreign exchange market than their advanced economy counterparts. The enhanced role of the exchange rate reflects these economies' greater vulnerability to exchange rate shocks and their less developed financial markets. However, their sharper focus on the exchange rate may cause some confusion about the commitment of their central banks to achieve the inflation target and may also complicate policy implementation. Global inflation pressures, greater exchange rate volatility, and the financial stresses from the global financial turmoil that began in mid-2007 are heightening these tensions.

Monetary Policy And Exchange Rate Volatility In A Small Open Economy

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Author : Jordi Galí
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2002

Monetary Policy And Exchange Rate Volatility In A Small Open Economy written by Jordi Galí and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2002 with Anti-inflationary policies categories.

We lay out a small open economy version of the Calvo sticky price model, and show how the equilibrium dynamics can be reduced to a tractable canonical system in domestic inflation and the output gap. We employ this framework to analyze the macroeconomic implications of three alternative monetary policy regimes for the small open economy: domestic inflation targeting, CPI targeting and an exchange rate peg. We show that a key difference among these regimes lies in the relative amount of exchange rate volatility that they entail. We also discuss a special case for which domestic inflation targeting constitutes the optimal policy, and where a simple second order approximation to the utility of the representative consumer can be derived and used to evaluate the welfare losses associated with suboptimal regimes.

Monetary Policy Rules For Financially Vulnerable Economies

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Author : Mr.Eduardo Morón
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2003-02-01

Monetary Policy Rules For Financially Vulnerable Economies written by Mr.Eduardo Morón and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2003-02-01 with Business & Economics categories.

One distinguishable characteristic of emerging market economies is that they are not financially robust. These economies are incapable of smoothing out large external shocks, as sudden capital outflows imply large and abrupt swings in the real exchange rate. Using a small open-economy model, this paper examines alternative monetary policy rules for economies with different degrees of liability dollarization. The paper answers the question of how efficient it is to use inflation targeting under high liability dollarization. Our findings suggest that it might be optimal to follow a nonlinear policy rule that defends the real exchange rate in a financially vulnerable economy.