Investor Overconfidence And The Forward Premium Puzzle
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Investor Overconfidence And The Forward Premium Puzzle
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Author : Craig Burnside
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2010
Investor Overconfidence And The Forward Premium Puzzle written by Craig Burnside and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2010 with Confidence categories.
We offer an explanation for the forward premium puzzle in foreign exchange markets based upon investor overconfidence. In the model, overconfident individuals overreact to their information about future inflation, which causes greater overshooting in the forward rate than in the spot rate. Thus, when agents observe a signal of higher future inflation, the consequent rise in the forward premium predicts a subsequent downward correction of the spot rate. The model can explain the magnitude of the forward premium bias and several other stylized facts related to the joint behavior of forward and spot exchange rates. Our approach is also consistent with the availability of profitable carry trade strategies.
Investor Overconfidence And The Forward Discount Puzzle
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Author : Bing Han
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2005
Investor Overconfidence And The Forward Discount Puzzle written by Bing Han and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2005 with Foreign exchange market categories.
Problems In Portfolio Theory And The Fundamentals Of Financial Decision Making
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Author : Leonard C MacLean
language : en
Publisher: World Scientific Publishing Company
Release Date : 2016-09-29
Problems In Portfolio Theory And The Fundamentals Of Financial Decision Making written by Leonard C MacLean and has been published by World Scientific Publishing Company this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2016-09-29 with categories.
This book consists of invaluable introductions, tutorials and problems which are helpful for teaching purposes and have a very broad appeal and usage. The problems cover many aspects of static and dynamic portfolio theory as well as other important subjects such as arbitrage and asset pricing, utility theory, stochastic dominance, risk aversion and static portfolio theory, risk measures, dynamic portfolio theory and asset allocation. This material could be used with important books that cover these topics including MacLean-Ziemba's The Handbook of the Fundamentals of Financial Decision Making, and Ziemba-Vickson's Stochastic Optimization Models in Finance.
Understanding The Forward Premium Puzzle
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Author : Craig Burnside
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2007
Understanding The Forward Premium Puzzle written by Craig Burnside and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2007 with Currency question categories.
High-interest-rate currencies tend to appreciate relative to low-interest-rate currencies. We argue that adverse-selection problems between participants in foreign exchange markets can account for this 'forward premium puzzle.' The key feature of our model is that the adverse selection problem facing market makers is worse when, based on public information, a currency is expected to appreciate.
Complex Systems Modeling And Simulation In Economics And Finance
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Author : Shu-Heng Chen
language : en
Publisher: Springer
Release Date : 2018-11-20
Complex Systems Modeling And Simulation In Economics And Finance written by Shu-Heng Chen and has been published by Springer this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2018-11-20 with Business & Economics categories.
This title brings together frontier research on complex economic systems, heterogeneous interacting agents, bounded rationality, and nonlinear dynamics in economics. The book contains the proceedings of the CEF2015 (21st Computing in Economics in Finance), held 20-22 June 2015 in Taipei, Taiwan, and addresses some of the important driving forces for various emergent properties in economies, when viewed as complex systems. The breakthroughs reported in this book are a result of an interdisciplinary approach and simulation remains the unifying theme for these papers as they deal with a wide range of topics in economics. The text is a valuable addition to the efforts in promoting the complex systems view in economic science. The computational experiments reported in the book are both transparent and replicable. Complex System Modeling and Simulation in Economics and Finance is useful for graduate courses of complex systems, with particular focus on economics and finance. At the same time it serves as a good overview for researchers who are interested in the topic.
Handbook Of Safeguarding Global Financial Stability
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Author : Gerard Caprio
language : en
Publisher: Academic Press
Release Date : 2012-11-27
Handbook Of Safeguarding Global Financial Stability written by Gerard Caprio and has been published by Academic Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2012-11-27 with Business & Economics categories.
Political and social forces exert pressure on our globalized economy in many forms, from formal and informal policies to financial theories and technical models. Our efforts to shape and direct these forces to preserve financial stability reveal much about the ways we perceive the financial economy. The Handbook of Safeguarding Global Financial Stability examines our political economy, particularly the ways in which these forces inhabit our institutions, strategies, and tactics. As economies expand and contract, these forces also determine the ways we supervise and regulate. This high-level examination of the global political economy includes articles about specific countries, crises, and international systems as well as broad articles about major concepts and trends.. Substantial articles by top scholars sets this volume apart from other information sources Diverse international perspectives result in new opportunities for analysis and research Rapidly developing subjects will interest readers well into the future
Expected Returns
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Author : Antti Ilmanen
language : en
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Release Date : 2011-04-20
Expected Returns written by Antti Ilmanen and has been published by John Wiley & Sons this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2011-04-20 with Business & Economics categories.
This comprehensive reference delivers a toolkit for harvesting market rewards from a wide range of investments. Written by a world-renowned industry expert, the reference discusses how to forecast returns under different parameters. Expected returns of major asset classes, investment strategies, and the effects of underlying risk factors such as growth, inflation, liquidity, and different risk perspectives, are also explained. Judging expected returns requires balancing historical returns with both theoretical considerations and current market conditions. Expected Returns provides extensive empirical evidence, surveys of risk-based and behavioral theories, and practical insights.
The Financial Consequences Of Behavioural Biases
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Author : Imad A. Moosa
language : en
Publisher: Springer
Release Date : 2017-10-25
The Financial Consequences Of Behavioural Biases written by Imad A. Moosa and has been published by Springer this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2017-10-25 with Business & Economics categories.
This book provides a concise analysis of behavioural biases and their implications for financial decision making. The book is written in the normative tradition, arguing strongly for the superiority of behavioural finance with respect to explaining observed phenomena in financial markets. It offers some unique features, including a discussion of the issue of conspiracy theory and how behavioural biases lead to belief in conspiracy theories. Lingering belief in the principles of neoclassical finance is attributed in part to the doctrine of publish or perish, which dominates contemporary academia. The offshoots of behavioural finance are discussed in detail, including ecological finance, environmental finance, social finance, experimental finance, neurofinance, and emotional finance. A comprehensive discussion of narcissism is presented where it is demonstrated that narcissistic behaviour is prevalent in the finance industry and that it led to the eruption of the global financial crisis.
Asset Prices And Monetary Policy
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Author : John Y. Campbell
language : en
Publisher: University of Chicago Press
Release Date : 2008-11-15
Asset Prices And Monetary Policy written by John Y. Campbell and has been published by University of Chicago Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2008-11-15 with Business & Economics categories.
Economic growth, low inflation, and financial stability are among the most important goals of policy makers, and central banks such as the Federal Reserve are key institutions for achieving these goals. In Asset Prices and Monetary Policy, leading scholars and practitioners probe the interaction of central banks, asset markets, and the general economy to forge a new understanding of the challenges facing policy makers as they manage an increasingly complex economic system. The contributors examine how central bankers determine their policy prescriptions with reference to the fluctuating housing market, the balance of debt and credit, changing beliefs of investors, the level of commodity prices, and other factors. At a time when the public has never been more involved in stocks, retirement funds, and real estate investment, this insightful book will be useful to all those concerned with the current state of the economy.
Flexible Exchange Rates For A Stable World Economy
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Author : Joseph E. Gagnon
language : en
Publisher: Peterson Institute
Release Date : 2011
Flexible Exchange Rates For A Stable World Economy written by Joseph E. Gagnon and has been published by Peterson Institute this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2011 with Business & Economics categories.
Volatile exchange rates and how to manage them are a contentious topic whenever economic policymakers gather in international meetings. This book examines the broad parameters of exchange rate policy in light of both high-powered theory and real-world experience. What are the costs and benefits of flexible versus fixed exchange rates? How much of a role should the exchange rate play in monetary policy? Why don't volatile exchange rates destabilize inflation and output? The principal finding of this book is that using monetary policy to fight exchange rate volatility, including through the adoption of a fixed exchange rate regime, leads to greater volatility of employment, output, and inflation. In other words, the "cure" for exchange rate volatility is worse than the disease. This finding is demonstrated in economic models, in historical case studies, and in statistical analysis of the data. The book devotes considerable attention to understanding the reasons why volatile exchange rates do not destabilize inflation and output. The book concludes that many countries would benefit from allowing greater flexibility of their exchange rates in order to target monetary policy at stabilization of their domestic economies. Few, if any, countries would benefit from a move in the opposite direction.