Macroeconomic Variables And Common Stock Returns
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Macroeconomic Variables And Common Stock Returns
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Author : Eben Otuteye
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1989
Macroeconomic Variables And Common Stock Returns written by Eben Otuteye and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1989 with categories.
Macroeconomic Variables And Common Stock Returns
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Author : Mark Gertler
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1980
Macroeconomic Variables And Common Stock Returns written by Mark Gertler and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1980 with categories.
Stock Market Response To Unexpected Macroeconomic News
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Author : Mahdi Sadeghi
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 1992-08-01
Stock Market Response To Unexpected Macroeconomic News written by Mahdi Sadeghi and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1992-08-01 with Business & Economics categories.
This paper provides empirical evidence on the relationship between unexpected changes in macroeconomic variables and Australian stock returns over the period 1980-1991. The results suggest that stock returns are positively correlated with any surprise news in the current account deficit, the exchange rate and growth rate of real GDP, and negatively correlated with surprise news about the inflation rate and interest rates. Stock returns are also positively correlated with the unexpected unemployment rate and negatively correlated to revisions in the expected unemployment rate. The results furthermore suggest that market portfolios can detect the impact of common economic shocks better than the portfolios of the two main subsectors of the market.
Do Macroeconomic Variables Have An Effect On The Us Stock Market
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Author : Dennis Sauert
language : en
Publisher: GRIN Verlag
Release Date : 2010-10
Do Macroeconomic Variables Have An Effect On The Us Stock Market written by Dennis Sauert and has been published by GRIN Verlag this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2010-10 with Business & Economics categories.
Seminar paper from the year 2010 in the subject Economics - Case Scenarios, grade: 1.0, Berlin School of Economics, language: English, abstract: The objective of this paper is to examine whether the unanticipated change of specific macroeconomic variables influences the US stock market represented by the S&P 500 using monthly data from 1986 to 2007. Thereby, the performance of the arbitrage pricing theory of Ross (cp. Ross, S., 1976) shall be studied. To explain the behavior of the US stock market return the paper contains the five predefined variables consumer price index (CPI), industrial production index (IPT), money stock M1 (M1), total consumer credit outstanding (TCC) and the term structure of interest rates (Term) which are approximately similar to those variables used by Ross (cp. Chen N. F. et al., 1986, pp. 383-403). Applying the OLS method, it was found that CPI, IPT and Term are negatively related to the US stock return. It was also detected that M1 affects the stock market lagging 8 months and 12 months. However, the test statistics showed that TCC has rather no impact on the US stock market return. To ensure that the ultimate results are not spurious, care will be taken in regards to autocorrelation, multicollinearity, serial correlation as well as heteroskedasticity.
Do Macroeconomic Variables Have An Effect On The Us Stock Market
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Author : Dennis Sauert
language : en
Publisher: GRIN Verlag
Release Date : 2010-10-12
Do Macroeconomic Variables Have An Effect On The Us Stock Market written by Dennis Sauert and has been published by GRIN Verlag this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2010-10-12 with Business & Economics categories.
Seminar paper from the year 2010 in the subject Economics - Case Scenarios, grade: 1.0, Berlin School of Economics, language: English, abstract: The objective of this paper is to examine whether the unanticipated change of specific macroeconomic variables influences the US stock market represented by the S&P 500 using monthly data from 1986 to 2007. Thereby, the performance of the arbitrage pricing theory of Ross (cp. Ross, S., 1976) shall be studied. To explain the behavior of the US stock market return the paper contains the five predefined variables consumer price index (CPI), industrial production index (IPT), money stock M1 (M1), total consumer credit outstanding (TCC) and the term structure of interest rates (Term) which are approximately similar to those variables used by Ross (cp. Chen N. F. et al., 1986, pp. 383-403). Applying the OLS method, it was found that CPI, IPT and Term are negatively related to the US stock return. It was also detected that M1 affects the stock market lagging 8 months and 12 months. However, the test statistics showed that TCC has rather no impact on the US stock market return. To ensure that the ultimate results are not spurious, care will be taken in regards to autocorrelation, multicollinearity, serial correlation as well as heteroskedasticity.
An Empirical Analysis Of The Macroeconomic Variables That Affect Stock Market Returns
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Author : Cyril May
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2004
An Empirical Analysis Of The Macroeconomic Variables That Affect Stock Market Returns written by Cyril May and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2004 with Macroeconomics categories.
The Effect Of Macroeconomic Variables On The Pricing Of Common Stock Under Trending Market Conditions
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Author : Bryan D. Fodor
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2003
The Effect Of Macroeconomic Variables On The Pricing Of Common Stock Under Trending Market Conditions written by Bryan D. Fodor and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2003 with Stocks categories.
Macro Variables And The Components Of Stock Returns
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Author : Paulo F. Maio
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2015
Macro Variables And The Components Of Stock Returns written by Paulo F. Maio and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2015 with categories.
We conduct a decomposition for the stock market return by incorporating the information from 124 macro variables. Using factor analysis, we estimate six common factors and run a VAR containing these factors and financial variables such as the market dividend yield and the T-bill rate. Including the macro factors does not have a significant impact in the estimation of the components of aggregate (excess) stock returns -- cash-flow, discount-rate, and interest-rate news. Using the macro factors in the computation of cash-flow and discount-rate news does not significantly improve the fit of a two-factor ICAPM for the cross-section of stock returns.
Do Macroeconomic Variables Affect Stock Returns In Brics Markets An Ardl Approach
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Author : Vanita Tripathi
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2015
Do Macroeconomic Variables Affect Stock Returns In Brics Markets An Ardl Approach written by Vanita Tripathi and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2015 with categories.
The Arbitrage Pricing Theory (APT) propounded by Ross in 1976 argued for a variety of macro economic variables (sources of systematic risk) in explaining stock returns. In the same vein, this paper examines the relationship between macroeconomic variables (GDP, inflation, interest rate, exchange rate, money supply, and oil prices) and aggregate stock returns in BRICS markets over the period 1995-2014 using quarterly data. We have applied Auto Regressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model to document such a relationship for individual countries as well as for panel data.Contrary to general belief, we find that GDP and inflation are not found to be significantly affecting stock returns in most of BRICS markets mainly because Stock returns generally tend to lead rather than follow GDP and inflation. In line with the theory and literature, we find significant negative impact of interest rate, exchange rate and oil prices on stock returns and a positive impact of money supply.This study would be a valuable addition to the growing body of empirical literature on the subject besides being useful to policy makers, regulators and investment community. Policy makers and regulator should watch out for impact of fluctuations in exchange rate, interest rate, money supply, and oil prices on volatility in their stock markets. Investor can search for arbitrage opportunities in BRICS markets on the basis of these variables but not the basis of GDP or inflation.
The Macroeconomic Variables And Stock Returns
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Author : NADEEM. HUSSAIN SOHAIL (ZAKIR.)
language : de
Publisher: LAP Lambert Academic Publishing
Release Date : 2012-05-08
The Macroeconomic Variables And Stock Returns written by NADEEM. HUSSAIN SOHAIL (ZAKIR.) and has been published by LAP Lambert Academic Publishing this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2012-05-08 with categories.
The study explores long run and short run effects of macroeconomic variables i.e. consumer price index, industrial production, real effective exchange rate, money supply, and three months treasury bills rate on four stock indices i.e. KSE100 index, General index, LSE25 index, and ISE10 index relating three stock exchanges namely Karachi Stock Exchange, Lahore Stock Exchange, and Islamabad Stock Exchange in Pakistan. In order to study the long run and short run relationships Johansen cointegation technique and VECM was applied. The results showed that industrial production has long run positive impact on stock returns in all three markets. Exchange rate was positively affecting all indices except ISE10 index. Inflation was positively related with stock returns at Karachi Stock market, while it was negatively related with rest of the two markets. The money supply affected stock returns negatively, while treasury bills rate had mixed effect. The VECM analysis depicted that it takes more than four months, nine months, five months, and two months for the adjustment of disequilibrium of the previous period in case of KSE100 index, General Index, LSE25 index and ISE10 index respectively.
