Modelling Markets Dynamics
DOWNLOAD
Download Modelling Markets Dynamics PDF/ePub or read online books in Mobi eBooks. Click Download or Read Online button to get Modelling Markets Dynamics book now. This website allows unlimited access to, at the time of writing, more than 1.5 million titles, including hundreds of thousands of titles in various foreign languages. If the content not found or just blank you must refresh this page
Stock Market Modeling And Forecasting
DOWNLOAD
Author : Xiaolian Zheng
language : en
Publisher: Springer
Release Date : 2013-04-09
Stock Market Modeling And Forecasting written by Xiaolian Zheng and has been published by Springer this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2013-04-09 with Technology & Engineering categories.
Stock Market Modeling and Forecasting translates experience in system adaptation gained in an engineering context to the modeling of financial markets with a view to improving the capture and understanding of market dynamics. The modeling process is considered as identifying a dynamic system in which a real stock market is treated as an unknown plant and the identification model proposed is tuned by feedback of the matching error. Like a physical system, a financial market exhibits fast and slow dynamics corresponding to external (such as company value and profitability) and internal forces (such as investor sentiment and commodity prices) respectively. The framework presented here, consisting of an internal model and an adaptive filter, is successful at considering both fast and slow market dynamics. A double selection method is efficacious in identifying input factors influential in market movements, revealing them to be both frequency- and market-dependent. The authors present work on both developed and developing markets in the shape of the US, Hong Kong, Chinese and Singaporean stock markets. Results from all these sources demonstrate the efficiency of the model framework in identifying significant influences and the quality of its predictive ability; promising results are also obtained by applying the model framework to the forecasting of major market-turning periods. Having shown that system-theoretic ideas can form the core of a novel and effective basis for stock market analysis, the book is completed by an indication of possible and likely future expansions of the research in this area.
Econophysics And Data Driven Modelling Of Market Dynamics
DOWNLOAD
Author : Frédéric Abergel
language : en
Publisher: Springer
Release Date : 2015-01-27
Econophysics And Data Driven Modelling Of Market Dynamics written by Frédéric Abergel and has been published by Springer this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2015-01-27 with Science categories.
This book presents the works and research findings of physicists, economists, mathematicians, statisticians, and financial engineers who have undertaken data-driven modelling of market dynamics and other empirical studies in the field of Econophysics. During recent decades, the financial market landscape has changed dramatically with the deregulation of markets and the growing complexity of products. The ever-increasing speed and decreasing costs of computational power and networks have led to the emergence of huge databases. The availability of these data should permit the development of models that are better founded empirically, and econophysicists have accordingly been advocating that one should rely primarily on the empirical observations in order to construct models and validate them. The recent turmoil in financial markets and the 2008 crash appear to offer a strong rationale for new models and approaches. The Econophysics community accordingly has an important future role to play in market modelling. The Econophys-Kolkata VIII conference proceedings are devoted to the presentation of many such modelling efforts and address recent developments. A number of leading researchers from across the globe report on their recent work, comment on the latest issues, and review the contemporary literature.
Modelling Markets Dynamics
DOWNLOAD
Author : Damien Challet
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2000
Modelling Markets Dynamics written by Damien Challet and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2000 with categories.
Stochastic Modelling Of Electricity And Related Markets
DOWNLOAD
Author : Fred Espen Benth
language : en
Publisher: World Scientific
Release Date : 2008
Stochastic Modelling Of Electricity And Related Markets written by Fred Espen Benth and has been published by World Scientific this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2008 with Technology & Engineering categories.
The markets for electricity, gas and temperature have distinctive features, which provide the focus for countless studies. For instance, electricity and gas prices may soar several magnitudes above their normal levels within a short time due to imbalances in supply and demand, yielding what is known as spikes in the spot prices. The markets are also largely influenced by seasons, since power demand for heating and cooling varies over the year. The incompleteness of the markets, due to nonstorability of electricity and temperature as well as limited storage capacity of gas, makes spot-forward hedging impossible. Moreover, futures contracts are typically settled over a time period rather than at a fixed date. All these aspects of the markets create new challenges when analyzing price dynamics of spot, futures and other derivatives. This book provides a concise and rigorous treatment on the stochastic modeling of energy markets. OrnsteinOCoUhlenbeck processes are described as the basic modeling tool for spot price dynamics, where innovations are driven by time-inhomogeneous jump processes. Temperature futures are studied based on a continuous higher-order autoregressive model for the temperature dynamics. The theory presented here pays special attention to the seasonality of volatility and the Samuelson effect. Empirical studies using data from electricity, temperature and gas markets are given to link theory to practice. Sample Chapter(s). A Survey of Electricity and Related Markets (331 KB). Contents: A Survey of Electricity and Related Markets; Stochastic Analysis for Independent Increment Processes; Stochastic Models for the Energy Spot Price Dynamics; Pricing of Forwards and Swaps Based on the Spot Price; Applications to the Gas Markets; Modeling Forwards and Swaps Using the HeathOCoJarrowOCoMorton Approach; Constructing Smooth Forward Curves in Electricity Markets; Modeling of the Electricity Futures Market; Pricing and Hedging of Energy Options; Analysis of Temperature Derivatives. Readership: Researchers in energy and commodity markets, and mathematical finance.
Modelling Markets Dynamics Minority Games And Beyond
DOWNLOAD
Author :
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date :
Modelling Markets Dynamics Minority Games And Beyond written by and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on with categories.
Starting from the El Farol's bar problem, we introduce the minority game, an extremely simple model of competition between adaptive agents. We study its properties, and find that it displays a phase transition with symmetry breaking. An adequate mathematical formalism is introduced and reveals the spin glass nature of the model. We prove that available information is a Lyapunov function for this model. Using mathematical tools of disordered systems' statistical mechanics, we obtain the exact solution of the minority game. In addition, the market impact is shown to be crucially relevant: if the players account for it, they are able to minimize their losses. Several extensions and modifications of the game are studied. In particular, the system globally benefits from the presence of a Darwinist process, and reproduces the biological species life time distribution. The minority game is formally linked to the financial markets. This allows the study of the role of several kinds of agents. For instance, we show that speculators are not parasites, but play an important role in financial markets: they reduce the price's fluctuations and allow people who use the markets for other reasons than pure speculation to obtain fair prices. Finally, the minority game is extended further in order to model more realistically markets dynamics. A price is obtained, which has non-trivial statistical properties.
Handbook Of Financial Markets Dynamics And Evolution
DOWNLOAD
Author : Thorsten Hens
language : en
Publisher: Elsevier
Release Date : 2009-06-12
Handbook Of Financial Markets Dynamics And Evolution written by Thorsten Hens and has been published by Elsevier this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2009-06-12 with Business & Economics categories.
The models of portfolio selection and asset price dynamics in this volume seek to explain the market dynamics of asset prices. Presenting a range of analytical, empirical, and numerical techniques as well as several different modeling approaches, the authors depict the state of debate on the market selection hypothesis. By explicitly assuming the heterogeneity of investors, they present models that are descriptive and normative as well, making the volume useful for both finance theorists and financial practitioners. Explains the market dynamics of asset prices, offering insights about asset management approaches Assumes a heterogeneity of investors that yields descriptive and normative models of portfolio selections and asset pricing dynamics
Computational Methods In Economic Dynamics
DOWNLOAD
Author : Herbert Dawid
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2011-03-23
Computational Methods In Economic Dynamics written by Herbert Dawid and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2011-03-23 with Business & Economics categories.
This volume is centered around the issue of market design and resulting market dynamics. The economic crisis of 2007-2009 has once again highlighted the importance of a proper design of market protocols and institutional details for economic dynamics and macroeconomics. Papers in this volume capture institutional details of particular markets, behavioral details of agents' decision making as well as spillovers between markets and effects to the macroeconomy. Computational methods are used to replicate and understand market dynamics emerging from interaction of heterogeneous agents, and to develop models that have predictive power for complex market dynamics. Finally treatments of overlapping generations models and differential games with heterogeneous actors are provided.
Nonlinear Economic Dynamics And Financial Modelling
DOWNLOAD
Author : Roberto Dieci
language : en
Publisher: Springer
Release Date : 2014-07-26
Nonlinear Economic Dynamics And Financial Modelling written by Roberto Dieci and has been published by Springer this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2014-07-26 with Business & Economics categories.
This book reflects the state of the art on nonlinear economic dynamics, financial market modelling and quantitative finance. It contains eighteen papers with topics ranging from disequilibrium macroeconomics, monetary dynamics, monopoly, financial market and limit order market models with boundedly rational heterogeneous agents to estimation, time series modelling and empirical analysis and from risk management of interest-rate products, futures price volatility and American option pricing with stochastic volatility to evaluation of risk and derivatives of electricity market. The book illustrates some of the most recent research tools in these areas and will be of interest to economists working in economic dynamics and financial market modelling, to mathematicians who are interested in applying complexity theory to economics and finance and to market practitioners and researchers in quantitative finance interested in limit order, futures and electricity market modelling, derivative pricing and risk management.
Growth Dynamics In New Markets
DOWNLOAD
Author : Martin F. G. Schaffernicht
language : en
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Release Date : 2018-07-16
Growth Dynamics In New Markets written by Martin F. G. Schaffernicht and has been published by John Wiley & Sons this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2018-07-16 with Business & Economics categories.
An innovative simulation-based approach for strategic decision making when launching new products Growth Dynamics in New Markets contains a dynamic case study and simulations that reveal what it takes to successfully introduce a product into a new market. Written by experts in the field, the text and companion website include a compelling simulation game and a variety of simulation models. Using the simulation game and computer models, readers are challenged to design and put in place a strategy about product introduction and competitive behavior. The simulation models build on each other to help to arrive at a comprehensive understanding of product uptake as well as market development and competitive dynamics. The authors present different approaches for enhancing the models and offer guidance for applying them to real-world problems. This groundbreaking text clearly shows how to develop maps of dynamic systems, formulate candidate policies and evaluate them based on the simulations. It also reveals how to use computer simulations to understand what decisions could and should be made, when to make them and how intensive they should be. The authors present an interactive approach that: Contains an innovative combination of a case study, simulation game and simulation models for developing the skills to introduce a product to the marketplace Offers targeted questions that help to enhance the understanding of the material presented Presents detailed answers and solutions to a number or real-world business challenges Features video tutorials that explain how the simulation experiments are implemented and interpreted Aids in the development an action-oriented, pragmatic understanding of the underlying forces in business Designed for students of business administration, management, industrial engineering, informatics, engineering, and public policy, Growth Dynamics in New Markets offers an innovative approach that combines the practice of dynamic reasoning and the use of simulation to design and test possible policies.
Modeling Space Market Dynamics
DOWNLOAD
Author : Patric H. Hendershott
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2013
Modeling Space Market Dynamics written by Patric H. Hendershott and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2013 with categories.
Real estate research has a long and extensive history of analyzing space market dynamics. Nonetheless, two areas have been under researched. Regional panels of data have been rarely analyzed. Moreover, due to data constraints, the retail market has been studied much less than other market segments.This paper addresses both of these topics through an analysis of Metropolitan Statistical Area (MSA) level panel data. Our study covers almost three decades of annual retail data for 11 of the largest MSAs of the United States. We estimate a long run rent model and use Error Correction Models for short run rent, vacancy and supply adjustments. We test for differences in local market behavior in both the long run equilibrium relationships and in the short run adjustment processes. We identify two groups of similar markets.
