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Models Data And War


Models Data And War
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War By Numbers


War By Numbers
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Author : Christopher A. Lawrence
language : en
Publisher: U of Nebraska Press
Release Date : 2017-08

War By Numbers written by Christopher A. Lawrence and has been published by U of Nebraska Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2017-08 with History categories.


War by Numbers assesses the nature of conventional warfare through the analysis of historical combat. Christopher A. Lawrence establishes what we know about conventional combat and why we know it. By demonstrating the impact a variety of factors have on combat he moves such analysis beyond the work of Carl von Clausewitz and into modern data and interpretation. Using vast data sets, Lawrence examines force ratios, the human factor in case studies from World War II and beyond, the combat value of superior situational awareness, and the effects of dispersion, among other elements. Lawrence challenges existing interpretations of conventional warfare and shows how such combat should be conducted in the future, simultaneously broadening our understanding of what it means to fight wars by the numbers.



Artificial War


Artificial War
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Author : Andrew Ilachinski
language : en
Publisher: World Scientific
Release Date : 2004

Artificial War written by Andrew Ilachinski and has been published by World Scientific this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2004 with Computers categories.


Military conflicts, particularly land combat, possess the characteristics of complex adaptive systems: combat forces are composed of a large number of nonlinearly interacting parts and are organized in a dynamic command-and-control network; local action, which often appears disordered, self-organizes into long-range order; military conflicts, by their nature, proceed far from equilibrium; military forces adapt to a changing combat environment; and there is no master ?voice? that dictates the actions of every soldier (i.e., battlefield action is decentralized). Nonetheless, most modern ?state of the art? military simulations ignore the self-organizing properties of combat.This book summarizes the results of a multiyear research effort aimed at exploring the applicability of complex adaptive systems theory to the study of warfare, and introduces a sophisticated multiagent-based simulation of combat called EINSTein. EINSTein, whose bottom-up, generative approach to modeling combat stands in stark contrast to the top-down or reductionist philosophy that still underlies most conventional military models, is designed to illustrate how many aspects of land combat may be understood as self-organized, emergent phenomena. Used worldwide by the military operations research community, EINSTein has pioneered the simulation of combat on a small to medium scale by using autonomous agents to model individual behaviors and personalities rather than hardware.



Weapons For Peace Weapons For War


Weapons For Peace Weapons For War
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Author : Cassady B. Craft
language : en
Publisher: Routledge
Release Date : 1999-08-04

Weapons For Peace Weapons For War written by Cassady B. Craft and has been published by Routledge this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1999-08-04 with Business & Economics categories.


First published in 1999. Routledge is an imprint of Taylor & Francis, an informa company.



Gulf War Illnesses Dod S Conclusions About U S Troops Exposure Cannot Be Adequately Supported


Gulf War Illnesses Dod S Conclusions About U S Troops Exposure Cannot Be Adequately Supported
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Author :
language : en
Publisher: DIANE Publishing
Release Date : 2004

Gulf War Illnesses Dod S Conclusions About U S Troops Exposure Cannot Be Adequately Supported written by and has been published by DIANE Publishing this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2004 with categories.


Since the end of the Gulf War in 1991, many of the approximately 700,000 U.S. veterans have experienced undiagnosed illnesses. They attribute these illnesses to exposure to chemical warfare (CW) agents in plumes -- clouds released from the bombing of Iraqi sites. But in 2000, the Department of Defense (DoD) estimated that of the 700,000 veterans, 101,752 troops were potentially exposed. GAO was asked to evaluate the validity of DoD, the Department of Veterans Affairs (VA), and British Ministry of Defense (MOD) conclusions about troops' exposure. The GAO found that DoD's and MOD's conclusions about troops' exposure to CW agents, based on DoD and CIA plume modeling, cannot be adequately supported. The models were not fully developed for analyzing long-range dispersion of CW agents as an environmental hazard. The modeling assumptions as to source term data -- quantity and purity of the agent -- were inaccurate because they were uncertain, incomplete, and nonvalidated. The plume heights used in the modeling were underestimated and so were the hazard areas. Postwar field testing used to estimate the source term data did not realistically simulate the actual conditions of bombings or demolitions. Finally, the results of both DoD and non-DoD models showed wide divergences as to plume size and path. DoD's and VA's conclusion about no association between exposure to CW agents and rates of hospitalization and mortality, based on two epidemiological studies conducted and funded by DoD and VA, also cannot be adequately supported because of study weaknesses. In both studies, flawed criteria -- DoD's plume model and DoD's estimation of potentially exposed troops based on this model -- were used to determine exposure. This may have resulted in large-scale misclassification. GAO recommended that the DoD and the VA not use the plume-modeling data for any other epidemiological studies of the 1991 Gulf War. VA concurred with the recommendation; DoD and the CIA did not concur.



North Korea And The Science Of Provocation


North Korea And The Science Of Provocation
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Author : Robert Daniel Wallace
language : en
Publisher: McFarland
Release Date : 2016-02-09

North Korea And The Science Of Provocation written by Robert Daniel Wallace and has been published by McFarland this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2016-02-09 with Social Science categories.


Why does North Korea routinely turn to provocation to achieve foreign policy goals? Are the actions of the volatile Kim regime predictable, based on logical responses to the conditions faced by North Korea? This book, an examination of the "Hermit Kingdom" over the past 50 years, explains why the Democratic People's Republic of Korea uses hostility and coercion as instruments of foreign policy. Using three case studies and quantitative analysis of more than 2,000 conflict events, the author explores the relationship between North Korea's societal conditions and its propensity for external conflict. These findings are considered in light of diversionary theory, the idea that leaders use external conflict to divert attention from domestic affairs. Analyzing the actions of an isolated state such as North Korea provides a template for conflict scholarship in general.



Monthly Catalog Of United States Government Publications


Monthly Catalog Of United States Government Publications
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Author :
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1981

Monthly Catalog Of United States Government Publications written by and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1981 with Government publications categories.




Social Behavioral Modeling For Complex Systems


Social Behavioral Modeling For Complex Systems
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Author : Paul K. Davis
language : en
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Release Date : 2019-03-13

Social Behavioral Modeling For Complex Systems written by Paul K. Davis and has been published by John Wiley & Sons this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2019-03-13 with Technology & Engineering categories.


This volume describes frontiers in social-behavioral modeling for contexts as diverse as national security, health, and on-line social gaming. Recent scientific and technological advances have created exciting opportunities for such improvements. However, the book also identifies crucial scientific, ethical, and cultural challenges to be met if social-behavioral modeling is to achieve its potential. Doing so will require new methods, data sources, and technology. The volume discusses these, including those needed to achieve and maintain high standards of ethics and privacy. The result should be a new generation of modeling that will advance science and, separately, aid decision-making on major social and security-related subjects despite the myriad uncertainties and complexities of social phenomena. Intended to be relatively comprehensive in scope, the volume balances theory-driven, data-driven, and hybrid approaches. The latter may be rapidly iterative, as when artificial-intelligence methods are coupled with theory-driven insights to build models that are sound, comprehensible and usable in new situations. With the intent of being a milestone document that sketches a research agenda for the next decade, the volume draws on the wisdom, ideas and suggestions of many noted researchers who draw in turn from anthropology, communications, complexity science, computer science, defense planning, economics, engineering, health systems, medicine, neuroscience, physics, political science, psychology, public policy and sociology. In brief, the volume discusses: Cutting-edge challenges and opportunities in modeling for social and behavioral science Special requirements for achieving high standards of privacy and ethics New approaches for developing theory while exploiting both empirical and computational data Issues of reproducibility, communication, explanation, and validation Special requirements for models intended to inform decision making about complex social systems



Examining The Status Of Gulf War Research And Investigations On Gulf War Illnesses


Examining The Status Of Gulf War Research And Investigations On Gulf War Illnesses
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Author : United States. Congress. House. Committee on Government Reform. Subcommittee on National Security, Emerging Threats, and International Relations
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2004

Examining The Status Of Gulf War Research And Investigations On Gulf War Illnesses written by United States. Congress. House. Committee on Government Reform. Subcommittee on National Security, Emerging Threats, and International Relations and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2004 with History categories.




Modern Warfare Intelligence And Deterrence


Modern Warfare Intelligence And Deterrence
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Author : Benjamin Sutherland
language : en
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Release Date : 2012-01-09

Modern Warfare Intelligence And Deterrence written by Benjamin Sutherland and has been published by John Wiley & Sons this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2012-01-09 with Business & Economics categories.


An in-depth look at Western military technology from the experts at The Economist Much has been made of the limitations of Western technology when pitted against today's low-tech insurgencies. Modern Warfare, Intelligence and Deterrence: The Technology That is Transforming Them explores emerging high tech military technologies and places them in the larger context of today's politics, diplomacy, business, and social issues, arguing that, broadly speaking, defense technologies will continue to provide enormous advantages to advanced, Western armed forces. The book is organized into five parts: land and sea, air and space, the computer factor, intelligence and spycraft, and the road ahead (which examines the coming challenges for Western armies, such as new wars against insurgents operating out of civilian areas). Comprised of a selection of the best writing on the subject from The Economist, each section includes an introduction linking the technological developments to civilian matters. Looks at new and emerging military technologies, including the Panzerfaust-3, a German shoulder-fired heat-seeking antitank missile, the MPR-500, an Israeli precision bomb, Russia's Sizzler, an anti-ship missile that can travel 300 kilometers, and many others Explains how military and intelligence technologies are changing the world Edited by Benjamin Sutherland, a writer for The Economist and expert on the social, political, and business implications of new and disruptive technologies A fascinating look at Western military technologies, Modern Warfare, Intelligence and Deterrence is essential reading for business readers and history buffs, alike.



Gulf War Illnesses Preliminary Assessment Of Dod Plume Modeling For U S Troops Exposure To Chemical Agents


Gulf War Illnesses Preliminary Assessment Of Dod Plume Modeling For U S Troops Exposure To Chemical Agents
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Author :
language : en
Publisher: DIANE Publishing
Release Date :

Gulf War Illnesses Preliminary Assessment Of Dod Plume Modeling For U S Troops Exposure To Chemical Agents written by and has been published by DIANE Publishing this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on with categories.