Oil Prices External Income And Growth
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Oil Prices External Income And Growth
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Author : Mr.Kamiar Mohaddes
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2011-12-01
Oil Prices External Income And Growth written by Mr.Kamiar Mohaddes and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2011-12-01 with Business & Economics categories.
This paper extends the long-run growth model of Esfahani et al. (2009) to a labor exporting country that receives large inflows of external income?the sum of remittances, FDI and general government transfers?from major oil-exporting economies. The theoretical model predicts real oil prices to be one of the main long-run drivers of real output. Using quarterly data between 1979 and 2009 on core macroeconomic variables for Jordan and a number of key foreign variables, we identify two long-run relationships: an output equation as predicted by theory and an equation linking foreign and domestic inflation rates. It is shown that real output in the long run is shaped by: (i) oil prices through their impact on external income and in turn on capital accumulation, and (ii) technological transfers through foreign output. The empirical analysis of the paper confirms the hypothesis that a large share of Jordan's output volatility can be associated with fluctuations in net income received from abroad. External factors, however, cannot be relied upon to provide similar growth stimuli in the future, and therefore it will be important to diversify the sources of growth in order to achieve a high and sustained level of income.
The U S Oil Supply Revolution And The Global Economy
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Author : Mr.Kamiar Mohaddes
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2015-12-10
The U S Oil Supply Revolution And The Global Economy written by Mr.Kamiar Mohaddes and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2015-12-10 with Business & Economics categories.
This paper investigates the global macroeconomic consequences of falling oil prices due to the oil revolution in the United States, using a Global VAR model estimated for 38 countries/regions over the period 1979Q2 to 2011Q2. Set-identification of the U.S. oil supply shock is achieved through imposing dynamic sign restrictions on the impulse responses of the model. The results show that there are considerable heterogeneities in the responses of different countries to a U.S. supply-driven oil price shock, with real GDP increasing in both advanced and emerging market oil-importing economies, output declining in commodity exporters, inflation falling in most countries, and equity prices rising worldwide. Overall, our results suggest that following the U.S. oil revolution, with oil prices falling by 51 percent in the first year, global growth increases by 0.16 to 0.37 percentage points. This is mainly due to an increase in spending by oil importing countries, which exceeds the decline in expenditure by oil exporters.
The Impact Of Increase In Oil Price On The Growth Rate Of Output And Inflation
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Author : In June Kim
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1979
The Impact Of Increase In Oil Price On The Growth Rate Of Output And Inflation written by In June Kim and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1979 with Developing countries categories.
The Response Of World Energy And Oil Demand To Income Growth And Changes In Oil Prices
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Author : Joyce Dargay
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1994
The Response Of World Energy And Oil Demand To Income Growth And Changes In Oil Prices written by Joyce Dargay and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1994 with categories.
Oil Prices And The Global Economy
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Author : Mr.Rabah Arezki
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2017-01-27
Oil Prices And The Global Economy written by Mr.Rabah Arezki and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2017-01-27 with Business & Economics categories.
This paper presents a simple macroeconomic model of the oil market. The model incorporates features of oil supply such as depletion, endogenous oil exploration and extraction, as well as features of oil demand such as the secular increase in demand from emerging-market economies, usage efficiency, and endogenous demand responses. The model provides, inter alia, a useful analytical framework to explore the effects of: a change in world GDP growth; a change in the efficiency of oil usage; and a change in the supply of oil. Notwithstanding that shale oil production today is more responsive to prices than conventional oil, our analysis suggests that an era of prolonged low oil prices is likely to be followed by a period where oil prices overshoot their long-term upward trend.
Drivers Of Oil Prices The Usefulness And Limitations Of Non Structural Model The Demand Supply Framework And Informal Approaches
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Author : Bassam Fattouh
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2022
Drivers Of Oil Prices The Usefulness And Limitations Of Non Structural Model The Demand Supply Framework And Informal Approaches written by Bassam Fattouh and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2022 with categories.
The Distributional Implications Of The Impact Of Fuel Price Increases On Inflation
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Author : Mr. Kangni R Kpodar
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2021-11-12
The Distributional Implications Of The Impact Of Fuel Price Increases On Inflation written by Mr. Kangni R Kpodar and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2021-11-12 with Business & Economics categories.
This paper investigates the response of consumer price inflation to changes in domestic fuel prices, looking at the different categories of the overall consumer price index (CPI). We then combine household survey data with the CPI components to construct a CPI index for the poorest and richest income quintiles with the view to assess the distributional impact of the pass-through. To undertake this analysis, the paper provides an update to the Global Monthly Retail Fuel Price Database, expanding the product coverage to premium and regular fuels, the time dimension to December 2020, and the sample to 190 countries. Three key findings stand out. First, the response of inflation to gasoline price shocks is smaller, but more persistent and broad-based in developing economies than in advanced economies. Second, we show that past studies using crude oil prices instead of retail fuel prices to estimate the pass-through to inflation significantly underestimate it. Third, while the purchasing power of all households declines as fuel prices increase, the distributional impact is progressive. But the progressivity phases out within 6 months after the shock in advanced economies, whereas it persists beyond a year in developing countries.
Jordan
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Author : International Monetary Fund
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2012-05-22
Jordan written by International Monetary Fund and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2012-05-22 with Business & Economics categories.
This Selected Issues Paper focuses on economic condition, energy subsidies, and oil prices in Jordan. Energy price subsidies pose a serious fiscal risk in the present context of increasing and volatile international prices. The macroeconomic situation in Jordan is closely tied to that of other countries in the Middle East. From a policy perspective, macroeconomic and structural policies in Jordan should be conducted in such a way that the vulnerability of the country to sudden stops or reversals of external income flows is reduced.
The Future Of Oil And Fiscal Sustainability In The Gcc Region
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Author : Mr.Tokhir N Mirzoev
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2020-02-06
The Future Of Oil And Fiscal Sustainability In The Gcc Region written by Mr.Tokhir N Mirzoev and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2020-02-06 with Business & Economics categories.
The oil market is undergoing fundamental change. New technologies are increasing the supply of oil from old and new sources, while rising concerns over the environment are seeing the world gradually moving away from oil. This spells a significant challenge for oil-exporting countries, including those of the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) who account for a fifth of the world’s oil production. The GCC countries have recognized the need to reduce their reliance on oil and are all implementing reforms to diversify their economies as well as fiscal and external revenues. Nevertheless, as global oil demand is expected to peak in the next two decades, the associated fiscal imperative could be both larger and more urgent than implied by the GCC countries’ existing plans.
Fiscal Regimes For Extractive Industries Design And Implementation
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Author : International Monetary Fund. Fiscal Affairs Dept.
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2012-08-16
Fiscal Regimes For Extractive Industries Design And Implementation written by International Monetary Fund. Fiscal Affairs Dept. and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2012-08-16 with Business & Economics categories.
Better designed and implemented fiscal regimes for oil, gas, and mining can make a substantial contribution to the revenue needs of many developing countries while ensuring an attractive return for investors, according to a new policy paper from the International Monetary Fund. Revenues from extractive industries (EIs) have major macroeconomic implications. The EIs account for over half of government revenues in many petroleum-rich countries, and for over 20 percent in mining countries. About one-third of IMF member countries find (or could find) resource revenues “macro-critical” – especially with large numbers of recent new discoveries and planned oil, gas, and mining developments. IMF policy advice and technical assistance in the field has massively expanded in recent years – driven by demand from member countries and supported by increased donor finance. The paper sets out the analytical framework underpinning, and key elements of, the country-specific advice given. Also available in Arabic: ????? ??????? ?????? ???????? ???????????: ??????? ???????? Also available in French: Régimes fiscaux des industries extractives: conception et application Also available in Spanish: Regímenes fiscales de las industrias extractivas: Diseño y aplicación