Population Projections
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Guide For Local Area Population Projections
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Author : Richard Irwin
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1977
Guide For Local Area Population Projections written by Richard Irwin and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1977 with Population forecasting categories.
State And Local Population Projections
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Author : Stanley K. Smith
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2005-12-21
State And Local Population Projections written by Stanley K. Smith and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2005-12-21 with Social Science categories.
The initial plans for this book sprang from a late-afternoon conversation in a hotel bar. All three authors were attending the 1996 meeting of the Population As- ciation of America in New Orleans. While nursing drinks and expounding on a variety of topics, we began talking about our current research projects. It so happened that all three of us had been entertaining the notion of writing a book on state and local population projections. Recognizing the enormity of the project for a single author, we quickly decided to collaborate. Had we not decided to work together, it is unlikely that this book ever would have been written. The last comprehensive treatment of state and local population projections was Don Pittenger’s excellent work Projecting State and Local Populations (1976). Many changes affecting the production of population projections have occurred since that time. Technological changes have led to vast increases in computing power, new data sources, the development of GIS, and the creation of the Internet. The procedures for applying a number of projection methods have changed considerably, and several completely new methods have been developed.
Population Dynamics And Projection Methods
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Author : John Stillwell
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2011-02-15
Population Dynamics And Projection Methods written by John Stillwell and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2011-02-15 with Social Science categories.
Although the human population growth rate of the world has been declining since peaking in the early 1960s, the populations of individual countries are changing at different rates. Population dynamics at national level are partly determined by levels of fertility and mortality, but the impact of international migration is playing an increasingly important role. Moreover, internal migration plays a major part in population change at the sub-national level. This fourth volume in the series “Understanding Population Trends and Processes” is a celebration of the work of Professor Philip Rees. It contains chapters by contributors who have collaborated with Phil Rees on research or consultancy projects or as postgraduate students. Several chapters demonstrate the technical nature of population projection modelling and simulation methods while others illustrate issues relating to data availability and estimation. This book demonstrates the application of theoretical and modelling methods and addresses key issues relating to contemporary demographic patterns and trends.
Population Projections And Their Accuracy
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Author : Usha D. Agrawal
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2000
Population Projections And Their Accuracy written by Usha D. Agrawal and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2000 with India categories.
A Practitioner S Guide To State And Local Population Projections
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Author : Stanley K. Smith
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2013-12-16
A Practitioner S Guide To State And Local Population Projections written by Stanley K. Smith and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2013-12-16 with Social Science categories.
This book focuses on the methodology and analysis of state and local population projections. It describes the most commonly used data sources and application techniques for four types of projection methods: cohort-component, trend extrapolation, structural models, and microsimulation. It covers the components of population growth, sources of data, the formation of assumptions, the development of evaluation criteria, and the determinants of forecast accuracy. It considers the strengths and weaknesses of various projection methods and pays special attention to the unique problems that characterize small-area projections. The authors provide practical guidance to demographers, planners, market analysts, and others called on to construct state and local population projections. They use many examples and illustrations and present suggestions for dealing with special populations, unique circumstances, and inadequate or unreliable data. They describe techniques for controlling one set of projections to another, for interpolating between time points, for sub-dividing age groups, and for constructing projections of population-related variables (e.g., school enrollment, households). They discuss the role of judgment and the importance of the political context in which projections are made. They emphasize the “utility” of projections, or their usefulness for decision making in a world of competing demands and limited resources. This comprehensive book will provide readers with an understanding not only of the mechanics of the most commonly used population projection methods, but also of the many complex issues affecting their construction, interpretation, evaluation, and use.
New Population And Labour Force Projections And Policy Implications For Singapore
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Author : Saw Swee-Hock
language : en
Publisher: Institute of Southeast Asian Studies
Release Date : 1987
New Population And Labour Force Projections And Policy Implications For Singapore written by Saw Swee-Hock and has been published by Institute of Southeast Asian Studies this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1987 with Employment forecasting categories.
An updated set of population projections using population estimates by sex and age as well as fertility indices for 1985. Use is also made of the 1985 labour-force survey.
Demographic Projection Techniques For Regions And Smaller Areas
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Author : H. Craig Davis
language : en
Publisher: UBC Press
Release Date : 1995
Demographic Projection Techniques For Regions And Smaller Areas written by H. Craig Davis and has been published by UBC Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1995 with Political Science categories.
In Chapter 3, the author outlines a four-step projection procedure which is used throughout the remainder of the book. Chapter 4 describes how to project population size by comparing the growth pattern of the population under study with that of another population. The next chapter covers one of the most commonly employed techniques of population projection - the cohort-survival model, which is used not only to project the size of a population but also its composition in terms of age and sex groupings. The final chapter focuses on migration, generally the most volatile component of the basic demographic equation. Primarily written for courses in planning, this book is also useful for anyone having to make decisions affected by population trends, whether they involve planning for future growth or alerting local decisionmakers to external uncertainties that could have a serious impact on the future of their community.
Asia Region Population Projections
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Author :
language : en
Publisher: World Bank Publications
Release Date : 1989
Asia Region Population Projections written by and has been published by World Bank Publications this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1989 with categories.
Beyond Six Billion
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Author : National Research Council
language : en
Publisher: National Academies Press
Release Date : 2000-10-11
Beyond Six Billion written by National Research Council and has been published by National Academies Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2000-10-11 with Social Science categories.
Is rapid world population growth actually coming to an end? As population growth and its consequences have become front-page issues, projections of slowing growth from such institutions as the United Nations and the World Bank have been called into question. Beyond Six Billion asks what such projections really say, why they say it, whether they can be trusted, and whether they can be improved. The book includes analysis of how well past U.N. and World Bank projections have panned out, what errors have occurred, and why they have happened. Focusing on fertility as one key to accurate projections, the committee examines the transition from high, constant fertility to low fertility levels and discusses whether developing countries will eventually attain the very low levels of births now observed in the industrialized world. Other keys to accurate projections, predictions of lengthening life span and of the impact of international migration on specific countries, are also explored in detail. How good are our methods of population forecasting? How can we cope with the inevitable uncertainty? What population trends can we anticipate? Beyond Six Billion illuminates not only the forces that shape population growth but also the accuracy of the methods we use to quantify these forces and the uncertainty surrounding projections. The Committee on Population was established by the National Academy of Sciences (NAS) in 1983 to bring the knowledge and methods of the population sciences to bear on major issues of science and public policy. The committee's work includes both basic studies of fertility, health and mortality, and migration; and applied studies aimed at improving programs for the public health and welfare in the United States and in developing countries. The committee also fosters communication among researchers in different disciplines and countries and policy makers in government, international agencies, and private organizations. The work of the committee is made possible by funding from several government agencies and private foundations.
Recommendations On Communicating Population Projections
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Author : United Nations Publications
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2019-05-17
Recommendations On Communicating Population Projections written by United Nations Publications and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2019-05-17 with Political Science categories.
This publication contains a series of good practices and recommendations on effectively communicating the results of population projections. Here, "communication" encompasses not only how projections should be disseminated to users, but also what should be communicated. The aim is to improve the coherence between what is produced by national statistical offices and what is needed by users, planners and decision makers.