Robust Energy And Climate Modeling For Policy Assessment
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Robust Energy And Climate Modeling For Policy Assessment
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Author : Claire Nicolas
language : fr
Publisher:
Release Date : 2016
Robust Energy And Climate Modeling For Policy Assessment written by Claire Nicolas and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2016 with categories.
La plupart des exercices d'analyse de politiques climatiques ou énergétiques font appelà des modèles dits "d'évaluation intégrée" (MEIs). Ces modèles économie-énergie-climat sont des modèles numériques pluridisciplinaires destinés à étudier lesquestions liées au changement climatique et à sa gestion. Socles d'une accumulationde connaissance, ils ont une visée prospective et aident à traduire les débatsqualitatifs des instances de décisions nationales et internationales en un ensemble dedonnées quantitatives, scientifiquement vérifiables. Leur faible capacité à prendre encompte les incertitudes inhérentes à tout exercice de prospective mais aussi leur tropgrande complexité expliquent pourquoi ces MEIs sont si souvent décriés et leurutilisation remise en question.Ce constat a guidé nos travaux dont l'objectif était de contribuer à améliorer larobustesse des MEIs, afin de renforcer la pertinence de leur utilisation pour l'analysede l'impact de politiques économiques sur le climat-énergie. Nous avons d'abordexaminé comment ces modèles participent aux débats sur le changement climatique etcomment améliorer leur utilisation. Nous avons retracé la genèse de ces modèles etleur évolution et analysé les principales critiques qui leur sont adressées. Dans unsecond temps, nous nous sommes focalisés sur l'un des principaux reproches faits auxMEIs : le traitement de l'incertitude. Sur la base de ces analyses, nous avons mis enoeuvre une approche récente de traitement des problèmes d'incertitude paramétrique:l'optimisation robuste, méthode encore très peu utilisée dans le cadre d'étudesprospectives.
Climate Policy Assessment
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Author : Mikiko Kainuma
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2011-06-28
Climate Policy Assessment written by Mikiko Kainuma and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2011-06-28 with Science categories.
The Asia–Pacific Integrated Model (AIM) brings together more than 20 computer simulation models for development and analysis of policy in such diverse fields as climate change mitigation, air pollution abatement, and ecosystem preservation. This first book in a series on the development of AIM focuses on climate change issues and the evaluation of policy options to stabilize the global climate. It presents an overview of the models developed to date, their structure, and the results and analyses presented to policymakers and researchers at the levels of individual Asian countries, the Asia–Pacific region, and the world at large. The contents vary in scope from local to global issues, with discussions of the effects of climate policies, cost analyses of climate policies with their effects on trade, and global scenario analyses. Also included are impact analyses and the effects of promoting environmental technologies.
Decision Making Under Deep Uncertainty
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Author : Vincent A. W. J. Marchau
language : en
Publisher: Springer
Release Date : 2019-04-04
Decision Making Under Deep Uncertainty written by Vincent A. W. J. Marchau and has been published by Springer this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2019-04-04 with Business & Economics categories.
This open access book focuses on both the theory and practice associated with the tools and approaches for decisionmaking in the face of deep uncertainty. It explores approaches and tools supporting the design of strategic plans under deep uncertainty, and their testing in the real world, including barriers and enablers for their use in practice. The book broadens traditional approaches and tools to include the analysis of actors and networks related to the problem at hand. It also shows how lessons learned in the application process can be used to improve the approaches and tools used in the design process. The book offers guidance in identifying and applying appropriate approaches and tools to design plans, as well as advice on implementing these plans in the real world. For decisionmakers and practitioners, the book includes realistic examples and practical guidelines that should help them understand what decisionmaking under deep uncertainty is and how it may be of assistance to them. Decision Making under Deep Uncertainty: From Theory to Practice is divided into four parts. Part I presents five approaches for designing strategic plans under deep uncertainty: Robust Decision Making, Dynamic Adaptive Planning, Dynamic Adaptive Policy Pathways, Info-Gap Decision Theory, and Engineering Options Analysis. Each approach is worked out in terms of its theoretical foundations, methodological steps to follow when using the approach, latest methodological insights, and challenges for improvement. In Part II, applications of each of these approaches are presented. Based on recent case studies, the practical implications of applying each approach are discussed in depth. Part III focuses on using the approaches and tools in real-world contexts, based on insights from real-world cases. Part IV contains conclusions and a synthesis of the lessons that can be drawn for designing, applying, and implementing strategic plans under deep uncertainty, as well as recommendations for future work. The publication of this book has been funded by the Radboud University, the RAND Corporation, Delft University of Technology, and Deltares.
Climate Policy Assessment For India
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Author :
language : en
Publisher: Universities Press
Release Date : 2004
Climate Policy Assessment For India written by and has been published by Universities Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2004 with Asian-Pacific Integrated Model categories.
The Asia-Pacific Integrated Model (Aim) Brings Together Models Belonging To Diverse Disciplines For Analysing Policies On Climate Change, Pollution Management And Ecosystems Preservation. The Focus Of Aim Is On National And Regional Policy Assessments In The Asia-Pacific Region And Their Interface With Global Economic And Environmental Regimes. In This Book, Climate Change Policy Assessment Studies For India Using Top-Down (Macroeconomic) And Bottom-Up (Techno-Economic) Models Belonging To The Aim Family Are Presented. The Book Will Be Of Particular Interest To Policymakers, Modelers, Researchers And Research Networks Interested In The Areas Of Development, Energy, Environment And Climate Change.
Climate Change And Cities
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Author : Cynthia Rosenzweig
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2018-03-29
Climate Change And Cities written by Cynthia Rosenzweig and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2018-03-29 with Nature categories.
Climate Change and Cities bridges science-to-action for climate change adaptation and mitigation efforts in cities around the world.
Integrated Assessment Models Of Climate Change Economics
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Author : Zheng Wang
language : en
Publisher: Springer
Release Date : 2017-03-10
Integrated Assessment Models Of Climate Change Economics written by Zheng Wang and has been published by Springer this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2017-03-10 with Business & Economics categories.
This book describes the principles of integrated assessment models (IAM) for climate change economics and introduces various computable models for different development mechanisms under climate change governance. The authors present several new models they have constructed based on the RICE framework, specifically the MRICES((multi-factor RICE)) and EMRICES models, which incorporate global economic interactions into the RICE framework, and the CINCIA model, which describes technological advances and industrial structure evolution, introducing the mechanism of evolutionary economics. The models discussed in the book help governments and policy-makers tackle climate change and take positive measures on climate governance as well as promote economic and social development to narrow the gaps between countries.
Understanding Risks And Uncertainties In Energy And Climate Policy
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Author : Haris Doukas
language : en
Publisher: Springer
Release Date : 2018-12-10
Understanding Risks And Uncertainties In Energy And Climate Policy written by Haris Doukas and has been published by Springer this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2018-12-10 with Business & Economics categories.
This open access book analyzes and seeks to consolidate the use of robust quantitative tools and qualitative methods for the design and assessment of energy and climate policies. In particular, it examines energy and climate policy performance and associated risks, as well as public acceptance and portfolio analysis in climate policy, and presents methods for evaluating the costs and benefits of flexible policy implementation as well as new framings for business and market actors. In turn, it discusses the development of alternative policy pathways and the identification of optimal switching points, drawing on concrete examples to do so. Lastly, it discusses climate change mitigation policies’ implications for the agricultural, food, building, transportation, service and manufacturing sectors.
Buying Greenhouse Insurance
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Author : Alan Sussmann Manne
language : en
Publisher: MIT Press
Release Date : 1992
Buying Greenhouse Insurance written by Alan Sussmann Manne and has been published by MIT Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1992 with Business & Economics categories.
, Buying Greenhouse Insurance outlines a way to think about greenhouse-effect decisions under uncertainty. It describes an insightful model for determining the economic costs of limiting carbon dioxide emissions produced by burning fossil fuels and provides a solid analytical base for rethinking public policy on the farreaching issue of global warming. In recent years a growing concern that the increasing accumulation of greenhouse gases will lead to undesirable changes in global climate has resulted in a number of proposals, both in the United States and internationally, to set physical targets for reducing greenhouse gas emissions. But what will these proposals cost? Based on the authors' earlier ground-breaking work, Buying Greenhouse Insurance outlines a way to think about greenhouse-effect decisions under uncertainty. It describes an insightful model for determining the economic costs of limiting carbon dioxide emissions produced by burning fossil fuels and provides a solid analytical base for rethinking public policy on the farreaching issue of global warming. Manne and Richels present region-by-region estimates of the costs that would underlie an international agreement. Using a computer model known as Global 2100, they analyze the economic impacts of limiting C02 emissions under alternative supply and conservation scenarios. The results clearly indicate that a reduction in emissions is not the sole policy response to potential climate change. Following a summary of the greenhouse effect, its likely causes, and possible consequences, Manne and Richels take up issues that concern the public at large. They provide an overview of Global 2100, look at how the U.S. energy sector is likely to evolve under businessas-usual conditions and under carbon constraints, and describe the concept of "greenhouse insurance." They consider possible global agreements, including an estimate of benefits that might result from trading in an international market in emission rights. They conclude with a technical description directed toward modeling specialists.
The European Commission S Energy And Climate Policy
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Author : J. Dreger
language : en
Publisher: Springer
Release Date : 2014-05-07
The European Commission S Energy And Climate Policy written by J. Dreger and has been published by Springer this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2014-05-07 with Political Science categories.
This book offers a deep insight into the genesis and development of the European Commission's energy and climate legislation, focusing on the interplay of politics and science. How does the Commission react when confronted with knowledge? According to the author, the Commission functions as catalyst transforming knowledge into politics.
Confronting Climate Uncertainty In Water Resources Planning And Project Design
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Author : Patrick A. Ray
language : en
Publisher: World Bank Publications
Release Date : 2015-08-20
Confronting Climate Uncertainty In Water Resources Planning And Project Design written by Patrick A. Ray and has been published by World Bank Publications this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2015-08-20 with Business & Economics categories.
Confronting Climate Uncertainty in Water Resources Planning and Project Design describes an approach to facing two fundamental and unavoidable issues brought about by climate change uncertainty in water resources planning and project design. The first is a risk assessment problem. The second relates to risk management. This book provides background on the risks relevant in water systems planning, the different approaches to scenario definition in water system planning, and an introduction to the decision-scaling methodology upon which the decision tree is based. The decision tree is described as a scientifically defensible, repeatable, direct and clear method for demonstrating the robustness of a project to climate change. While applicable to all water resources projects, it allocates effort to projects in a way that is consistent with their potential sensitivity to climate risk. The process was designed to be hierarchical, with different stages or phases of analysis triggered based on the findings of the previous phase. An application example is provided followed by a descriptions of some of the tools available for decision making under uncertainty and methods available for climate risk management. The tool was designed for the World Bank but can be applicable in other scenarios where similar challenges arise.