Scenario Analysis And Valuation In A Decision Making Context
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Scenario Analysis And Valuation In A Decision Making Context
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Author : Alexander Koefoed
language : da
Publisher:
Release Date : 2010
Scenario Analysis And Valuation In A Decision Making Context written by Alexander Koefoed and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2010 with categories.
Unless success is achieved in operational excellence and integration into new markets. For the industry of hearing aids there is a clear tendency to seek new product solutions and vertical integration into distribution. Here, it is argued that Resound is better off by implementing an adapting strategy ensuring its market share and reduced cost of capital unless this will severely affect its operating margins in which case Resound is better off by focusing on operations. Using the dynamics of logic behind the value drivers in this manner decision making is improved at a level different from what a traditional single point estimation valuation provides.
Scenario Analysis In Risk Management
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Author : Bertrand K. Hassani
language : en
Publisher: Springer
Release Date : 2016-10-26
Scenario Analysis In Risk Management written by Bertrand K. Hassani and has been published by Springer this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2016-10-26 with Business & Economics categories.
This book focuses on identifying and explaining the key determinants of scenario analysis in the context of operational risk, stress testing and systemic risk, as well as management and planning. Each chapter presents alternative solutions to perform reliable scenario analysis. The author also provides technical notes and describes applications and key characteristics for each of the solutions. In addition, the book includes a section to help practitioners interpret the results and adjust them to real-life management activities. Methodologies, including those derived from consensus strategies, extreme value theory, Bayesian networks, Neural networks, Fault Trees, frequentist statistics and data mining are introduced in such a way as to make them understandable to readers without a quantitative background. Particular emphasis is given to the added value of the implementation of these methodologies.
Value Added Decision Making For Managers
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Author : Kenneth Chelst
language : en
Publisher: CRC Press
Release Date : 2011-10-05
Value Added Decision Making For Managers written by Kenneth Chelst and has been published by CRC Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2011-10-05 with Business & Economics categories.
Developed from the authors’ longstanding course on decision and risk analysis, Value-Added Decision Making for Managers explores the important interaction between decisions and management action and clarifies the barriers to rational decision making. The authors analyze strengths and weaknesses of the best alternatives, enabling decision makers to improve on these alternatives by adding value and reducing risk. The core of the text addresses decisions that involve selecting the best alternative from diverse choices. The decisions include buying a car, picking a supplier or home contractor, selecting a technology, picking a location for a manufacturing plant or sports stadium, hiring an employee or selecting among job offers, deciding on the size of a sales force, making a late design change, and sourcing to emerging markets. The book also covers more complex decisions arising in negotiations, strategy, and ethics that involve multiple dimensions simultaneously. Numerous activities interspersed throughout the text highlight real-world situations, helping readers see how the concepts presented can be used in their own work environment or personal life. Each chapter also includes discussion questions and references. Web Resource The book’s website at http://ise.wayne.edu/research/decision.php offers tutorials of Logical Decisions software for multi-objective decisions and Precision Tree software for probabilistic decisions. Directions for downloading student versions of the DecisionTools Suite and Logical Decisions software can be found in the appendices. Password-protected PowerPoint presentations for each chapter and solutions to all of the numeric examples are available for instructors.
Scenario Thinking
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Author : G. Wright
language : en
Publisher: Springer
Release Date : 2011-05-03
Scenario Thinking written by G. Wright and has been published by Springer this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2011-05-03 with Business & Economics categories.
Presents new methods in scenario thinking, based on a mix of high-level research and top-level consultancy experience. The authors describe the logical bases of a range of scenario methods and provide detailed 'road maps' on how to implement them - together with practical examples of their application.
Analysis Without Paralysis
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Author : Babette E. Bensoussan
language : en
Publisher: FT Press
Release Date : 2012-09-17
Analysis Without Paralysis written by Babette E. Bensoussan and has been published by FT Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2012-09-17 with Business & Economics categories.
Since the publication of the original edition, the importance of interpreting business data has become mission critical for professionals in all types of businesses. These professionals have discovered the benefits of business analysis to address their organizations most crucial strategic and tactical challenges. The Second Edition of this successful guide to business analysis, shows readers how to apply analytical tools without having to mire themselves in advanced math or arcane theory. Analysis Without Paralysis teaches readers the fundamentals of business analysis through the use of 12 core tools. Each tool will make the way readers assess and interpret their business’ data more effective, accurate, and actionable. Accessibly written, the authors walk readers through the entire business analysis process and then explain each of today’s most valuable analysis tools so business professionals will be able to make better decisions about their company’s strategy and operations--and achieve better results. The Second Edition includes three new analytical tools and updates all of the prior edition’s data and examples. For each tool, the authors present clear descriptions, context, rationales, strengths, weaknesses, step-by-step instructions, and case study examples. "This title should be on any business manager’s shelf wanting to make better decisions using analysis." --UK Competitive Intelligence Forum (UK CIF)
Cost Benefit Analysis For Public Sector Decision Makers
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Author : Diana Fuguitt
language : en
Publisher: Praeger
Release Date : 1999-10-30
Cost Benefit Analysis For Public Sector Decision Makers written by Diana Fuguitt and has been published by Praeger this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1999-10-30 with Business & Economics categories.
Fuguitt and Wilcox skillfully guide analysts, public sector managers, and students of decision-making through a full range of the essential steps to perform, interpret, and assess cost-benefit analysis. Their book shows how to grasp the principles of cost-benefit analysis and several related economic valuation methods, how to apply them in undertaking an objective analysis, and how to use the analysis as a decision-making tool across a wide range of fields and applications. An extensive knowledge of economic theory, calculus or advanced graphical analysis is not needed to understand the principles or techniques. Accessible to those who understand basic algebra and have a beginner's hold on statistics, the book also provides a bridge to the more advanced literature in economics and to other analyses used to perform sophisticated valuations. A unique, much-needed presentation of all that is required to gain an immediate, useful understanding of the topic. The authors explain basic economic concepts and show how they are relevant to understanding an analytical approach. They enumerate principles and detail such technical components as with and without analysis, discounting, decision criteria and uncertainty assessment. The book provides especially extensive coverage of the contingent valuation method along with market valuation, the travel cost and property value methods, human life valuation, and cost-effectiveness analysis. They explain empirical methods used to perform these valuation techniques and cover survey and regression analysis as well. Most importantly, Fuguitt and Wilcox treat the topic within its real-world context—as a decision-making tool to assess a particular policy's efficiency and to provide the decision maker with necessary information. Trade-offs between efficiency and other policy objectives are also addressed, as is the interdisciplinary setting within which cost-benefit analysis is interpreted, enabling readers to understand that policy advocates and adversaries bring their own values and competing interests to bear on any decision-making process.
Models Of Scenario Building And Planning
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Author : A. Martelli
language : en
Publisher: Springer
Release Date : 2014-10-01
Models Of Scenario Building And Planning written by A. Martelli and has been published by Springer this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2014-10-01 with Business & Economics categories.
Models of Scenario Building and Planning offers a unique and innovative exploration of the scenario approach. The book focuses on the analysis of the competitors' behavior; the analysis of risk and uncertainty; and the link between scenarios and strategies.
Managing Project Risk And Uncertainty
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Author : Chris Chapman
language : en
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Release Date : 2002-10-11
Managing Project Risk And Uncertainty written by Chris Chapman and has been published by John Wiley & Sons this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2002-10-11 with Business & Economics categories.
This title confidently puts forward a practical, new approach to decision making in an uncertain business world. Many variables are accounted for and the authors are innovative in integrating previous types of decision-making approaches with a more fluid, and therefore realistic model that can be applied across a wide range of contexts and decisions. A new title on a important topic that not only stands well on its own, but also complements Chapman and Ward's previous title Project Risk Management. This book is practical and rigorous yet written in an engaging way. It is perfect for courses, or to be used by practitioners.
The Essence Of Scenarios
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Author : Roland Kupers
language : en
Publisher: Amsterdam University Press
Release Date : 2015-12-15
The Essence Of Scenarios written by Roland Kupers and has been published by Amsterdam University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2015-12-15 with Social Science categories.
In 1965, Royal Dutch Shell started experimenting with a new approach to preparing for the future. This approach, called scenario planning, eschewed forecasting in favor of plausible alternative stories. By using stories, or scenarios, Shell aimed to avoid the false assumption that the future would look much like the presentan assumption that marred most corporate planning at the time. The Essence of Scenarios offers unmatched insight into the companys innovative practice, which still has a huge influence on the way businesses, governments, and other organizations think about and plan for the future. In the course of their research, Angela Wilkinson and Roland Kupers interviewed almost every living veteran of the Shell scenario planning operation, along with many top Shell executives from later periods. Drawing on these interviews, the authors identify several principles that characterize the Shell process and explain how it has survived and thrived for so long. They also enumerate the qualities of successful Shell scenarios, which above all must be plausible stories with logical trajectories. Ultimately, Wilkinson and Kupers demonstrate the value of scenario planning as a sustained practice, rather than as a one-off exercise.
Scenarios
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Author : Wack
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1985
Scenarios written by Wack and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1985 with categories.