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Short Term Electric Load Forecasting By Using Multi Layer Feed Forward Neural Network


Short Term Electric Load Forecasting By Using Multi Layer Feed Forward Neural Network
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Short Term Electric Load Forecasting By Using Multi Layer Feed Forward Neural Network


Short Term Electric Load Forecasting By Using Multi Layer Feed Forward Neural Network
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Author : Marvin Herbert Wibisono
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2004

Short Term Electric Load Forecasting By Using Multi Layer Feed Forward Neural Network written by Marvin Herbert Wibisono and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2004 with categories.




Recurrent Neural Networks For Short Term Load Forecasting


Recurrent Neural Networks For Short Term Load Forecasting
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Author : Filippo Maria Bianchi
language : en
Publisher: Springer
Release Date : 2017-11-09

Recurrent Neural Networks For Short Term Load Forecasting written by Filippo Maria Bianchi and has been published by Springer this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2017-11-09 with Computers categories.


The key component in forecasting demand and consumption of resources in a supply network is an accurate prediction of real-valued time series. Indeed, both service interruptions and resource waste can be reduced with the implementation of an effective forecasting system. Significant research has thus been devoted to the design and development of methodologies for short term load forecasting over the past decades. A class of mathematical models, called Recurrent Neural Networks, are nowadays gaining renewed interest among researchers and they are replacing many practical implementations of the forecasting systems, previously based on static methods. Despite the undeniable expressive power of these architectures, their recurrent nature complicates their understanding and poses challenges in the training procedures. Recently, new important families of recurrent architectures have emerged and their applicability in the context of load forecasting has not been investigated completely yet. This work performs a comparative study on the problem of Short-Term Load Forecast, by using different classes of state-of-the-art Recurrent Neural Networks. The authors test the reviewed models first on controlled synthetic tasks and then on different real datasets, covering important practical cases of study. The text also provides a general overview of the most important architectures and defines guidelines for configuring the recurrent networks to predict real-valued time series.



Short Term Load Forecasting By Artificial Intelligent Technologies


Short Term Load Forecasting By Artificial Intelligent Technologies
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Author : Wei-Chiang Hong
language : en
Publisher: MDPI
Release Date : 2019-01-29

Short Term Load Forecasting By Artificial Intelligent Technologies written by Wei-Chiang Hong and has been published by MDPI this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2019-01-29 with categories.


This book is a printed edition of the Special Issue "Short-Term Load Forecasting by Artificial Intelligent Technologies" that was published in Energies



Short Term Forecasting Of Electric Loads Using Nonlinear Autoregressive Artificial Neural Networks With Exogenous Vector Inputs


Short Term Forecasting Of Electric Loads Using Nonlinear Autoregressive Artificial Neural Networks With Exogenous Vector Inputs
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Author :
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2017

Short Term Forecasting Of Electric Loads Using Nonlinear Autoregressive Artificial Neural Networks With Exogenous Vector Inputs written by and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2017 with categories.


Short-term load forecasting is crucial for the operations planning of an electrical grid. Forecasting the next 24 h of electrical load in a grid allows operators to plan and optimize their resources. The purpose of this study is to develop a more accurate short-term load forecasting method utilizing non-linear autoregressive artificial neural networks (ANN) with exogenous multi-variable input (NARX). The proposed implementation of the network is new: the neural network is trained in open-loop using actual load and weather data, and then, the network is placed in closed-loop to generate a forecast using the predicted load as the feedback input. Unlike the existing short-term load forecasting methods using ANNs, the proposed method uses its own output as the input in order to improve the accuracy, thus effectively implementing a feedback loop for the load, making it less dependent on external data. Using the proposed framework, mean absolute percent errors in the forecast in the order of 1% have been achieved, which is a 30% improvement on the average error using feedforward ANNs, ARMAX and state space methods, which can result in large savings by avoiding commissioning of unnecessary power plants. Finally, the New England electrical load data are used to train and validate the forecast prediction.



Intelligent Renewable Energy Systems


Intelligent Renewable Energy Systems
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Author : Neeraj Priyadarshi
language : en
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Release Date : 2022-01-19

Intelligent Renewable Energy Systems written by Neeraj Priyadarshi and has been published by John Wiley & Sons this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2022-01-19 with Computers categories.


INTELLIGENT RENEWABLE ENERGY SYSTEMS This collection of papers on artificial intelligence and other methods for improving renewable energy systems, written by industry experts, is a reflection of the state of the art, a must-have for engineers, maintenance personnel, students, and anyone else wanting to stay abreast with current energy systems concepts and technology. Renewable energy is one of the most important subjects being studied, researched, and advanced in today’s world. From a macro level, like the stabilization of the entire world’s economy, to the micro level, like how you are going to heat or cool your home tonight, energy, specifically renewable energy, is on the forefront of the discussion. This book illustrates modelling, simulation, design and control of renewable energy systems employed with recent artificial intelligence (AI) and optimization techniques for performance enhancement. Current renewable energy sources have less power conversion efficiency because of its intermittent and fluctuating behavior. Therefore, in this regard, the recent AI and optimization techniques are able to deal with data ambiguity, noise, imprecision, and nonlinear behavior of renewable energy sources more efficiently compared to classical soft computing techniques. This book provides an extensive analysis of recent state of the art AI and optimization techniques applied to green energy systems. Subsequently, researchers, industry persons, undergraduate and graduate students involved in green energy will greatly benefit from this comprehensive volume, a must-have for any library. Audience Engineers, scientists, managers, researchers, students, and other professionals working in the field of renewable energy.



Short Term Forecasting Of Electric Loads Using Nonlinear Autoregressive Artificial Neural Networks With Exogenous Multivariable Inputs


Short Term Forecasting Of Electric Loads Using Nonlinear Autoregressive Artificial Neural Networks With Exogenous Multivariable Inputs
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Author : Jaime H. Buitrago
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2017

Short Term Forecasting Of Electric Loads Using Nonlinear Autoregressive Artificial Neural Networks With Exogenous Multivariable Inputs written by Jaime H. Buitrago and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2017 with categories.


Short-term load forecasting is crucial for the operations planning of an electrical grid. Forecasting the next 24 h of electrical load in a grid allows operators to plan and optimize their resources. The purpose of this study is to develop a more accurate short-term load forecasting method utilizing non-linear autoregressive artificial neural networks (ANN) with exogenous multi-variable input (NARX). The proposed implementation of the network is new: the neural network is trained in open-loop using actual load and weather data, and then, the network is placed in closed-loop to generate a forecast using the predicted load as the feedback input. Unlike the existing short-term load forecasting methods using ANNs, the proposed method uses its own output as the input in order to improve the accuracy, thus effectively implementing a feedback loop for the load, making it less dependent on external data. Using the proposed framework, mean absolute percent errors in the forecast in the order of 1\% have been achieved, which is a 30\% improvement on the average error using feedforward ANNs, ARMAX and state space methods, which can result in large savings by avoiding commissioning of unnecessary power plants. In addition, in order to improve the robustness of the forecast to variations in the number of neurons and other network parameters, the author proposes a method using an exponential decay of the error weights for training the neural network. The modification consists in giving higher error weight to more recent values and lower weight to older values of the training set. By doing this, mover recent values have a higher influence on the calculation of the synaptic weights and therefore the forecast produced by the NARX network is more accurate. This method, combined with the use of Bayesian regularization for training, results in improved forecast accuracy of up to 25\% and robustness to variation in parameter selection. The New England electrical load data are used to train and validate the forecast prediction.



Electrical Load Forecasting


Electrical Load Forecasting
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Author : S.A. Soliman
language : en
Publisher: Elsevier
Release Date : 2010-05-26

Electrical Load Forecasting written by S.A. Soliman and has been published by Elsevier this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2010-05-26 with Business & Economics categories.


Succinct and understandable, this book is a step-by-step guide to the mathematics and construction of electrical load forecasting models. Written by one of the world’s foremost experts on the subject, Electrical Load Forecasting provides a brief discussion of algorithms, their advantages and disadvantages and when they are best utilized. The book begins with a good description of the basic theory and models needed to truly understand how the models are prepared so that they are not just blindly plugging and chugging numbers. This is followed by a clear and rigorous exposition of the statistical techniques and algorithms such as regression, neural networks, fuzzy logic, and expert systems. The book is also supported by an online computer program that allows readers to construct, validate, and run short and long term models. Step-by-step guide to model construction Construct, verify, and run short and long term models Accurately evaluate load shape and pricing Creat regional specific electrical load models



Short Term Electric Load Forecasting Using Neural Networks


Short Term Electric Load Forecasting Using Neural Networks
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Author :
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1993

Short Term Electric Load Forecasting Using Neural Networks written by and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1993 with categories.




Short Term Electric Load Forecasting Using Neural Network Models


Short Term Electric Load Forecasting Using Neural Network Models
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Author : Yasser Al-Rashid
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1995

Short Term Electric Load Forecasting Using Neural Network Models written by Yasser Al-Rashid and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1995 with Electric power consumption categories.




Optimization Of Power System Problems


Optimization Of Power System Problems
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Author : Mahmoud Pesaran Hajiabbas
language : en
Publisher: Springer Nature
Release Date : 2020-01-06

Optimization Of Power System Problems written by Mahmoud Pesaran Hajiabbas and has been published by Springer Nature this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2020-01-06 with Technology & Engineering categories.


This book presents integrated optimization methods and algorithms for power system problems along with their codes in MATLAB. Providing a reliable and secure power and energy system is one of the main challenges of the new era. Due to the nonlinear multi-objective nature of these problems, the traditional methods are not suitable approaches for solving large-scale power system operation dilemmas. The integration of optimization algorithms into power systems has been discussed in several textbooks, but this is the first to include the integration methods and the developed codes. As such, it is a useful resource for undergraduate and graduate students, researchers and engineers trying to solve power and energy optimization problems using modern technical and intelligent systems based on theory and application case studies. It is expected that readers have a basic mathematical background.