Sources Of Time Varying Risk And Risk Premia In U S Stock And Bond Markets
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Sources Of Time Varying Risk And Risk Premia In U S Stock And Bond Markets
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Author : Bala Arshanapalli
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2003
Sources Of Time Varying Risk And Risk Premia In U S Stock And Bond Markets written by Bala Arshanapalli and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2003 with categories.
This paper investigates the sources of time-varying risk and risk premia for both the U.S. stock and bond markets. Although a growing literature has emerged that examines the return and volatility characteristics of the U.S. stock and bond markets separately, little work has appeared that models these markets jointly. This paper proposes a model that provides evidence concerning the sources of time varying risk and risk premia in the markets that considers both markets simultaneously. The model captures the change in the risk premium to each market's own volatility risk as well as to the covariance risk for specific events. We test for the effects of macroeconomic news on time-varying volatility as well as time-varying covariance, and whether such news induces time-varying risk premia in either of the markets. We find that stocks, as opposed to bonds exhibit a change in the risk premium on variance risk on PPI announcement dates. There is also evidence of a change in the bond risk premium on covariance risk on macroeconomic news announcement dates. Employment reports and PPI releases appear as events inducing time-varying conditional variance for stock, Treasury Notes, as well as Treasury Bond returns. Finally, the results do not support the conjecture that conditional covariance of stock and bond returns falls on announcement days.
Macroeconomic News Time Varying Risk Factors And Time Varying Risk Premia
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Author : Alexandre Vézina
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2001
Macroeconomic News Time Varying Risk Factors And Time Varying Risk Premia written by Alexandre Vézina and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2001 with Bond market categories.
The basic purpose of this paper is to investigate the sources of time-varying risk premia for both the U.S. stock and bond markets. In addition, we look at the sources of time-varying conditional variance and conditional covariance of these two markets. Although a large literature has emerged on the return and volatility of any of the two markets, few studies propose a model in which both markets are modeled together. Moreover, after all the research done, the reasons explaining the causes of the volatility of any of the two markets remain unclear. What we propose in this paper is a model that considers both markets' volatility simultaneously. Our model captures the change in the risk premium, if any, to each market's own volatility risk as well as to the covariance risk for specific events. More specifically, we investigate if macroeconomic news is a source of time-varying volatility as well as time-varying covariance, and whether these results in time-varying risk premia in either of the markets. We find that stocks, as opposed to bonds, mainly exhibit a change in the risk premium on variance risk. The results suggest that most of the change is due to the PPI announcements. Our models also indicate that there is a change in the bond risk premium on covariance risk on macroeconomic news announcement dates. Finally, linear regressions show that employment reports and PPI releases are a source of time-varying conditional variance for stock, notes and bond returns.
Financial Markets And The Real Economy
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Author : John H. Cochrane
language : en
Publisher: Now Publishers Inc
Release Date : 2005
Financial Markets And The Real Economy written by John H. Cochrane and has been published by Now Publishers Inc this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2005 with Business & Economics categories.
Financial Markets and the Real Economy reviews the current academic literature on the macroeconomics of finance.
Time Varying Risk Premia In Corporate Bond Markets
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Author : Redouane Elkamhi
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2008
Time Varying Risk Premia In Corporate Bond Markets written by Redouane Elkamhi and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2008 with categories.
We study the link between corporate bond risk premia and equity returns in a large panel of corporate bond transaction data. In contrast to previous work, we find that a significant part of the time variation in bond risk premia can be explained by equity implied bond risk premium estimates. We also document a large time variation in the expected loss component of bond spreads. This component is related to total asset volatility, whereas the risk premium is related to systematic volatility. In addition, we show by means of linear regressions that augmenting the set of variables predicted by typical structural models with equity-implied bond default risk premia significantly increases explanatory power.
Handbook Of Fixed Income Securities
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Author : Pietro Veronesi
language : en
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Release Date : 2016-04-04
Handbook Of Fixed Income Securities written by Pietro Veronesi and has been published by John Wiley & Sons this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2016-04-04 with Business & Economics categories.
A comprehensive guide to the current theories and methodologies intrinsic to fixed-income securities Written by well-known experts from a cross section of academia and finance, Handbook of Fixed-Income Securities features a compilation of the most up-to-date fixed-income securities techniques and methods. The book presents crucial topics of fixed income in an accessible and logical format. Emphasizing empirical research and real-life applications, the book explores a wide range of topics from the risk and return of fixed-income investments, to the impact of monetary policy on interest rates, to the post-crisis new regulatory landscape. Well organized to cover critical topics in fixed income, Handbook of Fixed-Income Securities is divided into eight main sections that feature: • An introduction to fixed-income markets such as Treasury bonds, inflation-protected securities, money markets, mortgage-backed securities, and the basic analytics that characterize them • Monetary policy and fixed-income markets, which highlight the recent empirical evidence on the central banks’ influence on interest rates, including the recent quantitative easing experiments • Interest rate risk measurement and management with a special focus on the most recent techniques and methodologies for asset-liability management under regulatory constraints • The predictability of bond returns with a critical discussion of the empirical evidence on time-varying bond risk premia, both in the United States and abroad, and their sources, such as liquidity and volatility • Advanced topics, with a focus on the most recent research on term structure models and econometrics, the dynamics of bond illiquidity, and the puzzling dynamics of stocks and bonds • Derivatives markets, including a detailed discussion of the new regulatory landscape after the financial crisis and an introduction to no-arbitrage derivatives pricing • Further topics on derivatives pricing that cover modern valuation techniques, such as Monte Carlo simulations, volatility surfaces, and no-arbitrage pricing with regulatory constraints • Corporate and sovereign bonds with a detailed discussion of the tools required to analyze default risk, the relevant empirical evidence, and a special focus on the recent sovereign crises A complete reference for practitioners in the fields of finance, business, applied statistics, econometrics, and engineering, Handbook of Fixed-Income Securities is also a useful supplementary textbook for graduate and MBA-level courses on fixed-income securities, risk management, volatility, bonds, derivatives, and financial markets. Pietro Veronesi, PhD, is Roman Family Professor of Finance at the University of Chicago Booth School of Business, where he teaches Masters and PhD-level courses in fixed income, risk management, and asset pricing. Published in leading academic journals and honored by numerous awards, his research focuses on stock and bond valuation, return predictability, bubbles and crashes, and the relation between asset prices and government policies.
The Equity Risk Premium
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Author : William N. Goetzmann
language : en
Publisher: Oxford University Press
Release Date : 2006-11-16
The Equity Risk Premium written by William N. Goetzmann and has been published by Oxford University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2006-11-16 with Business & Economics categories.
What is the return to investing in the stock market? Can we predict future stock market returns? How have equities performed over the last two centuries? The authors in this volume are among the leading researchers in the study of these questions. This book draws upon their research on the stock market over the past two dozen years. It contains their major research articles on the equity risk premium and new contributions on measuring, forecasting, and timing stock market returns, together with new interpretive essays that explore critical issues and new research on the topic of stock market investing. This book is aimed at all readers interested in understanding the empirical basis for the equity risk premium. Through the analysis and interpretation of two scholars whose research contributions have been key factors in the modern debate over stock market perfomance, this volume engages the reader in many of the key issues of importance to investors. How large is the premium? Is history a reliable guide to predict future equity returns? Does the equity and cash flows of the market? Are global equity markets different from those in the United States? Do emerging markets offer higher or lower equity risk premia? The authors use the historical performance of the world's stock markets to address these issues.
Rethinking The Equity Risk Premium
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Author : P. Brett Hammond
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2016
Rethinking The Equity Risk Premium written by P. Brett Hammond and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2016 with categories.
In 2001, a small group of academics and practitioners met to discuss the equity risk premium (ERP). Ten years later, in 2011, a similar discussion took place, with participants writing up their thoughts for this volume. The result is a rich set of papers that practitioners may find useful in developing their own approach to the subject.
Risk And Return For Regulated Industries
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Author : Bente Villadsen
language : en
Publisher: Academic Press
Release Date : 2017-04-27
Risk And Return For Regulated Industries written by Bente Villadsen and has been published by Academic Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2017-04-27 with Business & Economics categories.
Risk and Return for Regulated Industries provides a much-needed, comprehensive review of how cost of capital risk arises and can be measured, how the special risks regulated industries face affect fair return, and the challenges that regulated industries are likely to face in the future. Rather than following the trend of broad industry introductions or textbook style reviews of utility finance, it covers the topics of most interest to regulators, regulated companies, regulatory lawyers, and rate-of-return analysts in all countries. Accordingly, the book also includes case studies about various countries and discussions of the lessons international regulatory procedures can offer. Presents a unified treatment of the regulatory principles and practices used to assess the required return on capital Addresses current practices before exploring the ways methods play out in practice, including irregularities, shortcomings, and concerns for the future Focuses on developed economies instead of providing a comprehensive global reviews Foreword by Stewart C. Myers
Common Stocks As Long Term Investments
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Author : Edgar Lawrence Smith
language : en
Publisher: Pickle Partners Publishing
Release Date : 2015-11-06
Common Stocks As Long Term Investments written by Edgar Lawrence Smith and has been published by Pickle Partners Publishing this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2015-11-06 with Business & Economics categories.
Edgar Lawrence Smith, (1882-1971) was an economist, investment manager and author of the influential book “Common Stocks as Long Term Investments”, which promoted the then-surprising idea that stocks excel bonds in long-term yield. . He worked in banking and other financial endeavors in the years after college, then signed on in 1922 as an adviser to the brokerage firm Low, Dixon & Company. While there, he later recounted in his Harvard class’s 50th reunion yearbook, “I tried to write a pamphlet on why bonds were the best form of long term investment. But supporting evidence for this thesis could not be found.” This discovery led to the 1924 publication of “Common Stocks as Long Term Investments.” The book was widely reviewed and praised, and became a key intellectual support for the 1920s stock market boom. Its success enabled Smith to launch a mutual fund firm, “Investment Managers Company.” It also garnered him an invitation from the economist John Maynard Keynes, who had favorably reviewed the book in “The Nation”, to join the Royal Economic Society. The Wall Street Crash of 1929 brought a turn in Smith’s fortunes.—Print Ed.
The Equity Risk Premium A Contextual Literature Review
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Author : Laurence B. Siegel
language : en
Publisher: CFA Institute Research Foundation
Release Date : 2017-12-08
The Equity Risk Premium A Contextual Literature Review written by Laurence B. Siegel and has been published by CFA Institute Research Foundation this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2017-12-08 with Business & Economics categories.
Research into the equity risk premium, often considered the most important number in finance, falls into three broad groupings. First, researchers have measured the margin by which equity total returns have exceeded fixed-income or cash returns over long historical periods and have projected this measure of the equity risk premium into the future. Second, the dividend discount model—or a variant of it, such as an earnings discount model—is used to estimate the future return on an equity index, and the fixed-income or cash yield is then subtracted to arrive at an equity risk premium expectation or forecast. Third, academics have used macroeconomic techniques to estimate what premium investors might rationally require for taking the risk of equities. Current thinking emphasizes the second, or dividend discount, approach and projects an equity risk premium centered on 3½% to 4%.