Testing The Stability Of Implied Probability Density Functions
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Testing The Stability Of Implied Probability Density Functions
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Author : Robert R. Bliss
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2006
Testing The Stability Of Implied Probability Density Functions written by Robert R. Bliss and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2006 with categories.
Implied probability density functions (PDFs) estimated from cross-sections of observed option prices are gaining increasing attention amongst academics and practitioners. However, to date little attention has been paid to the robustness of these estimates or to the confidence users can place in the summary statistics, for example skewness or the 99th percentile, derived from fitted PDFs. This paper begins to address these questions by examining the absolute and relative robustness of two of the most common methods for estimating implied PDFs--the double-lognormal approximating function and the smoothed implied volatility smile methods. The changes resulting from randomly perturbing quoted prices by no more than a half tick provide a lower bound on the confidence intervals of the summary statistics derived from the estimated PDFs. Tests are conducted using options contracts tied to Short Sterling futures and the FTSE 100 index--both trading on the London International Financial Futures Exchange. Our tests show that the smoothed implied volatility smile method dominates the double-lognormal as a technique for estimating implied PDFs when average goodness-of-fits are comparable for both methods.
Testing The Stability Of Implied Probability Density Functions
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Author :
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date :
Testing The Stability Of Implied Probability Density Functions written by and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on with categories.
The Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago presents the full text of the November 19, 1999 working paper entitled "Testing the Stability of Implied Probability Density Functions," written by Robert Bliss and Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou. The text is available in PDF format. This paper conducts tests that show the smoothed implied volatility smile method dominates the double-lognormal as a technique for estimating implied probability density functions (PDFs).
Testing The Stability Of Implied Probability Density Functions
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Author : Robert R. Bliss
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2000
Testing The Stability Of Implied Probability Density Functions written by Robert R. Bliss and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2000 with Derivative securities categories.
Handbook Of Quantitative Finance And Risk Management
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Author : Cheng-Few Lee
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2010-06-14
Handbook Of Quantitative Finance And Risk Management written by Cheng-Few Lee and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2010-06-14 with Business & Economics categories.
Quantitative finance is a combination of economics, accounting, statistics, econometrics, mathematics, stochastic process, and computer science and technology. Increasingly, the tools of financial analysis are being applied to assess, monitor, and mitigate risk, especially in the context of globalization, market volatility, and economic crisis. This two-volume handbook, comprised of over 100 chapters, is the most comprehensive resource in the field to date, integrating the most current theory, methodology, policy, and practical applications. Showcasing contributions from an international array of experts, the Handbook of Quantitative Finance and Risk Management is unparalleled in the breadth and depth of its coverage. Volume 1 presents an overview of quantitative finance and risk management research, covering the essential theories, policies, and empirical methodologies used in the field. Chapters provide in-depth discussion of portfolio theory and investment analysis. Volume 2 covers options and option pricing theory and risk management. Volume 3 presents a wide variety of models and analytical tools. Throughout, the handbook offers illustrative case examples, worked equations, and extensive references; additional features include chapter abstracts, keywords, and author and subject indices. From "arbitrage" to "yield spreads," the Handbook of Quantitative Finance and Risk Management will serve as an essential resource for academics, educators, students, policymakers, and practitioners.
Risk Finance And Asset Pricing
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Author : Charles S. Tapiero
language : en
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Release Date : 2010-09-24
Risk Finance And Asset Pricing written by Charles S. Tapiero and has been published by John Wiley & Sons this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2010-09-24 with Business & Economics categories.
A comprehensive guide to financial engineering that stresses real-world applications Financial engineering expert Charles S. Tapiero has his finger on the pulse of shifts coming to financial engineering and its applications. With an eye toward the future, he has crafted a comprehensive and accessible book for practitioners and students of Financial Engineering that emphasizes an intuitive approach to financial and quantitative foundations in financial and risk engineering. The book covers the theory from a practitioner perspective and applies it to a variety of real-world problems. Examines the cornerstone of the explosive growth in markets worldwide Presents important financial engineering techniques to price, hedge, and manage risks in general Author heads the largest financial engineering program in the world Author Charles Tapiero wrote the seminal work Risk and Financial Management.
Handbook Of Economic Forecasting
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Author : Graham Elliott
language : en
Publisher: Newnes
Release Date : 2013-08-23
Handbook Of Economic Forecasting written by Graham Elliott and has been published by Newnes this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2013-08-23 with Business & Economics categories.
The highly prized ability to make financial plans with some certainty about the future comes from the core fields of economics. In recent years the availability of more data, analytical tools of greater precision, and ex post studies of business decisions have increased demand for information about economic forecasting. Volumes 2A and 2B, which follows Nobel laureate Clive Granger's Volume 1 (2006), concentrate on two major subjects. Volume 2A covers innovations in methodologies, specifically macroforecasting and forecasting financial variables. Volume 2B investigates commercial applications, with sections on forecasters' objectives and methodologies. Experts provide surveys of a large range of literature scattered across applied and theoretical statistics journals as well as econometrics and empirical economics journals. The Handbook of Economic Forecasting Volumes 2A and 2B provide a unique compilation of chapters giving a coherent overview of forecasting theory and applications in one place and with up-to-date accounts of all major conceptual issues. Focuses on innovation in economic forecasting via industry applications Presents coherent summaries of subjects in economic forecasting that stretch from methodologies to applications Makes details about economic forecasting accessible to scholars in fields outside economics
Financial Risk Management
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Author : Allan M. Malz
language : en
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Release Date : 2011-09-13
Financial Risk Management written by Allan M. Malz and has been published by John Wiley & Sons this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2011-09-13 with Business & Economics categories.
Financial risk has become a focus of financial and nonfinancial firms, individuals, and policy makers. But the study of risk remains a relatively new discipline in finance and continues to be refined. The financial market crisis that began in 2007 has highlighted the challenges of managing financial risk. Now, in Financial Risk Management, author Allan Malz addresses the essential issues surrounding this discipline, sharing his extensive career experiences as a risk researcher, risk manager, and central banker. The book includes standard risk measurement models as well as alternative models that address options, structured credit risks, and the real-world complexities or risk modeling, and provides the institutional and historical background on financial innovation, liquidity, leverage, and financial crises that is crucial to practitioners and students of finance for understanding the world today. Financial Risk Management is equally suitable for firm risk managers, economists, and policy makers seeking grounding in the subject. This timely guide skillfully surveys the landscape of financial risk and the financial developments of recent decades that culminated in the crisis. The book provides a comprehensive overview of the different types of financial risk we face, as well as the techniques used to measure and manage them. Topics covered include: Market risk, from Value-at-Risk (VaR) to risk models for options Credit risk, from portfolio credit risk to structured credit products Model risk and validation Risk capital and stress testing Liquidity risk, leverage, systemic risk, and the forms they take Financial crises, historical and current, their causes and characteristics Financial regulation and its evolution in the wake of the global crisis And much more Combining the more model-oriented approach of risk management-as it has evolved over the past two decades-with an economist's approach to the same issues, Financial Risk Management is the essential guide to the subject for today's complex world.
Asset Price Dynamics Volatility And Prediction
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Author : Stephen J. Taylor
language : en
Publisher: Princeton University Press
Release Date : 2011-02-11
Asset Price Dynamics Volatility And Prediction written by Stephen J. Taylor and has been published by Princeton University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2011-02-11 with Business & Economics categories.
This book shows how current and recent market prices convey information about the probability distributions that govern future prices. Moving beyond purely theoretical models, Stephen Taylor applies methods supported by empirical research of equity and foreign exchange markets to show how daily and more frequent asset prices, and the prices of option contracts, can be used to construct and assess predictions about future prices, their volatility, and their probability distributions. Stephen Taylor provides a comprehensive introduction to the dynamic behavior of asset prices, relying on finance theory and statistical evidence. He uses stochastic processes to define mathematical models for price dynamics, but with less mathematics than in alternative texts. The key topics covered include random walk tests, trading rules, ARCH models, stochastic volatility models, high-frequency datasets, and the information that option prices imply about volatility and distributions. Asset Price Dynamics, Volatility, and Prediction is ideal for students of economics, finance, and mathematics who are studying financial econometrics, and will enable researchers to identify and apply appropriate models and methods. It will likewise be a valuable resource for quantitative analysts, fund managers, risk managers, and investors who seek realistic expectations about future asset prices and the risks to which they are exposed.
Derivatives Pricing And Modeling
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Author : Jonathan Batten
language : en
Publisher: Emerald Group Publishing
Release Date : 2012-07-02
Derivatives Pricing And Modeling written by Jonathan Batten and has been published by Emerald Group Publishing this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2012-07-02 with Business & Economics categories.
Highlights research in derivatives modelling and markets in a post-crisis world across a number of dimensions or themes. This book addresses the following main areas: derivatives models and pricing, model application and performance backtesting, and new products and market features.
Volatility And Time Series Econometrics
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Author : Tim Bollerslev
language : en
Publisher: OUP Oxford
Release Date : 2010-02-11
Volatility And Time Series Econometrics written by Tim Bollerslev and has been published by OUP Oxford this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2010-02-11 with Business & Economics categories.
Robert Engle received the Nobel Prize for Economics in 2003 for his work in time series econometrics. This book contains 16 original research contributions by some the leading academic researchers in the fields of time series econometrics, forecasting, volatility modelling, financial econometrics and urban economics, along with historical perspectives related to field of time series econometrics more generally. Engle's Nobel Prize citation focuses on his path-breaking work on autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (ARCH) and the profound effect that this work has had on the field of financial econometrics. Several of the chapters focus on conditional heteroskedasticity, and develop the ideas of Engle's Nobel Prize winning work. Engle's work has had its most profound effect on the modelling of financial variables and several of the chapters use newly developed time series methods to study the behavior of financial variables. Each of the 16 chapters may be read in isolation, but they all importantly build on and relate to the seminal work by Nobel Laureate Robert F. Engle.