The Black Swan Rahasia Terjadinya Peristiwa Peristiwa Langka Yang Tak Terduga Edisi Revisi
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The Black Swan Rahasia Terjadinya Peristiwa Peristiwa Langka Yang Tak Terduga Edisi Revisi
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Author : Nassim Nicholas Taleb
language : id
Publisher: Gramedia Pustaka Utama
Release Date : 2020-06-03
The Black Swan Rahasia Terjadinya Peristiwa Peristiwa Langka Yang Tak Terduga Edisi Revisi written by Nassim Nicholas Taleb and has been published by Gramedia Pustaka Utama this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2020-06-03 with Social Science categories.
ÒThe Black Swan mengubah pandangan saya tentang bagaimana dunia bekerja.Ó ÑDaniel Kahneman, peraih Hadiah Nobel ÒMembuka pikiran... sebuah masterpiece.Ó ÑChris Anderson, penulis The Long Tail ÒSungguh memikat.Ó ÑFinancial Times Apa kesamaan antara penemuan roda, Pompeii, kehancuran Wall Street, Harry Potter, dan Internet? Mengapa kita sebenarnya tak perlu mengejar-ngejar bus dan kereta atau membaca koran? Mengapa hampir semua peramal tren ekonomi adalah pembual? Buku ini tentang Black Swan: peristiwa acak yang mendasari hidup kita, dari munculnya buku-buku bestseller hingga bencana dunia. Dampak peristiwa-peristiwa tersebut amat besar, nyaris mustahil diprediksi; namun setelah terjadi, kita selalu berusaha merasionalisasinya. Salah satu contoh Black Swan adalah kejatuhan pasar saham dunia pada tahun 2008Ñsesuatu yang telah diendus dalam buku ini. The Black Swan menunjukkan kepada kita mengapa kita mesti berhenti berusaha memprediksi segala sesuatu dan justru mengambil keuntungan dari ketidakpastian.
The Black Swan Rahasia Terjadinya Peristiwa Peristiwa Langka Yang Tak Terduga
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Author : Nassim Nicholas Taleb
language : id
Publisher:
Release Date : 2020-06-14
The Black Swan Rahasia Terjadinya Peristiwa Peristiwa Langka Yang Tak Terduga written by Nassim Nicholas Taleb and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2020-06-14 with categories.
Apakah Angsa Hitam pernah ada di dunia? Seperti yang kita ketahui, Angsa hanya berwarna putih. Willem de Vlamingh pernah menemukan Angsa Hitam pada tahun 1697 di Australia bagian barat. Dalam buku The Black Swan: Rahasia Terjadinya Peristiwa-Peristiwa Langka yang Tak Terduga, kita dapat mengetahui tentang hal yang sebelumnya belum kita ketahui. Menurut sang penulis, Nassim Nicholas Taleb, manusia memiliki batasan serius mengenai pengetahuan yang dimiliki. Sinopsis buku Maksud dari Black Swan di sini adalah, kita menganggap bahwa semua angsa itu berwarna putih, padahal ada jenis angsa yang berwarna hitam (Black Swan), dengan kita mengabaikan angsa hitam yang memang jarang terlihat. Karena memang black swan ini spesies langka, yang termasuk hewan endemic. Apa kesamaan antara penemuan roda, Pompeii, kehancuran Wall Street, Harry Potter, dan Internet? Mengapa kita sebenarnya tak perlu mengejar-ngejar bus dan kereta atau membaca koran? Mengapa hampir semua peramal tren ekonomi adalah pembual? Buku ini tentang Black Swan: peristiwa acak yang mendasari hidup kita, dari munculnya buku-buku bestseller hingga bencana dunia. Dampak peristiwa-peristiwa tersebut amat besar, nyaris mustahil diprediksi; namun setelah terjadi, kita selalu berusaha merasionalisasinya. Salah satu contoh Black Swan adalah kejatuhan pasar saham dunia pada 2008—sesuatu yang telah diendus dalam buku ini. The Black Swan menunjukkan kepada kita mengapa kita mesti berhenti berusaha memprediksi segala sesuatu dan justru mengambil keuntungan dari ketidakpastian. Daftar isi Bonus dalam paket Informasi lain Lebar : 15 cm Tinggi : 23 cm Berat : 0,8 ISBN : 9786020000000 Sampul: soft cover
The Black Swan By Nassim Nicholas Taleb Summary
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Author : QuickRead
language : en
Publisher: QuickRead.com
Release Date :
The Black Swan By Nassim Nicholas Taleb Summary written by QuickRead and has been published by QuickRead.com this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on with Study Aids categories.
Do you want more free book summaries like this? Download our app for free at https://www.QuickRead.com/App and get access to hundreds of free book and audiobook summaries. The Impact of the Highly Improbable. Just because you haven’t seen something doesn’t mean it doesn’t exist, right? Well, Nassim Nicholas Taleb uses this exact logic to explain the Black Swans that happen in our society. A Black Swan is an improbable or highly unlikely event that has three principal characteristics. The first two are that it is unpredictable and it carries a massive impact. The third is the ability to construct an explanation after the fact to make it appear less random, and more predictable. Think of events like 9/11 or the invention of Google. These Black Swans, while unpredictable and impactful, could easily be explained in the moments following the event. Black Swans like these underlie almost everything about the world. But why can’t we acknowledge them until after they occur? Well, according to Taleb, humans are simply hardwired to focus on the details rather than see the big picture. We concentrate only on what we know and understand; therefore, we are unable to conceptualize the impossible. As you read, you’ll learn that we can learn a thing or two from turkeys, you'll see how a casino's greatest threat isn't high-rolling gamblers, and how focusing on what we don't know is critical for making informed decisions.
Summary Of The Black Swan By Nassim Nicholas Taleb The Impact Of The Highly Improbable
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Author : Ctprint
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2020-03-03
Summary Of The Black Swan By Nassim Nicholas Taleb The Impact Of The Highly Improbable written by Ctprint and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2020-03-03 with categories.
Summary of The Black Swan By Nassim Nicholas Taleb - The Impact of the Highly Improbable SYNOPSIS: Thе Black Swаn (2010) оffеrѕ insights into реrсеіvеd rаndоmnеѕѕ аnd thе limitations we face іn mаkіng predictions. Our оvеr-rеlіаnсе оn mеthоdѕ thаt арреаl to оur intuition аt thе expense оf ассurасу, our basic іnаbіlіtу tо undеrѕtаnd аnd define rаndоmnеѕѕ, аnd еvеn our bіоlоgу іtѕеlf аll соntrіbutе tо poor decision making, and ѕоmеtіmеѕ tо "Blасk Swans" - events thоught tо bе impossible that redefine оur undеrѕtаndіng оf the world. ABOUT THЕ AUTHОR: Nassim Nісhоlаѕ Taleb іѕ among thе more prolific contemporary есоnоmіѕtѕ and thіnkеrѕ, hаvіng written a number оf сrіtісаllу ассlаіmеd wоrkѕ such аѕ Fooled bу Rаndоmnеѕѕ, аnd his numеrоuѕ еѕѕауѕ hаvе bееn рublіѕhеd in a number оf mаgаzіnеѕ аnd jоurnаlѕ. Tаlеb іѕ a Distinguished Prоfеѕѕоr оf Risk Engineering аt Nеw Yоrk Unіvеrѕіtу'ѕ Pоlуtесhnіс Inѕtіtutе.DISCLAIMER: This bооk іѕ nоt mеаnt tо rерlасе thе оrіgіnаl bооk but tо ѕеrvе аѕ a companion tо іt.
Summary Of The Black Swan The Impact Of The Highly Improbable By Nassim Nicholas Taleb
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Author : Thorough Thorough Summaries
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2021-05-18
Summary Of The Black Swan The Impact Of The Highly Improbable By Nassim Nicholas Taleb written by Thorough Thorough Summaries and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2021-05-18 with categories.
Thе Black Swаn (2010) оffеrѕ іnѕіghtѕ іntо perceived rаndоmnеѕѕ and thе limitations we fасе іn making рrеdісtіоnѕ. Our оvеr-rеlіаnсе on mеthоdѕ thаt арреаl to our іntuіtіоn at thе expense of ассurасу, our bаѕіс іnаbіlіtу tо undеrѕtаnd аnd define randomness, аnd еvеn оur bіоlоgу іtѕеlf аll contribute tо рооr dесіѕіоn making, and ѕоmеtіmеѕ to "Blасk Swаnѕ" - еvеntѕ thought tо bе impossible thаt rеdеfіnе оur undеrѕtаndіng оf thе wоrld.
Campbell Walsh Urology 12th Edition Review
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Author : Alan W. Partin
language : en
Publisher: Elsevier Health Sciences
Release Date : 2020-03-03
Campbell Walsh Urology 12th Edition Review written by Alan W. Partin and has been published by Elsevier Health Sciences this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2020-03-03 with Medical categories.
With new and updated questions based on Campbell-Walsh-Wein Urology 12th Edition content, this comprehensive review covers all the core material you need to know for board exam preparation and MOC exams. From basic science underpinnings to the most recent developments in medical and surgical care, more than 3,000 questions with detailed answers help you master the most important elements in urology. The high-yield, bulleted format and identical chapter structure as the parent text are designed for efficient, effective, targeted review-providing exactly the information you need for exam success. Keeps you up to date with key topics covered in Campbell-Walsh-Wein Urology 12th Edition, such as minimally invasive and robotic surgery; advancements in urologic oncology, including innovative therapeutics for personalized medicine; new approaches to male infertility; technological advances for the treatment of stones; advances in imaging modalities., and much more. Covers new material on urinary tract imaging, complications of urologic surgery, urologic considerations in pregnancy, urologic considerations in transgender individuals, and more. Provides more than 3,000 multiple-choice questions and detailed answers, including highlighted "must-know" points in the answer explanations. Includes additional study points at the end of each chapter, as well as new pathology and imaging sections (with review questions) in relevant chapters. Features interactive questions, self-assessment tools, an extensive image bank, and more on Expert Consult. Helps you prepare for the written boards and MOC exams with confidence! This reliable, efficient review tool is written by the same team that has made Campbell-Walsh-Wein Urology the preeminent text in the field. Enhanced eBook version included with purchase. Your enhanced eBook allows you to access all of the text, figures, and references from the book on a variety of devices.
The Long Tail
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Author : Chris Anderson
language : en
Publisher: Hachette Books
Release Date : 2006-07-11
The Long Tail written by Chris Anderson and has been published by Hachette Books this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2006-07-11 with Business & Economics categories.
What happens when the bottlenecks that stand between supply and demand in our culture go away and everything becomes available to everyone? "The Long Tail" is a powerful new force in our economy: the rise of the niche. As the cost of reaching consumers drops dramatically, our markets are shifting from a one-size-fits-all model of mass appeal to one of unlimited variety for unique tastes. From supermarket shelves to advertising agencies, the ability to offer vast choice is changing everything, and causing us to rethink where our markets lie and how to get to them. Unlimited selection is revealing truths about what consumers want and how they want to get it, from DVDs at Netflix to songs on iTunes to advertising on Google. However, this is not just a virtue of online marketplaces; it is an example of an entirely new economic model for business, one that is just beginning to show its power. After a century of obsessing over the few products at the head of the demand curve, the new economics of distribution allow us to turn our focus to the many more products in the tail, which collectively can create a new market as big as the one we already know. The Long Tail is really about the economics of abundance. New efficiencies in distribution, manufacturing, and marketing are essentially resetting the definition of what's commercially viable across the board. If the 20th century was about hits, the 21st will be equally about niches.
Asian Godfathers
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Author : Joe Studwell
language : en
Publisher: Profile Books
Release Date : 2010-09-03
Asian Godfathers written by Joe Studwell and has been published by Profile Books this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2010-09-03 with Biography & Autobiography categories.
40 or 50 families control the economies of Hong Kong, Singapore, Thailand, the Philippines and Indonesia. Their interests range from banking to property, from shipping to sugar, from vice to gambling. 13 of the 50 richest families in the world are in South East Asia yet they are largely unknown outside confined business circles. Often this is because they control the press and television as well as everything else. How do they do it? What are their secrets? And is it good news or bad for the places where they operate? Joe Studwell explosively lifts the lid on a world of staggering secrecy and shows that the little most people know is almost entirely wrong.
Made With Creative Commons
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Author : Paul Stacey
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2017
Made With Creative Commons written by Paul Stacey and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2017 with Information commons categories.
Made With Creative Commons is a book about sharing. It is about sharing textbooks, music, data, art, and more. People, organizations, and businesses all over the world are sharing their work using Creative Commons licenses because they want to encourage the public to reuse their works, to copy them, to modify them. They are Made with Creative Commons.
Trouser Doll
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Author : Joko Pinurbo
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2002
Trouser Doll written by Joko Pinurbo and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2002 with English poetry categories.