The Causal Relationship Between The S P 500 And The Vix Index
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The Causal Relationship Between The S P 500 And The Vix Index
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Author : Florian Auinger
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2015
The Causal Relationship Between The S P 500 And The Vix Index written by Florian Auinger and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2015 with categories.
Florian Auinger highlights the core weaknesses and sources of criticism regarding the VIX Index as an indicator for the future development of financial market volatility. Furthermore, it is proven that there is no statistically significant causal relationship between the VIX and the S&P 500. As a consequence, the forecastability is not given in both directions. Obviously, there must be at least one additional variable that has a strong influence on market volatility such as emotions which, according to financial market experts, are considered to play a more and more important role in investment decisions. Contents Risk and Emotions Financial Market Volatility Behavioural Finance VIX Index Target Groups Researchers and students in the fields of risk management, portfolio management and investment banking Practitioners in these areas The Author Florian Auinger wrote his master thesis at the University of Applied Sciences in Steyr, Upper Austria and is currently working in the fields of mergers & acquisitions.
An Investigation Of The Lead Lag Relationship Between The Vix Index And The Vix Futures On The S P500
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Author : Sotirios Karagiannis
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2019
An Investigation Of The Lead Lag Relationship Between The Vix Index And The Vix Futures On The S P500 written by Sotirios Karagiannis and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2019 with categories.
This study investigates the lead-lag relationship between the price movements of VIX futures and VIX index levels. As a proxy for the futures, the front month VIX futures contract is used. A Johansen cointegration approach with a vector error correction model and Granger causality analysis are applied. The results suggest that VIX futures lead spot VIX index, which implies that VIX futures market seems to play a more important role in price discovery.
Generalized Correlation Measures Of Causality And Forecasts Of The Vix Using Non Linear Models
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Author : David E. Allen
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2018
Generalized Correlation Measures Of Causality And Forecasts Of The Vix Using Non Linear Models written by David E. Allen and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2018 with categories.
The paper features an analysis of causal relations between the VIX, S&P500, and the realised volatility (RV) of the S&P500 sampled at 5 minute intervals, plus the application of an Artificial Neural Network (ANN) model to forecast the VIX. Causal relations are analysed using the recently developed concept of general correlation Zheng et al. (2012) and Vinod (2017). The neural network analysis is performed using the Group Method of Data Handling (GMDH) approach. The results suggest that causality runs from lagged daily RV and lagged continuously compounded return on the S&P500 index to the VIX. Out of sample tests suggest an ANN model can successfully predict the VIX using lagged RV and lagged S&P500 Index continuously compounded returns as inputs.
The Causal Relationship Between The S P 500 And The Vix Index
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Author : Florian Auinger
language : en
Publisher: Springer
Release Date : 2015-02-13
The Causal Relationship Between The S P 500 And The Vix Index written by Florian Auinger and has been published by Springer this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2015-02-13 with Business & Economics categories.
Florian Auinger highlights the core weaknesses and sources of criticism regarding the VIX Index as an indicator for the future development of financial market volatility. Furthermore, it is proven that there is no statistically significant causal relationship between the VIX and the S&P 500. As a consequence, the forecastability is not given in both directions. Obviously, there must be at least one additional variable that has a strong influence on market volatility such as emotions which, according to financial market experts, are considered to play a more and more important role in investment decisions.
Understanding The Relationship Between Vix And The S P 500 Index Volatility
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Author : Irena Vodenska
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2014
Understanding The Relationship Between Vix And The S P 500 Index Volatility written by Irena Vodenska and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2014 with categories.
We study the VIX Index, often referred to as “the investor's fear gauge,” relative to the observed volatility of the S&P 500 Index to investigate the relationship between these two measures of financial markets variability and to understand the directionality of their influence on one another. Calculated as a weighted average of put and call options on the S&P 500 Index, the VIX is considered as a forecasting indicator of the S&P 500 Index's volatility over a one-month period. We examine the daily VIX and S&P 500 Index volatility data for the 20-year period between 1990 and 2009 and find that VIX lags the S&P 500 one-month volatility for the period that we study. Furthermore, we analyze the VIX Index and the S&P 500 volatility for different time periods, when the financial markets exhibit: (i) higher level of stability with volatility below two standard deviations from the mean and (ii) lower stability regimes, with volatilities above two standard deviations from the mean. We find that in general, the VIX overestimates the S&P 500 Index volatility during the stable financial market regimes, and underestimates the S&P 500 Index volatility throughout high volatility periods.
On The Intraday Relation Between The Vix And Its Futures
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Author : Bart Frijns
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2014
On The Intraday Relation Between The Vix And Its Futures written by Bart Frijns and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2014 with categories.
The Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE) introduced the CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) in 1993. The index has come to act as the benchmark for stock market volatility and, more generally, investor sentiment. The VIX has proven to be very useful in forecasting the future market direction especially during high volatility periods. In order to expedite trading in volatility, as well as increase hedging opportunities, the CBOE introduced futures on the VIX (henceforth referred to as VXF) on March 26, 2004.We study the intraday dynamics of the VIX and VXF for the period January 2, 2008 to December 31, 2012. Applying a Vector Autoregression (VAR) model on daily data, we observe some evidence of causality from the VXF to the VIX. However, estimating a VAR using our ultra-high frequency data, we find strong evidence for bi-directional Granger causality between the VIX and the VXF. Overall, this effect appears to be stronger from the VXF to the VIX than the other way around. Impulse response functions and variance decompositions analysis further confirm the dominance of the VXF. Lastly, we show that the causality from the VXF to the VIX has been increasing over our sample period, whereas the reverse causality has been decreasing. This finding suggests that the VIX futures have become increasingly more important in the pricing of volatility. We further document that the VIX futures dominate the VIX more on days with negative returns, and on days with high values of the VIX, suggesting that on those days investors use VIX futures to hedge their positions rather than trading in the S&P 500 index options.
The Relationship Between Vix Futures Term Structure And S P500 Returns
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Author : Athanasios Fassas
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2016
The Relationship Between Vix Futures Term Structure And S P500 Returns written by Athanasios Fassas and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2016 with categories.
The current paper tests and documents the relationship between the term structure of VIX futures and the underlying equity returns. Furthermore, it investigates the signaling effects of VIX futures term structure in respect to future stock index movements. The objective of this empirical analysis is to verify if a steep upward-sloping term structure indicates a late phase of a bullish trend and conversely if an extreme negative term structure suggests an over-sold market, as certain market participants believe.The empirical findings of this study suggest that there is a strong statistical significant positive contemporaneous relationship between the changes in the VIX futures term structure and the returns of the underlying equity index. Finally, the econometric analysis lends some support to the hypothesis that the term structure of VIX futures can be used as a contrarian indicator for investing in the equity market.
Handbook Of Investors Behavior During Financial Crises
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Author : Fotini Economou
language : en
Publisher: Academic Press
Release Date : 2017-06-24
Handbook Of Investors Behavior During Financial Crises written by Fotini Economou and has been published by Academic Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2017-06-24 with Business & Economics categories.
The Handbook of Investors' Behavior during Financial Crises provides fundamental information about investor behavior during turbulent periods, such the 2000 dot com crash and the 2008 global financial crisis. Contributors share the same behavioral finance tools and techniques while analyzing behaviors across a variety of market structures and asset classes. The volume provides novel insights about the influence and effects of regional differences in market design. Its distinctive approach to studies of financial crises is of key importance in our contemporary financial landscape, even more so since the accelerated process of globalization has rendered the outbreak of financial crises internationally more commonplace compared to previous decades. Encompasses empirical, quantitative and regulation-motivated studies Includes information about retail and institutional investor behavior Analyzes optimal financial structures for the development and growth of specific regional economies
Handbook Of Research On Stock Market Investment Practices And Portfolio Management
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Author : Sharma, Renuka
language : en
Publisher: IGI Global
Release Date : 2022-06-30
Handbook Of Research On Stock Market Investment Practices And Portfolio Management written by Sharma, Renuka and has been published by IGI Global this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2022-06-30 with Business & Economics categories.
For the first time since the Great Depression, financial market issues threatened to derail global economic growth. This global financial crisis forced a reconsideration of systemic vulnerabilities with knowledge of numerous investment options and portfolio management strategies becoming more critical than ever before. A complete study of investment choices and portfolio management approaches in both the developing and developed worlds is required to achieve stability and sustainability. The Handbook of Research on Stock Market Investment Practices and Portfolio Management gives a thorough view on the recent developments in investment options and portfolio management strategies in global stock markets. Learning about the many investment options and portfolio management strategies available in the event of a worldwide catastrophe is critical. Covering topics such as AI-based technical analysis, marketing theory, and sharing economy, this major reference work is an excellent resource for investors, traders, economists, business leaders and executives, marketers, students and faculty of higher education, librarians, researchers, and academicians.
Risk Measures With Applications In Finance And Economics
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Author : Michael McAleer
language : en
Publisher: MDPI
Release Date : 2019-07-23
Risk Measures With Applications In Finance And Economics written by Michael McAleer and has been published by MDPI this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2019-07-23 with Business & Economics categories.
Risk measures play a vital role in many subfields of economics and finance. It has been proposed that risk measures could be analysed in relation to the performance of variables extracted from empirical real-world data. For example, risk measures may help inform effective monetary and fiscal policies and, therefore, the further development of pricing models for financial assets such as equities, bonds, currencies, and derivative securities.