The Exchange Rate In A Behavioral Finance Framework
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The Exchange Rate In A Behavioral Finance Framework
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Author : Paul De Grauwe
language : en
Publisher: Princeton University Press
Release Date : 2018-06-05
The Exchange Rate In A Behavioral Finance Framework written by Paul De Grauwe and has been published by Princeton University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2018-06-05 with Business & Economics categories.
This book provides an alternative view of the workings of foreign exchange markets. The authors' modeling approach is based on the idea that agents use simple forecasting rules and switch to those rules that have been shown to be the most profitable in the past. This selection mechanism is based on trial and error and is probably the best possible strategy in an uncertain world, the authors contend. It creates a rich dynamic in the foreign exchange markets and can generate bubbles and crashes. Sensitivity to initial conditions is a pervasive force in De Grauwe and Grimaldi's model. It explains why large exchange-rate changes and volatility clustering occur. It also has important implications for understanding how the news affects the exchange rate. De Grauwe and Grimaldi conclude that news in fundamentals has an unpredictable effect on the exchange rate. Sometimes, they maintain, it alters the exchange rate considerably; at other times it has no effectwhatsoever. The authors also use their model to analyze the effects of official interventions in the foreign exchange market. They show that simple intervention rules of the "leaning-against-the-wind" variety can be effective in eliminating bubbles and crashes in the exchange rate. They further demonstrate how, quite paradoxically, by intervening in the foreign exchange market the central bank makes the market look more efficient. Clear and comprehensive, The Exchange Rate in a Behavioral Finance Framework is a must-have for analysts in foreign exchange markets as well as students of international finance and economics.
Handbook Of Exchange Rates
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Author : Jessica James
language : en
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Release Date : 2012-05-29
Handbook Of Exchange Rates written by Jessica James and has been published by John Wiley & Sons this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2012-05-29 with Business & Economics categories.
Praise for Handbook of Exchange Rates “This book is remarkable. I expect it to become the anchor reference for people working in the foreign exchange field.” —Richard K. Lyons, Dean and Professor of Finance, Haas School of Business, University of California Berkeley “It is quite easily the most wide ranging treaty of expertise on the forex market I have ever come across. I will be keeping a copy close to my fingertips.” —Jim O’Neill, Chairman, Goldman Sachs Asset Management How should we evaluate the forecasting power of models? What are appropriate loss functions for major market participants? Is the exchange rate the only means of adjustment? Handbook of Exchange Rates answers these questions and many more, equipping readers with the relevant concepts and policies for working in today’s international economic climate. Featuring contributions written by leading specialists from the global financial arena, this handbook provides a collection of original ideas on foreign exchange (FX) rates in four succinct sections: • Overview introduces the history of the FX market and exchange rate regimes, discussing key instruments in the trading environment as well as macro and micro approaches to FX determination. • Exchange Rate Models and Methods focuses on forecasting exchange rates, featuring methodological contributions on the statistical methods for evaluating forecast performance, parity relationships, fair value models, and flow–based models. • FX Markets and Products outlines active currency management, currency hedging, hedge accounting; high frequency and algorithmic trading in FX; and FX strategy-based products. • FX Markets and Policy explores the current policies in place in global markets and presents a framework for analyzing financial crises. Throughout the book, topics are explored in-depth alongside their founding principles. Each chapter uses real-world examples from the financial industry and concludes with a summary that outlines key points and concepts. Handbook of Exchange Rates is an essential reference for fund managers and investors as well as practitioners and researchers working in finance, banking, business, and econometrics. The book also serves as a valuable supplement for courses on economics, business, and international finance at the upper-undergraduate and graduate levels.
Fundamental And Non Fundamental Equilibria In The Foreign Exchange Market A Behavioural Finance Framework
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Author : Paul De Grauwe (econoom)
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2005
Fundamental And Non Fundamental Equilibria In The Foreign Exchange Market A Behavioural Finance Framework written by Paul De Grauwe (econoom) and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2005 with categories.
Behavioral Finance Model Of The Exchange Rate With Many Forecasting Rules
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Author :
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2006
Behavioral Finance Model Of The Exchange Rate With Many Forecasting Rules written by and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2006 with categories.
Lectures On Behavioral Macroeconomics
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Author : Paul De Grauwe
language : en
Publisher: Princeton University Press
Release Date : 2012-10-14
Lectures On Behavioral Macroeconomics written by Paul De Grauwe and has been published by Princeton University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2012-10-14 with Business & Economics categories.
6.2 Introducing Asset Prices in the Behavioral Model -- 6.3 Simulating the Model -- 6.4 Should the Central Bank Care about Stock Prices? -- 6.5 Inflation Targeting and Macroeconomic Stability -- 6.6 The Trade-off between Output and Inflation Variability -- 6.7 Conclusion -- 7 Extensions of the Basic Model -- 7.1 Fundamentalists Are Biased -- 7.2 Shocks and Trade-offs -- 7.3 Further Extensions of the Basic Model -- 7.4 Conclusion -- 8 Empirical Issues -- 8.1 Introduction -- 8.2 The Correlation of Output Movements and Animal Spirits -- 8.3 Model Predictions: Higher Moments -- 8.4 Transmission of Monetary Policy Shocks -- 8.5 Conclusion -- References -- Index
The Psychology Of The Foreign Exchange Market
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Author : Thomas Oberlechner
language : en
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Release Date : 2005-07-08
The Psychology Of The Foreign Exchange Market written by Thomas Oberlechner and has been published by John Wiley & Sons this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2005-07-08 with Business & Economics categories.
This book demystifies the foreign exchange market by focusing on the people who comprise it. Drawing on the expertise of the very professionals whose decisions help shape the market, Thomas Oberlechner describes the highly interdependent relationship between financial decision makers and news providers, showing that the assumption that the foreign exchange market is purely economic and rational has to be replaced by a more complex market psychology.
A Behavioral Finance Model Of The Exchange Rate With Many Forecasting Rules
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Author : Paul De Grauwe
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2006
A Behavioral Finance Model Of The Exchange Rate With Many Forecasting Rules written by Paul De Grauwe and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2006 with categories.
This paper presents a behavioral finance model of the exchange rate. Agents forecast the exchange rate by means of very simple rules. They can choose between three groups of forecasting rules: fundamentalist, extrapolative and momentum rules. Agents using a fundamentalist rule are not able to observe the true value of the fundamental exchange and therefore have to rely on an estimate of this variable to make a forecast. Based on simulation analysis we find that two types of equilibria exist, a fundamental and a non-fundamental one. Both the probability of finding a particular type of equilibrium and the probability of switching between different types of equilibria depend on the number of rules available to agents. Furthermore, we find that the exchange rate dynamics is sensitive to initial conditions and to the risk perception about the underlying fundamental. Both results are dependent on the number of forecasting rules.
Exchange Rates And Global Financial Policies
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Author : Paul De Grauwe
language : en
Publisher: World Scientific
Release Date : 2014-02-04
Exchange Rates And Global Financial Policies written by Paul De Grauwe and has been published by World Scientific this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2014-02-04 with Business & Economics categories.
Exchange Rates and Global Financial Policies brings together research and work done by world-class economist Paul De Grauwe over the past two decades. Drawing inspiration from behavioural finance literature, De Grauwe covers topics such as exchange rate economics, monetary integration (with particular attention on the Eurozone), and international macroeconomics.His work is categorised across three parts. The first part develops new theoretical and empirical approaches to exchange rate modelling. The second part features a collection of papers on the theory and empirical analysis of monetary unions. The final part contains criticism of mainstream macroeconomic models as well as proposed alternative modelling approaches.
The Behavioral Economics Of Foreign Exchange Markets
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Author : Robert Schmidt
language : en
Publisher: Peter Lang Publishing
Release Date : 2006
The Behavioral Economics Of Foreign Exchange Markets written by Robert Schmidt and has been published by Peter Lang Publishing this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2006 with Business & Economics categories.
This book deals with psychological factors, which may be important for understanding the observable exchange rate movements. Thus, the study belongs to the new research field of behavioral economics, which considers the relevance of psychological factors in economic contexts. The main objective of behavioral economists is to develop a more realistic view of the actual human behavior in the context of economics. Central to the concept of behavioral economics is the assumption that humans' actual behavior deviates from the ideal of economic rationality due to at least two reasons: first, decisions are usually based on an incomplete information basis and, second, the information processing of human beings is limited by their computational capacities. Due to these limitations people are forced to apply simple heuristics in information processing. Our aim is to analyze the relevance of simple heuristics in the context of foreign exchange markets. In our view, the decision situation in foreign exchange markets can serve as a prime example for decision situations in which simple heuristics are especially relevant as the complexity of the decision situation is very high.
The Theory And Empirics Of Exchange Rates
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Author : Imad A Moosa
language : en
Publisher: World Scientific
Release Date : 2009-07-15
The Theory And Empirics Of Exchange Rates written by Imad A Moosa and has been published by World Scientific this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2009-07-15 with Business & Economics categories.
Exchange rate economics is an important field of investigation for academics, professionals and policy-makers. This book provides a comprehensive survey of the theory of and empirical evidence on the determination and effects of exchange rates. The exposition utilizes both diagrammatic and mathematical representations of the underlying models. The book is a comprehensive reference for those engaged in this field of research.