The Italian Productivity Slowdown In A Real Business Cycle Perspective
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The Italian Productivity Slowdown In A Real Business Cycle Perspective
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Author : Francesca Marino
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2013
The Italian Productivity Slowdown In A Real Business Cycle Perspective written by Francesca Marino and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2013 with categories.
This paper investigates the structural relation between the italian weak macroeconomic performances and the productivity decline experienced over the last fifteen years, estimating a Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium (DSGE) model. Modifying Ireland and Schuh's (2008) two-sector RBC model in order to account for cointegration between consumption and investment, we interpret the unsatisfactory italian economic dynamics in light of a permanent negative shock to the component of productivity which is common across the consumption-good and the investment-good sector. In light of our results, the common view that the italian productivity problems involve only the Made in Italy sectors is only partially confirmed, since growth in the investment-good sector relies on the counterbalancing properties of its transitory sector-specific productivity component. Moreover, the model indirectly stresses the importance of the intermediate-good productions in the observed productivity decline. The short and long-run implications of productivity dynamics for the consumption, investment and hours worked are also briefly discussed.
Long Run Productivity Shifts And Cyclical Fluctuations Evidence For Italy
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Author : Silvia Sgherri
language : en
Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND
Release Date : 2005-12-01
Long Run Productivity Shifts And Cyclical Fluctuations Evidence For Italy written by Silvia Sgherri and has been published by INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2005-12-01 with categories.
Using unobserved stochastic components and Kalman filter techniques, the paper assesses the relative importance of transitory and permanent shifts in Italian real GDP within a production function framework. Evidence suggests that the increase in hours worked that has accompanied pension and labor market reforms accounts for the bulk of low-frequency variation in growth, but points to factor utilization as the main driver of business cycle fluctuations. In contrast with the predictions of standard Real Business Cycle models, a positive shock to the underlying rate of total factor productivity growth generates a slight decline in hours, whereas the response of output to the same shock is found to be positive.
Hysteresis And Business Cycles
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Author : Ms.Valerie Cerra
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2020-05-29
Hysteresis And Business Cycles written by Ms.Valerie Cerra and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2020-05-29 with Business & Economics categories.
Traditionally, economic growth and business cycles have been treated independently. However, the dependence of GDP levels on its history of shocks, what economists refer to as “hysteresis,” argues for unifying the analysis of growth and cycles. In this paper, we review the recent empirical and theoretical literature that motivate this paradigm shift. The renewed interest in hysteresis has been sparked by the persistence of the Global Financial Crisis and fears of a slow recovery from the Covid-19 crisis. The findings of the recent literature have far-reaching conceptual and policy implications. In recessions, monetary and fiscal policies need to be more active to avoid the permanent scars of a downturn. And in good times, running a high-pressure economy could have permanent positive effects.
Technology Shocks And Aggregate Fluctuations
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Author : Mr.Pau Rabanal
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2004-12-01
Technology Shocks And Aggregate Fluctuations written by Mr.Pau Rabanal and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2004-12-01 with Business & Economics categories.
Our answer: Not so well. We reached that conclusion after reviewing recent research on the role of technology as a source of economic fluctuations. The bulk of the evidence suggests a limited role for aggregate technology shocks, pointing instead to demand factors as the main force behind the strong positive comovement between output and labor input measures.
Producer Dynamics
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Author : Timothy Dunne
language : en
Publisher: University of Chicago Press
Release Date : 2009-05-15
Producer Dynamics written by Timothy Dunne and has been published by University of Chicago Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2009-05-15 with Business & Economics categories.
The Census Bureau has recently begun releasing official statistics that measure the movements of firms in and out of business and workers in and out of jobs. The economic analyses in Producer Dynamics exploit this newly available data on establishments, firms, and workers, to address issues in industrial organization, labor, growth, macroeconomics, and international trade. This innovative volume brings together a group of renowned economists to probe topics such as firm dynamics across countries; patterns of employment dynamics; firm dynamics in nonmanufacturing industries such as retail, health services, and agriculture; employer-employee turnover from matched worker/firm data sets; and turnover in international markets. Producer Dynamics will serve as an invaluable reference to economists and policy makers seeking to understand the links between firms and workers, and the sources of economic dynamics, in the age of globalization.
Labor Markets And Business Cycles
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Author : Robert Shimer
language : en
Publisher: Princeton University Press
Release Date : 2010-04-12
Labor Markets And Business Cycles written by Robert Shimer and has been published by Princeton University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2010-04-12 with Business & Economics categories.
Labor Markets and Business Cycles integrates search and matching theory with the neoclassical growth model to better understand labor market outcomes. Robert Shimer shows analytically and quantitatively that rigid wages are important for explaining the volatile behavior of the unemployment rate in business cycles. The book focuses on the labor wedge that arises when the marginal rate of substitution between consumption and leisure does not equal the marginal product of labor. According to competitive models of the labor market, the labor wedge should be constant and equal to the labor income tax rate. But in U.S. data, the wedge is strongly countercyclical, making it seem as if recessions are periods when workers are dissuaded from working and firms are dissuaded from hiring because of an increase in the labor income tax rate. When job searches are time consuming and wages are flexible, search frictions--the cost of a job search--act like labor adjustment costs, further exacerbating inconsistencies between the competitive model and data. The book shows that wage rigidities can reconcile the search model with the data, providing a quantitatively more accurate depiction of labor markets, consumption, and investment dynamics. Developing detailed search and matching models, Labor Markets and Business Cycles will be the main reference for those interested in the intersection of labor market dynamics and business cycle research.
China S Productivity Convergence And Growth Potential A Stocktaking And Sectoral Approach
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Author : Min Zhu
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2019-11-27
China S Productivity Convergence And Growth Potential A Stocktaking And Sectoral Approach written by Min Zhu and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2019-11-27 with Business & Economics categories.
China’s growth potential has become a hotly debated topic as the economy has reached an income level susceptible to the “middle-income trap” and financial vulnerabilities are mounting after years of rapid credit expansion. However, the existing literature has largely focused on macro level aggregates, which are ill suited to understanding China’s significant structural transformation and its impact on economic growth. To fill the gap, this paper takes a deep dive into China’s convergence progress in 38 industrial sectors and 11 services sectors, examines past sectoral transitions, and predicts future shifts. We find that China’s productivity convergence remains at an early stage, with the industrial sector more advanced than services. Large variations exist among subsectors, with high-tech industrial sectors, in particular the ICT sector, lagging low-tech sectors. Going forward, ample room remains for further convergence, but the shrinking distance to the frontier, the structural shift from industry to services, and demographic changes will put sustained downward pressure on growth, which could slow to 5 percent by 2025 and 4 percent by 2030. Digitalization, SOE reform, and services sector opening up could be three major forces boosting future growth, while the risks of a financial crisis and a reversal in global integration in trade and technology could slow the pace of convergence.
The Italian Economy
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Author : Vera Zamagni
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2018
The Italian Economy written by Vera Zamagni and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2018 with Italy categories.
Italian Economists Of The 20th Century
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Author : Ferdinando Meacci
language : en
Publisher: Edward Elgar Publishing
Release Date : 1998-01-01
Italian Economists Of The 20th Century written by Ferdinando Meacci and has been published by Edward Elgar Publishing this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1998-01-01 with Business & Economics categories.
Italian Economists of the 20th Century provides a unique up-to-date assessment and appreciation of the work of 12 pioneering economists. The essays - written by a group of leading international scholars - are a fitting tribute to the important contribution that Italian economists have made to 20th century economics.
Credit Supply And Productivity Growth
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Author : Francesco Manaresi
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2019-05-17
Credit Supply And Productivity Growth written by Francesco Manaresi and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2019-05-17 with Business & Economics categories.
We study the impact of bank credit on firm productivity. We exploit a matched firm-bank database covering all the credit relationships of Italian corporations, together with a natural experiment, to measure idiosyncratic supply-side shocks to credit availability and to estimate a production model augmented with financial frictions. We find that a contraction in credit supply causes a reduction of firm TFP growth and also harms IT-adoption, innovation, exporting, and adoption of superior management practices, while a credit expansion has limited impact. Quantitatively, the credit contraction between 2007 and 2009 accounts for about a quarter of observed the decline in TFP.