The Little Book Of Managing Uncertainty
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The Little Book Of Managing Uncertainty
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Author : Harry Katzan Jr.
language : en
Publisher: iUniverse
Release Date : 2022-08-22
The Little Book Of Managing Uncertainty written by Harry Katzan Jr. and has been published by iUniverse this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2022-08-22 with Business & Economics categories.
Advanced technology is the cornerstone of modern society. Some of the reasons for studying the methods and applications of technology are that the subject serves as the basis of our everyday existence. We use technology on a daily basis, yet we know very little about the underlying concepts. We have no introduction to the subject matter, no principles of best behavior, and no theories. It is a time for change and this book fills that need. In this book, we are going to take a look at the evolving technology of uncertainty. Getting a handle on uncertainty permits a practitioner to perform in an excellent manner on tasks from management to applied technology. Modern government, such as the intelligence services, is exceedingly complicated, and uncertainty exists in almost every aspect of their daily lives. Business and finance have similar requirements so that participants can excel in all aspects of the decisions of everyday business life. The ability to deal with uncertainty is based on the methods of combining diverse possibilities into a coherent whole called a frame of discernment. Then, using a methodology known as Dempster-Shafer theory, evidence can be evaluated and a basis for decision making can be discerned. The effective use of Dempster-Shafer theory is conceptualized through computer methodology. Once determined to be unsolvable by experts, the methods contained herein have been solved by the author as a visiting professor in Switzerland. The methods are summarized in a research monograph entitled Managing Uncertainty and simplified in this book, along with an appropriate appendix that introduces the methodology. The book is comprised of introductory material followed by appropriate examples in essays that can be read in any order determined by the reader’s interests. The essays are based on peer reviewed journal articles presented at technical conferences. The various essays can be addressed in any order as they are adjusted to fit the needs of practicing professionals. Harry Katzan is a professor, author, and consultant, and enjoys outdoor activities.
Managing Uncertainty
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Author : Michel Syrett
language : en
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Release Date : 2012-10-04
Managing Uncertainty written by Michel Syrett and has been published by John Wiley & Sons this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2012-10-04 with Business & Economics categories.
A guide to understanding and responding to business uncertainty in the twenty-first century Managing uncertainty has become a new business imperative. Technological discontinuities, regulatory upheavals, geopolitical shocks, abrupt shifts in consumer tastes or behavior, and many other factors have emerged or intensified in recent years and together conspire to undermine even the most carefully constructed business strategies. Managing Uncertainty: Strategies for Surviving and Thriving in Turbulent Times addresses these new challenges, assessing the sources of business turbulence, how to classify uncertainty, and the different ways in which uncertainty can be embraced to allow greater innovation and growth. Drawing on examples from around the world, the book presents the most recent ideas on what it means to manage uncertainty, from practitioners, academics, and consultants. Addresses the challenges of managing uncertainty in business Presents a step-by-step guide to managing business uncertainty Draws examples from major international companies, including Intel, Procter & Gamble, Siemens, Boeing, Philips, Ford, Apple, and many more Written for business leaders and managers looking for new ways to ensure that their businesses continue to thrive in a world of increasing complexity, Managing Uncertainty presents new and innovative ideas about reducing risk by understanding difficult-to-predict shifts.
Managing Project Uncertainty
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Author : David Cleden
language : en
Publisher: Routledge
Release Date : 2017-03-02
Managing Project Uncertainty written by David Cleden and has been published by Routledge this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2017-03-02 with Business & Economics categories.
Dealing effectively with uncertainty requires today's project manager to be familiar with a broad spectrum of strategies, encompassing both 'hard' and 'soft' methods. This theme of unified thinking (i.e. the need to selectively draw upon a wide range of strategies in any given situation) will differentiate the book from its contemporaries. By picking up where traditional risk management techniques begin to fail, it brings together leading-edge thinking from a variety of disciplines and shows how these techniques can be used to conquer uncertainty in projects. The ability to make good decisions when faced with uncertainty is the real challenge. It is a universal truth that a decision is only as good as the information it is based on. But good information is often hard to come by, and all projects are vulnerable to the unknown and the unknowable. Thus, uncertainty becomes the sworn enemy of the project manager. Wherever we try to analyse, quantify, plan and act, uncertainty lies in wait to surprise us with its ambiguity and unpredictability. It lurks in every stage of the project lifecycle: in the planning (how long will this really take?), the initiation (this isn't the situation I expected!), the execution (who could have foreseen that happening?), and even the completion of a project (where are the expected benefits?). But managing uncertainty is a lot more than just applying risk management techniques. It requires a deep appreciation of how uncertainty arises and, by recognising its different guises, the appropriate strategies can be formulated. If we can learn how to reduce uncertainty, we can make better management decisions and increase the chances of the project succeeding. This book addresses five key questions: ¢ Why is there uncertainty in projects? ¢ How do you spot the symptoms of uncertainty, preferably at an early stage? ¢ What can be done to avoid uncertainty? ¢ What strategies can be used to deal with project uncertainty? ¢ How can both the individual and the organisation learn to cope more effectively in the future? The reader is assumed to be a either a project management professional, or a senior manager looking for ways to improve project management strategy within their organisation. As such, a foundation in project management basics is assumed, although not essential. The book then builds on this by exposing new ideas and concepts, and shows how these can be harnessed to tackle uncertainty in its many guises.
Managing Uncertainty
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Author : H. Katzan
language : en
Publisher: CRC Press
Release Date : 1992-08-01
Managing Uncertainty written by H. Katzan and has been published by CRC Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1992-08-01 with Business & Economics categories.
A guide to using the computer to come to terms with the risk, insecurity, and ambivalence that are encountered in businesses in a wide range of fields. Matching management techniques with computational equivalents, shows how to use both conflicting and confirming evidence from independent sources to induce, infer, and predict, in ways that will improve decision making. Includes several programs. Annotation copyright by Book News, Inc., Portland, OR
Managing Uncertainty
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Author : University of Massachusetts at Amherst. Department of Computer and Information Science
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1986
Managing Uncertainty written by University of Massachusetts at Amherst. Department of Computer and Information Science and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1986 with categories.
Management Of Uncertainty
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Author : Gudela Grote
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2009-09-17
Management Of Uncertainty written by Gudela Grote and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2009-09-17 with Business & Economics categories.
As I write, the financial systems of the world are collapsing with still no clear indication of what the consequences will be and which measures should be taken to avoid such a crisis in the future. There seems to be agreement though, that the financial instruments introduced in the past few decades entailed far too much complexity and uncertainty and that there was too little regulatory control over the use of these instruments. Management of uncertainty with the aim of achieving self-control is the core concern of this book. It was not written with a focus on financial systems, but many concepts developed in this book are applicable to this field as well. The - neric principles of reducing, maintaining or increasing uncertainties in view of the different contingencies an organization is faced with, the fundamental issue of how much control is possible and who should be in control, and the question of how much and what kind of regulation is necessary with the overall aim of finding an appropriate balance between system stability and flexibility are at the centre of heated debates on the future of finance.
Embracing Uncertainty The Essence Of Leadership
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Author : Phillip G Clampitt
language : en
Publisher: Routledge
Release Date : 2016-09-16
Embracing Uncertainty The Essence Of Leadership written by Phillip G Clampitt and has been published by Routledge this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2016-09-16 with Business & Economics categories.
This guide offers a different approach from the misleading formulae for success offered by much self-help business literature. The authors believe that in today's turbulent competitive environment, it is necessary to embrace uncertainty and set more realistic expectations.
Managing The Unknown
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Author : Christoph H. Loch
language : en
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Release Date : 2011-11-30
Managing The Unknown written by Christoph H. Loch and has been published by John Wiley & Sons this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2011-11-30 with Technology & Engineering categories.
Managing the Unknown offers a new way of looking at the problem of managing projects in novel and unknown environments. From Europe's leading business school, this book shows how to manage two fundamental approaches that, in combination, offer the possibility of coping with unforeseen influences that inevitably arise in novel projects: * Trial-and-Error Learning allows for redefining the plan and the project as the project unfolds * Selectionism pursues multiple, independent trials in order to pick the best one at the end Managing the Unknown offers expert guidelines to the specific project mindsets, infrastructures, and management methods required to use these project management approaches and achieve success in spite of unforeseen obstacles. This book equips readers with: * Causal explanations of why unforeseeable factors in novel projects make traditional project planning and project risk management insufficient * Directly applicable management tools that help managers to guide novel and high-uncertainty projects * Real-world case studies of both successful and unsuccessful approaches to managing high uncertainty in novel projects
Managing Uncertainty
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Author : B. McPherson
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1985
Managing Uncertainty written by B. McPherson and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1985 with categories.
The Little Book Of Beyond Budgeting
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Author : Dr Steve Morlidge
language : en
Publisher: Matador
Release Date : 2017-11-01
The Little Book Of Beyond Budgeting written by Dr Steve Morlidge and has been published by Matador this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2017-11-01 with Business & Economics categories.
It is difficult to think of a business process that is as widely unpopular, dysfunctional and discredited as traditional budgeting - yet over a decade after the creation of the Beyond Budgeting movement, many business people are unaware of its existence. And many of those that have heard of it find the Beyond Budgeting ideas difficult to grasp because they have been conditioned by experience to think in a very narrow way about the process of management. This book fills in these gaps in awareness and understanding by answering the question ‘what is Beyond Budgeting?’ in a clear and succinct way to help you make informed choices about the way that you run your business, as an alternative to blindly copying your predecessors. Amongst the things you will discover are: How the financial operating model used to organise and run the affairs of an enterprise impacts many aspects of corporate life, not just the level of business performance The universal law of complexity that explains why traditional budgeting will always fail to deliver what it promises: predictable performance. How the Beyond Budgeting process model is better equipped to deal with the complexity of modern organisational life and the uncertainty of the world Why and how an organisation has to be designed to complement the processes used to plan and control its activities. How to bring about change The goal is to help build healthier, more adaptive organisations, better able to meet the challenges and exploit the opportunities thrown up by the modern world.