The Relationship Between House Prices And Land Supply
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The Relationship Between House Prices And Land Supply
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Author : Gerald Eve
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1992
The Relationship Between House Prices And Land Supply written by Gerald Eve and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1992 with Business & Economics categories.
Over the past 20 years, house prices in England have risen considerably in real terms. This report details the results of an investigation into the extent to which land supply and the operation of the planning system have affected house prices since 1970. The study is directed around four inter-relating elements: the planning system, the land market, new housing production and the housing market. Using four case study areas, in different regions, the conclusions are framed around the elements listed above.
Land Supply Elasticity And The Housing Price Sensitivity To Interest Rate
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Author : Yikun Huang
language : en
Publisher: Open Dissertation Press
Release Date : 2017-01-26
Land Supply Elasticity And The Housing Price Sensitivity To Interest Rate written by Yikun Huang and has been published by Open Dissertation Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2017-01-26 with categories.
This dissertation, "Land Supply Elasticity and the Housing Price Sensitivity to Interest Rate" by Yikun, Huang, 黃逸昆, was obtained from The University of Hong Kong (Pokfulam, Hong Kong) and is being sold pursuant to Creative Commons: Attribution 3.0 Hong Kong License. The content of this dissertation has not been altered in any way. We have altered the formatting in order to facilitate the ease of printing and reading of the dissertation. All rights not granted by the above license are retained by the author. Abstract: In Hong Kong, housing prices have increased significantly in recent years. Amongst all the reasons for such significant increase, low interest rate has been recognized as one of the major reasons. Many studies have provided empirical evidence to support the negative relationship between interest rate and housing prices. However, in the US, recent studies (Glaeser, Gottlieb and Gyourko, 2010; Kuttner, 2012) show that the observed effect of interest rate changes on housing prices is much less than that predicted by the standard user cost model. According to the Glaeser et al. (2010), there are three potential explanations for the low housing price sensitivity to interest rate fluctuation. First, increase in land (and therefore housing) supply elasticity can reduce the effects of the demand-side variables, including interest rate. Second, high risk premium for long term mortgage rate in the US makes housing prices less sensitive to changes in interest rates. Third, the long-term mortgage contracts in the US cannot reflect the impact of frequent short term interest rate fluctuation. Among these three potential hypotheses proposed to explain the lower than expected housing price sensitivity to interest rate changes, land supply elasticity is more relevant to Hong Kong. By focusing on Hong Kong's housing market, this thesis examines the relationship between land supply elasticity and the sensitivity of housing prices towards interest rate changes. When demand shift due to interest rate change, land supply (and therefore housing supply) may respond accordingly to reduce the impact of interest rate change. The more elastic the supply is, the weaker the housing price sensitivity to interest rate may be. Alternatively, housing prices are more sensitive to interest rate change when land supply is inelastic. To be more precisely, this study provides an empirical test on whether land supply elasticity reduces housing price sensitivity towards interest changes. Two approaches are applied to provide clear pictures of housing price sensitivity. First, data from different housing subsectors with different land supply elasticity are used for the empirical tests. The results show that prices of large units in the Hong Kong Island are significantly more sensitive to interest rate change, compared to those of small units in the New Territories. This is consistent with the implication of our hypothesis because new land for building luxurious units in Hong Kong Island is limited while there are relatively more lands available in the New Territories for smaller mass residential units. Second, in Hong Kong, all new land supply comes from the government in the form of leasehold land. Hence, government's land supply policy has a major impact on land supply elasticity. For example, there was a period of restricted land supply before the handover in 1997, which effectively reduced land supply elasticity. On the other hand, the Application List land sales system adopted by the Hong Kong government from 2000 to 2013 should increase the flexibility in land supply. Therefore, this study makes use of these policy changes as nature experiments to investigate the effect of land supply elasticity on housing price sensitivity towards interest fluctuation. The results show that housing prices are more sensitive to interest rate change during the land supply restriction period and more insensitive
Land Supply And Housing Prices
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Author : Qiongqiong Zheng
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2017-01-26
Land Supply And Housing Prices written by Qiongqiong Zheng and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2017-01-26 with categories.
This dissertation, "Land Supply and Housing Prices: Empirical Studies of Hong Kong and Guangzhou" by Qiongqiong, Zheng, 郑琼琼, was obtained from The University of Hong Kong (Pokfulam, Hong Kong) and is being sold pursuant to Creative Commons: Attribution 3.0 Hong Kong License. The content of this dissertation has not been altered in any way. We have altered the formatting in order to facilitate the ease of printing and reading of the dissertation. All rights not granted by the above license are retained by the author. Abstract: It is widely accepted that land supply plays an important role in restricting housing supply and adjusting housing price level. This study aims to explore the dynamic relationship and causality between land supply and housing price with the cases of Hong Kong and Guangzhou, which are two close relative Chinese cities under the framework of 'One country, two systems'. This study employs the vector auto-regression (VAR), Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) and Granger Causality test to disentangle the complicated relationship, long-run and short-run, between land supply and housing price. Besides, the dynamic analysis of VAR and VECM are conducted using innovation accounting methods such as impulse response function (IRF) and variance decomposition (VDC). The empirical results show that the land supply and housing price are co-integrated in Hong Kong during the sample period between 2001 and 2011, and a long-run unilateral causality is confirmed from housing price to land supply for Hong Kong. Regarding Guangzhou, although there is no co-integration between land supply and housing price during 2001 and 2011, Granger causality from land supply to housing price shows a time lag of 10 quarters. These findings imply the relative efficient market economy in the Hong Kong housing market compared to Guangzhou, which is also consistent with the differences in land leasing systems and housing markets in Hong Kong and Guangzhou. This study not only sheds light on the discrepancies of land leasing systems and housing market mechanism between capitalism and socialism, but also provides implications for policy makers in formulating strategy to improve housing affordability. DOI: 10.5353/th_b5108692 Subjects: Housing - Prices - China - Hong Kong Land use - China - Guangzhou Housing - Prices - China - Guangzhou Land use - China - Hong Kong
Determinants Of Property Prices In Hong Kong Sar
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Author : Mr.R. Sean Craig
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2011-11-01
Determinants Of Property Prices In Hong Kong Sar written by Mr.R. Sean Craig and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2011-11-01 with Business & Economics categories.
This paper uses an econometric model of residential property prices in Hong Kong SAR to assess the effectiveness of alternative policies in slowing the increase in property prices. The rapid rise in property prices is well explained by macroconomic fundamentals; real GDP per capital, real domestic credit, construction costs, land supply, and the real interest rate. Policy can influence the property market though land supply and prudential and tax policy, with the latter policies taking the form of a stamp duty on property transactions and a tighter loan-to-value ratio (LTV) on lending. Land supply is the most effective policy insturment for restraining property price increases but it operates with a significant lag. The LTV and stamp duty dampen speculative activity that drives up property prices. While these policies can slow the increase in the short run, they should be guided by their long run objectives of financial stability and counteracting speculation.
Planning Land Supply And House Prices
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Author : Sarah Monk
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1991
Planning Land Supply And House Prices written by Sarah Monk and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1991 with City planning categories.
Economics Real Estate And The Supply Of Land
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Author : Alan W. Evans
language : en
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Release Date : 2008-04-30
Economics Real Estate And The Supply Of Land written by Alan W. Evans and has been published by John Wiley & Sons this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2008-04-30 with Business & Economics categories.
The book draws together the economic literature relating to the supply of land for development. The standard view appears to be that the owners of land have no interest other than to allow their land to be used for the activity which would yield the highest income. But in reality this is not so and the book's aim is to demonstrate this, to set out the reasons and to show the economic effects of the fact that landowners have other motives. The book covers the supply of land for urban development and shows how land has characteristics which differentiate it from other factors of production which will also affect its supply for some uses, e.g. land is fixed in location and its price and value are inseparable from where it is. New light is cast on the market for land (by concentrating on the supply side), and on land use planning (by taking an economic viewpoint).
Hot Property
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Author : Rob Nijskens
language : en
Publisher: Springer
Release Date : 2019-06-14
Hot Property written by Rob Nijskens and has been published by Springer this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2019-06-14 with Business & Economics categories.
This open access book discusses booming housing markets in cities around the globe, and the resulting challenges for policymakers and central banks. Cities are booming everywhere, leading to a growing demand for urban housing. In many cities this demand is out-pacing supply, which causes house prices to soar and increases the pressure on rental markets. These developments are posing major challenges for policymakers, central banks and other authorities responsible for ensuring financial stability, and economic well-being in general.This volume collects views from high-level policymakers and researchers, providing essential insights into these challenges, their impact on society, the economy and financial stability, and possible policy responses. The respective chapters address issues such as the popularity of cities, the question of a credit-fueled housing bubble, the role of housing supply frictions and potential policy solutions. Given its scope, the book offers a revealing read and valuable guide for everyone involved in practical policymaking for housing markets, mortgage credit and financial stability.
Determinants Of House Prices In Nine Asia Pacific Economies
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Author : Eloisa T. Glindro
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2008
Determinants Of House Prices In Nine Asia Pacific Economies written by Eloisa T. Glindro and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2008 with Housing categories.
Journal Of Housing Research
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Author :
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2006
Journal Of Housing Research written by and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2006 with Housing categories.
Systems Of Housing Supply And Housing Production In Europe
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Author : Andrew Golland
language : en
Publisher: Routledge
Release Date : 2019-01-04
Systems Of Housing Supply And Housing Production In Europe written by Andrew Golland and has been published by Routledge this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2019-01-04 with Social Science categories.
First published in 1998, this volume is a comparison of three European states: the United Kingdom, the Netherlands and Germany. The book investigates the effect of different policy stances on the volume and tenure of new housing production. Examining a number of contemporary theories, the methodology considers the role of markets, political systems and cultural factors in explaining why housing production outcomes differ. Comparative housing studies can be criticized for a number of reasons. Sometimes the theoretical framework lacks raison d’être; other times the approach comprises a purely descriptive ‘country-by-country’ overview. This study differs in the emphasis given to methodological problems ad in the approach to comparing systems, which is on an issue-by-issue basis. The conclusions show that systems of supply in which governments intervene significantly, often regulate production more successfully than those in which production is mainly market driven. The findings will be of interest to practitioners, researchers and post-graduate students of European housing.