The Term Structure Of Interest Rates And Inflation Forecast Targeting
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The Term Structure Of Interest Rates And Inflation Forecast Targeting
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Author : Sylvester C. W. Eijffinger
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2000
The Term Structure Of Interest Rates And Inflation Forecast Targeting written by Sylvester C. W. Eijffinger and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2000 with Anti-inflationary policies categories.
The Term Structure Od Interest Rates And Inflation Forecast Targeting
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Author : S. Eijffinger
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2000
The Term Structure Od Interest Rates And Inflation Forecast Targeting written by S. Eijffinger and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2000 with categories.
Heterogeneous Information About The Term Structure Of Interest Rates Least Squares Learning And Optimal Interest Rate Rules For Inflation Targeting
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Author : Eric Schaling
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2007
Heterogeneous Information About The Term Structure Of Interest Rates Least Squares Learning And Optimal Interest Rate Rules For Inflation Targeting written by Eric Schaling and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2007 with categories.
In this paper, we incorporate the term structure of interest rates in a standard inflation forecast targeting framework. Learning about the transmission process of monetary policy is introduced by having heterogeneous agents - i.e., the central bank and private agents - who have different information sets about the future sequence of short-term interest rates. We analyse inflation forecast targeting in two environments. One in which the central bank has perfect knowledge, in the sense that it understands and observes the process by which private sector interest rate expectations are generated, and one in which the central bank has imperfect knowledge and has to learn the private sector forecasting rule for short-term interest rates. In the case of imperfect knowledge, the central bank has to learn about private sector interest rate expectations, as the latter affect the impact of monetary policy through the expectations theory of the term structure of interest rates. Here, following Evans and Honkapohja (2001), the learning scheme we investigate is that of least-squares learning (recursive OLS) using the Kalman filter. We find that optimal monetary policy under learning is a policy that separates estimation and control. Therefore, this model suggests that the practical relevance of the breakdown of the separation principle and the need for experimentation in policy may be limited.
Heterogeneous Information About The Term Structure Of Interest Rates Least Squares Learning And Optimal Interest Rate Rules For Inflation Forecast Targeting
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Author : Eric Schaling
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2004
Heterogeneous Information About The Term Structure Of Interest Rates Least Squares Learning And Optimal Interest Rate Rules For Inflation Forecast Targeting written by Eric Schaling and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2004 with categories.
Learning About The Term Structure And Optimal Rules For Inflation Targeting
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Author : Mewael F. Tesfaselassie
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2006
Learning About The Term Structure And Optimal Rules For Inflation Targeting written by Mewael F. Tesfaselassie and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2006 with categories.
Learning About The Term Structure And Optimal Rules For Inflation Targeting
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Author : Sylvester C. W. Eijffinger
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2013
Learning About The Term Structure And Optimal Rules For Inflation Targeting written by Sylvester C. W. Eijffinger and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2013 with categories.
In this paper we incorporate the term structure of interest rates in a standard inflation forecast targeting framework. We find that under flexible inflation targeting and uncertainty in the degree of persistence in the economy, allowing for active learning possibilities has effects on the optimal interest rate rule followed by the central bank. For a wide range of possible initial beliefs about the unknown parameter, the dynamically optimal rule is in general more activist, in the sense of responding aggressively to the state of the economy, than the myopic rule for small to moderate deviations of the state variable from its target. On the other hand, for large deviations, the optimal policy is less activist than the myopic and the certainty equivalence policies.
The Term Structure Of Interest Rates And Inflation
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Author : Sylvester C. W. Eijffinger
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1999
The Term Structure Of Interest Rates And Inflation written by Sylvester C. W. Eijffinger and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1999 with categories.
This paper examines the implications of the expectations theory of the term structure for the implementation of inflation targeting. We show that the term structure weakens the transmission of short-term interest rates to ultimate policy objectives. Therefore, short term interest rates in the central bank's forward looking monetary policy rule need to respond more strongly to the output gap and deviations of inflation from its target. Thus, in general the term structure implies a higher degree of policy activism. Next, we show that both the sensitivity of the term spread to economic fundamentals, and the extent to which the spread predicts future output, are increasing in the duration of the long bond and the degree of structural output persistence. If the central bank becomes relatively less concerned about inflation stabilization the term spread becomes less sensitive to fundamentals, and the spread will be less successful in predicting real economic activity.
Inflation Target Credibility And The Term Structure Of Interest Rates
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Author : James Michael Watson
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2010
Inflation Target Credibility And The Term Structure Of Interest Rates written by James Michael Watson and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2010 with categories.
Monetary Policy Interest Rate Rules And The Term Structure Of Interest Rates
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Author : Ralf Fendel
language : en
Publisher: Peter Lang Publishing
Release Date : 2007
Monetary Policy Interest Rate Rules And The Term Structure Of Interest Rates written by Ralf Fendel and has been published by Peter Lang Publishing this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2007 with Business & Economics categories.
Interest rate rules play an important role in the empirical analysis of monetary policy as well as in modern monetary theory. Besides giving a comprehensive insight into this line of research the study incorporates the term structure of interest rates into interest rate rules. This is performed analytically as well as empirically. In doing so, state of the art techniques of modern finance for the analysis of the term structure of interest rates are introduced into the macroeconomic concept of interest rate rules. The study implies that from the theoretical perspective term structure effects are an important extension of interest rate rules. From an empirical perspective it shows that including term structure effects in interest rate reaction functions improves our understanding of the interest rate setting of the Deutsche Bundesbank and the European Central Bank.
Deriving Agents Inflation Forecasts From The Term Structure Of Interest Rates
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Author : Christopher Ragan
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1998
Deriving Agents Inflation Forecasts From The Term Structure Of Interest Rates written by Christopher Ragan and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1998 with categories.
In this paper, the author uses the term structure of nominal interest rates to construct estimates of agents' expectations of inflation over several medium-term forecast horizons. The Expectations Hypothesis is imposed together with the assumption that expected future real interest rates are given by current real rates. Under these maintained assumptions, it is possible to compare the nominal yields on two assets of different maturities and attribute the difference in nominal yields to differences in expected inflation over the two horizons (assuming a constant term premium). The results for the United States and Canada over the past several years suggest that there is a significant static element to agents' inflation expectations.