Three Essays On International Economics And Macroeconomics
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Three Essays On International Economics And Macroeconomics
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Author : Seungjin Kim
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1995
Three Essays On International Economics And Macroeconomics written by Seungjin Kim and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1995 with categories.
Three Essays In Macroeconomics And International Economics
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Author :
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2005
Three Essays In Macroeconomics And International Economics written by and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2005 with categories.
This dissertation examines two issues in international economics and macroeconomics. The first is to understand the response of productivity to major real exchange rate appreciations and the second concerns how to compare the fits of different calibrated macroeconomic models. In the first chapter, I construct a model to clarify how the increased competition due to an exchange rate appreciation provides incentive for firms to improve productivity. However, if a firm is in an industry shielded by a high trade cost, then the incentive is weaker. In industries with fewer firms, profits are more responsive to productivity improvements, therefore, firms are more likely to invest more heavily in productivity improvement. Empirical analysis of Canadian manufacturing data from 1997 to 2006 finds evidence consistent with the model predictions. The second chapter presents testing procedures for comparison of misspecified calibrated models. The proposed tests are of the Vuong-type (Vuong, 1989; Rivers and Vuong, 2002). In the framework here, an econometrician selects values for the parameters in order to match some characteristics of the data with those implied by the theoretical model. We assume that all competing models are misspecified, and suggest a test for the null hypothesis that all considered models provide equal fit to the data characteristics, against the alternative that one of the models is a better approximation. The Carlstrom and Fuerst (1997) model and the Bernanke, Gertler and Gilchrist (1999) model are two leading models that study financial frictions in macroeconomic models. In particular, these models show that due to financial frictions, net worth plays an important role in obtaining external finance, and that at an aggregate level, net worth can propagate technology shocks and monetary shocks. However, neither paper examines whether the models can reproduce cyclical properties of net worth. The third chapter addresses this issue by applying the comparison.
Three Essays On International Economics
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Author : Shu-Wing Eddery Lam
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2012
Three Essays On International Economics written by Shu-Wing Eddery Lam and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2012 with categories.
This dissertation comprises of three essays in international macroeconomics. The first essay investigates the competition between two city states, both of which will stand in place of countries in the global scheme. Under the framework of the three-stages-game, we assume that there are two cities competing for dominance over two sectors: the manufacturing sector and the nancial sector. In addition, the government of each city state can build infrastructure to increase the competitiveness of the financial and distributive firms of its city. Under this framework, we are able to show that the amount of resources, the start-up costs of providing services, and the relative e ectiveness of their infrastructures determine the optimal amounts of infrastructures the cities decide to build, and thus also decide the equilibrium outcome of this game. In my second essay, we examine the relationship between income distribution and import patterns. The Linder hypothesis states that countries with similar economic characteristics should trade more often. However, although the total volumes of trade between these countries are similar, the traded goods may be different. This paper investigates the trading patterns of countries with similar characteristics. Specifically, we analyze the relationship between the import patterns and income distributions of importers. We develop an import similarity index to portray the composition of imports and utilize the idea of a "market overlap," a theoretical concept proposed by Bohman and Nilsson (2007), to represent the similarity of income distributions across different importing countries. We provide empirical evidence to support the notion that countries with similar income distributions display similar import patterns. We also separate countries by income level and find that income distribution exerts a positive impact on the similarity of import patterns for all but low income countries. Finally, we incorporate the characteristics of goods into our analysis and show that the positive relationship between income distributions and import patterns holds for differentiated and reference-priced goods, but not for homogeneous goods. In my final essay, we look into another aspect of international literature: the exchange rate. In the literature, we find that vector autoregressive (VAR) models and impulse response analyses are common tools to study the relationship between monetary policy and exchange rate movements. Therefore, it is important to investigate the accuracy of the VAR model. In the first part of this essay, we assume that the true, underlying, data-generating process is hump-shaped, which is the shape of the impulse response of exchange rate to a monetary policy shock. We show that results estimated from any VAR models applying AIC as their lags selection are biased. We also introduce two possible solutions to remedy this bias: the use of more lags in the VAR models or the use of the proposed loss functions estimations. These results suggest we should be cautious when interpreting empirical evidences on international literature. In the second part of the same essay, we investigate another issue that is closely related to the exchange rate and the VAR model. Under the estimation of the VAR model, the researcher implicitly assumes that the objective loss function is quadratic. However, it is a well accepted fact that monetary authority adjusts the interest rate according to policy. One of the objectives of the monetary authority is to influence the exchange rate in their favor. They estimate the size of the loss caused by deviations from the current exchange rate to the rate they desire, and then they adjust the amount of money in the international market. We propose an asymmetric loss function that monetary authorities may use to estimate the impulse response of the exchange rate to a contractionary monetary policy shock. We then compare these estimated impulse response functions to those estimated by the VAR. We find that while both of these estimated impulse response functions share the same sign, the magnitude and the duration of the shock are quite different. These results suggest that the VAR model may not be appropriate in estimating the exchange rate movement.
Three Essays In International Macroeconomics And Finance
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Author : Enrique Martinez-Garcia
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2007
Three Essays In International Macroeconomics And Finance written by Enrique Martinez-Garcia and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2007 with categories.
Three Essays In International Economics
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Author : Irina Balteanu
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2009
Three Essays In International Economics written by Irina Balteanu and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2009 with International economic relations categories.
Three Essays On International Macroeconomics
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Author : Jesús María Godoy Bejarano
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2016
Three Essays On International Macroeconomics written by Jesús María Godoy Bejarano and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2016 with categories.
This dissertation presents three essays on international macroeconomics. The first article is a literature review of three separate, and often disconnected, strands of the economic literature that has addressed pairs of linkages between foreign indebtedness, economic growth, and macroeconomic volatility during the last three decades. The article surveys the main findings of the theoretical and the empirical literature, with an emphasis on findings relevant to macroeconomic policymakers. We find that endogeneity and nonlinearity are the central econometric in estimating each of the bivariate relationships due primarily to institutionally related, debt overhang, and credit rationing problems. Motivated by these findings, we propuse a parsimonious empirical model, called the "debt-growth-volatility nexus" , which unites these strands of inquiry. The second article uses a GVAR approach to address the endogeneity issue in the relations among public debt, economic growth and macroeconomic volatility. Based on a sample of 81 developed and developing countries over the 1970-2011 period, we find strong evidence supporting bidirectional links between debt and growth, debt and volatility, and growth and volatility. Our setup of country groups indicates that negative and positive effects can coexist in the world economy. The third article addresses the nonlinearity issue using a disequilibrium approach. We disentangle the credit rationing effect from the nonlinear relation between debt and growth commonly known as debt overhang. Using a sample of 28 developing countries over the period from 1970 to 2010, we estimate a switching model with unknown sample separation and a set of proxies for credit rationing that we next introduce into a growth model. Our estimates indicate that credit rationing can explain the negative effect of high debt levels on growth rates.
Intervention Interest Rates And Charts
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Author : Mr.Mark P. Taylor
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 1991-11-01
Intervention Interest Rates And Charts written by Mr.Mark P. Taylor and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1991-11-01 with Business & Economics categories.
This paper contains essays on sterilized intervention, on covered interest rate parity, and on chartist analysis in financial markets. Each essay contains a definition, brief survey of the empirical evidence and overall assessment of each topic.
Three Essays In International Economics
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Author : Aleksandra Babii
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2020
Three Essays In International Economics written by Aleksandra Babii and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2020 with categories.
This thesis consists of three independent chapters on international macroeconomics. Little is known about the economic source of common variation in nominal exchange rates. The first chapter examines how international trade links nominal exchange rates. First, I document that two countries that trade more intensively with each other have more correlated exchange rates against the U.S dollar. Second, I develop a general equilibrium multi-country model, where a shock to a single country propagates to the exchange rates of its trading partners and serves as a source of common variation. In the baseline three-country model, I show that the sign and the strength of correlation between exchange rates depend on the elasticities of trade balances of countries with respect to both exchange rates. As a result, the model's prediction about the relationship between bilateral trade intensity and exchange rates correlation depends on the currency in which international prices are set. Lastly, an augmented model is calibrated to twelve countries to quantitatively assess the importance of trade linkages. I find that trade linkages alone, with uncorrelated shocks across countries, account for 50% of the empirical trade-exchange-rates-correlation slope coefficient. The second chapter, written in collaboration with Hussein Bidawi, shows that exchange rates of a large and heterogeneous set of countries are connected to individual commodity prices. This overturns the exchange rate disconnect puzzle: the empirical fact that nominal exchange rates are not linked to their fundamentals. Importantly, the connection between exchange rates and commodity prices is independent of the country's reliance on export of commodities. Strikingly then, the observed link is not restricted to commodity currencies. A novel empirical regularity about the link between exchange rates and commodity prices is uncovered. In particular, the strength of connectedness exhibits important time variation: commodity prices and exchange rates are more linked in times of high uncertainty on financial markets as measured by VIX. Our findings emphasize the need to study exchange rates and commodity prices beyond the traditional trade framework. In the third chapter in collaboration with Thomas Helbling, we study the effect of commodity price variation on the Australian economy. The Australian economy depends significantly on its commodity-exporting activity. The mining boom and bust over the past decade or so have had a large impact on the economy even though the mining sector is relatively small in terms of value added and employment. This paper explores the amplification of mining shocks over the input-output linkages. In particular, we focus on industries that provide inputs to the mining sector. We analyze the effect of Australia's key commodities prices between 2006 and 2016 exploiting cross-industry variation in sales exposure to the mining sector and quantify the overall output and employment effects of these shocks. We find that a one-standard-deviation decline in individual prices for some commodities decreases total employment by 0.75-0.82% and real output by 0.8%.
Three Essays In Open Economy And International Macroeconomics
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Author :
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2009
Three Essays In Open Economy And International Macroeconomics written by and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2009 with categories.
This dissertation comprises three essays in open economy and international macroeconomics. The first essay investigates the propagation mechanism of real exchange rate shocks to key real sectors that constitute U.S. foreign trade. The analysis is carried out by decomposing the U.S. trade balance into agriculture, manufacturing and services and evaluating how these sectors respond through the monetary policy channel to a shock in the real exchange rate. A VAR model is constructed using quarterly data of the U.S. foreign trade from 1976Q2 to 2005Q1. The results show that a shock to the real exchange rate has a greater impact on manufacturing and services net trade relative to agriculture. Moreover, the results also indicate, at the sectoral level, that exports are more sensitive to the real exchange rate shocks than are imports. These results are important to researchers using dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models of small open economies because they show transmission features of real exchange rate and monetary policy disturbances to key sectoral components of exports, imports and the trade balance. The second essay employs a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium framework to an open economy setting in order to investigate the mechanism through which the key sectors of agriculture, manufacturing and services are affected by shocks in the real exchange rates. The essay investigates exchange rate movements as deviations from purchasing power parity, disregarding the changes in the prices of non-tradable goods relative to tradable goods among countries. The results suggest that exchange rate movements are a function of structural parameters that constitute the three sectors of agriculture, manufacturing and services such as labor shares and the elasticity of substitution between domestic and foreign goods. The third essay examines the key forces driving innovation among entrepreneurs of ICT (information and communications technology) firms within Bangalore, India0́9s leading software city. The essay employs the multinomial logistic technique on qualitative variables related to education, social strata, experience, and diaspora of Indian software entrepreneurs to show empirically their relevance in explaining Schumpeterian innovation in the Indian software industry. This study not only looks at the impact of years of schooling on innovation, but also the types of education received by an entrepreneur, such as technical or commercial type of education, whether the last degree was received from India or from abroad and whether the entrepreneur attended the Indian Institute of Technology. The empirical results indicate that, the level of education, in terms of number of years of schooling and types of education received by an Indian software entrepreneur are statistically significant in explaining innovation in the Indian software industry. The results also show that, more years of experience in the software industry by an entrepreneur, increases the probability that they become innovators and reduces the likelihood of imitation. Moreover, the likelihood of adaptation is invariant to years of experience in the industry. We also investigate whether exposure to foreign technology increases the likelihood of innovation in the industry by examining three types of diaspora networks, that is, living abroad, working abroad and being a CEO abroad at least 6 months before establishing a software company in India. The results suggest that this foreign exposure increases the likelihood of innovation and reduces imitation and adaptation. Among studies of Indian entrepreneurs examining caste, this study is unique in that caste has no statistical significance in explaining entrepreneurship.
Essays On International Trade And International Macroeconomics
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Author : Ana Filipa Vieira Nadais
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2017
Essays On International Trade And International Macroeconomics written by Ana Filipa Vieira Nadais and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2017 with Default (Finance) categories.
"This dissertation consists of three essays studying different aspects of international economics. The first two chapters focus on international trade, namely on estimating the size of trade barriers by looking at how firms manage their inventories, while Chapter 3 focus on international macroeconomics; in specific, the likelihood of a country to default on its debt when there is an informal sector. The first chapter provides evidence supporting the common assumption that international fixed ordering costs are higher than domestic fixed ordering costs. The canonical inventory model (the EOQ model) is extended to include two inputs sourced from different countries. Given the demand for each of the inputs, the fixed ordering costs and the inventory holding cost, the firm decides the optimal quantity to order each period. The model is estimated using firmlevel data on inventories of raw materials and inputs used from domestic and international sources. Assuming constant returns on inventory holding costs, the model reveals that it is between 20 and 60 times more expensive to place an order internationally than domestically, but yields an elasticity of inventories to demand much smaller than in the data. Allowing for a more general holding cost structure, that depends on the level of inventories in stock captures the variation of inventories' cost with firm's size. With this more general setup, foreign ordering costs are estimated to be between 3.5 and 5.2 times higher than domestic, suggesting that there are strong economies of scale in holding inventories. Those estimates are corroborated when I allow total fixed ordering costs to depend on total demand as this specification results in international fixed ordering costs between 4.1 and 7.2 times higher than domestic. The second chapter uses firm-level data on inventory holdings and source of inputs to estimate domestic and international trade barriers looking not only at fixed costs, but also at time lags and computing their tariff equivalents. It starts by documenting three features related to inventories, import decisions, and firm's size. First, inventories increase strongly in size, with an elasticity right below one. Second, importers hold more inventories than non-importers and third, inventories increase in import intensity. Given inventory carrying costs, the inventory holdings are used to infer relative domestic and international trade barriers. I develop a model of heterogeneous firms that produce using imperfectly substitutable domestic and imported intermediates and face demand and supply uncertainty. Given ordering costs and delivery lags that differ by source country, interest charges and inventory holding costs, producers use inventories to economize on trade costs. I find it is 5 times more costly to place an international than a domestic order but, when scaled by average shipment size, the international fixed ordering cost is just twice as large; the international time lag is 3 times larger than the domestic and there is complementarity in inputs, reflected in higher domestic inventories to domestic purchases ratio for importers than for non-importers. Overall, domestic and international trade frictions have a 17.3% tariff equivalent. I decompose these tariffs into their three components and observe that due to the substitutability between fixed ordering costs and inventory holding costs, these barriers have the same relevance while that of time lag is slightly smaller. This framework can then be used to evaluate the benefits of infrastructure investments and policy changes to reduce time delays, uncertainty or fixed ordering costs. The last chapter starts from the observation that, although emerging markets are often characterized by a large informal sector, frequent default and procyclical fiscal policies, sovereign default models proposing explanations for the high sovereign bonds interest rate spreads faced by developing economies have abstracted from the existence of the informal sector and its role. To address this concern, I propose a mechanism through which the size of the informal sector impacts a country's default decision. I extend a small open economy sovereign default model by including an informal and a formal sector and pro-cyclical fiscal policies, where a benevolent government makes default and tax decisions in order to maximize agent's utility and satisfy its level of public spending. I conclude that the taxable base decreases in the size of the informal sector leading to more distortions, which translate into higher tax rates, and more frequent defaults and that these results are magnified over the business cycle"--Pages vi-viii.