A Mem Based Analysis Of Volatility Spillovers In East Asian Financial Markets
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A Mem Based Analysis Of Volatility Spillovers In East Asian Financial Markets
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Author : Robert F. Engle
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2013
A Mem Based Analysis Of Volatility Spillovers In East Asian Financial Markets written by Robert F. Engle and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2013 with categories.
Transmission mechanisms in financial markets reflect the degree of integration of capital markets and of real economies. As a matter of fact, volatility has components which may behave differently across quiet and turbulent periods, but appear to behave in similar ways from market to market. In this paper we suggest a Multiplicative Error Model (MEM) approach which is suitable for modeling directly the conditional expectation of the market daily range which is a good proxy for volatility. In the present context, the dynamics of the expected volatility of one market is extended to include interactions with the past daily ranges of other markets, thus building a potentially fully interdependent model. We analyze eight East Asian markets in the period 1995-2006, devoting particular attention to the treatment of the 1997-1998 turbulence period. We show that for some of the markets there is no evidence of changes in the dynamic impacts within the crisis and without and for other markets such a change is limited to a level shift: this suggests that the links may have been stable across sub-periods.
Return And Volatility Spillovers Among The East Asian Equity Markets
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Author : Kamil Yılmaz
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2009
Return And Volatility Spillovers Among The East Asian Equity Markets written by Kamil Yılmaz and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2009 with categories.
This article examines the extent of contagion and interdependence across the East Asian equity markets since early 1990s and compares the ongoing crisis with earlier episodes. Using the forecast error variance decomposition from a vector autoregression, we derive return and volatility spillover indices over the rolling sub-sample windows. We show that there is substantial difference between the behavior of the East Asian return and volatility spillover indices over time. While the return spillover index reveals increased integration among the East Asian equity markets, the volatility spillover index experiences significant bursts during major market crises, including the East Asian crisis. The fact that both return and volatility spillover indices reached their respective peaks during the current global financial crisis attests to the severity of the current episode. -- Stock returns ; Volatility ; Spillovers ; Vector autoregression ; Variance decomposition
Volatility Spillovers Among The U S And Asian Stock Markets
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Author : Li Yang
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2013
Volatility Spillovers Among The U S And Asian Stock Markets written by Li Yang and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2013 with categories.
This paper examines the changing nature of volatility spillovers among the U.S. and eight East Asian stock markets between two financial crises: the Asian currency crisis and the U.S. subprime credit crisis. Our empirical results suggest that volatility is not always spilled over from directly affected markets to surrounding markets in crisis periods. The East Asian markets who directly suffered from the Asian currency crisis are the ones to which volatility is spilled over from other markets during the Asian currency crisis period, whereas unidirectional volatility spillovers from the U.S. market to other markets are observed during both crisis periods. This difference can be explained by a predetermined hierarchy in which volatility spillovers tend to start from the U.S. market regardless of the geographical origin of the crisis. Furthermore, our results reveal that the markets in three major Asian financial hubs, i.e., Japan, Hong Kong and Singapore, are the markets to which volatility is spilled over unidirectionally from several other countries during the subprime credit crisis period, whereas it is not true during the Asian currency crisis period. We attribute this difference to crisis-specific (currency or credit crisis), market-specific (credit derivatives market participation and foreign currency reserves), and time-specific (more integrated global market) factor.
Volatility Spillover Among Stock Markets In Six Asian Countries And The United States
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Author : Sang Jin Lee
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2009
Volatility Spillover Among Stock Markets In Six Asian Countries And The United States written by Sang Jin Lee and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2009 with categories.
This article examines the volatility spillover effects among six Asian country stock markets and the United States. The six Asian countries are India, Hong Kong, South Korea, Japan, Singapore, and Taiwan. This article also investigates whether the volatility spillover effect increased after the 1997 Asian financial crisis. There are statistically significant volatility spillover effects within the stock markets of these countries and that effect dramatically increased after the 1997 Asian financial crisis. Especially, the regionally close five countries Hong Kong, South Korea, Japan, Singapore, and Taiwan experienced more links among them.
New Perspectives In Statistical Modeling And Data Analysis
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Author : Salvatore Ingrassia
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2011-06-29
New Perspectives In Statistical Modeling And Data Analysis written by Salvatore Ingrassia and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2011-06-29 with Mathematics categories.
This volume provides recent research results in data analysis, classification and multivariate statistics and highlights perspectives for new scientific developments within these areas. Particular attention is devoted to methodological issues in clustering, statistical modeling and data mining. The volume also contains significant contributions to a wide range of applications such as finance, marketing, and social sciences. The papers in this volume were first presented at the 7th Conference of the Classification and Data Analysis Group (ClaDAG) of the Italian Statistical Society, held at the University of Catania, Italy.
Risk Sharing And Financial Contagion In Asia
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Author : Mr.Phurichai Rungcharoenkitkul
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2011-10-01
Risk Sharing And Financial Contagion In Asia written by Mr.Phurichai Rungcharoenkitkul and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2011-10-01 with Business & Economics categories.
This paper assesses financial integration in Asia in terms of risk-sharing benefit versus financial-contagion cost. We construct a new measure of risk sharing based on a term structure model, which allows identification of realized stochastic discount factors. Risk sharing is low in Asia, and varies across time and countries, whereas contagion risks are more significant intra-regionally, and relatively stable over the past decade. An overall tradeoff exists between risk sharing and contagion, but the terms of tradeoffs vary across countries, depending on relative economic fluctuations and inflation differentials. Asia, therefore, can potentially enhance risk sharing without raising contagion risk.
Handbook Of Financial Econometrics And Statistics
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Author : Cheng-Few Lee
language : en
Publisher: Springer
Release Date : 2014-09-28
Handbook Of Financial Econometrics And Statistics written by Cheng-Few Lee and has been published by Springer this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2014-09-28 with Business & Economics categories.
The Handbook of Financial Econometrics and Statistics provides, in four volumes and over 100 chapters, a comprehensive overview of the primary methodologies in econometrics and statistics as applied to financial research. Including overviews of key concepts by the editors and in-depth contributions from leading scholars around the world, the Handbook is the definitive resource for both classic and cutting-edge theories, policies, and analytical techniques in the field. Volume 1 (Parts I and II) covers all of the essential theoretical and empirical approaches. Volumes 2, 3, and 4 feature contributed entries that showcase the application of financial econometrics and statistics to such topics as asset pricing, investment and portfolio research, option pricing, mutual funds, and financial accounting research. Throughout, the Handbook offers illustrative case examples and applications, worked equations, and extensive references, and includes both subject and author indices.
Market Microstructure And Nonlinear Dynamics
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Author : Gilles Dufrénot
language : en
Publisher: Springer
Release Date : 2014-07-14
Market Microstructure And Nonlinear Dynamics written by Gilles Dufrénot and has been published by Springer this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2014-07-14 with Business & Economics categories.
This book discusses market microstructure environment within the context of the global financial crisis. In the first part, the market microstructure theory is recalled and the main microstructure models and hypotheses are discussed. The second part focuses on the main effects of the financial downturn through an examination of market microstructure dynamics. In particular, the effects of market imperfections and the limitations associated with microstructure models are discussed. Finally, the new regulations and recent developments for financial markets that aim to improve the market microstructure are discussed. Well-known experts on the subject contribute to the chapters in the book. A must-read for academic researchers, students and quantitative practitioners.
Financial And Macroeconomic Connectedness
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Author : Francis X. Diebold
language : en
Publisher: Oxford University Press
Release Date : 2015-02-03
Financial And Macroeconomic Connectedness written by Francis X. Diebold and has been published by Oxford University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2015-02-03 with Business & Economics categories.
Connections among different assets, asset classes, portfolios, and the stocks of individual institutions are critical in examining financial markets. Interest in financial markets implies interest in underlying macroeconomic fundamentals. In Financial and Macroeconomic Connectedness, Frank Diebold and Kamil Yilmaz propose a simple framework for defining, measuring, and monitoring connectedness, which is central to finance and macroeconomics. These measures of connectedness are theoretically rigorous yet empirically relevant. The approach to connectedness proposed by the authors is intimately related to the familiar econometric notion of variance decomposition. The full set of variance decompositions from vector auto-regressions produces the core of the 'connectedness table.' The connectedness table makes clear how one can begin with the most disaggregated pair-wise directional connectedness measures and aggregate them in various ways to obtain total connectedness measures. The authors also show that variance decompositions define weighted, directed networks, so that these proposed connectedness measures are intimately related to key measures of connectedness used in the network literature. After describing their methods in the first part of the book, the authors proceed to characterize daily return and volatility connectedness across major asset (stock, bond, foreign exchange and commodity) markets as well as the financial institutions within the U.S. and across countries since late 1990s. These specific measures of volatility connectedness show that stock markets played a critical role in spreading the volatility shocks from the U.S. to other countries. Furthermore, while the return connectedness across stock markets increased gradually over time the volatility connectedness measures were subject to significant jumps during major crisis events. This book examines not only financial connectedness, but also real fundamental connectedness. In particular, the authors show that global business cycle connectedness is economically significant and time-varying, that the U.S. has disproportionately high connectedness to others, and that pairwise country connectedness is inversely related to bilateral trade surpluses.
Mathematical Finance With Applications
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Author : Wing-Keung Wong
language : en
Publisher: MDPI
Release Date : 2020-12-07
Mathematical Finance With Applications written by Wing-Keung Wong and has been published by MDPI this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2020-12-07 with Business & Economics categories.
Mathematical finance plays a vital role in many fields within finance and provides the theories and tools that have been widely used in all areas of finance. Knowledge of mathematics, probability, and statistics is essential to develop finance theories and test their validity through the analysis of empirical, real-world data. For example, mathematics, probability, and statistics could help to develop pricing models for financial assets such as equities, bonds, currencies, and derivative securities.