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A New Action Based Dataset Of Fiscal Consolidation


A New Action Based Dataset Of Fiscal Consolidation
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A New Action Based Dataset Of Fiscal Consolidation


A New Action Based Dataset Of Fiscal Consolidation
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Author : Mr.Daniel Leigh
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2011-06-01

A New Action Based Dataset Of Fiscal Consolidation written by Mr.Daniel Leigh and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2011-06-01 with Business & Economics categories.


This paper presents a new dataset of fiscal consolidation for 17 OECD economies during 1978-2009. We focus on discretionary changes in taxes and government spending primarily motivated by a desire to reduce the budget deficit and not by a response to prospective economic conditions. To identify the motivation and budgetary impact of the fiscal policy changes, we examine contemporaneous policy documents, including Budgets, Budget Speeches, central bank reports, Convergence and Stability Programs submitted by the authorities to the European Commission, and IMF and OECD reports. The resulting series can be used to estimate the macroeconomic effects of fiscal consolidation.



A New Action Based Dataset Of Fiscal Consolidation In Latin America And The Caribbean


A New Action Based Dataset Of Fiscal Consolidation In Latin America And The Caribbean
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Author : Mr.Antonio David
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2018-04-26

A New Action Based Dataset Of Fiscal Consolidation In Latin America And The Caribbean written by Mr.Antonio David and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2018-04-26 with Business & Economics categories.


This paper presents a new database of fiscal consolidations for 14 Latin American and Caribbean economies during 1989-2016. We focus on discretionary changes in taxes and government spending primarily motivated by a desire to reduce the budget deficit and long-term fiscal health and not by a response to prospective economic conditions. To identify the motivation and budgetary impact of the fiscal policy changes, we examine contemporaneous policy documents, including Budgets, central bank reports, and IMF and OECD reports. The resulting series can be used to estimate the macroeconomic effects of fiscal consolidation for these economies



A New Action Based Dataset Of Fiscal Consolidation In Latin America And The Caribbean


A New Action Based Dataset Of Fiscal Consolidation In Latin America And The Caribbean
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Author : Antonio C. David
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2018

A New Action Based Dataset Of Fiscal Consolidation In Latin America And The Caribbean written by Antonio C. David and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2018 with categories.


This paper presents a new database of fiscal consolidations for 14 Latin American and Caribbean economies during 1989-2016. We focus on discretionary changes in taxes and government spending primarily motivated by a desire to reduce the budget deficit and long-term fiscal health and not by a response to prospective economic conditions. To identify the motivation and budgetary impact of the fiscal policy changes, we examine contemporaneous policy documents, including Budgets, central bank reports, and IMF and OECD reports. The resulting series can be used to estimate the macroeconomic effects of fiscal consolidation for these economies.



An Updated Action Based Dataset Of Fiscal Consolidation


An Updated Action Based Dataset Of Fiscal Consolidation
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Author : Gustavo Adler
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2024-09-27

An Updated Action Based Dataset Of Fiscal Consolidation written by Gustavo Adler and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2024-09-27 with categories.


This paper presents a dataset of fiscal consolidation for 17 OECD economies during 1978-2020 and 14 economies in Latin America and the Caribbean during 1989-2020. We focus on discretionary changes in taxes and government spending primarily motivated by a desire to reduce the budget deficit and not by a response to prospective economic conditions. To identify the motivation and budgetary impact of the fiscal policy changes, we examine contemporaneous policy documents, including central bank reports, Convergence Programmes and Stability Programmes submitted by the authorities to the European Commission, and IMF and OECD reports. The resulting series can be used to estimate the macroeconomic effects of fiscal consolidation.



The Macroeconomic Effects Of Fiscal Consolidation In Emerging Economies Evidence From Latin America


The Macroeconomic Effects Of Fiscal Consolidation In Emerging Economies Evidence From Latin America
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Author : Mr.Yan Carriere-Swallow
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2018-06-13

The Macroeconomic Effects Of Fiscal Consolidation In Emerging Economies Evidence From Latin America written by Mr.Yan Carriere-Swallow and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2018-06-13 with Business & Economics categories.


We estimate the short-term effects of fiscal consolidation on economic activity in 14 countries in Latin America and the Caribbean. We examine contemporaneous policy documents to identify changes in fiscal policy motivated by a desire to reduce the budget deficit and not by responding to prospective economic conditions. Based on this narrative dataset, our estimates suggest that fiscal consolidation has contractionary effects on GDP, consistent with a multiplier of 0.9. We find these effects to be close to those in OECD countries based on a similarly constructed dataset (Devries and others, 2011). We also find similar estimation results for the two groups of economies for the effect of fiscal consolidation on the external current account balance, providing support for the twin deficits hypothesis.



Back To The Future Fiscal Rules For Regaining Sustainability


Back To The Future Fiscal Rules For Regaining Sustainability
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Author : Mr.Serhan Cevik
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2019-11-08

Back To The Future Fiscal Rules For Regaining Sustainability written by Mr.Serhan Cevik and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2019-11-08 with Business & Economics categories.


This paper assesses the cyclicality and sustainability of fiscal policy in Belize and applies a stochastic simulation model to determine the optimal set of fiscal rules. The empirical analysis shows that fiscal policy in Belize has been significantly procyclical and unsustainable much of the period since 1976. While the government’s recent commitment to maintain a primary surplus of at least 2 percent of GDP until 2021 is supporting debt reduction, stochastic simulations indicate that further improvement in the primary balance is necessary to reliably bring the debt-to-GDP ratio to a sustainable path. Given Belize’s history of large economic shocks, this paper proposes explicit fiscal rules designed for countercyclical policy and debt sustainability. It recommends integrating such rules into a well-designed fiscal responsibility law and establishing an independent fiscal council to improve accountability and transparency.



Austerity And Elections


Austerity And Elections
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Author : Mr. Alberto Alesina
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2021-04-30

Austerity And Elections written by Mr. Alberto Alesina and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2021-04-30 with Business & Economics categories.


Conventional wisdom holds that voters punish governments that implement fiscal austerity. Yet, most empirical studies, which rely on ex-post yearly austerity measures, do not find supportive evidence. This paper revisits the issue using action-based, real-time, ex-ante measures of fiscal austerity as well as a new database of changes in vote shares of incumbent parties. The analysis emphasizes the importance of the ‘how’—whether austerity is done via tax hikes or expenditure cuts—and the ‘who’—whether it is carried out by left- vs. right-leaning governments. Our main finding is that tax-based austerity carries large electoral costs, while the effect of expenditure-based consolidations depends on the political-leaning of the government. An austerity package worth 1% of GDP, carried out mostly through tax hikes, reduces the vote share of the leader’s party by about 7%. In contrast, expenditure-based austerity is detrimental for left- but beneficial for right-leaning governments. We also find that the electoral cost of austerity—especially tax hikes—can be contained if it is implemented during good economic times.



Fiscal Monitor October 2012


Fiscal Monitor October 2012
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Author : International Monetary Fund. Fiscal Affairs Dept.
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2012-10-08

Fiscal Monitor October 2012 written by International Monetary Fund. Fiscal Affairs Dept. and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2012-10-08 with Business & Economics categories.


With growth weakening in many parts of the world and downside risks on the rise, fiscal consolidation remains challenging. However, considerable progress has been made in strengthening fiscal accounts following their sharp deterioration in 2008-09. This issue of the Fiscal Monitor takes stock of this progress, focusing on its size, composition, and implications for employment and social equity. The issue finds that most countries--and especially advanced economies--have made significant headway in rolling back fiscal deficits, but that efforts at controlling debt stocks are taking longer to yield results. The mix of revenue and expenditure policies employed by countries with sizable fiscal consolidation needs has differed, with advanced economies in general relying more on spending retrenchment than emerging markets and low-income countries. Both spending and revenue measures have important implications for employment and social equity, the issue finds, and these implications need to be taken into account if the large consolidation efforts underway are to be sustainable.



Fiscal Spillovers


Fiscal Spillovers
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Author : Patrick Blagrave
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2017-10-18

Fiscal Spillovers written by Patrick Blagrave and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2017-10-18 with Business & Economics categories.


Are fiscal spillovers today as large as they were during the global financial crisis? How do they depend on economic and policy conditions? This note informs the debate on the cross-border impact of fiscal policy on economic activity, shedding light on the magnitude and the factors affecting transmission, such as the fiscal instruments used, cyclical positions, monetary policy conditions, and exchange rate regimes. The note assesses spillovers from five major advanced economies (France, Germany, Japan, United Kingdom, United States) on 55 advanced and emerging market economies that represent 85 percent of global output, looking at government-spending and tax revenue shocks during expansion and consolidation episodes. It finds that fiscal spillovers are economically significant in the presence of slack and/or accommodative monetary policy—and considerably smaller otherwise, which suggests that spillovers are large when domestic multipliers are also large. It also finds that spillovers from government-spending shocks are larger and more persistent than those from tax shocks and that transmission may be stronger among countries with fixed exchange rates. The evidence suggests that although spillovers from fiscal policies in the current environment may not be as large as they were during the crisis, they may still be important under certain economic circumstances.



Tax Policy And The Economy Volume 27


Tax Policy And The Economy Volume 27
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Author : Jeffrey R. Brown
language : en
Publisher: University of Chicago Press
Release Date : 2013-08-22

Tax Policy And The Economy Volume 27 written by Jeffrey R. Brown and has been published by University of Chicago Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2013-08-22 with Business & Economics categories.


Taxation policy was a central part of the policy debates over the “fiscal cliff.” Given the importance of fiscal issues, it is vital for rigorous empirical research to inform the policy dialogue. In keeping with the NBER’s tradition of carrying out rigorous but policy-relevant research, Volume 27 of Tax Policy and the Economy offers insights on a number of key tax policy questions. This year's volume features six papers by leading scholars who examine the tax treatment of tuition at private K-12 schools, the potential streamlining of the federal rules for post-secondary financial aid and the use of tax return information in this process, the effect of tax and benefit programs on incentives to work, the macroeconomic effects of fiscal adjustments, and the set of factors that contributed to the weakening US fiscal outlook in the last decade.