A Pandemic Forecasting Framework An Application Of Risk Analysis
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A Pandemic Forecasting Framework An Application Of Risk Analysis
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Author : Allan Dizioli
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2021-08-27
A Pandemic Forecasting Framework An Application Of Risk Analysis written by Allan Dizioli and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2021-08-27 with Business & Economics categories.
This paper introduces a simple, frequently and easily updated, close to the data epidemiological model that has been used for near-term forecast and policy analysis. We provide several practical examples of how the model has been used. We explain the epidemic development in the UK, the USA and Brazil through the model lens. Moreover, we show how our model would have predicted that a super infectious variant, such as the delta, would spread and argue that current vaccination levels in many countries are not enough to curb other waves of infections in the future. Finally, we briefly discuss the importance of how to model re-infections in epidemiological models.
Using Macroeconomic Frameworks To Analyze The Impact Of Covid 19
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Author : Mr. Ales Bulir
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2021-04
Using Macroeconomic Frameworks To Analyze The Impact Of Covid 19 written by Mr. Ales Bulir and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2021-04 with Business & Economics categories.
This technical note and manual (TNM) addresses the following issues: • Evaluating the full implications from the policies adopted to mitigate the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the economy requires a well-developed macroeconomic framework. This note illustrates how such frameworks were used to analyze Colombia and Cambodia's shock impact at the beginning of the pandemic. • The use of macroeconomic frameworks is not to infer general policy conclusions from abstract models or empirical analysis but to help policymakers think through and articulate coherent forecasts, scenarios, and policy responses. • The two country cases illustrate how to construct a baseline scenario consistent with a COVID-19 shock within structural macroeconomic models. The scenario is built gradually to incorporate the available information, the pandemic's full effects, and the policy responses. • The results demonstrate the value of combining close attention to the data, near-term forecasting, and model-based analyses to support coherent policies.
Handbook On Decision Making
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Author : Jie Lu
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2012-03-15
Handbook On Decision Making written by Jie Lu and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2012-03-15 with Technology & Engineering categories.
This book presents innovative theories, methodologies, and techniques in the field of risk management and decision making. It introduces new research developments and provides a comprehensive image of their potential applications to readers interested in the area. The collection includes: computational intelligence applications in decision making, multi-criteria decision making under risk, risk modelling,forecasting and evaluation, public security and community safety, risk management in supply chain and other business decision making, political risk management and disaster response systems. The book is directed to academic and applied researchers working on risk management, decision making, and management information systems.
Powering The Digital Economy Opportunities And Risks Of Artificial Intelligence In Finance
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Author : El Bachir Boukherouaa
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2021-10-22
Powering The Digital Economy Opportunities And Risks Of Artificial Intelligence In Finance written by El Bachir Boukherouaa and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2021-10-22 with Business & Economics categories.
This paper discusses the impact of the rapid adoption of artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) in the financial sector. It highlights the benefits these technologies bring in terms of financial deepening and efficiency, while raising concerns about its potential in widening the digital divide between advanced and developing economies. The paper advances the discussion on the impact of this technology by distilling and categorizing the unique risks that it could pose to the integrity and stability of the financial system, policy challenges, and potential regulatory approaches. The evolving nature of this technology and its application in finance means that the full extent of its strengths and weaknesses is yet to be fully understood. Given the risk of unexpected pitfalls, countries will need to strengthen prudential oversight.
Disease Control Priorities Third Edition Volume 9
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Author : Dean T. Jamison
language : en
Publisher: World Bank Publications
Release Date : 2017-12-06
Disease Control Priorities Third Edition Volume 9 written by Dean T. Jamison and has been published by World Bank Publications this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2017-12-06 with Medical categories.
As the culminating volume in the DCP3 series, volume 9 will provide an overview of DCP3 findings and methods, a summary of messages and substantive lessons to be taken from DCP3, and a further discussion of cross-cutting and synthesizing topics across the first eight volumes. The introductory chapters (1-3) in this volume take as their starting point the elements of the Essential Packages presented in the overview chapters of each volume. First, the chapter on intersectoral policy priorities for health includes fiscal and intersectoral policies and assembles a subset of the population policies and applies strict criteria for a low-income setting in order to propose a "highest-priority" essential package. Second, the chapter on packages of care and delivery platforms for universal health coverage (UHC) includes health sector interventions, primarily clinical and public health services, and uses the same approach to propose a highest priority package of interventions and policies that meet similar criteria, provides cost estimates, and describes a pathway to UHC.
Scenario Analysis In Risk Management
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Author : Bertrand K. Hassani
language : en
Publisher: Springer
Release Date : 2016-10-26
Scenario Analysis In Risk Management written by Bertrand K. Hassani and has been published by Springer this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2016-10-26 with Business & Economics categories.
This book focuses on identifying and explaining the key determinants of scenario analysis in the context of operational risk, stress testing and systemic risk, as well as management and planning. Each chapter presents alternative solutions to perform reliable scenario analysis. The author also provides technical notes and describes applications and key characteristics for each of the solutions. In addition, the book includes a section to help practitioners interpret the results and adjust them to real-life management activities. Methodologies, including those derived from consensus strategies, extreme value theory, Bayesian networks, Neural networks, Fault Trees, frequentist statistics and data mining are introduced in such a way as to make them understandable to readers without a quantitative background. Particular emphasis is given to the added value of the implementation of these methodologies.
Pandemic Influenza Preparedness And Response
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Author : World Health Organization
language : en
Publisher: World Health Organization
Release Date : 2009
Pandemic Influenza Preparedness And Response written by World Health Organization and has been published by World Health Organization this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2009 with Medical categories.
This guidance is an update of WHO global influenza preparedness plan: the role of WHO and recommendations for national measures before and during pandemics, published March 2005 (WHO/CDS/CSR/GIP/2005.5).
Security And Risk Analysis For Intelligent Cloud Computing
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Author : Ajay Kumar
language : en
Publisher: CRC Press
Release Date : 2023-12-19
Security And Risk Analysis For Intelligent Cloud Computing written by Ajay Kumar and has been published by CRC Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2023-12-19 with Computers categories.
This edited book is a compilation of scholarly articles on the latest developments in the field of AI, Blockchain, and ML/DL in cloud security. This book is designed for security and risk assessment professionals, and to help undergraduate, postgraduate students, research scholars, academicians, and technology professionals who are interested in learning practical approaches to cloud security. It covers practical strategies for assessing the security and privacy of cloud infrastructure and applications and shows how to make cloud infrastructure secure to combat threats and attacks, and prevent data breaches. The chapters are designed with a granular framework, starting with the security concepts, followed by hands-on assessment techniques based on real-world studies. Readers will gain detailed information on cloud computing security that—until now—has been difficult to access. This book: • Covers topics such as AI, Blockchain, and ML/DL in cloud security. • Presents several case studies revealing how threat actors abuse and exploit cloud environments to spread threats. • Explains the privacy aspects you need to consider in the cloud, including how they compare with aspects considered in traditional computing models. • Examines security delivered as a service—a different facet of cloud security.
Risk Management In Crisis
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Author : Piotr Jedynak
language : en
Publisher: Routledge
Release Date : 2021-08-19
Risk Management In Crisis written by Piotr Jedynak and has been published by Routledge this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2021-08-19 with Business & Economics categories.
Risk management is a domain of management which comes to the fore in crisis. This book looks at risk management under crisis conditions in the COVID-19 pandemic context. The book synthesizes existing concepts, strategies, approaches and methods of risk management and provides the results of empirical research on risk and risk management during the COVID-19 pandemic. The research outcome was based on the authors’ study on 42 enterprises of different sizes in various sectors, and these firms have either been negatively affected by COVID-19 or have thrived successfully under the new conditions of conducting business activities. The analysis looks at both the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the selected enterprises and the risk management measures these enterprises had taken in response to the emerging global trends. The book puts together key factors which could have determined the enterprises’ failures and successes. The final part of the book reflects on how firms can build resilience in challenging times and suggests a model for business resilience. The comparative analysis will provide useful insights into key strategic approaches of risk management. The Open Access version of this book, available at http://www.taylorfrancis.com/books/oa-mono/10.4324/9781003131366/ has been made available under a Creative Commons Attribution-Non Commercial-No Derivatives 4.0 license.
The Managing Director S Global Policy Agenda Annual Meetings 2021
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Author : Hans M. Flickenschild
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 1992
The Managing Director S Global Policy Agenda Annual Meetings 2021 written by Hans M. Flickenschild and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1992 with Business & Economics categories.
Urgent policy action is needed to control the pandemic, limit scarring, and transform the global economy. The global recovery continues, thanks to unprecedented monetary, fiscal, and financial support over the past year. However, pandemic-induced divergences are persisting, driven by stark differences in access to vaccines and policy space. The Fund will continue to support the membership deal with these ongoing and new challenges. Our priorities are to: vaccinate the world population to stem the spread of pandemic; calibrate policies to limit scarring, support the recovery, and counter growing divergences within and between countries; and accelerate the transformation of the global economy to achieve a more inclusive, greener, and digital recovery.