A Tradecraft Primer
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A Tradecraft Primer
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Author : U.S. Government
language : en
Publisher: Books LLC
Release Date : 2011-09
A Tradecraft Primer written by U.S. Government and has been published by Books LLC this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2011-09 with categories.
Original publisher: Washington, D.C.: U.S. Central Intelligence Agency, Center for the Study of Intelligence, [2009?] LC Number: BF444 OCLC Number: (OCoLC)436207961 Subject: Intelligence service -- United States -- Methodology. Excerpt: ... THE METHOD s 4 ' t' ' most critical or compelling. An analyst or a team might begin a quality of information check by s ( ' t t ' developing a database in which corroboration of critical reporting. information is stored according to source type and date, with additional notations s J ' ' ' ' ' indicating strengths or weaknesses in 4 information in light of new facts or those sources. Ideally, analysts would circumstances that cast it in a have a retrieval and search capability on different light. the database, so that periodic reviews are less labor intensive and result in a s + ' 't ' ' more complete review of all sources identified and properly flagged for other used in past analysis. For the information analysts; analysis based on recalled review to be fully effective, analysts will reporting should also be reviewed to need as much background information determine if the reporting was essential on sources as is feasible. Knowing the to the judgments made. circumstances in which reporting was obtained is often critical to understanding s ( ' ' ' j its validity. With the data in hand, analysts information has been interpreted and can then: caveated properly. s J' ' ' t t' s 4 t ' ' ' t ' t' accuracy. analysts can place in sources, which 4 are likely to figure in future analytic Analysis of Competing Hypotheses ( ACH ), discussed later in the primer, is a useful technique assessments. for exploring the possibility that dec...
A Tradecraft Primer
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Author : Central Intelligence Agency
language : en
Publisher: CreateSpace
Release Date : 2009-03-15
A Tradecraft Primer written by Central Intelligence Agency and has been published by CreateSpace this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2009-03-15 with Reference categories.
This primer highlights structured analytic techniques-some widely used in the private sector and academia, some unique to the intelligence profession. It is not a comprehensive overview of how intelligence officers conduct analysis. Rather, the primer highlights how structured analytic techniques can help one challenge judgments, identify mental mindsets, stimulate creativity, and manage uncertainty. In short, incorporating regular use of techniques such as these can enable one to structure thinking for wrestling with difficult questions. Originally published by the CIA in color. Previously available online only as an e-file.
A Tradecraft Primer Structured Analytic Techniques For Improving Intelligence Analysis
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Author : Center for the Study of Intelligence
language : en
Publisher: Lulu.com
Release Date : 2012-05-28
A Tradecraft Primer Structured Analytic Techniques For Improving Intelligence Analysis written by Center for the Study of Intelligence and has been published by Lulu.com this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2012-05-28 with categories.
This primer highlights structured analytic techniques-some widely used in the private sector and academia, some unique to the intelligence profession. It is not a comprehensive overview of how intelligence officers conduct analysis. Rather, the primer highlights how structured analytic techniques can help one challenge judgments, identify mental mindsets, stimulate creativity, and manage uncertainty. In short, incorporating regular use of techniques such as these can enable one to structure thinking for wrestling with difficult questions. Originally published by the CIA in color. Previously available online only as an e-file.
A Tradecraft Primer Structured Analytic Techniques For Improving Intelligence Analysis
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Author : United Government
language : en
Publisher: CreateSpace
Release Date : 2012-08-01
A Tradecraft Primer Structured Analytic Techniques For Improving Intelligence Analysis written by United Government and has been published by CreateSpace this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2012-08-01 with categories.
This primer highlights structured analytic techniques-some widely used in the private sector and academia, some unique to the intelligence profession. It is not a comprehensive overview of how intelligence officers conduct analysis. Rather, the primer highlights how structured analytic techniques can help one challenge judgments, identify mental mindsets, stimulate creativity, and manage uncertainty. In short, incorporating regular use of techniques such as these can enable one to structure thinking for wrestling with difficult questions.
A Tradecraft Primer
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Author : U. S. Government
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2009-03-02
A Tradecraft Primer written by U. S. Government and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2009-03-02 with categories.
Using the analytic techniques contained in this primer will assist analysts in dealing with the perennial problems of intelligence: the complexity of international developments, incomplete and ambiguous information, and the inherent limitations of the human mind. Understanding the intentions and capabilities of adversaries and other foreign actors is challenging, especially when either or both are concealed. Moreover, transnational threats today pose even greater complexity, in that they involve multiple actors-including nonstate entities-that can adapt and transform themselves faster than those who seek to monitor and contain them. Finally, globalization has increased the diversity of outcomes when complex, interactive systems such as financial flows, regional economies or the international system as a whole are in flux.The first hurdle for analysts is identifying the relevant and diagnostic information from the increasing volume of ambiguous and contradictory data that is acquired through open source and clandestine means. Analysts must also pierce the shroud of secrecy-and sometimes deception-that state and nonstate actors use to mislead. A systematic approach that considers a range of alternative explanations and outcomes offers one way to ensure that analysts do not dismiss potentially relevant hypotheses and supporting information resulting in missed opportunities to warn.Cognitive and perceptual biases in human perception and judgment are another important reason for analysts to consider alternatives. As Richards Heuer and others have argued, all individuals assimilate and evaluate information through the medium of "mental models" (sometimes also called "frames" or "mind-sets"). These are experience-based constructs of assumptions and expectations both about the world in general and more specific domains. These constructs strongly influence what information analysts will accept-that is, data that are in accordance with analysts' unconscious mental models are more likely to be perceived and remembered than information that is at odds with them. Mental models are critical to allowing individuals to process what otherwise would be an incomprehensible volume of information. Yet, they can cause analysts to overlook, reject, or forget important incoming or missing information that is not in accord with their assumptions and expectations. Seasoned analysts may be more susceptible to these mind-set problems as a result of their expertise and past success in using time-tested mental models. The key risks of mind-sets are that: analysts perceive what they expect to perceive; once formed, they are resistant to change; new information is assimilated, sometimes erroneously, into existing mental models; and conflicting information is often dismissed or ignored.
A Tradecraft Primer
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Author :
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2009
A Tradecraft Primer written by and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2009 with Cognition categories.
This primer highlights structured analytic technique--some widely used in the private sector and academia, some unique to the intelligence profession. It is not a comprehensive overview of how intelligence officers conduct analysis. Rather, the primer highlights how structured analytic techniques can help one challenge judgments, identify mental mindsets, stimulate creativity, and manage uncertainty. In short, incorporating regular use of techniques such as these can enable one to structure thinking for wrestling with difficult questions.
A Tradecraft Primer Structured Analytic Techniques For Improving Intelligence Analysis Cognitive And Perceptual Biases Reasoning Processes
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Author : Central Intelligence Agency (CIA)
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2016-12-11
A Tradecraft Primer Structured Analytic Techniques For Improving Intelligence Analysis Cognitive And Perceptual Biases Reasoning Processes written by Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2016-12-11 with categories.
This primer highlights structured analytic techniques--some widely used in the private sector and academia, some unique to the intelligence profession. It is not a comprehensive overview of how intelligence officers conduct analysis. Rather, the primer highlights how structured analytic techniques can help one challenge judgments, identify mental mindsets, stimulate creativity, and manage uncertainty. In short, incorporating regular use of techniques such as these can enable one to structure thinking for wrestling with difficult questions.Using the analytic techniques contained in this primer will assist analysts in dealing with the perennial problems of intelligence: the complexity of international developments, incomplete and ambiguous information, and the inherent limitations of the human mind. Understanding the intentions and capabilities of adversaries and other foreign actors is challenging, especially when either or both are concealed. Moreover, transnational threats today pose even greater complexity, in that they involve multiple actors--including nonstate entities--that can adapt and transform themselves faster than those who seek to monitor and contain them. Finally, globalization has increased the diversity of outcomes when complex, interactive systems such as financial flows, regional economies or the international system as a whole are in flux.The first hurdle for analysts is identifying the relevant and diagnostic information from the increasing volume of ambiguous and contradictory data that is acquired through open source and clandestine means. Analysts must also pierce the shroud of secrecy--and sometimes deception--that state and nonstate actors use to mislead. A systematic approach that considers a range of alternative explanations and outcomes offers one way to ensure that analysts do not dismiss potentially relevant hypotheses and supporting information resulting in missed opportunities to warn.Cognitive and perceptual biases in human perception and judgment are another important reason for analysts to consider alternatives. As Richards Heuer and others have argued, all individuals assimilate and evaluate information through the medium of "mental models" (sometimes also called "frames" or "mind-sets"). These are experience-based constructs of assumptions and expectations both about the world in general and more specific domains. These constructs strongly influence what information analysts will accept--that is, data that are in accordance with analysts' unconscious mental models are more likely to be perceived and remembered than information that is at odds with them.Mental models are critical to allowing individuals to process what otherwise would be an incomprehensible volume of information. Yet, they can cause analysts to overlook, reject, or forget important incoming or missing information that is not in accord with their assumptions and expectations. Seasoned analysts may be more susceptible to these mind-set problems as a result of their expertise and past success in using time-tested mental models. The key risks of mindsets are that: analysts perceive what they expect to perceive; once formed, they are resistant to change; new information is assimilated, sometimes erroneously, into existing mental models; and conflicting information is often dismissed or ignored. Intelligence analysts should be self-conscious about their reasoning processes. They should think about how they make judgments and reach conclusions, not just about the judgments and conclusions themselves.
Critical Thinking And Intelligence Analysis
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Author : David T. Moore
language : en
Publisher: DIANE Publishing
Release Date : 2010-10
Critical Thinking And Intelligence Analysis written by David T. Moore and has been published by DIANE Publishing this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2010-10 with Political Science categories.
Contents: (1) How Do People Reason?; (2) What is Critical Thinking?; (3) What Can Be Learned from the Past?: Thinking Critically about Cuba: Deploying the Missiles; Assessing the Implications; Between Dogmatism and Refutation; Lacking: Disconfirmation; The Roles of Critical Thinking in the Cuban Crisis; Winners and Losers: The Crisis in Context; Ten Years Later, They Meet Again; Judgment; (4) How Can Intelligence Analysts Employ Critical Thinking?; (5) How Can Intelligence Analysts be Taught to Think Critically?; (6) How Does Critical Thinking Transform?; (7) What Other Points of View Exist?; (8) What Does the Future Hold?; (9) NSA¿s Critical Thinking and Structured Analysis Class Syllabus. Charts and tables.
Structured Analytic Techniques For Intelligence Analysis
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Author : Richards J. Heuer Jr.
language : en
Publisher: CQ Press
Release Date : 2014-05-28
Structured Analytic Techniques For Intelligence Analysis written by Richards J. Heuer Jr. and has been published by CQ Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2014-05-28 with Political Science categories.
In this Second Edition of Structured Analytic Techniques for Intelligence Analysis, authors Richards J. Heuer Jr. and Randolph H. Pherson showcase fifty-five structured analytic techniques—five new to this edition—that represent the most current best practices in intelligence, law enforcement, homeland security, and business analysis.
Tradecraft Primer
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Author : Paul Charles Topalian
language : en
Publisher: CRC Press
Release Date : 2017-07-27
Tradecraft Primer written by Paul Charles Topalian and has been published by CRC Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2017-07-27 with Computers categories.
Tradecraft Primer: A Framework for Aspiring Interrogators is a timely and relevant reference manual for a new generation of professionals as we enter a new era in our nation‘s interrogation programs. A must-read for anyone thinking of entering the interrogation profession, whether in law enforcement, the military, or intelligence, it provides fresh