Advanced Forecasting With Python


Advanced Forecasting With Python
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Advanced Forecasting With Python


Advanced Forecasting With Python
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Author : Joos Korstanje
language : en
Publisher: Apress
Release Date : 2021-07-03

Advanced Forecasting With Python written by Joos Korstanje and has been published by Apress this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2021-07-03 with Computers categories.


Cover all the machine learning techniques relevant for forecasting problems, ranging from univariate and multivariate time series to supervised learning, to state-of-the-art deep forecasting models such as LSTMs, recurrent neural networks, Facebook’s open-source Prophet model, and Amazon’s DeepAR model. Rather than focus on a specific set of models, this book presents an exhaustive overview of all the techniques relevant to practitioners of forecasting. It begins by explaining the different categories of models that are relevant for forecasting in a high-level language. Next, it covers univariate and multivariate time series models followed by advanced machine learning and deep learning models. It concludes with reflections on model selection such as benchmark scores vs. understandability of models vs. compute time, and automated retraining and updating of models. Each of the models presented in this book is covered in depth, with an intuitive simple explanation of the model, a mathematical transcription of the idea, and Python code that applies the model to an example data set. Reading this book will add a competitive edge to your current forecasting skillset. The book is also adapted to those who have recently started working on forecasting tasks and are looking for an exhaustive book that allows them to start with traditional models and gradually move into more and more advanced models. What You Will Learn Carry out forecasting with Python Mathematically and intuitively understand traditional forecasting models and state-of-the-art machine learning techniques Gain the basics of forecasting and machine learning, including evaluation of models, cross-validation, and back testing Select the right model for the right use case Who This Book Is For The advanced nature of the later chapters makes the book relevant for applied experts working in the domain of forecasting, as the models covered have been published only recently. Experts working in the domain will want to update their skills as traditional models are regularly being outperformed by newer models.



Advanced Forecasting With Python


Advanced Forecasting With Python
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Author : Joos Korstanje
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2021

Advanced Forecasting With Python written by Joos Korstanje and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2021 with categories.


Cover all the machine learning techniques relevant for forecasting problems, ranging from univariate and multivariate time series to supervised learning, to state-of-the-art deep forecasting models such as LSTMs, recurrent neural networks, Facebook's open-source Prophet model, and Amazon's DeepAR model. Rather than focus on a specific set of models, this book presents an exhaustive overview of all the techniques relevant to practitioners of forecasting. It begins by explaining the different categories of models that are relevant for forecasting in a high-level language. Next, it covers univariate and multivariate time series models followed by advanced machine learning and deep learning models. It concludes with reflections on model selection such as benchmark scores vs. understandability of models vs. compute time, and automated retraining and updating of models. Each of the models presented in this book is covered in depth, with an intuitive simple explanation of the model, a mathematical transcription of the idea, and Python code that applies the model to an example data set. Reading this book will add a competitive edge to your current forecasting skillset. The book is also adapted to those who have recently started working on forecasting tasks and are looking for an exhaustive book that allows them to start with traditional models and gradually move into more and more advanced models. You will: Carry out forecasting with Python Mathematically and intuitively understand traditional forecasting models and state-of-the-art machine learning techniques Gain the basics of forecasting and machine learning, including evaluation of models, cross-validation, and back testing Select the right model for the right use case.



Forecasting Time Series Data With Facebook Prophet


Forecasting Time Series Data With Facebook Prophet
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Author : Greg Rafferty
language : en
Publisher: Packt Publishing Ltd
Release Date : 2021-03-12

Forecasting Time Series Data With Facebook Prophet written by Greg Rafferty and has been published by Packt Publishing Ltd this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2021-03-12 with Computers categories.


Create and improve high-quality automated forecasts for time series data that have strong seasonal effects, holidays, and additional regressors using Python Key Features Learn how to use the open-source forecasting tool Facebook Prophet to improve your forecasts Build a forecast and run diagnostics to understand forecast quality Fine-tune models to achieve high performance, and report that performance with concrete statistics Book Description Prophet enables Python and R developers to build scalable time series forecasts. This book will help you to implement Prophet's cutting-edge forecasting techniques to model future data with higher accuracy and with very few lines of code. You will begin by exploring the evolution of time series forecasting, from the basic early models to the advanced models of the present day. The book will demonstrate how to install and set up Prophet on your machine and build your first model with only a few lines of code. You'll then cover advanced features such as visualizing your forecasts, adding holidays, seasonality, and trend changepoints, handling outliers, and more, along with understanding why and how to modify each of the default parameters. Later chapters will show you how to optimize more complicated models with hyperparameter tuning and by adding additional regressors to the model. Finally, you'll learn how to run diagnostics to evaluate the performance of your models and see some useful features when running Prophet in production environments. By the end of this Prophet book, you will be able to take a raw time series dataset and build advanced and accurate forecast models with concise, understandable, and repeatable code. What you will learn Gain an understanding of time series forecasting, including its history, development, and uses Understand how to install Prophet and its dependencies Build practical forecasting models from real datasets using Python Understand the Fourier series and learn how it models seasonality Decide when to use additive and when to use multiplicative seasonality Discover how to identify and deal with outliers in time series data Run diagnostics to evaluate and compare the performance of your models Who this book is for This book is for data scientists, data analysts, machine learning engineers, software engineers, project managers, and business managers who want to build time series forecasts in Python. Working knowledge of Python and a basic understanding of forecasting principles and practices will be useful to apply the concepts covered in this book more easily.



Mastering Time Series Analysis And Forecasting With Python


Mastering Time Series Analysis And Forecasting With Python
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Author : Sulekha Aloorravi
language : en
Publisher: Orange Education Pvt Ltd
Release Date : 2024-03-26

Mastering Time Series Analysis And Forecasting With Python written by Sulekha Aloorravi and has been published by Orange Education Pvt Ltd this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2024-03-26 with Computers categories.


Decode the language of time with Python. Discover powerful techniques to analyze, forecast, and innovate. Key Features ● Dive into time series analysis fundamentals, progressing to advanced Python techniques. ● Gain practical expertise with real-world datasets and hands-on examples. ● Strengthen skills with code snippets, exercises, and projects for deeper understanding. Book Description "Mastering Time Series Analysis and Forecasting with Python" is an essential handbook tailored for those seeking to harness the power of time series data in their work. The book begins with foundational concepts and seamlessly guides readers through Python libraries such as Pandas, NumPy, and Plotly for effective data manipulation, visualization, and exploration. Offering pragmatic insights, it enables adept visualization, pattern recognition, and anomaly detection. Advanced discussions cover feature engineering and a spectrum of forecasting methodologies, including machine learning and deep learning techniques such as ARIMA, LSTM, and CNN. Additionally, the book covers multivariate and multiple time series forecasting, providing readers with a comprehensive understanding of advanced modeling techniques and their applications across diverse domains. Readers develop expertise in crafting precise predictive models and addressing real-world complexities. Complete with illustrative examples, code snippets, and hands-on exercises, this manual empowers readers to excel, make informed decisions, and derive optimal value from time series data. What you will learn ● Understand the fundamentals of time series data, including temporal patterns, trends, and seasonality. ● Proficiently utilize Python libraries such as pandas, NumPy, and matplotlib for efficient data manipulation and visualization. ● Conduct exploratory analysis of time series data, including identifying patterns, detecting anomalies, and extracting meaningful features. ● Build accurate and reliable predictive models using a variety of machine learning and deep learning techniques, including ARIMA, LSTM, and CNN. ● Perform multivariate and multiple time series forecasting, allowing for more comprehensive analysis and prediction across diverse datasets. ● Evaluate model performance using a range of metrics and validation techniques, ensuring the reliability and robustness of predictive models. Table of Contents 1. Introduction to Time Series 2. Overview of Time Series Libraries in Python 3. Visualization of Time Series Data 4. Exploratory Analysis of Time Series Data 5. Feature Engineering on Time Series 6. Time Series Forecasting – ML Approach Part 1 7. Time Series Forecasting – ML Approach Part 2 8. Time Series Forecasting - DL Approach 9. Multivariate Time Series, Metrics, and Validation Index



Machine Learning For Time Series Forecasting With Python


Machine Learning For Time Series Forecasting With Python
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Author : Francesca Lazzeri
language : en
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Release Date : 2020-12-15

Machine Learning For Time Series Forecasting With Python written by Francesca Lazzeri and has been published by John Wiley & Sons this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2020-12-15 with Computers categories.


Learn how to apply the principles of machine learning to time series modeling with this indispensable resource Machine Learning for Time Series Forecasting with Python is an incisive and straightforward examination of one of the most crucial elements of decision-making in finance, marketing, education, and healthcare: time series modeling. Despite the centrality of time series forecasting, few business analysts are familiar with the power or utility of applying machine learning to time series modeling. Author Francesca Lazzeri, a distinguished machine learning scientist and economist, corrects that deficiency by providing readers with comprehensive and approachable explanation and treatment of the application of machine learning to time series forecasting. Written for readers who have little to no experience in time series forecasting or machine learning, the book comprehensively covers all the topics necessary to: Understand time series forecasting concepts, such as stationarity, horizon, trend, and seasonality Prepare time series data for modeling Evaluate time series forecasting models’ performance and accuracy Understand when to use neural networks instead of traditional time series models in time series forecasting Machine Learning for Time Series Forecasting with Python is full real-world examples, resources and concrete strategies to help readers explore and transform data and develop usable, practical time series forecasts. Perfect for entry-level data scientists, business analysts, developers, and researchers, this book is an invaluable and indispensable guide to the fundamental and advanced concepts of machine learning applied to time series modeling.



Forecasting Time Series Data With Prophet


Forecasting Time Series Data With Prophet
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Author : Greg Rafferty
language : en
Publisher: Packt Publishing Ltd
Release Date : 2023-03-31

Forecasting Time Series Data With Prophet written by Greg Rafferty and has been published by Packt Publishing Ltd this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2023-03-31 with Computers categories.


Create and improve fully automated forecasts for time series data with strong seasonal effects, holidays, and additional regressors using Python Purchase of the print or Kindle book includes a free PDF eBook Key Features Explore Prophet, the open source forecasting tool developed at Meta, to improve your forecasts Create a forecast and run diagnostics to understand forecast quality Fine-tune models to achieve high performance and report this performance with concrete statistics Book DescriptionForecasting Time Series Data with Prophet will help you to implement Prophet's cutting-edge forecasting techniques to model future data with high accuracy using only a few lines of code. This second edition has been fully revised with every update to the Prophet package since the first edition was published two years ago. An entirely new chapter is also included, diving into the mathematical equations behind Prophet's models. Additionally, the book contains new sections on forecasting during shocks such as COVID, creating custom trend modes from scratch, and a discussion of recent developments in the open-source forecasting community. You'll cover advanced features such as visualizing forecasts, adding holidays and trend changepoints, and handling outliers. You'll use the Fourier series to model seasonality, learn how to choose between an additive and multiplicative model, and understand when to modify each model parameter. Later, you'll see how to optimize more complicated models with hyperparameter tuning and by adding additional regressors to the model. Finally, you'll learn how to run diagnostics to evaluate the performance of your models in production. By the end of this book, you'll be able to take a raw time series dataset and build advanced and accurate forecasting models with concise, understandable, and repeatable code.What you will learn Understand the mathematics behind Prophet’s models Build practical forecasting models from real datasets using Python Understand the different modes of growth that time series often exhibit Discover how to identify and deal with outliers in time series data Find out how to control uncertainty intervals to provide percent confidence in your forecasts Productionalize your Prophet models to scale your work faster and more efficiently Who this book is forThis book is for business managers, data scientists, data analysts, machine learning engineers, and software engineers who want to build time-series forecasts in Python or R. To get the most out of this book, you should have a basic understanding of time series data and be able to differentiate it from other types of data. Basic knowledge of forecasting techniques is a plus.



Ultimate Enterprise Data Analysis And Forecasting Using Python


Ultimate Enterprise Data Analysis And Forecasting Using Python
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Author : Shanthababu Pandian
language : en
Publisher: Orange Education Pvt Ltd
Release Date : 2023-12-28

Ultimate Enterprise Data Analysis And Forecasting Using Python written by Shanthababu Pandian and has been published by Orange Education Pvt Ltd this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2023-12-28 with Computers categories.


Practical Approaches to Time Series Analysis and Forecasting using Python for Informed Decision-Making KEY FEATURES ● Comprehensive Resource for Python-Based Time Series Analysis and Forecasting. ● Delve into real-world applications with industry-specific case studies. ● Extract valuable insights by solving time series challenges across various sectors. ● Understand the significance of Azure Time Series Insights and AWS Forecast components. ● Practical insights into leveraging cloud platforms for efficient time series forecasting. DESCRIPTION Embark on a transformative journey through the intricacies of time series analysis and forecasting with this comprehensive handbook. Beginning with the essential packages for data science and machine learning projects you will delve into Python's prowess for efficient time series data analysis, exploring the core components and real-world applications across various industries through compelling use-case studies. From understanding classical models like AR, MA, ARMA, and ARIMA to exploring advanced techniques such as exponential smoothing and ETS methods, this guide ensures a deep understanding of the subject. It will help you navigate the complexities of vector autoregression (VAR, VMA, VARMA) and elevate your skills with a deep dive into deep learning techniques for time series analysis. By the end of this book, you will be able to harness the capabilities of Azure Time Series Insights and explore the cutting-edge AWS Forecast components, unlocking the cloud's power for advanced and scalable time series forecasting. WHAT WILL YOU LEARN ● Explore Time Series Data Analysis and Forecasting, covering components and significance. ● Gain a practical understanding through hands-on examples and real-world case studies. ● Master Time Series Models (AR, MA, ARMA, ARIMA, VAR, VMA, VARMA) with executable samples. ● Delve into Deep Learning for Time Series Analysis, demystified with classical examples. ● Actively engage with Azure Time Series Insights and AWS Forecast components for a contemporary perspective. WHO IS THIS BOOK FOR? This book caters to beginners, intermediates, and practitioners in data-related fields such as Data Analysts, Data Scientists, and Machine Learning Engineers, as well as those venturing into Time Series Analysis and Forecasting. It assumes readers have a foundational understanding of programming languages (C, C++, Python), data structures, statistics, and visualization concepts. With a focus on specific projects, it also functions as a quick reference for advanced users. TABLE OF CONTENTS 1. Introduction to Python and its key packages for DS and ML Projects 2. Python for Time Series Data Analysis 3. Time Series Analysis and its Components 4. Time Series Analysis and Forecasting Opportunities in Various Industries 5. Exploring various aspects of Time Series Analysis and Forecasting 6. Exploring Time Series Models - AR, MA, ARMA, and ARIMA 7. Understanding Exponential Smoothing and ETS Methods in TSA 8. Exploring Vector Autoregression and its Subsets (VAR, VMA, and VARMA) 9. Deep Learning for Time Series Analysis and Forecasting 10. Azure Time Series Insights 11. AWSForecast Index



Modern Time Series Forecasting With Python


Modern Time Series Forecasting With Python
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Author : Manu Joseph
language : en
Publisher: Packt Publishing Ltd
Release Date : 2022-11-24

Modern Time Series Forecasting With Python written by Manu Joseph and has been published by Packt Publishing Ltd this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2022-11-24 with Computers categories.


Build real-world time series forecasting systems which scale to millions of time series by applying modern machine learning and deep learning concepts Key Features Explore industry-tested machine learning techniques used to forecast millions of time series Get started with the revolutionary paradigm of global forecasting models Get to grips with new concepts by applying them to real-world datasets of energy forecasting Book DescriptionWe live in a serendipitous era where the explosion in the quantum of data collected and a renewed interest in data-driven techniques such as machine learning (ML), has changed the landscape of analytics, and with it, time series forecasting. This book, filled with industry-tested tips and tricks, takes you beyond commonly used classical statistical methods such as ARIMA and introduces to you the latest techniques from the world of ML. This is a comprehensive guide to analyzing, visualizing, and creating state-of-the-art forecasting systems, complete with common topics such as ML and deep learning (DL) as well as rarely touched-upon topics such as global forecasting models, cross-validation strategies, and forecast metrics. You’ll begin by exploring the basics of data handling, data visualization, and classical statistical methods before moving on to ML and DL models for time series forecasting. This book takes you on a hands-on journey in which you’ll develop state-of-the-art ML (linear regression to gradient-boosted trees) and DL (feed-forward neural networks, LSTMs, and transformers) models on a real-world dataset along with exploring practical topics such as interpretability. By the end of this book, you’ll be able to build world-class time series forecasting systems and tackle problems in the real world.What you will learn Find out how to manipulate and visualize time series data like a pro Set strong baselines with popular models such as ARIMA Discover how time series forecasting can be cast as regression Engineer features for machine learning models for forecasting Explore the exciting world of ensembling and stacking models Get to grips with the global forecasting paradigm Understand and apply state-of-the-art DL models such as N-BEATS and Autoformer Explore multi-step forecasting and cross-validation strategies Who this book is for The book is for data scientists, data analysts, machine learning engineers, and Python developers who want to build industry-ready time series models. Since the book explains most concepts from the ground up, basic proficiency in Python is all you need. Prior understanding of machine learning or forecasting will help speed up your learning. For experienced machine learning and forecasting practitioners, this book has a lot to offer in terms of advanced techniques and traversing the latest research frontiers in time series forecasting.



Advanced Data Analytics Using Python


Advanced Data Analytics Using Python
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Author : Sayan Mukhopadhyay
language : en
Publisher: Apress
Release Date : 2018-03-29

Advanced Data Analytics Using Python written by Sayan Mukhopadhyay and has been published by Apress this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2018-03-29 with Computers categories.


Gain a broad foundation of advanced data analytics concepts and discover the recent revolution in databases such as Neo4j, Elasticsearch, and MongoDB. This book discusses how to implement ETL techniques including topical crawling, which is applied in domains such as high-frequency algorithmic trading and goal-oriented dialog systems. You’ll also see examples of machine learning concepts such as semi-supervised learning, deep learning, and NLP. Advanced Data Analytics Using Python also covers important traditional data analysis techniques such as time series and principal component analysis. After reading this book you will have experience of every technical aspect of an analytics project. You’ll get to know the concepts using Python code, giving you samples to use in your own projects. What You Will Learn Work with data analysis techniques such as classification, clustering, regression, and forecasting Handle structured and unstructured data, ETL techniques, and different kinds of databases such as Neo4j, Elasticsearch, MongoDB, and MySQL Examine the different big data frameworks, including Hadoop and Spark Discover advanced machine learning concepts such as semi-supervised learning, deep learning, and NLP Who This Book Is For Data scientists and software developers interested in the field of data analytics.



Time Series Forecasting Using Deep Learning


Time Series Forecasting Using Deep Learning
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Author : Ivan Gridin
language : en
Publisher: BPB Publications
Release Date : 2021-10-15

Time Series Forecasting Using Deep Learning written by Ivan Gridin and has been published by BPB Publications this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2021-10-15 with Computers categories.


Explore the infinite possibilities offered by Artificial Intelligence and Neural Networks KEY FEATURES ● Covers numerous concepts, techniques, best practices and troubleshooting tips by community experts. ● Includes practical demonstration of robust deep learning prediction models with exciting use-cases. ● Covers the use of the most powerful research toolkit such as Python, PyTorch, and Neural Network Intelligence. DESCRIPTION This book is amid at teaching the readers how to apply the deep learning techniques to the time series forecasting challenges and how to build prediction models using PyTorch. The readers will learn the fundamentals of PyTorch in the early stages of the book. Next, the time series forecasting is covered in greater depth after the programme has been developed. You will try to use machine learning to identify the patterns that can help us forecast the future results. It covers methodologies such as Recurrent Neural Network, Encoder-decoder model, and Temporal Convolutional Network, all of which are state-of-the-art neural network architectures. Furthermore, for good measure, we have also introduced the neural architecture search, which automates searching for an ideal neural network design for a certain task. Finally by the end of the book, readers would be able to solve complex real-world prediction issues by applying the models and strategies learnt throughout the course of the book. This book also offers another great way of mastering deep learning and its various techniques. WHAT YOU WILL LEARN ● Work with the Encoder-Decoder concept and Temporal Convolutional Network mechanics. ● Learn the basics of neural architecture search with Neural Network Intelligence. ● Combine standard statistical analysis methods with deep learning approaches. ● Automate the search for optimal predictive architecture. ● Design your custom neural network architecture for specific tasks. ● Apply predictive models to real-world problems of forecasting stock quotes, weather, and natural processes. WHO THIS BOOK IS FOR This book is written for engineers, data scientists, and stock traders who want to build time series forecasting programs using deep learning. Possessing some familiarity of Python is sufficient, while a basic understanding of machine learning is desirable but not needed. TABLE OF CONTENTS 1. Time Series Problems and Challenges 2. Deep Learning with PyTorch 3. Time Series as Deep Learning Problem 4. Recurrent Neural Networks 5. Advanced Forecasting Models 6. PyTorch Model Tuning with Neural Network Intelligence 7. Applying Deep Learning to Real-world Forecasting Problems 8. PyTorch Forecasting Package 9. What is Next?