Against Prediction
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Against Prediction
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Author : Bernard E. Harcourt
language : en
Publisher: University of Chicago Press
Release Date : 2008-09-15
Against Prediction written by Bernard E. Harcourt and has been published by University of Chicago Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2008-09-15 with Law categories.
From random security checks at airports to the use of risk assessment in sentencing, actuarial methods are being used more than ever to determine whom law enforcement officials target and punish. And with the exception of racial profiling on our highways and streets, most people favor these methods because they believe they’re a more cost-effective way to fight crime. In Against Prediction, Bernard E. Harcourt challenges this growing reliance on actuarial methods. These prediction tools, he demonstrates, may in fact increase the overall amount of crime in society, depending on the relative responsiveness of the profiled populations to heightened security. They may also aggravate the difficulties that minorities already have obtaining work, education, and a better quality of life—thus perpetuating the pattern of criminal behavior. Ultimately, Harcourt shows how the perceived success of actuarial methods has begun to distort our very conception of just punishment and to obscure alternate visions of social order. In place of the actuarial, he proposes instead a turn to randomization in punishment and policing. The presumption, Harcourt concludes, should be against prediction.
The Will To Predict
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Author : Eglė Rindzevičiūtė
language : en
Publisher: Cornell University Press
Release Date : 2023-05-15
The Will To Predict written by Eglė Rindzevičiūtė and has been published by Cornell University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2023-05-15 with History categories.
In The Will to Predict, Eglė Rindzevičiūtė demonstrates how the logic of scientific expertise cannot be properly understood without knowing the conceptual and institutional history of scientific prediction. She notes that predictions of future population, economic growth, environmental change, and scientific and technological innovation have shaped much of twentieth and twenty-first-century politics and social life, as well as government policies. Today, such predictions are more necessary than ever as the world undergoes dramatic environmental, political, and technological change. But, she asks, what does it mean to predict scientifically? What are the limits of scientific prediction and what are its effects on governance, institutions, and society? Her intellectual and political history of scientific prediction takes as its example twentieth-century USSR. By outlining the role of prediction in a range of governmental contexts, from economic and social planning to military strategy, she shows that the history of scientific prediction is a transnational one, part of the history of modern science and technology as well as governance. Going beyond the Soviet case, Rindzevičiūtė argues that scientific predictions are central for organizing uncertainty through the orchestration of knowledge and action. Bridging the fields of political sociology, organization studies, and history, The Will to Predict considers what makes knowledge scientific and how such knowledge has impacted late modern governance.
Philosophico Methodological Analysis Of Prediction And Its Role In Economics
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Author : Wenceslao J. Gonzalez
language : en
Publisher: Springer
Release Date : 2015-02-19
Philosophico Methodological Analysis Of Prediction And Its Role In Economics written by Wenceslao J. Gonzalez and has been published by Springer this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2015-02-19 with Philosophy categories.
This book develops a philosophico-methodological analysis of prediction and its role in economics. Prediction plays a key role in economics in various ways. It can be seen as a basic science, as an applied science and in the application of this science. First, it is used by economic theory in order to test the available knowledge. In this regard, prediction has been presented as the scientific test for economics as a science. Second, prediction provides a content regarding the possible future that can be used for prescription in applied economics. Thus, it can be used as a guide for economic policy, i.e., as knowledge concerning the future to be employed for the resolution of specific problems. Third, prediction also has a role in the application of this science in the public arena. This is through the decision-making of the agents — individuals or organizations — in quite different settings, both in the realm of microeconomics and macroeconomics. Within this context, the research is organized in five parts, which discuss relevant aspects of the role of prediction in economics: I) The problem of prediction as a test for a science; II) The general orientation in methodology of science and the problem of prediction as a scientific test; III) The methodological framework of social sciences and economics: Incidence for prediction as a test; IV) Epistemology and methodology of economic prediction: Rationality and empirical approaches and V) Methodological aspects of economic prediction: From description to prescription. Thus, the book is of interest for philosophers and economists as well as policy-makers seeking to ascertain the roots of their performance. The style used lends itself to a wide audience.
Pragmatic Idealism And Scientific Prediction
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Author : Amanda Guillán
language : en
Publisher: Springer
Release Date : 2017-08-30
Pragmatic Idealism And Scientific Prediction written by Amanda Guillán and has been published by Springer this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2017-08-30 with Science categories.
This monograph analyzes Nicholas Rescher’s system of pragmatic idealism. It also looks at his approach to prediction in science. Coverage highlights a prominent contribution to a central topic in the philosophy and methodology of science. The author offers a full characterization of Rescher’s system of philosophy. She presents readers with a comprehensive philosophico-methodological analysis of this important work. Her research takes into account different thematic realms: semantic, logical, epistemological, methodological, ontological, axiological, and ethical. The book features three, thematic-parts: I) General Coordinates, Semantic Features and Logical Components of Scientific Prediction; II) Predictive Knowledge and Predictive Processes in Rescher’s Methodological Pragmatism; and III) From Reality to Values: Ontological Features, Axiological Elements, and Ethical Aspects of Scientific Prediction. This insightful analysis offers a critical reconstruction of Rescher’s philosophy. The system he created is often characterized as pragmatic idealism that is open to some realist elements. He is a prominent representative of contemporary pragmatism who has made a great deal of contributions to the study of this topic. This area is crucial for science and it has been little considered in the philosophy of science.
Prediction In Second Language Processing And Learning
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Author : Edith Kaan
language : en
Publisher: John Benjamins Publishing Company
Release Date : 2021-09-15
Prediction In Second Language Processing And Learning written by Edith Kaan and has been published by John Benjamins Publishing Company this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2021-09-15 with Language Arts & Disciplines categories.
There is ample evidence that language users, including second-language (L2) users, can predict upcoming information during listening and reading. Yet it is still unclear when, how, and why language users engage in prediction, and what the relation is between prediction and learning. This volume presents a collection of current research, insights, and directions regarding the role of prediction in L2 processing and learning. The contributions in this volume specifically address how different (L1-based) theoretical models of prediction apply to or may be expanded to account for L2 processing, report new insights on factors (linguistic, cognitive, social) that modulate L2 users’ engagement in prediction, and discuss the functions that prediction may or may not serve in L2 processing and learning. Taken together, this volume illustrates various fruitful approaches to investigating and accounting for differences in predictive processing within and across individuals, as well as across populations.
Alternative Therapeutics Against Antimicrobial Resistant Pathogens
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Author : Rebecca Thombre
language : en
Publisher: Frontiers Media SA
Release Date : 2019-12-19
Alternative Therapeutics Against Antimicrobial Resistant Pathogens written by Rebecca Thombre and has been published by Frontiers Media SA this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2019-12-19 with categories.
Handbook Of Research On Machine Learning Innovations And Trends
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Author : Hassanien, Aboul Ella
language : en
Publisher: IGI Global
Release Date : 2017-04-03
Handbook Of Research On Machine Learning Innovations And Trends written by Hassanien, Aboul Ella and has been published by IGI Global this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2017-04-03 with Computers categories.
Continuous improvements in technological applications have allowed more opportunities to develop automated systems. This not only leads to higher success in smart data analysis, but it increases the overall probability of technological progression. The Handbook of Research on Machine Learning Innovations and Trends is a key resource on the latest advances and research regarding the vast range of advanced systems and applications involved in machine intelligence. Highlighting multidisciplinary studies on decision theory, intelligent search, and multi-agent systems, this publication is an ideal reference source for professionals and researchers working in the field of machine learning and its applications.
Collected Papers On Finitist Mathematics And Phenomenalism
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Author : Loke Hagberg
language : en
Publisher: BoD - Books on Demand
Release Date : 2024-08-07
Collected Papers On Finitist Mathematics And Phenomenalism written by Loke Hagberg and has been published by BoD - Books on Demand this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2024-08-07 with Mathematics categories.
This is a clarification of and development upon my previous work. It includes a rework of "Concerning the weakest coherent formalization of methodological skepticism as a Bayesian updater" and "On the finitist Wolfram physics model", then there is an outline of finite content theory and mathematical notes in various areas. Digital phenomenology itself is the study of a finitist (and therefore discrete) phenomenalism. It also includes my work on predictive liquid democracy, where liquid democracy is combined with prediction markets. The system allows for local satisfaction of Condorcet's jury theorem extended to multiple alternatives. See the part about predictive liquid democracy.
Case And Grammatical Relations
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Author : Greville G. Corbett
language : en
Publisher: John Benjamins Publishing
Release Date : 2008
Case And Grammatical Relations written by Greville G. Corbett and has been published by John Benjamins Publishing this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2008 with Language Arts & Disciplines categories.
The papers in this volume can be grouped into two broad, overlapping classes: those dealing primarily with case and those dealing primarily with grammatical relations. With regard to case, topics include descriptions of the case systems of two Caucasian languages, the problems of determining how many cases Russian has and whether Hungarian has a case system at all, the issue of case-combining, the retention of the dative in Swedish dialects, and genitive objects in the languages of Europe. With regard to grammatical relations, topics include the order of obliques in OV and VO languages, the effects of the referential hierarchy on the distribution of grammatical relations, the problem of whether the passive requires a subject category, the relation between subjecthood and definiteness, and the issue of how the loss of case and aspectual systems triggers the use of compensatory mechanisms in heritage Russian.
International Conference On Intelligent Data Communication Technologies And Internet Of Things Icici 2018
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Author : Jude Hemanth
language : en
Publisher: Springer
Release Date : 2018-12-20
International Conference On Intelligent Data Communication Technologies And Internet Of Things Icici 2018 written by Jude Hemanth and has been published by Springer this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2018-12-20 with Technology & Engineering categories.
This book discusses data communication and computer networking, communication technologies and the applications of IoT (Internet of Things), big data, cloud computing and healthcare informatics. It explores, examines and critiques intelligent data communications and presents inventive methodologies in communication technologies and IoT. Aimed at researchers and academicians who need to understand the importance of data communication and advanced technologies in IoT, it offers different perspectives to help readers increase their knowledge and motivates them to conduct research in the area, highlighting various innovative ideas for future research.