Against Prediction
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Against Prediction
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Author : Bernard E. Harcourt
language : en
Publisher: University of Chicago Press
Release Date : 2008-09-15
Against Prediction written by Bernard E. Harcourt and has been published by University of Chicago Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2008-09-15 with Law categories.
From random security checks at airports to the use of risk assessment in sentencing, actuarial methods are being used more than ever to determine whom law enforcement officials target and punish. And with the exception of racial profiling on our highways and streets, most people favor these methods because they believe they’re a more cost-effective way to fight crime. In Against Prediction, Bernard E. Harcourt challenges this growing reliance on actuarial methods. These prediction tools, he demonstrates, may in fact increase the overall amount of crime in society, depending on the relative responsiveness of the profiled populations to heightened security. They may also aggravate the difficulties that minorities already have obtaining work, education, and a better quality of life—thus perpetuating the pattern of criminal behavior. Ultimately, Harcourt shows how the perceived success of actuarial methods has begun to distort our very conception of just punishment and to obscure alternate visions of social order. In place of the actuarial, he proposes instead a turn to randomization in punishment and policing. The presumption, Harcourt concludes, should be against prediction.
Against Prediction
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Author : Bernard E. Harcourt
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2005
Against Prediction written by Bernard E. Harcourt and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2005 with Criminal behavior, Prediction of categories.
Handbook On How To Predict Earthquakes
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Author : Ahmad Jamaludin
language : en
Publisher: Partridge Publishing Singapore
Release Date : 2019-03-16
Handbook On How To Predict Earthquakes written by Ahmad Jamaludin and has been published by Partridge Publishing Singapore this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2019-03-16 with Science categories.
In the history of seismology, no one has come close to present a basic framework on how to predict earthquakes. This book opens a new perspective that earthquakes are triggered by an extraterrestrial astrophysical source. The presence of this yet to be identified source could explain the how and why of earthquake occurrences. Not only that, working on this hypothesis, earthquakes can be predicted as they exhibited patterns that complement the presence of such a source that emits gravitational waves. These waves strike the earth like a lighthouse beam and induce the stress at the fault lines. This gravitational excitation is what actually causes earthquakes. The motion of plate tectonics is only a secondary event.
Prediction In Second Language Processing And Learning
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Author : Edith Kaan
language : en
Publisher: John Benjamins Publishing Company
Release Date : 2021-09-15
Prediction In Second Language Processing And Learning written by Edith Kaan and has been published by John Benjamins Publishing Company this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2021-09-15 with Language Arts & Disciplines categories.
There is ample evidence that language users, including second-language (L2) users, can predict upcoming information during listening and reading. Yet it is still unclear when, how, and why language users engage in prediction, and what the relation is between prediction and learning. This volume presents a collection of current research, insights, and directions regarding the role of prediction in L2 processing and learning. The contributions in this volume specifically address how different (L1-based) theoretical models of prediction apply to or may be expanded to account for L2 processing, report new insights on factors (linguistic, cognitive, social) that modulate L2 users’ engagement in prediction, and discuss the functions that prediction may or may not serve in L2 processing and learning. Taken together, this volume illustrates various fruitful approaches to investigating and accounting for differences in predictive processing within and across individuals, as well as across populations.
Clinical Prediction Of Violent Behavior The Master Work Series
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Author : John Monahan, Shannon Distinguished Professor of Law, Psychology, and Psychiatry, University of Virginia
language : en
Publisher: Jason Aronson, Incorporated
Release Date : 1977-07-07
Clinical Prediction Of Violent Behavior The Master Work Series written by John Monahan, Shannon Distinguished Professor of Law, Psychology, and Psychiatry, University of Virginia and has been published by Jason Aronson, Incorporated this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1977-07-07 with Psychology categories.
As therapists are increasingly held legally responsible for failing to predict their client''s violent behaviour, the pressure to know and forecast behaviour - never the chosen domain of clinicians - has risen. Worries about potential law suits invade the therapeutic setting. The volume enables therapists to master the proven signs of potentially harmful acts, so that they can get back to the work they were trained for: helping people.
Philosophico Methodological Analysis Of Prediction And Its Role In Economics
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Author : Wenceslao J. Gonzalez
language : en
Publisher: Springer
Release Date : 2015-02-19
Philosophico Methodological Analysis Of Prediction And Its Role In Economics written by Wenceslao J. Gonzalez and has been published by Springer this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2015-02-19 with Philosophy categories.
This book develops a philosophico-methodological analysis of prediction and its role in economics. Prediction plays a key role in economics in various ways. It can be seen as a basic science, as an applied science and in the application of this science. First, it is used by economic theory in order to test the available knowledge. In this regard, prediction has been presented as the scientific test for economics as a science. Second, prediction provides a content regarding the possible future that can be used for prescription in applied economics. Thus, it can be used as a guide for economic policy, i.e., as knowledge concerning the future to be employed for the resolution of specific problems. Third, prediction also has a role in the application of this science in the public arena. This is through the decision-making of the agents — individuals or organizations — in quite different settings, both in the realm of microeconomics and macroeconomics. Within this context, the research is organized in five parts, which discuss relevant aspects of the role of prediction in economics: I) The problem of prediction as a test for a science; II) The general orientation in methodology of science and the problem of prediction as a scientific test; III) The methodological framework of social sciences and economics: Incidence for prediction as a test; IV) Epistemology and methodology of economic prediction: Rationality and empirical approaches and V) Methodological aspects of economic prediction: From description to prescription. Thus, the book is of interest for philosophers and economists as well as policy-makers seeking to ascertain the roots of their performance. The style used lends itself to a wide audience.
Foundations Of Complex Systems Nonlinear Dynamics Statistical Physics Information And Prediction
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Author : Gregoire Nicolis
language : en
Publisher: World Scientific
Release Date : 2007-09-03
Foundations Of Complex Systems Nonlinear Dynamics Statistical Physics Information And Prediction written by Gregoire Nicolis and has been published by World Scientific this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2007-09-03 with Science categories.
Complexity is emerging as a post-Newtonian paradigm for approaching a large body of phenomena of concern at the crossroads of physical, engineering, environmental, life and human sciences from a unifying point of view. This book outlines the foundations of modern complexity research as it arose from the cross-fertilization of ideas and tools from nonlinear science, statistical physics and numerical simulation. It is shown how these developments lead to an understanding, both qualitative and quantitative, of the complex systems encountered in nature and in everyday experience and, conversely, how natural complexity acts as a source of inspiration for progress at the fundamental level.
Prediction Of Officer Performance
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Author : Louis P. Willemin
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1964
Prediction Of Officer Performance written by Louis P. Willemin and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1964 with categories.
Drug Metabolism Prediction
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Author : Johannes Kirchmair
language : en
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Release Date : 2014-06-26
Drug Metabolism Prediction written by Johannes Kirchmair and has been published by John Wiley & Sons this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2014-06-26 with Medical categories.
The first professional reference on this highly relevant topic, for drug developers, pharmacologists and toxicologists. The authors provide more than a systematic overview of computational tools and knowledge bases for drug metabolism research and their underlying principles. They aim to convey their expert knowledge distilled from many years of experience in the field. In addition to the fundamentals, computational approaches and their applications, this volume provides expert accounts of the latest experimental methods for investigating drug metabolism in four dedicated chapters. The authors discuss the most important caveats and common errors to consider when working with experimental data. Collating the knowledge gained over the past decade, this practice-oriented guide presents methods not only used in drug development, but also in the development and toxicological assessment of cosmetics, functional foods, agrochemicals, and additives for consumer goods, making it an invaluable reference in a variety of disciplines.
The Will To Predict
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Author : Eglė Rindzevičiūtė
language : en
Publisher: Cornell University Press
Release Date : 2023-05-15
The Will To Predict written by Eglė Rindzevičiūtė and has been published by Cornell University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2023-05-15 with History categories.
In The Will to Predict, Eglė Rindzevičiūtė demonstrates how the logic of scientific expertise cannot be properly understood without knowing the conceptual and institutional history of scientific prediction. She notes that predictions of future population, economic growth, environmental change, and scientific and technological innovation have shaped much of twentieth and twenty-first-century politics and social life, as well as government policies. Today, such predictions are more necessary than ever as the world undergoes dramatic environmental, political, and technological change. But, she asks, what does it mean to predict scientifically? What are the limits of scientific prediction and what are its effects on governance, institutions, and society? Her intellectual and political history of scientific prediction takes as its example twentieth-century USSR. By outlining the role of prediction in a range of governmental contexts, from economic and social planning to military strategy, she shows that the history of scientific prediction is a transnational one, part of the history of modern science and technology as well as governance. Going beyond the Soviet case, Rindzevičiūtė argues that scientific predictions are central for organizing uncertainty through the orchestration of knowledge and action. Bridging the fields of political sociology, organization studies, and history, The Will to Predict considers what makes knowledge scientific and how such knowledge has impacted late modern governance.